Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction, Match Preview, Friday, 13 February

Rennes will host Paris Saint-Germain at Roazhon Park on Friday, 13 February, in an exciting Ligue 1 clash. This match is crucial for both teams as they compete for top positions in the league. Rennes, known for their strong home performances, will look to use their familiarity with Roazhon Park to challenge the current league leaders, Paris Saint-Germain.

Paris Saint-Germain, with their star-studded squad, are aiming to maintain their dominance in Ligue 1. The visitors have been in formidable form, and a win here would further cement their position at the top of the table. Meanwhile, Rennes will be eager to make a statement by securing a victory against one of the toughest opponents in the league. This matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter with significant implications for the title race.

Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
PSG to win with a -1 handicap	2.09

Given Paris Saint-Germain’s impressive head-to-head record against Rennes, including their dominant 5-0 victory in December 2025, and the fact that PSG often respond strongly after a setback, our recommended betting tip is to back PSG with a -1 handicap. Despite missing key full-backs Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes, PSG’s central attacking options remain potent, and their technical quality should stand out even in challenging weather conditions.

• Paris Saint-Germain have won four and drawn one of their last five encounters with Rennes.
• Rennes concede an average of 1.7 goals per game, making a multiple-goal win for PSG plausible.
• Paris Saint-Germain have scored first in 86% of their matches this season, often gaining early control.

Betting Odds

Rennes face a tough challenge at Roazhon Park as they host Paris Saint-Germain, with the visitors heavily favoured in the betting odds. PSG’s odds are at 1.42, reflecting their dominance in Ligue 1, while Rennes are seen as underdogs with odds of 6.28.

Betting Tip	Odds
Rennes to win	6.28
Draw	4.98
Paris Saint-Germain to win	1.42

The draw is priced at 4.98, which might appeal to those expecting a tighter contest. For those looking at alternative markets, considering PSG’s attacking prowess, betting on over 2.5 goals could be a smart move.

Rennes Analysis & Past Performance

Rennes have been enduring a challenging period, with recent form highlighting significant struggles. Over the last five matches, they have failed to secure a victory, recording four losses and one draw. Their most recent outing against Lens ended in a 3-1 defeat, further compounding their difficult run.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lens	Rennes	3 – 1 (Loss)	Ligue 1	7 Feb 2026
Marseille	Rennes	3 – 0 (Loss)	French Cup	3 Feb 2026
Monaco	Rennes	4 – 0 (Loss)	Ligue 1	31 Jan 2026
Rennes	Lorient	0 – 2 (Loss)	Ligue 1	24 Jan 2026
Rennes	Le Havre	1 – 1 (Draw)	Ligue 1	18 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Rennes’ attacking capabilities have been underwhelming, averaging only 0.40 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per match. This defensive frailty is underscored by their failure to keep a clean sheet in any of these encounters.

Despite their recent struggles, Rennes’ home form remains relatively better, having won three of their last five home games, achieving a win ratio of 60% at Roazhon Park. Their home performances contrast sharply with their overall form, suggesting a possible fortress-like advantage when playing on their own turf.

Currently sitting sixth in Ligue 1 with 31 points, Rennes need to address their defensive issues to maintain their position in the upper half of the table. Key forward Esteban Lepaul, with 10 goals this season, remains a crucial figure in their quest to turn their fortunes around.

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Rennes Suspensions & Injuries

Rennes face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries. The absence of Przemysław Frankowski and Glen Kamara, both sidelined with calf and ankle injuries respectively, will require tactical adjustments. Frankowski’s creativity and Kamara’s defensive solidity in midfield are significant losses, potentially affecting Rennes’ ability to control the midfield battle against Paris Saint-Germain. Yassir Zabiri and Djaoui Cissé, both out with muscle and groin injuries, further deplete the squad’s depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Yassir Zabiri	Muscle injury	Around 1-2 weeks
Przemysław Frankowski	Calf injury	Around 1-2 weeks
Djaoui Cissé	Groin injury	Around 1-2 weeks
Glen Kamara	Ankle injury	Early March 2026
Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal	Muscle injury	Around 1-2 weeks
Jérémy Jacquet	Shoulder injury	Late February 2026

In response to these absences, Rennes might look to emphasise a more robust defensive setup, possibly employing Mahdi Camara and Mousa Tamari in more versatile roles to cover the midfield gaps. The 3-5-2 formation could see a shift towards a more defensive posture, with the focus on counter-attacking opportunities through Esteban Lepaul and Breel Embolo. The versatility of Valentin Rongier and Sebastian Szymański in midfield will be pivotal in maintaining balance and creativity.

