Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Aston Villa face off against Tottenham in a crucial Premier League clash at Villa Park on 16 May 2025 at 19:30. This penultimate round of the season sees Aston Villa, currently sixth with 63 points, fighting for a spot in next season’s Champions League. Their recent form has been solid, including a key away victory at Bournemouth.
Tottenham, managed by Ange Postecoglou, sit 17th, having already secured safety from relegation. However, they’re grappling with multiple injuries, including key players like Maddison and Scarlett. Despite a win in the Europa League qualifiers, they are on a five-game winless streak in the league.
Referee Peter Bankes, who averages 3.9 yellow cards per match, will oversee this encounter. Villa’s notable absences include Marcus Rashford and Jacob Ramsey. Unai Emery’s side has been strong at home, scoring in 89% of their matches, making them the bookmaker’s favourite at odds of 1.35.
The recommendation is an Aston Villa victory, given their superior form and Tottenham’s injury woes.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tip
| Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Aston Villa to win | 1.35 |
- Home Advantage: Aston Villa has scored in 89% of their home matches this season.
- Injury Impact: Tottenham is dealing with multiple injury setbacks, which weakens their squad.
- Current Form: Villa’s recent form and solid defensive record make them favourites.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Odds
| Aston Villa vs Tottenham Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Aston Villa to Win | 1.35 |
| Draw | 5.55 |
| Tottenham to Win | 7.25 |
Aston Villa heads into this clash as the clear favourites according to the bookmakers. With odds of 1.35 for a home win, they are highly preferred, reflecting their strong form and home advantage. A draw stands at 5.55, indicating it’s less likely but still possible. Tottenham, with their significant injury list and poor away form, are given long odds of 7.25 to secure a victory.
Given these odds, a bet on Aston Villa to win seems the best choice, supported by their recent performance and Tottenham’s struggles.
Aston Villa Team Analysis
Aston Villa Recent Performance
Aston Villa has shown decent form heading into this fixture, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent performances have demonstrated their ability to secure victories, particularly at home.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Aston Villa | 2025-05-10 | Premier League | 0-1 (Win) |
| Aston Villa | Fulham | 2025-05-03 | Premier League | 1-0 (Win) |
| Crystal Palace | Aston Villa | 2025-04-26 | FA Cup | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Manchester City | Aston Villa | 2025-04-22 | Premier League | 2-1 (Loss) |
| Aston Villa | Newcastle | 2025-04-19 | Premier League | 4-1 (Win) |
Recent Form: WWLLW
Aston Villa has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, indicating a fairly solid defensive record. They have also averaged 1.40 goals scored per match in this period, showing a decent attacking output led by Ollie Watkins.
With Villa aiming for a top-four finish and a spot in the Champions League, expect them to come out strong, especially given their home advantage and current form.
Aston Villa Key Players
Aston Villa will rely heavily on Ollie Watkins, their top scorer with 16 goals this season, to lead the attack. Watkins’ key battle will be against Tottenham’s centre-back Kevin Danso, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses.
Morgan Rogers, who has scored 14 goals and provided three assists, will be crucial from the wing. His duel with Tottenham’s right-back Pedro Porro will be one to watch.
In midfield, Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana will need to control the game against Rodrigo Bentancur and Archie Gray of Tottenham. Marco Asensio, playing as an attacking midfielder, will be vital in linking play and creating opportunities.
Expected lineup for Aston Villa:
- Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martinez
- Defenders: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne
- Midfielders: Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, Morgan Rogers, Marco Asensio, John McGinn
- Forward: Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa Suspensions & Injuries
Aston Villa have a couple of key absences that might influence their gameplay. Jacob Ramsey is suspended due to yellow/red card accumulation, and several players are nursing injuries that could affect their performance against Tottenham.
Suspensions
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Ramsey | Yellow/red card | 1 match left |
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Rashford | Hamstring Injury | Late May 2025 |
| Youri Tielemans | Muscle Injury | About 1-2 weeks |
These absences could impact Villa’s midfield depth and attacking options. With Ramsey suspended and Rashford injured, Unai Emery will have to adjust his tactics to ensure his team remains competitive in the penultimate round of the Premier League.
Aston Villa Tactics and Formation
Aston Villa Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Ollie Watkins
- Midfield Trio: Morgan Rogers, Marco Asensio, John McGinn
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing strong home advantage; Aston Villa has scored in 89% of their home matches this season.
