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Pisa vs Atalanta Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Friday, 16 January

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In the upcoming Serie A clash, Pisa will host Atalanta at the Stadio Romeo Anconetani on Friday, 16 January. This match promises to be an intriguing encounter as both teams look to make their mark in the league. Pisa, playing on home soil, will aim to use their familiarity with the Stadio Romeo Anconetani to challenge the visiting Atalanta side.

Atalanta, renowned for their attacking prowess, will be eager to secure a victory away from home and climb the Serie A standings. This matchup holds significant importance as both teams are striving to gain crucial points. With Pisa’s defensive strategies and Atalanta’s offensive capabilities, this match is set to offer an exciting blend of tactics and skill, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Pisa vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Atalanta to win 1.61

Given Pisa’s poor form and Atalanta’s recent resurgence, our betting tip is to back Atalanta to win at 1.61 odds. Pisa’s home record is dismal, and Atalanta’s attacking quality should see them secure a comfortable victory.

  • Pisa have lost four consecutive home games, scoring zero goals in the process.
  • Atalanta have won six out of their last seven matches, indicating strong current form.
  • Pisa concede an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Atalanta’s offensive play is expected to exploit this weakness.

Betting Odds

In this Serie A clash, Atalanta are clear favourites with odds of 1.61, reflecting their superior form and league standing. Pisa, despite playing at home, are considered underdogs at 5.65, which might appeal to those seeking a high-risk, high-reward bet.

Betting Tip Odds
Pisa to Win 5.65
Draw 3.83
Atalanta to Win 1.61

The draw is priced at 3.83, suggesting that while Atalanta are expected to dominate, there’s still a chance for Pisa to hold their ground. Given Atalanta’s attacking strength, markets such as over 2.5 goals could provide additional value for punters.

Pisa Analysis & Past Performance

Pisa’s recent form has been uninspiring, as they have not secured a win in their last five Serie A matches, recording three draws and two defeats. This run includes a 2-2 draw away at Udinese and a disappointing 0-3 home loss against Como. Their performance statistics highlight struggles in both defence and attack, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per game over the last five matches.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Udinese Pisa 2 – 2 (Draw) Serie A 10 Jan 2026
Pisa Como 0 – 3 (Loss) Serie A 6 Jan 2026
Genoa Pisa 1 – 1 (Draw) Serie A 3 Jan 2026
Pisa Juventus 0 – 2 (Loss) Serie A 27 Dec 2025
Cagliari Pisa 2 – 2 (Draw) Serie A 21 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

  • DLDLD

Pisa’s attacking efforts have been inconsistent, as shown by their failure to score in two of their last five games. With M’Bala Nzola as their top scorer with just three goals this season, the team’s offensive output remains a concern. Defensively, Pisa have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, contributing to their current position at the bottom of Serie A with 13 points. Their home form is particularly troubling, with only one win from their last ten home games, highlighting a significant disadvantage at the Stadio Romeo Anconetani.

Pisa Suspensions & Injuries

Pisa face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions ahead of their match against Atalanta. Notably, Calvin Stengs and Juan Cuadrado are doubtful due to muscle injuries, which could affect Pisa’s creativity and depth in midfield. The absence of Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, serving his final match of a national team-related suspension, and Antonio Caracciolo, suspended for yellow card accumulation, further complicates Pisa’s defensive setup.

Player Reason for Suspension Matches Remaining Expected Return
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro International Duty 1 Unknown
Antonio Caracciolo Yellow Card Accumulation 1 Unknown

The continued absence of Raul Albiol and Isak Vural until late January 2026 adds to the defensive woes, leaving coach Alberto Gilardino to rely on less experienced players such as Francesco Coppola. Mateus Lusuardi’s physical discomfort also casts doubt on his availability, potentially limiting Pisa’s midfield options.

Player Injury Expected Return
Calvin Stengs Muscle injury Doubtful
Juan Cuadrado Muscle injury Doubtful
Mateus Lusuardi Physical discomfort Doubtful
Raul Albiol Muscle injury Late January 2026
Isak Vural Knee injury Late January 2026

These absences may force Pisa to adopt a more conservative approach, with replacements needing to adapt quickly to the tactical demands against a strong Atalanta side. The lack of squad depth could influence betting markets, with Pisa likely to be seen as underdogs due to these significant unavailabilities.