The betting markets are likely to view Rennes’ injury situation as a disadvantage, potentially affecting their odds against a formidable PSG side. The lack of squad depth could hinder Rennes’ ability to sustain high-intensity play throughout the match, making them underdogs in this encounter. However, the home advantage at Roazhon Park may still provide a competitive edge, especially if the available players can rise to the challenge.

Rennes Key Players

Rennes will heavily rely on their top scorer, Esteban Lepaul, who has impressively netted 10 goals this season. As a forward, Lepaul’s clinical finishing and ability to exploit defensive gaps make him a constant threat to Paris Saint-Germain’s backline. His partnership with Breel Embolo in attack is expected to be pivotal, as Embolo’s physicality and pace can create opportunities for Lepaul to capitalise on.

In midfield, Sebastian Szymański stands out as a key playmaker. His vision and passing accuracy are crucial for transitioning play and maintaining possession, potentially dictating the tempo against a formidable PSG midfield. Meanwhile, in defence, Anthony Rouault’s leadership and aerial ability will be essential in organising the backline and repelling PSG’s attacking advances.

• Goalkeeper: Mathys Silistrie
• Defence: Alidu Seidu, Lilian Brassier, Anthony Rouault
• Midfield: Mahdi Camara, Mousa Tamari, Sebastian Szymański, Arnaud Nordin, Valentin Rongier
• Forward: Esteban Lepaul, Breel Embolo

Expected lineup for Rennes

Rennes Tactics and Formation

Rennes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Esteban Lepaul
• Midfield Engine: Sebastian Szymański
• Defensive Setup: Three-man defence with Anthony Rouault as a key figure
• Notable Strategy: Wing-backs Mahdi Camara and Mousa Tamari providing width and supporting both defence and attack.

Rennes’ 3-5-2 formation allows them to strengthen their midfield presence while maintaining a solid defensive structure. The three-man defence, featuring Anthony Rouault, is designed to provide stability, yet the absence of regular starters like Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal due to injury could test their resilience.

In midfield, Sebastian Szymański acts as the creative engine, orchestrating play and linking up with forwards Esteban Lepaul and Breel Embolo. The wing-backs, Mahdi Camara and Mousa Tamari, play crucial roles in providing width and supporting both the defensive and attacking phases.

Offensively, Rennes will look to leverage the clinical finishing of Esteban Lepaul, their top scorer. However, their recent form, with no clean sheets in the last five games, suggests defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Paris Saint-Germain’s potent attack.

Paris Saint-Germain Analysis & Past Performance

Paris Saint-Germain have been in formidable form, currently sitting top of the Ligue 1 table with 51 points. In their last five fixtures, PSG have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. This includes a commanding 5-0 victory over Marseille, showcasing their attacking prowess.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Paris Saint-Germain	Marseille	5 – 0 (Win)	Ligue 1	8 Feb 2026
Strasbourg	Paris Saint-Germain	1 – 2 (Win)	Ligue 1	1 Feb 2026
Paris Saint-Germain	Newcastle	1 – 1 (Draw)	Champions League	28 Jan 2026
Auxerre	Paris Saint-Germain	0 – 1 (Win)	Ligue 1	23 Jan 2026
Sporting CP	Paris Saint-Germain	2 – 1 (Loss)	Champions League	20 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

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PSG’s attacking unit has been prolific, averaging 2.00 goals per match in their last five games, having scored in each fixture. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding only 0.80 goals per game and securing two clean sheets. Their away form remains strong, with four wins out of their last five away games, reflecting a win ratio of 0.80 on the road.

