Arouca vs. Moreirense Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 November 2025

As we gear up for this Liga Portugal clash, Arouca and Moreirense are set for an intriguing showdown at Municipal de Arouca. This match holds significant weight in shaping the mid-table dynamics, with Arouca currently positioned 13th on 9 points, while Moreirense sit 6th with 15 points.

Arouca have been struggling defensively, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game in their last 9 matches and failing to secure a clean sheet in the last 12 games. Their backline instability makes it an uphill battle for coach Vasco Seabra. Meanwhile, Moreirense, despite a string of inconsistent performances, have shown hints of resilience, particularly through top scorer Guilherme Schettine, who has netted 5 times this season.

Pedro Ramalho will be officiating this match, which could see a tightly contested bout given the similar average goals scored by both teams. Recent history also favours Moreirense, who clinched a 1-0 win in their last visit to Arouca.

Weather conditions are looking favorable, and we recommend placing a bet on Moreirense’s victory, considering Arouca’s defensive struggles and Moreirense’s edge in recent head-to-head encounters.

Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tip

Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction
Betting tip
Moreirense to win

Moreirense to win is a sensible bet for this upcoming Liga Portugal clash for several reasons:

• Arouca has a troubling -14 goal difference and has conceded 24 goals in 9 matches, showcasing defensive issues.
• Moreirense have shown they can perform away, including a 1-0 win at this venue last year.
• Arouca have failed to secure a clean sheet in their last 12 matches, indicating persistent defensive instability.

While both teams have had their fair share of challenges, Moreirense’s superior shot creation and Arouca’s defensive vulnerabilities make Moreirense the favourites here.

Arouca vs Moreirense Odds

In this intriguing Liga Portugal fixture, the betting odds are quite balanced, reflecting the unpredictable nature of the contest. Arouca is the bookmaker’s slight favourite, but Moreirense’s solid away performances cannot be overlooked.

Arouca vs Moreirense Betting Odds
Bet
Arouca
Draw
Moreirense

Although Arouca have struggled defensively this season, conceding 24 goals and having no clean sheets in their last 12 matches, their home-field advantage slightly biases the odds in their favour. Conversely, Moreirense’s odds reflect their ability to exploit Arouca’s weaknesses, particularly after winning 1-0 in their previous visit to this venue.

The odds hint at a tightly contested match. Given the defensive lapses of Arouca, the odds for a Moreirense win (2.73) seem particularly appealing.

Arouca Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Arouca’s recent form has been a mixed bag with a record of WLDWL in their last 5 matches. They claimed victories against Portimonense and Nacional but suffered heavy defeats to Benfica (0-5) and FC Porto (0-4). Arouca also managed to snag a draw against Famalicão.

Recent Form: WLDWL

Despite these sporadic upturns, Arouca have averaged just 1.00 goal per game in their last 5 outings and have notably struggled defensively, failing to keep a single clean sheet. They’ve also conceded 24 goals in their first 9 matches this season, underscoring their defensive frailties. Their goal difference of -14 reflects these struggles critically.

As they prepare to face Moreirense, coach Vasco Seabra will need to address these defensive issues if they are to turn their season around. Arouca will glimpse some hope from their attacking outlets, where midfielder Alfonso Trezza has been a bright spot with 4 goals.

Arouca Key Players

Arouca will heavily rely on their key players to make an impact in this critical fixture against Moreirense. Midfielder Alfonso Trezza stands out as a crucial figure, having netted 4 goals this season, making him the team’s top scorer. His ability to create opportunities and convert them will be vital for Arouca’s chances.

In defense, the lineup is expected to feature Tiago Esgaio and Omar Fayed, who will have the tough task of containing Moreirense’s attacking threats, particularly Guilherme Schettine.

Expected lineup for Arouca:

• Goalkeeper: Joao Valido
• Defenders: Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontan, Omar Fayed, Arnau Sola
• Midfielders: Espen van Ee, David Simão, Pablo Gozálbez, Alfonso Trezza, Miguel Puche García
• Forward: Ivan Barbero

The battle between Trezza and Moreirense’s defenders could be a deciding factor, as will the ability of Arouca’s backline to withstand pressure.

Arouca Suspensions & Injuries

Arouca heads into this clash with a key injury concern. Mateo Flores, who is nursing a knee injury, remains a doubtful return for this fixture, which could impact their midfield depth and overall dynamics.

Without any suspensions, Arouca will at least have the benefit of a largely available squad, but the potential absence of Flores could be significant. His presence or absence may influence not only the starting lineup but also the available options on the bench, making coach Vasco Seabra’s tactical decisions even more crucial.

The absence of Mateo Flores, should he not recover in time, might push responsibilities onto the likes of David Simão and Espen van Ee, who will need to step up their game in midfield to stabilize the team’s defensive frailties and support their attacking initiatives.

