Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 22 February

In this highly anticipated Premier League clash, Tottenham face Arsenal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, 22 February. Renowned for its fierce rivalry, this fixture promises a thrilling encounter as both teams compete for crucial points in the league standings. The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium will serve as the battleground for these two North London giants, adding another chapter to their storied history.

Tottenham, playing at home, will look to capitalise on familiar surroundings to gain an edge over their arch-rivals. Meanwhile, Arsenal will aim to spoil the party and secure a vital away victory. With both teams boasting strong attacking options, fans can expect an intense contest on the pitch. This match is significant not only for bragging rights but also for its potential impact on the league table, making it a must-watch for football enthusiasts and bettors alike.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Arsenal -1.00 (Asian Handicap)	1.94

Given Arsenal’s tendency to strike early, we recommend backing Arsenal with a -1 Asian Handicap at 1.94. This bet offers excellent value, as Arsenal’s current form and Tottenham’s defensive frailties support this prediction.

• Arsenal are highly likely to score early, which could unsettle Tottenham’s game plan.
• Tottenham have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game this season, highlighting defensive weaknesses.
• Arsenal’s strong defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals on average, adds extra confidence to this bet.

Betting Odds

Tottenham host Arsenal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with the Gunners entering as strong favourites. The match odds reflect Arsenal’s superior form, with their win priced at 1.57. However, Tottenham’s odds of 5.82 suggest a potential upset for those willing to back the underdogs.

Betting Tip	Odds
Tottenham Victory	5.82
Match Draw	4.01
Arsenal Victory	1.57

A draw is priced at 4.01, indicating bookmakers see it as a less likely outcome. For punters, the over 2.5 goals market could be enticing, given both teams’ attacking prowess and the intense nature of this North London derby.

Tottenham Analysis & Recent Performance

Tottenham have struggled for consistency recently, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their latest home fixture against Newcastle ended in a 1-2 defeat, underlining ongoing defensive issues. Currently 16th in the Premier League with 29 points, Tottenham’s position reflects their inconsistent performances this season.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tottenham	Newcastle	1 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	Feb 10, 2026
Manchester United	Tottenham	2 – 0 (Loss)	Premier League	Feb 7, 2026
Tottenham	Manchester City	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	Feb 1, 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt	Tottenham	0 – 2 (Win)	Champions League	Jan 28, 2026
Burnley	Tottenham	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	Jan 24, 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five games, Tottenham have averaged 1.40 goals scored per match but conceded 1.60 on average, indicating a fragile defence. Despite scoring in four of these matches, they have managed just one clean sheet, which remains a critical weakness. Their home form is particularly troubling, with only one win in their last five outings at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, underscoring struggles on home turf.

Richarlison has been a bright spot for Tottenham, leading the team’s attack with 7 goals this season. However, their overall win ratio remains low at 20%, both at home and overall, reflecting the team’s difficulty in converting chances into victories. Tottenham’s performances show a side capable of scoring but equally prone to conceding, with 80% of their recent games seeing both teams score.

• LLDWD

Tottenham Suspensions & Injuries

Tottenham are facing a challenging situation with a significant number of key players sidelined due to injuries. The absence of Dejan Kulusevski, whose knee injury is expected to heal by late February, impacts their attacking options. James Maddison’s cruciate ligament injury will keep him out until early May, removing a crucial creative force from midfield. Additionally, injuries to Mohammed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur further reduce midfield depth, necessitating tactical adjustments from coach Igor Tudor.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Cristian Romero	Red card	3	Unknown

Cristian Romero’s suspension due to a red card leaves a gap in Tottenham’s defence. With three matches remaining in his ban, Tottenham must rely on Radu Dragusin and Micky van de Ven to anchor the central defence. The absence of Ben Davies and Destiny Udogie due to injuries compounds the defensive challenges, potentially forcing a shift to a back four built around available defenders.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Dejan Kulusevski	Knee injury	Late February 2026
James Maddison	Cruciate ligament injury	Early May 2026
Mohammed Kudus	Muscle injury	Mid April 2026
Richarlison	Hamstring injury	Doubtful
Rodrigo Bentancur	Hamstring injury	Mid April 2026
Ben Davies	Ankle injury	Mid April 2026
Lucas Bergvall	Leg injury	Late April 2026
Pedro Porro	Hamstring injury	Doubtful
Kevin Danso	Toe injury	Late February 2026
Destiny Udogie	Muscle injury	Late February 2026
Wilson Odobert	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

Pedro Porro and Richarlison are both doubtful due to hamstring injuries, adding uncertainty to both flanks. Tottenham’s attacking flexibility is compromised, putting pressure on players like Mathys Tel and Dominic Solanke to carry the offensive burden. These absences may influence betting markets, with Tottenham’s odds potentially reflecting a weakened squad outlook.

