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Tennis | Tuesday, June 18, 2024 8:51 AM (Revised at: Tuesday, June 18, 2024 8:52 AM)

Alexander Zverev vs Oscar Otte Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, June 18th

Alexander Zverev vs Oscar Otte Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, June 18th
BSR Agency / Alamy Stock Photo: Alexander Zverev of Germany celebrates

The second preview of the day from the Terra Wortmann Open in Germany – the other ATP 500 tournament taking place this week. It features the French Open finalist in his grass debut after a withdrawal from the 250 in Stuttgart. Let’s look at our Zverev vs Otte prediction.

Otte’s win probability is way down, while Zverev is favored to win at 1.28 odds. The handicap is four games and the total games line is 22.5.

Alexander Zverev vs Oscar Otte Prediction: Otte Rounding Into Form in Time to Push Elite Countryman

  • Prediction: Over 22.5 Games
  • Best Odds: 2.14
  • Bookmaker: Unibet
  • Stakes: 2/10

Odds updated on June 17th, 2024. 

I’m not as keen on the four-game handicap here for a few reasons. First and foremost, if Zverev is ready to go on the grass and is playing his best and not bothered by the low bounce keeping the ball out of his strike zone, there’s a good chance he rolls in this one. Backing the +4 at 1.82 seems like we’re paying an extra 20 cents of the dollar in hopes the score ends up 7-5, 6-4. That’s the only way the handicap voids without cashing in on the over 22.5-game total. Remember, that’s not winning the handicap, it’s just to purchase insurance for the number landing exactly on 22 games.

If the four-game handicap is going to cash in, it’s because the elder of the two Germans will have a strong day on serve (he’s a tall guy with a strong first serve) and execute his first forehands well. He also hits a fairly flat ball, which is why we’ve seen him have more success than one may expect for a player who’s never really been a household name. Flatter hitting takes time away from opponents on a lower bouncing surface and just as importantly, it keeps the ball low and away from Zverev, who prefers to strike his groundstrokes.

If it weren’t for his strong qualifying campaign, I’d be nervous trusting the 30-year-old in what has been an injury and disappointment-riddled season, but he certainly has the chops to keep things close if he’s playing as well as he did over the weekend. Our Zverev vs Otte prediction is for the match to go over the total.

Another preview from the Cinch Championships in London has been posted on our expert insights page.

Alexander Zverev Recent Form

Just one set from winning 13 straight matches, a Masters 1000 title, and his maiden grand slam trophy, Zverev ran out of gas to close out his clay season as Carlos Alcaraz ran away with the fourth and fifth sets to lift the Coupe des Mousquetaires in the French capital.

Nevertheless, in an era of men’s tennis where there are so few that combine elite weapons, consistent play, and an ability to play with decent tactics at a semi-regular clip, Zverev has surged to the top-5 in the world rankings.

Grass, however, is where he may be a tad more vulnerable. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still going to rack up wins, but with the ball staying so low and his return game not being as useful with how quickly some first serves come at him, he’s probably not quite as strong on the lawns as he is on the dirt and hard courts.

Last year saw him reach the semis here, beating a fading Dominic Thiem (who is set to retire soon since his game has fallen so far), an erratic and out-of-form Denis Shapovalov, and then Nicolas Jarry, before losing to the eventual champion in Alexander Bublik.

At Wimbledon, he had a pair of wins, but even those saw him either play several tiebreaks or drop a set against a pair of guys primarily found at the Challenger level.

We’ll see if his first match back after that heartbreak in Paris has him behind the eight ball or if he can keep his strong form going.

Oscar Otte Recent Form

Could Otte finally be finding his game after over a year of futility? Having won just a handful of matches between Australia and Wimbledon in 2023 and then doing nothing afterward, Otte’s fortunes already seemed to be on the decline. An injury playing an ITF tournament in December didn’t help that trajectory, keeping him sidelined for a month or two. He’s since returned, but until this weekend hadn’t had any success whatsoever in re-finding his level.

As was the case in 2023, however, it appears as though the one tournament where he may find an iota of success this season may end up being on grass courts. In 2023 he qualified for Wimbledon and won one match in the main draw.

He’s now won impressively a pair of qualifying matches in Halle and has the chance to potentially disrupt the momentum of Zverev, who had a great clay season but has yet to debut on the grass.

He has the serve, flat-hitting, and first strike mentality to succeed on these courts. Let’s see if he can conjure up some of whatever he had at Wimbledon a season ago to try and find some form.

Alexander Zverev vs Oscar Otte H2H – Stat of the Match

Zverev won the lone meeting between the two back in 2021, but that came on clay – more favourable to him – and he had to come back from two sets down at Roland Garros to get that win.

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