Atlas vs. Leon Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 October 2025

In this intriguing Liga MX clash, Atlas will host Leon at the Estadio Jalisco on 23 October 2025. Both teams are languishing in the bottom half of the table, with Atlas sitting 13th and Leon just a spot below in 14th. A win here could be crucial for either side to claw their way up the standings.

Atlas have shown some promise lately with a couple of wins, although their defensive frailties persist, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Leon have faced a torrid time, with six winless matches reflecting their defensive woes.

Given these trends, it’s likely we’ll see goals aplenty, making a bet of over 2.75 goals (odds: 1.87) a smart choice. Both teams should come out attacking, ensuring an entertaining spectacle.

Keep an eye on Atlas’ top scorer Uros Djurdjevic and Leon’s Ismael Diaz, both crucial in their respective teams’ attacking play.

Atlas vs Leon Prediction & Betting tip

Atlas vs Leon Prediction
Betting tip
Over 2.75 goals

Given the form and statistical trends of both Atlas and Leon, betting on over 2.75 goals with odds of 1.87 appears to be a smart choice.

• Atlas have shown they can score but also concede a lot, experiencing high-scoring games like their wins against Juárez (3-1) and Necaxa (3-2).
• Leon are struggling defensively, having conceded 24 goals in 13 matches and failing to secure a win in their last six games.
• Both teams attack better than they defend, which is typically a recipe for a higher number of goals in the match.

With both teams eager to improve their standings, expect a lively encounter filled with goals at the Estadio Jalisco.

Atlas vs Leon Odds

The upcoming match between Atlas and Leon is finely poised, and the bookmakers have priced the odds quite close, indicating a potentially tight encounter. Despite the challenges both teams have faced, there are intriguing betting opportunities available.

Atlas vs Leon Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Atlas	2.69
Draw	3.47
Leon	2.34

Atlas are given odds of 2.69 for the win, reflecting their slight underdog status despite being the home team. A draw is priced at 3.47, while Leon are the bookmaker favorites at 2.34. This proximity in odds suggests that the match could swing either way.

Given the defensive vulnerabilities and attacking strengths of both teams, betting enthusiasts might find value in exploring the over 2.75 goals market, expecting an exciting, goal-filled contest.

Atlas Team Analysis

Atlas Recent Performance

Atlas have had a rollercoaster of a season as reflected in their recent performance. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw:

1. Atletico de San Luis 2 – 0 Atlas (18 October 2025)
2. Atlas 3 – 1 FC Juárez (4 October 2025)
3. Atlas 3 – 2 Necaxa (27 September 2025)
4. Tigres 2 – 0 Atlas (25 September 2025)
5. Mazatlán FC 1 – 1 Atlas (20 September 2025)

Recent Form: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Loss.

Atlas have been somewhat inconsistent but have shown moments of promise, especially in attacking play. They average 1.40 goals per game in their last five outings but have struggled defensively, not keeping a single clean sheet. Conceding 2.2 goals on average across 13 matches highlights their vulnerabilities at the back.

With their average goals scored, fans can expect an exciting but defensively shaky performance. Their aim will be to outscore Leon and continue to improve their league positioning.

Atlas Key Players

Atlas will be banking on the prowess of their top scorer, Uros Djurdjevic, who has netted 5 goals this season. His predatory instincts in front of goal will be crucial for the home side’s attacking aspirations.

Another player to watch will be Diego González, who will likely operate as a right attacking midfielder. He has the dribbling ability and vision to unlock Leon’s shaky defense. Mateo Ezequiel Garcia on the left flank will add to the creative arsenal with his flair and pace.

The expected lineup for Atlas:

• Goalkeeper: Camilo Vargas
• Defenders: Gaddi Aguirre, Rober Pier, Adrián Mora
• Midfielders: Gustavo Ferrareis, Victor Rios, Paulo Ramírez, Sergio Hernandez, Diego González, Mateo Ezequiel Garcia
• Forward: Uros Djurdjevic

Watch out for crucial individual battles, such as Djurdjevic against Leon’s central defenders Jaine Stiven Barreiro and Valentín Gauthier, which could well determine the match’s outcome.

