Udinese vs. Monza Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 11 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an intriguing Serie A clash as Udinese hosts Monza at Bluenergy Stadium – Stadio Friuli on 11 May 2025. With referee Valerio Crezzini in charge, this match sees Udinese, currently in 12th place, looking for a crucial win to finish the season strongly. Meanwhile, Monza, languishing in last place and already relegated, seek a silver lining in an otherwise disappointing season.
Udinese, under Kosta Runjaić, have displayed mixed form recently (WDLLL) but are the bookmakers’ favourites to win this encounter. Their attacking game is expected to dominate, especially with Lorenzo Lucca, their top scorer with 10 goals, taking charge. However, Udinese will likely miss Isaak Toure and Florian Thauvin due to injuries.
On the other side, Alessandro Nesta’s Monza have struggled mightily, losing their last five matches (LLLLL). Despite adding Polish midfielder Kacper Urbański in the winter, performance improvements have been scant. They aim to give a spirited fight, although key players like Matteo Pessina and Keita Balde remain sidelined.
Given Monza’s recent form and being already relegated from Serie A, betting tips favour an Udinese win, particularly in the first half. This key match offers Udinese a chance to end on a high note.
Udinese vs Monza Prediction & Betting Tip
Recommending our betting tip: Udinese to win the 1st half. This tip has been chosen based on current form and detailed match analysis.
Udinese vs Monza Prediction | |
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Betting tip | Odds |
Udinese to win 1st half | 1.47 |
- Udinese plays at home and has shown stronger overall performance compared to Monza.
- Monza has already been relegated from Serie A and has struggled to show any resilience in recent matches.
- Udinese is expected to play an attacking game, leveraging their home advantage and the poor form of Monza to gain an early lead.
This bet anticipates Udinese’s intent to dominate from the kickoff and capitalize on Monza’s vulnerabilities.
Udinese vs Monza Odds
Navigating through the odds for the upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Monza can offer some intriguing insights.
Udinese vs Monza Betting Odds | |
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Bet | Odds |
Udinese | 1.47 |
Draw | 4.29 |
Monza | 6.75 |
Given the bookmaker’s odds, Udinese is the clear favourite in this matchup. With Monza already relegated and struggling through a tough season, it’s no surprise to see them as the underdogs here. Additionally, Udinese’s stronger home performance and Monza’s recent lacklustre form make this a fairly straightforward choice for many punters. Overall, Udinese’s odds reflect their potential to dominate the match from the start.
Udinese Team Analysis
Udinese Recent Performance
Udinese’s recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag. In their last 5 matches, they have managed just one win, one draw, and three losses. Here’s a look at their recent fixtures:
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cagliari | Udinese | 2025-05-03 | Serie A | 1-2 (Win) |
Udinese | Bologna | 2025-04-28 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
Torino | Udinese | 2025-04-23 | Serie A | 2-0 (Loss) |
Udinese | AC Milan | 2025-04-11 | Serie A | 0-4 (Loss) |
Genoa | Udinese | 2025-04-04 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
Recent Form: WDLLL
Udinese have struggled for consistency, with only 0.40 goals scored on average in their last 5 games and just one clean sheet. Despite these stats, they are still favoured by bookmakers, partly due to Monza’s poor form and recent relegation. Keep in mind that they tend to concede goals, especially in the 31-45 minute interval but score most between 31-60 minutes.
Udinese Key Players
Udinese will be banking on their key players to step up for this critical match. Lorenzo Lucca, their top scorer with 10 goals this season, is a significant attacking threat, although his participation is doubtful due to a calf injury. In midfield, the likes of Sandi Lovric and Jesper Karlström will be crucial in controlling the tempo and creating opportunities. Maduka Okoye stands firm between the sticks, looking to add to his tally of clean sheets. Monitoring the set-piece exploits of defenders like Thomas Kristensen and Jaka Bijol will also be essential, given Monza’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Expected lineup for Udinese:
- Goalkeeper: Maduka Okoye
- Defenders: Thomas Kristensen, Jaka Bijol, Oumar Solet
- Midfielders: Kingsley Ehizibue, Arthur Atta, Jesper Karlström, Sandi Lovric, Hassane Kamara
- Forwards: Lorenzo Lucca, Keinan Davis
Udinese Suspensions & Injuries
Udinese faces some injury challenges that could impact their performance. Here are the details:
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Isaak Toure | Knee injury | Out for season |
Florian Thauvin | Ankle injury | Late May 2025 |
Lorenzo Lucca | Calf Injury | Doubtful |
The potential absence of Lorenzo Lucca, the team’s top scorer, is a significant blow to their attacking options. Florian Thauvin’s return might not be in time to bolster the squad against Monza.
