Estoril vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction & Match Preview – 24 January

Estoril vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction & Match Preview: On Saturday, 24 January, Liga Portugal presents an intriguing clash between Estoril and Vitória de Guimarães at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Both teams will be eager to make an impact in this mid-season encounter, with Estoril aiming to capitalise on their home advantage.

This fixture at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota is set to be pivotal, as both Estoril and Vitória de Guimarães look to climb the Liga Portugal standings. Estoril will hope to make the most of their familiarity with home turf, while Vitória de Guimarães seek vital away points. Expect a tightly contested battle that reflects the league’s competitive nature.

Estoril vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes	1.8

This Primeira Liga clash between Estoril and Vitória de Guimarães is expected to be a high-scoring affair. Both sides have shown a tendency to both score and concede, with recent encounters and current form indicating that goals at both ends are highly likely. Our recommended betting tip is to back both teams to score.

• Estoril have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game this season, highlighting defensive issues.
• Vitória de Guimarães have scored five goals in their opening games, showcasing their attacking prowess.
• Both teams found the net in two of their last three head-to-head matches, reinforcing the likelihood of a repeat.

Given their attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities, this match promises plenty of goalmouth action.

Betting Odds

As we approach the clash between Estoril and Vitória de Guimarães, the betting odds indicate a closely fought contest. Estoril are slight favourites at odds of 2.46, with Vitória de Guimarães not far behind at 2.82. The draw is available at 3.19, suggesting the bookmakers expect a tight encounter.

Betting Tip	Odds
Back Estoril	2.46
Back the Draw	3.19
Back Vitória de Guimarães	2.82

With both teams showing competitive form, punters may find value in the over 2.5 goals market, given the attacking talent on display. Keep an eye on the odds for both teams to score, as this could prove to be a lively fixture.

Estoril Analysis & Recent Performance

Estoril have shown mixed form recently, recording three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was an emphatic 5-0 victory over Estrela da Amadora, underlining their attacking potential.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
Estrela da Amadora	Estoril	0 – 5 (Win)	Primeira Liga	19 Jan, 2026
Benfica	Estoril	3 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	3 Jan, 2026
Estoril	Alverca	4 – 1 (Win)	Primeira Liga	27 Dec, 2025
Estoril	Braga	1 – 0 (Win)	Primeira Liga	19 Dec, 2025
Famalicão	Estoril	4 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	14 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:
In terms of scoring, Estoril average 2.20 goals per match over their last five games, demonstrating a potent attack led by top scorer Yanis Begraoui, who has netted 11 goals this season. However, they have also conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game, revealing defensive frailties that opponents could exploit.

Their home record is relatively strong, with three wins from their last five matches at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, translating to a 60% win rate. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets in this period, but conceding at a rate of 1.60 goals per game suggests there is room for improvement.

Overall, Estoril sit 9th in the Liga Portugal standings with 23 points, highlighting a need for greater consistency if they are to climb higher. Their ability to score, as well as their tendency to concede, will be key factors in their upcoming fixture against Vitória de Guimarães.

• WLWWL

Estoril Suspensions & Injuries

Estoril are facing a difficult situation with two key players, Xeka and Or Israelov, both nursing injuries ahead of their match against Vitória de Guimarães. Xeka’s ligament injury and Israelov’s thigh problem, both listed as doubtful, could significantly impact Estoril’s midfield. Xeka, in particular, is a crucial part of their midfield engine, and his absence may force Ian Cathro to rethink his approach, possibly opting for a more conservative setup.

With Israelov also sidelined, Estoril’s midfield depth is being tested. Potential replacements such as Rafik Guitane and Jordan Holsgrove, who featured in the last line-up, will need to step up. While they offer energy and creativity, the absence of Xeka’s experience could affect Estoril’s ability to control the game’s tempo.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Xeka	Ligament injury	Doubtful
Or Israelov	Thigh injury	Doubtful

Estoril may consider adjusting their formation to accommodate these absences, potentially focusing on a more robust defensive setup to compensate for the gaps in midfield. This defensive solidity could be crucial in stifling Vitória de Guimarães’ attacking threats. These tactical adjustments will certainly influence betting markets, possibly increasing the odds for a low-scoring match.