Tottenham Key Players

Tottenham’s key player is Richarlison, who leads the team with 7 goals this season. His dynamic style, marked by his ability to exploit spaces and clinical finishing, has been vital to Tottenham’s attacking play. Despite being a doubt for the match, his potential involvement could significantly strengthen their forward line.

In midfield, Yves Bissouma stands out for his robust defensive abilities and knack for breaking up opposition attacks, making him a crucial link between defence and attack. Conor Gallagher also plays a pivotal role, with his tireless work rate and ability to drive the team forward, creating opportunities for the forwards. In defence, Micky van de Ven and Radu Dragusin are expected to form a solid partnership, essential for maintaining stability against Arsenal’s potent attack.

Expected lineup for Tottenham:

• Goalkeeper: Guglielmo Vicario
• Defenders: Archie Gray, Micky van de Ven, Radu Dragusin, Djed Spence
• Midfielders: Yves Bissouma, Conor Gallagher, Pape Sarr
• Forwards: Xavi Simons, Mathys Tel, Dominic Solanke

The tactical impact of these key players is significant. With a blend of defensive solidity and attacking flair, Tottenham’s lineup is designed to control the midfield and exploit quick transitions. Their strengths lie in midfield dynamism and defensive resilience, which will be crucial in dictating the pace and outcome of the match.

Tottenham Tactics and Formation

Tottenham Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Dominic Solanke
• Midfield Pivot: Yves Bissouma, Conor Gallagher, and Pape Sarr
• Defensive Strength: Struggled with clean sheets, none in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on ball possession and build-up play.

Tottenham’s 4-3-3 formation under Igor Tudor provides a balanced approach between attack and defence. The midfield trio of Yves Bissouma, Conor Gallagher, and Pape Sarr is crucial for maintaining possession and dictating the game’s tempo. This setup is designed to facilitate smooth transitions from defence to attack, with Bissouma often acting as the deep-lying playmaker.

Defensively, Tottenham have struggled, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. The backline, featuring Archie Gray, Micky van de Ven, Radu Dragusin, and Djed Spence, will need to tighten up to prevent conceding early, which has been a recurring issue.

Offensively, Tottenham rely on Dominic Solanke as the focal point, supported by wingers Xavi Simons and Mathys Tel. The team’s strategy revolves around maintaining possession and utilising the width of the pitch to create chances, though recent form indicates a need for greater clinical efficiency in front of goal.

Arsenal Analysis & Recent Performance

Arsenal’s recent form has been impressive, maintaining an unbeaten run in their last five matches across all competitions. The Gunners have secured three wins and two draws, including a dominant 4-0 victory over Wigan in the FA Cup and a solid 2-2 draw against Wolverhampton at Molineux Stadium.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Wolverhampton	Arsenal	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	18 Feb 2026
Arsenal	Wigan	4 – 0 (Win)	FA Cup	15 Feb 2026
Brentford	Arsenal	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	12 Feb 2026
Arsenal	Sunderland	3 – 0 (Win)	Premier League	7 Feb 2026
Arsenal	Chelsea	1 – 0 (Win)	EFL Cup	3 Feb 2026

Recent Form:
Arsenal’s attack has been effective, averaging 2.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures, while defensively, they have been robust, conceding just 0.60 goals per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by three clean sheets in this period. Away from home, Arsenal remain undefeated, with two wins and three draws in their last five away matches, showcasing resilience and tactical discipline.