Arouca Tactics and Formation

Arouca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Alfonso Trezza
• Midfield Trio: Espen van Ee, David Simão, Pablo Gozálbez
• Defensive Weakness: No clean sheets in recent 12 matches
• Notable Strategy: Focus on exploiting wide areas to create scoring chances

For this encounter against Moreirense, Arouca are likely to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation. Alfonso Trezza, who has scored 4 goals so far, will be pivotal in linking midfield to attack. The defensive duo of Espen van Ee and David Simão in midfield will be tasked with shielding the backline and initiating transitions.

Given their defensive struggles, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game over the last 9 matches, Arouca must tighten up at the back. Their lack of clean sheets and a concerning goal difference of -14 suggests that defensive cohesion remains their Achilles’ heel. This match strategy might involve pushing their full-backs higher up to stretch Moreirense, while maintaining a solid cohesive midfield.

Moreirense Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Moreirense’s recent form has been challenging, marked by a record of LWLLL in their last 5 matches. They managed a 2-1 victory against Casa Pia AC but have otherwise faced defeats to FC Porto (1-2), AD Fafe (0-1), Nacional (2-3), and Sporting CP (0-3).

Recent Form: LWLLL

Despite these struggles, Moreirense have maintained an average of 1.00 goal per game in their last 5 fixtures and, like Arouca, have been unable to secure a clean sheet. The team’s defensive vulnerabilities are evident, yet their ability to score goals, particularly through their top scorer Guilherme Schettine who has delivered 5 goals this season, remains a positive factor.

Coach Vasco Botelho da Costa will need to address these defensive issues and rally his team to capitalize on Arouca’s defensive lapses if they are to secure an away victory.

Moreirense Key Players

Moreirense’s key players could be decisive in their visit to Municipal de Arouca. Their top scorer, Guilherme Schettine, has netted 5 goals this season and will be a primary threat to Arouca’s shaky defense. His ability to find the back of the net consistently is critical for Moreirense, who have struggled with form recently.

In the midfield, Mateja Stjepanovic and Bernardo Martins will be tasked with controlling the game’s tempo and creating opportunities. Defensive stability will rest on pairing Marcelo and Maracas, who need to fortify the backline against Arouca’s Alfonso Trezza.

Expected lineup for Moreirense:

• Goalkeeper: André Ferreira
• Defenders: Dinis Rodrigues, Marcelo, Maracas, Kiko
• Midfielders: Benny, Mateja Stjepanovic, Alan
• Forwards: Cedric Teguia, Yan Maranhao, Diogo Travassos

The battle between Schettine and Arouca’s defense will be particularly intriguing and could determine the match’s outcome.

Moreirense Suspensions & Injuries

Moreirense approach this match with one notable injury concern: Lawrence Ofori, who is dealing with an ankle injury, remains doubtful for the fixture. His absence could impact Moreirense’s midfield dynamics, limiting their options and potentially affecting their creative play and defensive solidity.

However, the team has no suspensions, which means coach Vasco Botelho da Costa will have a fairly complete squad to select from.

If Ofori remains sidelined, Mateja Stjepanovic and Bernardo Martins may need to assume greater responsibilities in the midfield to compensate for the loss. Their performance could be pivotal in controlling the tempo and aiding both defense and attack.

Moreirense Tactics and Formation

Moreirense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Guilherme Schettine
• Midfield Trio: Benny, Mateja Stjepanovic, Alan
• Defensive Weakness: No clean sheets in recent 5 matches

Moreirense will likely employ a 4-3-3 formation for their visit to Municipal de Arouca. The team’s efforts will be focused on exploiting Arouca’s defensive frailties, with Guilherme Schettine spearheading the attack. In midfield, Mateja Stjepanovic and Benny will play pivotal roles both in controlling the game’s rhythm and assisting in transitions from defense to attack.

Given their recent defensive struggles, coach Vasco Botelho da Costa might focus on maintaining a high pressing line to disrupt Arouca’s buildup play. Despite the absence of Lawrence Ofori, a strong midfield press can limit Arouca’s opportunities to advance the ball, thereby providing better cover for the backline.

Arouca vs Moreirense Head-to-Head Statistics

Arouca and Moreirense have faced each other several times in recent seasons, with Moreirense holding a slight edge in these encounters. Over the last five meetings, Moreirense have won three times, while Arouca managed to secure two victories.

Last 5 Meetings:

• Arouca 1-0 Moreirense – 24 Jan 2025, Liga Portugal
• Moreirense 3-1 Arouca – 18 Aug 2024, Liga Portugal
• Moreirense 1-0 Arouca – 17 Mar 2024, Liga Portugal
• Arouca 0-1 Moreirense – 27 Oct 2023, Liga Portugal
• Moreirense 1-2 Arouca – 22 Dec 2022, League Cup Final Stage

This string of results indicates Moreirense’s capability to perform well against Arouca, especially at home. However, their last encounter saw Arouca scrape a narrow 1-0 victory, showcasing the unpredictability of these contests.

Given the historical context, we can expect another closely contested match. While Arouca will look to replicate their recent success, Moreirense’s past performances suggest they are well-positioned to challenge for another win.

Odds accurate as of 31/10/2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.