Pisa Key Players

Pisa’s attacking hopes rest heavily on M’Bala Nzola, the team’s top scorer with three goals this season. Nzola’s powerful shots and clever positioning make him a constant threat to Atalanta’s defence. His link-up play with Stefano Moreo and Henrik Meister in the forward line will be pivotal in breaking down the opposition.

In midfield, Mehdi Leris and Michel Aebischer are key. Leris’s dynamic play and ability to drive forward, combined with Aebischer’s vision and passing accuracy, provide Pisa with a balanced midfield capable of both shielding the defence and supporting the attack. Defensively, Arturo Calabresi’s leadership and tackling will be crucial in organising the backline and keeping Atalanta’s forwards at bay. The performances of these players will significantly influence Pisa’s tactics and their chances of success.

Expected lineup for Pisa

  • Goalkeeper: Simone Scuffet
  • Defenders: Arturo Calabresi, Francesco Coppola, Simone Canestrelli
  • Midfielders: Mehdi Leris, Marius Marin, Michel Aebischer, Samuele Angori, Matteo Tramoni
  • Forwards: Stefano Moreo, Henrik Meister

Pisa Tactics and Formation

Pisa Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-1-2
  • Key Forward: Stefano Moreo
  • Midfield Engine: Marius Marin and Michel Aebischer
  • Defensive Structure: Zero clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Wing play and midfield control.

Pisa’s 3-4-1-2 formation provides a strong foundation for both defensive solidity and attacking flexibility. The back three, featuring Arturo Calabresi, Francesco Coppola, and Simone Canestrelli, are tasked with maintaining a compact defence. However, Pisa have struggled at the back, failing to secure a clean sheet in their last five matches.

In midfield, Marius Marin and Michel Aebischer are pivotal, offering balance between defensive duties and ball distribution. Samuele Angori and Mehdi Leris, operating as wing-backs, are crucial in providing width and supporting both defence and attack. Matteo Tramoni, playing just behind the forwards, acts as the creative link.

Offensively, Pisa rely on the striking partnership of Stefano Moreo and Henrik Meister. Their strategy often involves making use of wing play and controlling the midfield to create scoring opportunities. Despite their attacking efforts, Pisa have averaged only 1.00 goals per game in recent matches, indicating room for improvement in converting chances.

Atalanta Analysis & Past Performance

Atalanta’s recent form has been impressive, with the team winning four out of their last five matches. They secured victories against Torino, Bologna, Roma, and Genoa, maintaining a strong defensive record with four clean sheets in these fixtures. Their only defeat came against Inter, losing narrowly 0-1.

Home Side Away Side Score League Date
Atalanta Torino 2 – 0 (Win) Serie A 10 Jan, 2026
Bologna Atalanta 0 – 2 (Win) Serie A 7 Jan, 2026
Atalanta Roma 1 – 0 (Win) Serie A 3 Jan, 2026
Atalanta Inter 0 – 1 (Loss) Serie A 28 Dec, 2025
Genoa Atalanta 0 – 1 (Win) Serie A 21 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:

  • WWWLW

Atalanta have averaged 1.20 goals per game over their last five matches, while conceding just 0.20 per game, highlighting their defensive solidity. Notably, they have scored in four of these five games, showing a balanced attacking threat. Away from home, Atalanta have won three of their last five matches, indicating a solid away form with a 60% win ratio. This consistency on the road makes them formidable opponents as they travel to Pisa. Currently sitting 7th in the league with 31 points, Atalanta’s performances have been bolstered by Gianluca Scamacca, their top scorer, who has netted five goals this season.

Atalanta Suspensions & Injuries

Atalanta face a crucial match against Pisa with some notable absentees due to injuries and suspensions. The suspension of Ademola Lookman, serving the last of his six-match ban due to national team commitments, is a significant blow to their attacking options. His absence means Atalanta will likely continue to rely on Nikola Krstovic to lead the line, supported by Charles De Ketelaere and Nicola Zalewski.