With no suspensions affecting the squad, Estoril can still field a competitive side, albeit one that may need to rely on defensive resilience and counter-attacking opportunities. The adaptability of coach Ian Cathro will be vital in overcoming these injury challenges and maintaining their form in Liga Portugal.

Estoril Key Players

Yanis Begraoui stands out as Estoril’s top scorer with 11 goals, underlining his importance to the team’s attack. His ability to find space and finish chances makes him a constant threat to the Vitória de Guimarães defence. Begraoui’s partnership with Alejandro Marqués, who brings physicality and aerial strength, forms a formidable attacking duo.

In midfield, Jordan Holsgrove and Jandro Orellana are likely to orchestrate play, with Holsgrove providing defensive stability and Orellana offering creativity. Their ability to control the tempo and distribute the ball will be crucial in transitioning from defence to attack. At the back, Pedro Amaral is expected to marshal the defence, with his experience and composure vital for maintaining solidity.

Expected line-up for Estoril:

• Goalkeeper: Joel Robles
• Defenders: Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Pedro Amaral
• Midfielders: Ricard Sánchez, Jordan Holsgrove, Jandro Orellana, João Carvalho
• Forwards: Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués, Yanis Begraoui

Estoril Tactics & Formation

Estoril Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Yanis Begraoui
• Midfield Engine: Rafik Guitane and Jordan Holsgrove
• Defensive Challenge: Two clean sheets in last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession-based play and exploiting wide areas.

Estoril’s preferred 4-4-2 formation is designed to maintain balance across the pitch. With Rafik Guitane and Jordan Holsgrove in midfield, the team aims to control possession, while João Carvalho and Jandro Orellana add creativity and defensive support.

Defensively, Estoril rely on a backline of Ricard Sánchez, Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, and Pedro Amaral. This setup has produced two clean sheets in their last five outings, indicating some defensive resilience despite occasional lapses.

Going forward, Estoril focus on the pace and finishing ability of Yanis Begraoui, their top scorer, alongside Alejandro Marqués. The wingers are key in stretching the opposition defence, creating space for central players to exploit.

Vitória de Guimarães Analysis & Recent Performance

Vitória de Guimarães have demonstrated solid form of late, recording three wins and a draw in their last five matches. This run includes notable victories over Braga (2-1) and Sporting CP (2-1) in the League Cup, highlighting their ability to compete with strong opposition.

Home Side	Away Side	Outcome	Competition	Date
Vitória de Guimarães	FC Porto	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	18 Jan 2026
Vitória de Guimarães	Braga	2 – 1 (Win)	League Cup	10 Jan 2026
Sporting CP	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 2 (Win)	League Cup	6 Jan 2026
Vitória de Guimarães	Nacional	2 – 1 (Win)	Primeira Liga	2 Jan 2026
Casa Pia AC	Vitória de Guimarães	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	28 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

• LWWWD

Over their last five matches, Vitória de Guimarães have averaged 1.20 goals per game, scoring a total of six. They have kept one clean sheet, indicating room for defensive improvement as they have conceded four goals. The team has shown resilience away from home, remaining unbeaten in their last five away matches with an 80% win rate, suggesting a strong dynamic on their travels.

