Lauren Davis to win
This may be recency bias, but it's hard to shake Stakusic with an absolutely terrible collapse from 5-2 up serving for the match in Parma in her last match against an injured opponent. It's not the first time I've seen her collapse and, for all her natural talent, I think the mental part of her game is far below a lot of her opponents. Davis has fallen dramatically in the rankings, but she's had a few decent matches on clay lately and she's got a ton of experience at the Grand Slam level. I am leaning on the veteran to make the smarter decisions on a surface where decision-making is so important.