AC Milan vs. Roma Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 2 November 2025

AC Milan will host Roma at San Siro on the evening of November 2, in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash. Milan, sitting fourth in the table with 18 points, aims to close the gap on their opponents who are second with 21 points. Despite injuries to key players like Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leão, Milan’s home form has been solid.

Roma, managed by Gian Piero Gasperini, boasts a strong away scoring record, having found the net in 100% of their matches on the road this season. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams known for their strategic approach.

With light rain forecasted, the match’s tempo shouldn’t be heavily impacted. Given Milan’s home advantage and Roma’s recent vulnerabilities, our recommended bet is a draw, reflecting both teams’ cautious approach and recent form.

Referee Marco Guida will oversee the match, adding to the evening’s drama at one of Italy’s most iconic venues.

AC Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip

AC Milan vs Roma Prediction
Betting tip
Draw

• Both teams are known for a cautious approach, focusing heavily on defense and possession.
• Recent encounters between these sides have often ended in draws, showcasing their evenly matched capabilities.
• AC Milan’s recent performance includes several drawn matches, highlighting their current struggle to secure definitive wins despite their strengths.

Given AC Milan’s home advantage and the tactical depth on both sides, a draw reflects the balanced nature of this encounter, making this betting tip a sensible choice. Additionally, considering both teams’ recent performances and similar form, betting on a draw provides good odds and reflects the likelihood of an evenly matched contest.

AC Milan vs Roma Odds

For the upcoming Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, the betting odds show a slightly more favorable chance for a home win. Let’s break it down:

AC Milan vs Roma Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
AC Milan	2.16
Draw	3.12
Roma	3.63

Given these odds, AC Milan is seen as the bookmaker’s favorite, primarily due to their home advantage and their robust home performance this season. Roma’s odds suggest a tougher contest for the away side, but given their strong scoring record on the road, they can’t be discounted.

The odds for a draw at 3.12 reflect the balanced nature of both teams and the recent tendency for matches between these sides to end evenly. Breaking down these odds can help you decide on the most sensible bet, particularly focusing on the draw as a potential outcome given the parity between AC Milan and Roma.

AC Milan Team Analysis

AC Milan Recent Performance

In their last five outings, AC Milan have showcased a mixed bag of performances with 2 wins and 3 draws. Here’s a closer look at their recent results:

• Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan (28 October 2025)
• AC Milan 2-2 Pisa (24 October 2025)
• AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina (19 October 2025)
• Juventus 0-0 AC Milan (5 October 2025)
• AC Milan 2-1 SSC Napoli (28 September 2025)

Despite their relatively solid form, Milan have had issues closing out matches, as seen in their draws against Atalanta and Pisa. They have managed to score 1.40 goals on average over their last five games but have only kept one clean sheet, indicating some defensive frailties.

Their offense has been somewhat weakened with top scorer Christian Pulisic sidelined due to a hamstring injury, while Rafael Leão is also out. These absences might affect their goal-scoring capabilities in the upcoming match against Roma. Nonetheless, coach Massimiliano Allegri’s tactical acumen will be crucial in navigating these challenges.

AC Milan Key Players

As AC Milan prepare to face Roma, they will be looking to key players to step up in the absence of injured stars like Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leão. Despite these setbacks, Milan boasts several influential players who can make a difference.

Top scorer Pulisic’s absence, with his four goals, will certainly be felt. However, Milan can rely on experienced midfield maestro Luka Modric to dictate the game’s tempo and provide crucial passes. Additionally, goalkeeper Mike Maignan is essential for keeping Roma’s attack at bay.

Key individual battles include Milan’s attackers against Roma’s robust defense, with players like Christopher Nkunku expected to lead the offensive charge. Youngster Samuele Ricci’s dynamic midfield play will also be important.

Expected lineup for AC Milan:

• Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
• Defenders: Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic
• Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Pervis Estupinan
• Attackers: Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leão

These players will be crucial as Milan aim to secure a favorable result against a strong Roma side.

AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries

AC Milan heads into this critical match against Roma dealing with some significant injury concerns that could impact their performance. Key players Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leão are both sidelined. Pulisic, who leads the team with four goals, is out due to a hamstring injury, potentially returning in mid-November. Likewise, Leão’s absence due to an unspecified injury leaves a significant hole in Milan’s attacking prowess.

Defensively, Fikayo Tomori’s knee injury raises doubts about his availability, putting added pressure on the backline. Additionally, striker Santiago Gimenez, who has been struggling with an ankle injury, is also doubtful for this clash.

These absences may force head coach Massimiliano Allegri to innovate his strategy and rely on other key players to step up. The injuries could significantly affect Milan’s chances of taking all three points, especially against a strong opponent like Roma.

AC Milan Tactics and Formation

In their upcoming match against Roma, AC Milan will need to adapt strategically due to key player absences and recent performance variances. Head coach Massimiliano Allegri will likely set up his team in a fluid formation to maximize both defensive solidity and offensive creativity.

