Aston Villa Stats & Analysis
Aston Villa’s inconsistencies were plain to see before the international break. They followed up a 1-0 victory at Old Trafford with a 2-1 defeat to Tottenham. They sit firmly in mid-table with three wins, three defeats and a draw from their opening seven.
They’ll be glad to get back to Villa Park. Dean Smith’s men haven’t lost any of their last five Premier League matches at home. They haven’t gone six straight home Premier League matches without losing since 2011.
Wolves Stats & Analysis
Wolves seem to have found their form. They lost each of their first three matches without scoring but have since turned things around. Wolves have now won three of their last four including both of their last two away games.
They won three consecutive away games in June of last year. That was the only other occasion on which they’ve won three straight top-flight away matches in the last 40 years.
They’ll hope to finally fulfil their statistical expectations. Wolves have underperformed on their xG tally by a figure of 5.28. That’s the highest discrepancy in the league. Raul Jimenez, Trincao and Adama Traore have a combined xG of 5.23 but have scored only one goal between them.
Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction
The hosts are the favourites to secure all three points here. It’s 2.27 for Aston Villa to get the win and 3.60 for Wolves. A draw is priced at 3.40.
Villa had the better of this fixture last season. Dean Smith’s side drew at home and won 1-0 away against their local rivals. They were tight matches which is often the case when these sides meet. The last three meetings between Aston Villa and Wolves have only seen a total of two goals. Under 2.5 goals here is 1.82.
Villa have impressed at home in recent weeks. There is value backing them with a slight handicap. Aston Villa -0.25 is 1.90.
Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.82. 8/10 Stakes.