Paris Saint-Germain Suspensions & Injuries

Paris Saint-Germain face a couple of injury concerns ahead of their clash against Rennes. Midfielder Fabián Ruiz is sidelined with a bruised knee, expected to be out for about 1-2 weeks. His absence might affect the team’s midfield dynamics, as Ruiz’s ability to control the tempo and distribute the ball is crucial. The team will likely rely on João Neves and Vitinha to step up in midfield, offering both creativity and stability.

Quentin Ndjantou’s hamstring injury keeps him out until early April 2026. While not a regular starter, his absence reduces the depth in PSG’s defensive options. The current starting defenders, such as Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes, will need to maintain their form to compensate for the lack of backup in certain positions.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Quentin Ndjantou	Hamstring injury	Early April 2026
Fabián Ruiz	Bruised knee	About 1-2 weeks

With no suspensions affecting the squad, coach Luis Enrique has the flexibility to make tactical adjustments if necessary. The availability of the core starting lineup ensures that PSG can implement their preferred 4-3-3 formation, maintaining a strong attacking presence with Ousmane Dembélé and Bradley Barcola leading the charge. This depth and stability might influence betting markets to favour PSG, despite the minor injury concerns.

Paris Saint-Germain Key Players

Paris Saint-Germain’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by their top scorer, Ousmane Dembélé, who has already netted 7 goals this season. Dembélé’s pace and dribbling ability make him a constant threat on the wing, capable of breaking down defences with his incisive runs and precise finishing. His partnership with Bradley Barcola and Désiré Doué in the forward line is expected to be pivotal in PSG’s attacking strategy, providing both width and depth to their offensive play.

In midfield, Vitinha’s role as a playmaker is crucial. His vision and passing range allow PSG to transition quickly from defence to attack, often unlocking opposition defences with his creative play. Alongside him, João Neves offers a robust presence, combining defensive duties with the ability to drive forward and support the attack.

Defensively, Marquinhos remains the leader at the back, marshalling the defensive line with his experience and composure. His partnership with Willian Pacho provides solidity, while Nuno Mendes offers dynamic support from the left flank, contributing both defensively and offensively.

Expected lineup for Paris Saint-Germain

• Goalkeeper: Matvey Safonov
• Defence: Warren Zaïre-Emery, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
• Midfield: Senny Mayulu, Vitinha, João Neves
• Forward: Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Bradley Barcola

Paris Saint-Germain Tactics and Formation

Paris Saint-Germain Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ousmane Dembélé
• Midfield Control: Vitinha and João Neves
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and swift transitions.

PSG’s 4-3-3 formation provides a balanced approach between attack and defence. With Vitinha and João Neves in midfield, the team maintains control and fluidity, allowing for quick transitions. The wingers, Ousmane Dembélé and Bradley Barcola, are pivotal in stretching the opposition’s defence, creating spaces for Désiré Doué to exploit.

Defensively, with Marquinhos and Willian Pacho anchoring the backline, PSG have shown resilience, evident in their three clean sheets in the last five matches. Nuno Mendes and Warren Zaïre-Emery provide width and support, contributing to both defensive duties and attacking overlaps.

Offensively, PSG’s strategy focuses on high pressing and capitalising on quick transitions. This approach has been particularly effective, as demonstrated in their recent 5-0 victory against Marseille, where they dominated possession and created numerous scoring opportunities.

Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain Head-to-Head Record

Rennes and Paris Saint-Germain have faced off 49 times, with PSG leading the head-to-head record with 26 wins to Rennes’ 16, alongside 8 draws. In their last encounter, PSG dominated with a 5-0 victory at home in Ligue 1, showcasing their attacking prowess.

The last time Rennes hosted PSG at Roazhon Park was in March 2025, where they fell 4-1 to the Parisian giants. Rennes will be eager to turn the tide on home soil, but PSG’s recent form suggests a tough challenge ahead.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Paris Saint-Germain	Rennes	5 – 0	Ligue 1	2025-12-06
Rennes	Paris Saint-Germain	1 – 4	Ligue 1	2025-03-08
Paris Saint-Germain	Rennes	3 – 1	Ligue 1	2024-09-27
Paris Saint-Germain	Rennes	1 – 0	Coupe de France	2024-04-03
Paris Saint-Germain	Rennes	1 – 1	Ligue 1	2024-02-25