Aston Villa, under Unai Emery, will employ their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation. Emiliano Martinez will command the goal, while the defense will be manned by Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, and Lucas Digne. The midfield duo of Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana will look to control the tempo. The attacking trio of Morgan Rogers, Marco Asensio, and John McGinn will be crucial in providing support to the lone striker, Ollie Watkins. Despite missing Jacob Ramsey and Marcus Rashford, Villa’s solid defensive record and tactical discipline should keep them competitive.
Tottenham Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Tottenham’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with a record of two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. Their performances have been inconsistent, showing moments of brilliance, especially in their Europa League fixtures, but struggling in the Premier League.
Here’s a closer look:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Crystal Palace | 2025-05-11 | Premier League | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Bodoe/Glimt | Tottenham | 2025-05-08 | Europa League | 0-2 (Win) |
| West Ham | Tottenham | 2025-05-04 | Premier League | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Tottenham | Bodoe/Glimt | 2025-05-01 | Europa League | 3-1 (Win) |
| Liverpool | Tottenham | 2025-04-27 | Premier League | 5-1 (Loss) |
Tottenham has managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per game in these matches but has only one clean sheet. Their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly evident in their heavy loss to Liverpool and recent defeat to Palace, could be concerning against a strong offensive side like Aston Villa.
Tottenham Key Players
Expect Tottenham to bring some key players into this showdown at Villa Park despite their relegation battle and injury woes.
- Brennan Johnson: Leading the scoring chart for Spurs with 11 goals, Johnson’s pace and eye for goal make him a constant threat.
- Rodrigo Bentancur: Anchoring the midfield, he will be crucial in both defensive duties and distribution.
- Heung-Min Son: Expected to start on the left wing, his creativity and finishing can turn the game on its head.
Expected lineup for Tottenham:
- Goalkeeper: Antonin Kinsky
- Defenders: Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Ben Davies, Djed Spence
- Midfielders: Pape Sarr, Archie Gray, Rodrigo Bentancur
- Attackers: Brennan Johnson, Wilson Odobert, Heung-Min Son
Individual battles to watch include Johnson up against Villa’s strong centre-backs, Konsa and Mings, and Bentancur facing off against Kamara in the midfield. These key players and battles could decide the game’s outcome.
Tottenham Suspensions & Injuries
Tottenham’s squad faces a significant injury list, which could impact their performance against Aston Villa.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Radu Dragusin | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid October 2025 |
| Lucas Bergvall | Ankle injury | Late May 2025 |
| James Maddison | Knee injury | Late June 2025 |
| Dane Scarlett | Hernia | Mid July 2025 |
| Dejan Kulusevski | Knee injury | Early August 2025 |
Spurs will miss the creativity of James Maddison and the dynamic play of Dejan Kulusevski, both out with injuries. Radu Dragusin’s defensive presence and Dane Scarlett’s attacking options are also sidelined, limiting Ange Postecoglou’s tactical flexibility. This depleted squad will need to dig deep to compete against a strong Aston Villa side.
Tottenham Tactics and Formation
Tottenham Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Heung-Min Son
- Midfield Trio: Pape Sarr, Archie Gray, Rodrigo Bentancur
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Likely to rely on counter-attacks and pace from the flanks.
Spurs are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation with Son playing a crucial role upfront. The midfield trio of Sarr, Gray, and Bentancur will aim to control the game and facilitate quick transitions.
Defensively, Tottenham need to tighten up, having managed just one clean sheet in their last five outings. The team may look to hit Aston Villa on the break, leveraging their speed and offensive dynamics.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | 2025-02-09 | FA Cup | 2-1 (Win) |
| Tottenham | Aston Villa | 2024-11-03 | Premier League | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | 2024-03-10 | Premier League | 0-4 (Loss) |
| Tottenham | Aston Villa | 2023-11-26 | Premier League | 1-2 (Win) |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | 2023-05-13 | Premier League | 2-1 (Win) |
Looking at their recent encounters, Aston Villa has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five matchups across all competitions.
Interestingly, matches between these two teams have often been high-scoring, with more than 2.5 goals in 78% of their clashes over the past five seasons.
Players and fans can expect an exciting and competitive game, with Aston Villa looking to secure their spot in European competitions while Tottenham aims to avoid relegation.
Odds accurate as of 14/05/2025 19:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
