Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 15 February

Le Havre face Toulouse in a crucial Ligue 1 clash at Stade Océane on Sunday, 15 February. This match is pivotal for both teams as they navigate the challenges of France’s top flight. With Le Havre looking to capitalise on their home advantage, the encounter promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Toulouse, meanwhile, will aim to secure valuable points away from home, making this matchup an intriguing prospect for fans and punters alike. As both teams vie for position in the league standings, this fixture could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Stay tuned for our prediction, match preview, and betting tips.

Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Le Havre to Win	3.23

Given the current form and home advantage, our recommended betting tip for this match is a Le Havre win in the 1X2 market. Le Havre’s recent home performances and defensive discipline give them a solid edge over a Toulouse side struggling with consistency on the road.

• Le Havre have shown strong defensive performances at home, conceding just 0.91 goals per match.
• Toulouse lost their most recent away game and face disruptions in key positions, weakening their overall strength.
• Le Havre have a good track record against Toulouse at home, including a recent 1-0 victory.

Betting Odds

Le Havre host Toulouse in what promises to be an intriguing Ligue 1 clash. The betting odds have Toulouse as slight favourites at 2.3, while Le Havre are priced at 3.23 to win at home. A draw is also a tempting option at 3.16, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Betting Tip	Odds
Le Havre to win	3.23
Draw	3.16
Toulouse to win	2.3

For those looking to place a bet, consider the potential for a tight game, with both teams having shown resilience in recent fixtures. The odds suggest a close contest, making the draw and both teams to score markets particularly appealing.

Le Havre Analysis & Past Performance

Le Havre’s recent form has been steady, with the team securing two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five Ligue 1 fixtures. Their latest victory was a 2-1 win against Strasbourg, highlighting their ability to perform at home. They have shown a balanced approach, averaging 1.00 goal per game while conceding 0.80 goals, indicating a slightly stronger defensive setup.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Le Havre	Strasbourg	2 – 1 (Win)	Ligue 1	8 Feb 2026
Lens	Le Havre	1 – 0 (Loss)	Ligue 1	30 Jan 2026
Le Havre	Monaco	0 – 0 (Draw)	Ligue 1	24 Jan 2026
Rennes	Le Havre	1 – 1 (Draw)	Ligue 1	18 Jan 2026
Le Havre	Angers	2 – 1 (Win)	Ligue 1	4 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Le Havre’s attack, led by top scorer Issa Soumaré with four goals this season, has been somewhat inconsistent, as evidenced by only scoring in three of their last five matches. Defensively, the team has managed just one clean sheet in this period, underscoring a need for more solidity at the back. However, their home form has been more reliable, with a win ratio of 40% over the last five home games, offering a slight advantage when playing at Stade Océane.

Le Havre currently sit 13th in the Ligue 1 standings with 23 points, reflecting a mid-to-lower table position. Their overall season performance shows a win ratio of 24%, which suggests room for improvement in converting drawn matches into victories. The team’s tactical focus seems to hinge on maintaining possession and exploiting set-piece opportunities, as highlighted by their nine corners won in their last match against Strasbourg.

• WLDDW

Le Havre Suspensions & Injuries

Le Havre face a challenge with several key players unavailable due to injuries. Mohamed Bayo remains sidelined with a sprained ankle, expected to return in late May 2024, which limits their attacking options significantly. Meanwhile, the absence of Abdoulaye Touré and Ayumu Seko, both expected back by late February 2026, poses a dilemma in the defensive and midfield areas, requiring tactical adjustments from coach Didier Digard.

In Touré’s absence, Lucas Gourna-Douath is likely to play a crucial role in midfield, tasked with controlling the tempo and providing defensive stability. The backline will lean heavily on the partnership of Stéphan Zagadou and Arouna Sanganté to maintain solidity, with Loïc Négo and Enzo Koffi providing width and support from the full-back positions.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Mohamed Bayo	Sprained ankle	Late May 2024
Abdoulaye Touré	Knee injury	Late February 2026
Ayumu Seko	Broken rib	Late February 2026

The tactical impact of these injuries means Le Havre may adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on maintaining shape and hitting Toulouse on the counter-attack. The lack of depth could influence betting markets, as Toulouse may be seen as having a slight advantage given Le Havre’s depleted squad. However, the presence of key attackers like Sofiane Boufal ensures they remain competitive.