Currently sitting atop the league table with 58 points, Arsenal have a strong win ratio of 63% this season. Viktor Gyökeres has been pivotal, leading the scoring chart with eight goals. Arsenal’s ability to both score and keep clean sheets regularly positions them as a formidable opponent, particularly in away games where they boast a 70% win ratio over the last ten matches.

• DWDWW

Arsenal Suspensions & Injuries

Arsenal are also dealing with several key absences due to injury. Martin Ødegaard’s knock is a significant blow, as he is vital in orchestrating the midfield. His expected return at the end of February means Arsenal must find creativity elsewhere. Similarly, the absence of Kai Havertz, sidelined with a muscle injury, limits options in attacking midfield. Max Dowman’s ankle injury further depletes defensive depth, although his impact may be less pronounced given the current starting lineup.

The absence of Bukayo Saka, not listed in the latest injury update but missing from the lineup, raises questions about Arsenal’s wing play. His dynamic presence would have been pivotal in stretching Tottenham’s defence. In his stead, Noni Madueke is expected to step up, offering pace and creativity on the flank.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Max Dowman	Ankle injury	Late February 2026
Mikel Merino	Foot injury	Late May 2026
Kai Havertz	Muscle injury	Late February 2026
Martin Ødegaard	Knock	Late February 2026

Mikel Arteta may consider tactical adjustments, possibly deploying a more compact midfield to compensate for creative losses. The 4-2-3-1 formation could see Gabriel Jesus taking on greater creative responsibility, while Martinelli and Madueke provide width. These injuries could influence betting markets, as Arsenal’s attacking threat appears diminished without these key players.

Arsenal Key Players

Arsenal’s primary attacking threat is Viktor Gyökeres, their top scorer with 8 goals this season. His clinical finishing and ability to hold up play make him a constant danger for opposing defences. Gyökeres will be pivotal in leading Arsenal’s frontline against Tottenham, and his performance could significantly influence the match outcome.

In midfield, Declan Rice is a key figure, providing both defensive solidity and the ability to transition the ball effectively from defence to attack. His partnership with Martin Zubimendi will be crucial in controlling the game’s tempo. On the wings, Gabriel Martinelli and Noni Madueke offer pace and creativity, capable of unlocking defences with their dribbling skills. Defensively, William Saliba and Gabriel form a strong central partnership, tasked with neutralising Tottenham’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Arsenal

• Goalkeeper: David Raya
• Defence: Gabriel, Piero Hincapié, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba
• Midfield: Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli
• Forward: Viktor Gyökeres

Arsenal Tactics and Formation

Arsenal Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Viktor Gyökeres
• Midfield Pivot: Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and dynamic wing play

Arsenal’s 4-2-3-1 formation is structured to dominate possession and press high up the pitch. With Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice as the double pivot, the team ensures both defensive stability and effective transitions. Gabriel Jesus plays a pivotal role in the central attacking midfield position, linking up with forward Viktor Gyökeres and wingers Noni Madueke and Gabriel Martinelli.

Defensively, Arsenal have been robust, securing three clean sheets in their last five fixtures. The backline, featuring William Saliba and Piero Hincapié as centre-backs, along with full-backs Jurrien Timber and Gabriel, is adept at maintaining a high line and regaining possession quickly.

Offensively, Arsenal capitalise on dynamic wing play and high pressing, often creating scoring opportunities through quick turnovers. The absence of key players like Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard due to injury may require tactical adjustments, particularly in attacking depth and width.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Record

Tottenham and Arsenal have met 50 times, with Arsenal leading the head-to-head record with 22 wins to Tottenham’s 14, and 16 matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter saw Arsenal triumph 4-1 at home in the Premier League, underlining their attacking prowess.

The last time these two sides met at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Arsenal secured a narrow 1-0 victory in September 2024. This result highlights Arsenal’s recent edge in away fixtures, although Tottenham will be eager to reverse this trend on home soil.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Arsenal	Tottenham Hotspur	4 – 1	Premier League	2025-11-23
Arsenal	Tottenham Hotspur	0 – 1	Friendly Match	2025-07-31
Arsenal	Tottenham Hotspur	2 – 1	Premier League	2025-01-15
Tottenham Hotspur	Arsenal	0 – 1	Premier League	2024-09-15
Tottenham Hotspur	Arsenal	2 – 3	Premier League	2024-04-28