Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, January 17th

In Liga Portugal, Alverca will take on Moreirense on Saturday, January 17th. The match will be held at the Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca, promising an intriguing contest between these two Portuguese teams. Alverca, playing at home, will hope to use their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Moreirense.

Moreirense, meanwhile, will be looking to assert their strength and continue their Liga Portugal campaign with a strong away performance. Both teams will be eager to secure points, making this clash significant in the context of their league standings. The outcome could have important implications for their positions in the table.

Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Moreirense Double Chance (Win or Draw)	1.45

Considering the match dynamics and recent performances, our recommended betting tip is Moreirense on the double chance market. This option provides security if the game ends in a draw, while also allowing us to benefit from a potential away win, given Moreirense’s current form and head-to-head advantage.

• Moreirense have the psychological edge, having won their last encounter against Alverca 2-1.
• Alverca are weakened by key injuries to several players, significantly affecting their attacking and midfield strength.
• Moreirense’s recent form, including a solid 1-0 win over Tondela, suggests they are well-organised defensively and tactically cohesive.

Betting Odds

In this Liga Portugal fixture, Alverca are slight favourites with odds of 2.61, but Moreirense are close behind at 2.86. The draw is also a tempting option at 2.95, reflecting how evenly matched these teams are.

Betting Tip	Odds
Alverca to win	2.61
Draw	2.95
Moreirense to win	2.86

For those considering a wager, the odds indicate a tightly contested game. With both sides showing potential, markets such as both teams to score could offer interesting opportunities.

Alverca Analysis & Past Performance

Alverca’s recent form in Liga Portugal has been inconsistent, with two wins and three defeats in their last five matches. Their recent 1-0 home victory over Famalicao highlights their ability to secure crucial points, but three preceding losses to Estoril, FC Porto, and Arouca underline their struggles with consistency.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alverca	Famalicao	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	4 Jan 2026
Estoril	Alverca	4 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	27 Dec 2025
Alverca	FC Porto	0 – 3 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	22 Dec 2025
Arouca	Alverca	1 – 0 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	14 Dec 2025
Alverca	Nacional	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	7 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Alverca have averaged 0.60 goals per match over their last five games, indicating difficulties in converting chances. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game, keeping clean sheets in two matches. This suggests a defensive unit capable under pressure but lacking consistency. Their current position is 11th in the league with 20 points, which reflects a lower mid-table standing that may not meet the club’s ambitions.

Home Performance:

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At home, Alverca have performed slightly better, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five home fixtures. Their home win ratio stands at 0.40, showing a competitive edge at the Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. They have also maintained a clean sheet streak at home, which could be crucial in their upcoming matches.

Alverca Suspensions & Injuries

Alverca are facing a difficult situation with several key players listed as doubtful due to injuries. Notably, Léo Chú and Stéphane Diarra, both vital to the team’s attacking options, are struggling with unspecified and muscle injuries, respectively. Tomás Mendes and André Paulo are also doubtful, which could significantly impact Alverca’s tactical approach, especially in maintaining defensive solidity and attacking fluidity.

The absence of Léo Chú and Stéphane Diarra may force coach Custódio to turn to alternative options, possibly promoting players from the bench who have not been regular starters. This could result in a reshuffle in the attacking line, with greater emphasis on midfield creativity to compensate for the missing attacking threat.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Léo Chú	Unknown	Doubtful
Stéphane Diarra	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Tomás Mendes	Muscle injury	Doubtful
André Paulo	Unknown	Doubtful

Given these injuries, Alverca may adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive stability and seeking opportunities on the counter-attack. The lack of key players could also influence betting odds, as Alverca’s depth and adaptability will be tested against Moreirense, who will look to exploit any weaknesses.

Alverca Key Players

Alverca will depend heavily on their top scorer, Marko Milovanović, who has scored five goals this season. Milovanović’s clinical finishing and intelligent positioning make him a constant threat in the penalty area. His presence up front will be crucial in breaking down Moreirense’s defensive lines.

In midfield, Nabil Touaizi will play a pivotal role with his creativity and ability to transition play from defence to attack. Alongside him, Sabit Abdulai provides defensive solidity, while Alexsandro Amorim’s versatility is vital for maintaining balance in the middle of the park. The defence, led by Sergi Gómez, will be responsible for providing the necessary cover and stability at the back. Gómez’s leadership and experience are key in organising the defence against Moreirense’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Alverca

• Goalkeeper: André Gomes
• Defenders: Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gómez, Bastien Meupiyou
• Midfielders: Nabil Touaizi, Sabit Abdulai, Alexsandro Amorim, Francisco Chissumba
• Forwards: Lincoln, Sandro Lima, Cédric Nuozzi

Alverca Tactics and Formation

Alverca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Lincoln
• Midfield Presence: Sabit Abdulai and Amorim
• Defensive Concerns: Recent defensive lapses with two clean sheets in five games.
• Notable Strategy: Compact defence with quick counterattacks.

Alverca, under coach Custódio, typically set up in a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on a structured defensive shape and rapid transitions. The midfield trio, including Sabit Abdulai and Amorim, play a crucial role in breaking up opposition play and starting counterattacks.