Le Havre Key Players

Le Havre’s offensive prowess will be spearheaded by their top scorer, Issa Soumaré, who has impressively netted 4 goals this season. Soumaré’s agility and knack for finding space in the box make him a constant threat to Toulouse’s defence. His partnership up front with Sofiane Boufal, known for his dribbling skills and ability to create chances, could be pivotal in breaking down opposition defences.

In midfield, Lucas Gourna-Douath is expected to play a crucial role. His ability to control the tempo of the game and distribute the ball effectively will be key in transitioning Le Havre from defence to attack. Meanwhile, at the back, Stéphan Zagadou’s presence is vital for maintaining defensive solidity. His physicality and aerial prowess are essential in dealing with Toulouse’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Le Havre:

• Goalkeeper: Mory Diaw
• Defence: Loïc Négo, Stéphan Zagadou, Arouna Sanganté, Enzo Koffi
• Midfield: Simon Ebonog, Lucas Gourna-Douath, Rassoul Ndiaye
• Forward: Issa Soumaré, Sofiane Boufal, Fodé Doucouré

Le Havre Tactics and Formation

Le Havre Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Issa Soumaré
• Midfield Engine: Lucas Gourna-Douath and Rassoul Ndiaye
• Defensive Record: Mixed, with one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Utilising width and dynamic forward play.

Le Havre’s 4-3-3 formation is designed to maximise offensive width and provide flexibility in attack. In this setup, Issa Soumaré is a key figure, leading the front line alongside Sofiane Boufal and Fodé Doucouré. This trio’s pace and creativity are pivotal to Le Havre’s attacking strategy, aiming to stretch opposition defences.

In midfield, Lucas Gourna-Douath and Rassoul Ndiaye are tasked with maintaining balance, offering both defensive cover and creative distribution. Their ability to transition from defence to attack is crucial, especially given the team’s tendency to concede goals.

Defensively, Le Havre have displayed inconsistency, highlighted by just one clean sheet in their last five outings. The backline, featuring Loïc Négo and Stéphan Zagadou, needs to tighten up to support Mory Diaw in goal. The team often employ a high pressing strategy, aiming to disrupt opponents early in their build-up play.

Toulouse Analysis & Past Performance

Toulouse have demonstrated solid recent form, securing three victories in their last five matches across all competitions. Notable performances include a commanding 5-1 win against Nice and a crucial 2-0 away victory over Brest, indicating their capability to perform strongly both at home and away.

Home Side	Away Side	Result	Competition	Date
Angers	Toulouse	1 – 0 (Loss)	Ligue 1	8 Feb 2026
Toulouse	Amiens	1 – 0 (Win)	French Cup	4 Feb 2026
Toulouse	Auxerre	0 – 0 (Draw)	Ligue 1	1 Feb 2026
Brest	Toulouse	0 – 2 (Win)	Ligue 1	25 Jan 2026
Toulouse	Nice	5 – 1 (Win)	Ligue 1	17 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• LWDWW

In their last five games, Toulouse have averaged 1.60 goals scored per game while maintaining a commendable defensive record, conceding just 0.40 goals per match. They have kept three clean sheets over this period, highlighting their defensive solidity. Despite a recent 0-1 setback against Angers, their away form remains impressive, with four wins out of the last five away fixtures, boasting a win ratio of 0.80. Currently positioned 8th in Ligue 1 with 30 points, Toulouse’s balanced approach in attack and defence makes them a formidable opponent.

Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries

Toulouse will feel the absence of Abu Francis due to a broken ankle, sidelining him until early May 2026. His unavailability reduces depth in midfield, forcing coach Carles Martínez to rely heavily on the current starters. The midfield trio of Rafik Messali, Cristian Cásseres Jr., and Pape Demba Diop will need to maintain their form to compensate for this gap. Meanwhile, Frank Magri’s knee injury, keeping him out until late February, limits options in the attacking third. His absence means Santiago Hidalgo will be crucial in leading the frontline.

With these key players unavailable, Toulouse might need to adjust their tactical approach slightly. The current 3-4-2-1 formation remains intact, but the emphasis could shift towards a more conservative midfield strategy to ensure defensive solidity, especially against a potentially aggressive Le Havre side.

The situation presents an opportunity for backup players to step up and prove their worth. However, the quality of replacements might not match the creativity and dynamism that Francis and Magri bring to the table. This could influence Toulouse’s attacking potency, potentially affecting their chances of securing a positive result.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Abu Francis	Broken ankle	Early May 2026
Frank Magri	Knee injury	Late February 2026

Toulouse Key Players

Toulouse will be counting on their top scorer Yann Gboho, who has netted 6 goals this season, to spearhead their attack against Le Havre. Gboho, operating from midfield, is known for his ability to break through defensive lines and create scoring opportunities. His partnership with Santiago Hidalgo in the forward line is expected to be crucial, as Hidalgo brings a physical presence and finishing prowess that could trouble any defence.

In midfield, Cristian Cásseres Jr. and Pape Demba Diop are expected to play pivotal roles. Cásseres Jr. offers creativity and control, dictating the tempo of the game, while Diop’s energy and tackling ability provide the defensive solidity needed to support the backline. Meanwhile, Djibril Sidibé in defence will be key in organising the backline and thwarting Le Havre’s offensive threats.

Expected lineup for Toulouse:

• Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
• Defence: Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Midfield: Rafik Messali, Cristian Cásseres Jr., Pape Demba Diop, Aron Dønnum, Emersonn, Yann Gboho
• Forward: Santiago Hidalgo

Toulouse Tactics and Formation

Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Santiago Hidalgo
• Midfield Dynamics: Cristian Cásseres Jr. and Pape Demba Diop
• Defensive Setup: Three-man defence featuring Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play and defensive solidity.

Toulouse will likely continue with their 3-4-2-1 formation, which has been effective in recent matches. This setup allows them to control the midfield with Cristian Cásseres Jr. and Pape Demba Diop as key figures in maintaining possession and initiating attacks. Rafik Messali and Aron Dønnum provide width as wing-backs, crucial for both offensive support and defensive cover.

Defensively, the three-man backline of Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen offers a strong foundation. This configuration has contributed to their ability to secure clean sheets in two of their last five games, highlighting their defensive resilience.

Offensively, Toulouse rely on the creativity of Yann Gboho and Emersonn in the attacking midfield roles to supply Santiago Hidalgo, their focal point in attack. Despite a recent loss to Angers, their ability to adapt tactically and exploit wing play remains a significant strength.

Le Havre vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Record

Looking at the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Toulouse, it’s clear that Toulouse have had the upper hand. Out of the last 12 encounters, Toulouse have won 8 times, while Le Havre have managed just 2 victories, with 3 matches ending in a draw. Their most recent meeting in November 2025 ended in a goalless draw, showing that Le Havre managed to hold their ground away from home.

The last time these two met at the Stade Océane, it was a tough day for Le Havre as they lost 1-4 to Toulouse in February 2025. Historically, Toulouse have dominated this fixture, especially in Ligue 1, where they’ve consistently outperformed Le Havre.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Toulouse	Le Havre	0 – 0	Ligue 1	2025-11-02
Le Havre	Toulouse	1 – 4	Ligue 1	2025-02-23
Toulouse	Le Havre	2 – 0	Ligue 1	2024-09-15
Le Havre	Toulouse	1 – 0	Ligue 1	2024-03-10
Toulouse	Le Havre	1 – 2	Ligue 1	2023-11-05