Player Suspension Matches Remaining Expected Return
Ademola Lookman International duty 1 Unknown

In terms of injuries, Atalanta have several players sidelined, including Raoul Bellanova and Mitchel Bakker, who are both recovering from cruciate ligament injuries but are back in training and could return soon. Meanwhile, Ben Godfrey and Berat Djimsiti are doubts due to knee and muscle injuries, respectively, which may impact Atalanta’s defensive solidity. Sead Kolasinac is also nursing a muscle injury but is back in training, offering some hope for his involvement.

Player Injury Expected Return
Erdis Kraja Cruciate ligament injury Few days
Mitchel Bakker Cruciate ligament injury Back in training
Ben Godfrey Knee injury Late January 2026
Raoul Bellanova Hamstring Injury Late January 2026
Sead Kolasinac Muscle injury Back in training
Berat Djimsiti Muscle injury Doubtful

The absence of these players will test Atalanta’s squad depth, with coach Raffaele Palladino likely to maintain a 3-4-2-1 formation. Tactical adjustments may see Isak Hien and Giorgio Scalvini take on additional defensive responsibilities, while the midfield remains key for maintaining control and creating opportunities. Bettors should consider these absences when assessing Atalanta’s chances, as the lack of key personnel could influence the match outcome.

Atalanta Key Players

Atalanta’s attacking threat is led by Gianluca Scamacca, the team’s top scorer with five goals this season. His physical presence and clinical finishing make him a constant danger in the final third. Scamacca’s ability to hold up the ball and bring teammates into play is crucial for Atalanta’s offensive approach, especially when breaking down organised defences.

The midfield is anchored by Marten de Roon and Ederson, who are pivotal in controlling the tempo and facilitating transitions from defence to attack. De Roon’s tackling and interception skills provide a solid defensive shield, while Ederson’s vision and passing range help unlock opposition defences. In defence, Giorgio Scalvini’s composure and aerial ability are vital for maintaining stability at the back, offering a reliable presence in the centre of Atalanta’s defence.

Expected lineup for Atalanta:

  • Goalkeeper: Marco Carnesecchi
  • Defence: Isak Hien, Giorgio Scalvini, Honest Ahanor
  • Midfield: Davide Zappacosta, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Charles De Ketelaere, Nicola Zalewski
  • Forward: Nikola Krstovic

Atalanta Tactics and Formation

Atalanta Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic
  • Midfield Pivot: Marten de Roon and Ederson
  • Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Aggressive pressing with wing-back support.

Atalanta’s 3-4-2-1 formation provides a robust defensive setup while allowing flexibility in attack. With Marten de Roon and Ederson anchoring the midfield, they ensure both defensive coverage and ball progression. The presence of Nikola Krstovic at the forefront of the attack ensures a focal point, supported by Charles De Ketelaere and Nicola Zalewski in advanced roles.

Defensively, the trio of Isak Hien, Giorgio Scalvini, and Honest Ahanor has been instrumental in maintaining clean sheets, providing solidity at the back. This formation allows the wing-backs, Davide Zappacosta and Lorenzo Bernasconi, to contribute both defensively and offensively, stretching the opposition and creating width.

Offensively, Atalanta thrive on aggressive pressing and quick transitions, often utilising the pace and crossing ability of their wing-backs. Despite the absence of Mitchel Bakker and Raoul Bellanova due to injuries, the team has adapted well, maintaining their defensive and attacking balance effectively.

Pisa vs Atalanta Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Atalanta have had the upper hand over Pisa, winning two out of their three encounters, with the other match ending in a draw. Their most recent meeting in Serie A finished 1-1, showing that Pisa can hold their own against the Bergamo side.

The last time Pisa hosted Atalanta was back in 2005 during a Coppa Italia clash, where Atalanta emerged with a 1-0 victory. Despite the limited history, Atalanta’s ability to score away from home could be a factor to watch.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Atalanta Pisa 1 – 1 Serie A 24 August 2025
Atalanta Pisa 2 – 0 Coppa Italia 23 August 2014
Pisa Atalanta 0 – 1 Coppa Italia 14 August 2005
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