In attack, Lincoln leads the line, supported by wingers Sandro Lima and Cédric Nuozzi. Their pace and movement are essential for breaking down defences, although the team has averaged only 0.60 goals per game in recent matches.

Defensively, the partnership of Kaiky Naves and Bastien Meupiyou is central to their approach, yet the team has struggled, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game. The absence of key players such as Léo Chú and Stéphane Diarra due to injury may require tactical adjustments to strengthen their defence.

Moreirense Analysis & Past Performance

Moreirense’s recent form in Liga Portugal has been reasonably solid, with a mix of results in their last five matches. They have achieved two wins, including a recent 1-0 victory over Tondela and a 2-0 away win against AVS Futebol SAD, alongside two draws and a single defeat to Benfica (0-4). This gives them a win ratio of 40% in their last five games.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Moreirense	Tondela	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	11 Jan 2026
AVS Futebol SAD	Moreirense	0 – 2 (Win)	Liga Portugal	3 Jan 2026
Estrela da Amadora	Moreirense	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	20 Dec 2025
Moreirense	Benfica	0 – 4 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	14 Dec 2025
Estoril	Moreirense	3 – 3 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	7 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
Moreirense have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures, while conceding an average of 1.40 goals. Despite a modest scoring rate, they have shown defensive resilience, keeping three clean sheets in these matches. Their ability to prevent opponents from scoring is reflected in a clean sheet ratio of 60% during this period.

Their away performance mirrors their overall form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five away matches. Their away win ratio is 40%, indicating a balanced approach on the road. Currently sixth in the league with 27 points, Moreirense’s defensive solidity and ability to capitalise on chances make them a tough opponent.

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Moreirense Suspensions & Injuries

Moreirense must cope without Lawrence Ofori, who is sidelined with an ankle injury and remains doubtful for the upcoming match against Alverca. His absence in midfield could disrupt Moreirense’s rhythm, as Ofori’s ability to control the tempo and link defence with attack has been crucial. This may force coach Vasco Botelho da Costa to turn to Afonso Assis or Rodri to fill the gap.

Additionally, Vasco Sousa is a long-term absentee due to a broken leg, with an expected return in mid-May 2026. While Sousa’s absence is ongoing, it still impacts the squad’s depth, especially in midfield where options are now more limited.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Lawrence Ofori	Ankle injury	Doubtful
Vasco Sousa	Broken leg	Mid May 2026

Tactically, Moreirense may adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on maintaining a solid defensive structure to compensate for the weakened midfield. The reliance on players like Alan and Kiko Bondoso to provide creativity in the absence of their injured teammates will be crucial. These injuries may affect betting markets, as Moreirense’s ability to dominate midfield battles is reduced, possibly impacting their chances of victory.

Moreirense Key Players

Guilherme Schettine stands out as Moreirense’s top scorer, having netted nine goals this season. His consistent ability to find the net makes him a pivotal figure in attack. Schettine’s positioning and finishing will be vital as Moreirense look to break down Alverca’s defence. His partnership with fellow forwards Cédric Teguia and Luís Semedo adds dynamism to the front line, providing multiple attacking threats.

In midfield, Alanzinho plays a crucial role as playmaker, orchestrating the flow of the game and linking defence with attack. His vision and passing can unlock stubborn defences. Defensively, Maracás leads the back line, offering leadership and physicality essential for maintaining a solid structure against Alverca’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Moreirense:

• Goalkeeper: Caio Gobbo Secco
• Defenders: Diogo Martins Travassos, Maracás, Michel, Álvaro Martínez
• Midfielders: Rodrigo Alonso, Afonso Assis, Alanzinho
• Forwards: Cédric Teguia, Luís Semedo, Kiko Bondoso

Moreirense Tactics and Formation

Moreirense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Luís Semedo
• Midfield Engine: Rodri and Afonso Assis
• Defensive Solidity: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on possession and structured build-up play.

Moreirense are likely to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, providing a balanced approach that combines defensive stability with attacking potential. The midfield trio, led by Rodri and supported by Afonso Assis and Alan, allows them to control the centre of the park, enabling structured build-up and ball retention.

Defensively, Moreirense have shown resilience, as evidenced by three clean sheets in their last five matches. The defensive line, featuring Diogo Travassos and Maracás, has played a key role in this solidity. Goalkeeper Caio Secco’s performances have also been pivotal.

In attack, the focus is on maintaining possession and exploiting spaces, with Luís Semedo leading the line. The flanks, manned by Cédric Teguia and Kiko Bondoso, provide width and pace, allowing Moreirense to stretch the opposition and create scoring opportunities.

Alverca vs Moreirense Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Moreirense have dominated Alverca, winning all three of their previous encounters. The most recent meeting saw Moreirense secure a 2-1 victory at home in Liga Portugal, maintaining their perfect record against Alverca.

The last time Alverca hosted Moreirense was back in 2004, during the Liga ZON Sagres era, where they suffered a 1-2 defeat. Alverca will be eager to reverse this trend on their home ground this time.

Home Team	Away Team	Final Score	Competition	Date
Moreirense	Alverca	2 – 1	Primeira Liga	2025-08-10
Moreirense	Alverca	3 – 1	Primeira Liga	2004-05-09
Alverca	Moreirense	1 – 2	Primeira Liga	2004-01-11