These injuries could see changes in team strategy, with Keinan Davis expected to shoulder more of the attacking responsibilities.
Udinese Tactics and Formation
Udinese Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Lorenzo Lucca (Doubtful with calf injury), Keinan Davis
- Midfield Setup: The midfield features a dynamic quintet including Kingsley Ehizibue, Arthur Atta, Jesper Karlström, Sandi Lovric, and Hassane Kamara.
- Defensive Setup: Right center-back Thomas Kristensen, central back Jaka Bijol, and left center-back Oumar Solet form a solid backline.
- Defensive Strength: Managed one clean sheet in the last five games.
- Notable Strategies:
- Focus on exploiting the wings via strong midfielders like Kingsley Ehizibue and Hassane Kamara.
- Expected to employ an attacking game at home.
- Historically, Udinese scores most during 31-45 and 46-60-minute intervals.
- Flexibility to adapt depending on Lucca’s availability, with Keinan Davis expected to play a crucial role upfront.
Monza Team Analysis
Monza Recent Performance
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Monza | Atalanta | 2025-05-04 | Serie A | 0-4 (Loss) |
Juventus | Monza | 2025-04-27 | Serie A | 2-0 (Loss) |
Monza | SSC Napoli | 2025-04-19 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
Venezia | Monza | 2025-04-12 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
Monza | Como | 2025-04-05 | Serie A | 1-3 (Loss) |
Monza’s recent form doesn’t paint a pretty picture, having lost all of their last five matches. With an average of just 0.20 goals scored per game in these outings and failing to keep a single clean sheet, their defence has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match over the season.
Their struggles have culminated in relegation, and upcoming fixtures do not offer much respite. The team needs to focus on improving both offensive and defensive plays to end the season on a more positive note.
Monza Key Players
Monza’s top scorer, Dany Mota, will be a critical player to watch despite his team’s struggles this season. With 5 goals to his name, Mota will need to put up a strong performance to have any hope of challenging Udinese’s defense.
Expected lineup for Monza:
- Goalkeeper: Stefano Turati
- Defenders: Pedro Pereira, Tomas Palacios, Andrea Carboni
- Midfielders: Samuele Birindelli, Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Attackers: Gianluca Caprari, Dany Mota
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Gaetano Castrovilli and Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro needing to maintain control and create avenues for their forwards.
Monza’s defense will face a tough test against Udinese’s key attackers, making individual battles all the more significant.
Monza Suspensions & Injuries
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Matteo Pessina | Thigh injury | Early June 2025 |
Keita Balde | Hip injury | Late May 2025 |
Armando Izzo | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
Silvere Ganvoula | Physical discomfort | Late May 2025 |
Roberto Gagliardini | Physical discomfort | Late May 2025 |
Kevin Zeroli | Physical discomfort | Late May 2025 |
Luca Caldirola | Muscle injury | Late May 2025 |
Monza faces a tough situation with a significant injury list. Key players like Matteo Pessina and Keita Balde are out, weakening both their midfield and attacking options. The absence of Armando Izzo leaves a gap in the defense that could be exploited by Udinese. This extensive injury list is likely to hinder Monza’s performance further in an already challenging season.
Monza Tactics and Formation
Monza’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Gianluca Caprari and Dany Mota
- Midfield Line: Samuele Birindelli, Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro, Alessandro Bianco, Gaetano Castrovilli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Defensive Line: Pedro Pereira, Tomas Palacios, Andrea Carboni
- Defensive Concerns: Monza has conceded 1.8 goals on average this season, indicating defensive frailties.
Monza’s 3-5-2 setup focuses on a fortified midfield, looking to control the center of the park and transition quickly to their forwards, Caprari and Mota. However, their recent form and injury list suggest vulnerabilities that Udinese may capitalize on. Despite a robust formation on paper, execution has been problematic, leading to consistent losses.
Udinese vs Monza Head-to-Head Statistics
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Monza | Udinese | 2024-12-09 | Serie A | 1-2 (Loss) |
Udinese | Monza | 2024-02-03 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
Monza | Udinese | 2023-10-29 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Udinese | Monza | 2023-04-08 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
Udinese | Monza | 2022-10-19 | Coppa Italia | 2-3 (Loss) |
The recent encounters between Udinese and Monza highlight a competitive history, primarily marked by draws. Udinese edged out Monza in their last meeting with a close 2-1 victory. Monza, unfortunately, hasn’t claimed a win against Udinese in the league, which could affect their morale going into this fixture. Both teams have experienced tight matches, underlining a fairly balanced rivalry with a slight advantage for Udinese.
Odds accurate as of 09/05/2025 11:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.