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tennis | Wednesday, September 21, 2022 7:49 AM

Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Metz, Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem

Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Metz, Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem
Contributor: Abaca Press / Alamy Stock Photo

Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem Best Bet: Wednesday, September 21st

After a pair of selections from the ATP 250 event on the west coast of the United States in San Diego, California, we shift to the indoor event in Metz, France, where another 250 is taking place.

Before getting started, it’s worth noting, while these courts used to be quick in the past, last year the word from the players and the overall hold percentage suggested it wasn’t as quick as in previous years. It’s worth noting, however, that we aren’t going to see French indoor hard courts suddenly become slow, simply that they may now be of medium speed.

With that said, let’s get into the match between two veterans that are sure to draw a crowd on Wednesday evening when this match is scheduled to kick off.

In this article:


Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem Preview

September 21, 17:00 UK Time

With the court speed question still somewhat up in the air, I’m going to continue watching matches throughout the week before getting involved with too many bets on game totals from Metz. As the week wears on and centre court continues to host matches, we’re also likely to see the speeds pick up a bit. Later on in the week, we may be more well-positioned to attack the totals from France.

For now, I’ll look to back the Frenchman in this one against a Thiem that continues to make progress in his return from a tough injury.

Gasquet seemingly turned back the clock in Winston Salem where he made a run to the quarterfinals, while being the much better player in a third-set tiebreak loss to Laslo Djere that round.

He followed that up with a pair of wins the next week in New York in a best-of-five set format, bowing out only to Rafael Nadal, who’s had his number for over a decade.

His heavy-topspin game should be able to rally with Thiem’s topspin-based game, while only having played two Davis Cup matches since his September 4th loss to Nadal (both quick, straight sets affairs, no less) should mean his energy reserves are topped back up.

Thiem, on the other hand, has been looking for as many matches as he can get to get his body back into the form it needs to be in to deal with the grind of a full season at the game’s top level, while also looking to rebuild his ranking.

Coming off a strong week at the Challenger Tour level in Rennes, Thiem may be seeing his energy reserves deplete. He looked a little lost gameplan-wise against Ugo Humbert in that final, while also looking a step slower than he had earlier in the week.


Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem Best Bet

Between Gasquet’s inspired play since Winston Salem, and the fatigue angle potentially coming into play with Thiem, I’m going to back the elder statesman to come through this match.

At a pick ‘em price, I believe he has the game, form and needed time off to be afforded the respect of being the favourite here. With the markets disagreeing, I’ll take a position.

  • Selection: Gasquet to win
  • Best Odds: 1.93 (Unibet)
  • Stakes: 2/10

Odds as at 09:00 am on September 21st, 2022. Odds may now differ.


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