AC Milan Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forwards: Christopher Nkunku and Rafael Leão (if fit)
• Midfield Dynamics: Featuring experienced Luka Modric as the central pivot alongside Youssouf Fofana and Samuele Ricci.
• Defensive Setup: With Mike Maignan in goal and a back three of Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, and Strahinja Pavlovic.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis will be on ball control and swift counter-attacks, exploiting the flanks provided by Alexis Saelemaekers and Pervis Estupinan.

Given Roma’s strong scoring record away from home, Milan will need a balanced approach to curb their opponents’ offensive threats while seizing their own opportunities effectively.

Roma Team Analysis

Roma Recent Performance

Roma has displayed a varied performance in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 losses. Here’s a closer look at their recent results:

• Roma 2-1 Parma Calcio 1913 (29 October 2025)
• Sassuolo 0-1 Roma (26 October 2025)
• Roma 1-2 Viktoria Plzen (23 October 2025, Europa League)
• Roma 0-1 Inter (18 October 2025)
• Fiorentina 1-2 Roma (5 October 2025)

While Roma has shown strong capabilities, winning three out of their last five games, they have also suffered two crucial defeats, including a Europa League loss to Viktoria Plzen. They have managed to score an average of 1.20 goals in these outings but have only kept one clean sheet, which indicates some vulnerabilities in defense.

Considering their away performance, Roma has been consistently scoring in all their away games this season. This offensive consistency will be key as they look to hand AC Milan a challenge at San Siro.

Roma Key Players

As Roma prepare to face AC Milan, they’ll rely heavily on a few standout players to lead the charge. Top scorer Matias Soulé, with his three goals, will be central to their offensive efforts. Midfield dynamo Bryan Cristante, known for his ball distribution and control, will also be crucial in the central areas.

Roma’s backline, anchored by Gianluca Mancini, will have to deal with the attacking threats posed by Milan. Goalkeeper Mile Svilar’s performance will be vital in keeping Milan’s attackers at bay.

Expected lineup for Roma:

• Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
• Defenders: Mario Hermoso, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
• Midfielders: Zeki Celik, Bryan Cristante, Manu Kone, Wesley
• Attackers: Matias Soulé, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Paulo Dybala

These players’ performances and their key roles will significantly influence Roma’s chances of securing a favorable result at San Siro.

Roma Suspensions & Injuries

Roma heads into their match against AC Milan with a few notable injury concerns. Key player Edoardo Bove remains out indefinitely due to heart problems, while Angelino is sidelined with a virus but is expected to return by mid-November. Additionally, Evan Ferguson, a significant attacking threat, is also out with a thigh injury and aims to return around the same time.

These absences, especially Ferguson’s, could affect Roma’s attacking options and overall depth. Coach Gian Piero Gasperini will need to adjust his tactics to cover these gaps, relying on the depth and versatility within the squad to maintain their strong away form and pose a challenge to AC Milan.

Roma Tactics and Formation

Roma, under coach Gian Piero Gasperini, will deploy a strategic setup to counter AC Milan’s strengths while maximizing their own offensive and defensive capabilities.

Roma Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Paulo Dybala, who will spearhead their attack.
• Midfield Dynamics: With Bryan Cristante and Manu Kone providing stability and control in central midfield, and Matias Soulé alongside Lorenzo Pellegrini adding creativity.
• Defensive Strength: The back trio of Mario Hermoso, Gianluca Mancini, and Evan N’Dicka look to maintain a solid defense, though they only have one clean sheet in their last five matches.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on maintaining possession and exploiting spaces created by their advanced midfielders, especially on counter-attacks.

Roma’s ability to score in every away match this season will be pivotal. This setup allows them to be versatile and resilient, aiming to exploit any weaknesses in Milan’s injury-hit squad.

AC Milan vs Roma Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five meetings between AC Milan and Roma reveals a history of closely contested matches, making this upcoming clash even more intriguing.

1. Roma 3-1 AC Milan (18 May 2025) – Serie A
2. AC Milan 3-1 Roma (5 February 2025) – Coppa Italia
3. AC Milan 1-1 Roma (29 December 2024) – Serie A
4. Roma 2-1 AC Milan (18 April 2024) – Europa League Final Stage
5. AC Milan 0-1 Roma (11 April 2024) – Europa League Final Stage

In these encounters, each team has secured significant victories, showcasing their competitive spirit. Milan achieved a comprehensive 3-1 win in the Coppa Italia, while Roma clinched critical victories in the Europa League. Overall, recent history indicates a tightly matched rivalry, setting the stage for another hard-fought battle at San Siro.

As odds estão corretas em 31.10.2025 às 18:46, e estão sujeitas a alterações. Por favor, verifique sempre as odds antes de fazer as suas apostas com qualquer casa de apostas.