Vitória de Guimarães Suspensions & Injuries

Vitória de Guimarães are dealing with several key absences due to suspension. Nélson Oliveira is out following a red card, a significant blow given his influence in attack. Telmo Arcanjo and Beni Mukendi are also suspended for this match. These absences will likely force coach Luís Pinto to reshuffle his tactics, which could affect the team’s balance both offensively and defensively.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Nélson Oliveira	Red card	1	Unknown
Telmo Arcanjo	Double yellow card	1	Unknown
Beni Mukendi	Accumulated yellows	1	Unknown

On the injury front, José Guilherme Ribeiro is sidelined with a long-term cruciate ligament injury until late August 2026, while Óscar Rivas is a doubt with a muscle problem. Ribeiro’s long-term absence is a major setback, and the uncertainty over Rivas’s recovery could impact their midfield options and overall squad depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
José Guilherme Ribeiro	Cruciate ligament injury	Late August 2026
Óscar Rivas	Muscle injury	Doubtful

To compensate for these absences, tactical adjustments are likely from Vitória de Guimarães. Players such as Gonçalo Nogueira and Oumar Camara may be called upon to fill the gaps. These enforced changes could influence betting markets, with odds potentially shifting to reflect the team’s weakened state and tactical uncertainty.

Vitória de Guimarães Key Players

Vitória de Guimarães will rely heavily on the defensive partnership of Miguel Nóbrega and Rodrigo Abascal to maintain their backline’s solidity. Nóbrega’s reading of the game and Abascal’s physical presence make them a formidable pair. In midfield, Samu is expected to be the main playmaker, orchestrating the tempo and linking defence to attack. His vision and passing are vital for unlocking Estoril’s defence. Up front, the attacking trio of Oumar Camara, Noah Saviolo, and Alioune Ndoye will be tasked with providing the goals, using their pace and agility to stretch the opposition.

The tactical synergy between these key players could prove decisive, with their strengths in defence and creativity in midfield being crucial.

Expected line-up for Vitória de Guimarães:

• Goalkeeper: Juan Castillo
• Defence: Tony Strata, Miguel Nóbrega, Rodrigo Abascal, Orest Lebedenko
• Midfield: Fábio Blanco, Gonçalo Nogueira, Samu
• Forward: Oumar Camara, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye

Vitória de Guimarães Tactics & Formation

Vitória de Guimarães Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Alioune Ndoye
• Midfield Engine: Beni and Gonçalo Nogueira
• Defensive Record: 2 clean sheets in last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on balanced possession and structured defence.

Vitória de Guimarães typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, providing a solid defensive base with flexibility going forward. The midfield pairing of Beni and Gonçalo Nogueira is pivotal, offering defensive cover and facilitating ball progression. Their ability to retain possession was evident in their recent match against FC Porto, where they recorded 50% possession despite a 0-1 defeat.

At the back, Rodrigo Abascal and Orest Lebedenko anchor the defence, having achieved two clean sheets in their last five matches. Full-backs Tony Strata and Miguel Nóbrega play key roles in supporting transitions from defence to attack.

In attack, Alioune Ndoye leads the line, supported by the creative influence of Noah Saviolo and Samu in wide areas. Vitória de Guimarães often look to exploit spaces left by opponents during transitions, though their recent struggles in front of goal are highlighted by scoring in only three of their last five games.

Estoril vs Vitória de Guimarães H2H Record

The head-to-head record between Estoril and Vitória de Guimarães is heavily in favour of Guimarães, who have won 16 of the 26 meetings. Estoril have managed just five wins, with the remaining five matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter saw Vitória de Guimarães secure a 3-2 home victory in Liga Portugal.

When Estoril last hosted this fixture, they managed a narrow 1-0 win, a rare highlight in their otherwise challenging H2H record against Guimarães. Historically, Estoril have struggled, especially at home, where Guimarães have often found success.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Vitória de Guimarães	Estoril	3 – 2	Primeira Liga	2025-08-16
Estoril	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 0	Primeira Liga	2025-01-26
Vitória de Guimarães	Estoril	1 – 0	Primeira Liga	2024-08-18
Estoril	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 3	Primeira Liga	2024-03-02
Vitória de Guimarães	Estoril	3 – 2	Primeira Liga	2023-10-01