Atlas Suspensions & Injuries

Atlas have several injury concerns that could impact their performance against Leon. Key players Mauro Manotas and Edgar Zaldivar are out with cruciate ligament injuries and are not expected back until early January 2026. Carlos Cruz is also sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury but may return in early November 2025.

Additionally, Aldo Rocha and Rivaldo Lozano are doubtful due to thigh and hamstring injuries, respectively. These absences affect the squad’s depth, particularly in midfield and forward positions, potentially limiting their attacking options.

Expect Diego Cocca to consider these injuries while shaping his tactics and lineup for this crucial encounter, especially as defensive suspensions are not an issue.

Atlas Tactics and Formation

For the upcoming match against Leon, Atlas are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, a setup designed to capitalize on their attacking strengths while attempting to solidify their defensive vulnerabilities.

Atlas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Uros Djurdjevic
• Midfield Setup: Gustavo Ferrareis and Sergio Hernandez as wing-backs, Victor Rios and Paulo Ramírez central.
• Defensive Trio: Gaddi Aguirre, Rober Pier, Adrián Mora
• Tactical Strengths: Focused attacking play during 31-45 minute intervals.

Head coach Diego Cocca aims to balance the team’s attacking prowess with a resilient defensive structure. Djurdjevic will lead the line, supported by playmakers Diego González and Mateo Ezequiel Garcia in the attacking midfield roles. The midfield will be key, with Ferrareis and Hernandez providing width.

Expect Atlas to rely on swift transitions from defense to attack, utilizing the pace and creativity of their midfield to exploit Leon’s defensive weaknesses.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance

Leon have been struggling considerably in recent weeks, suffering three losses and securing one draw in their last five outings:

1. Santos Laguna 2 – 0 Leon (18 October 2025)
2. Leon 2 – 4 Toluca (5 October 2025)
3. FC Juárez 2 – 0 Leon (27 September 2025)
4. Leon 2 – 2 Mazatlán FC (24 September 2025)
5. Tijuana 5 – 0 Leon (20 September 2025)

Recent Form: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss.

Despite their average of 0.80 goals scored per game over the last five fixtures, Leon’s defense has been their Achilles’ heel, conceding 24 goals in 13 matches and failing to keep a clean sheet in that span. Their lack of defensive solidity has hindered their ability to secure positive results, culminating in their winless streak.

Coach Eduardo Berizzo will need to address these defensive issues urgently if they are to turn their fortunes around against Atlas.

Leon Key Players

Leon will be hoping their key players can rise to the occasion against Atlas. The spotlight will be on top scorer Ismael Diaz, who has netted 5 goals this season. His ability to turn half-chances into goals will be crucial for a Leon side struggling for form.

In midfield, Fernando Beltran will be expected to dictate play and provide much-needed creativity. José Alvarado on the left wing and Jose David Ramirez on the right will look to stretch Atlas’ defense with their pace and dribbling skills.

The expected lineup for Leon:

• Goalkeeper: Oscar Jimenez
• Defenders: Iván Moreno, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Valentín Gauthier, Salvador Reyes
• Midfielders: Rodrigo Echeverría, Nicolás Fonseca, Fernando Beltran
• Attackers: Jose David Ramirez, Rogelio Funes Mori, Jose Alvarado

The individual battle between Diaz and Atlas’ defenders Aguirre, Pier, and Mora could be decisive in determining the outcome of this contest.

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

Leon are dealing with some injury issues ahead of their match against Atlas. Daniel Arcila is doubtful due to a knock injury, and their top scorer, Ismael Diaz, is also listed as doubtful with an unspecified injury.

These potential absences could significantly impact Leon’s attacking capabilities, as Diaz’s goal-scoring prowess has been one of the few bright spots in an otherwise challenging season. Without him, the pressure will fall on players like Rogelio Funes Mori to fill the void.

Coach Eduardo Berizzo may need to tweak his tactics to cope with these potential absentees, potentially affecting their overall game plan against Atlas.

Leon Tactics and Formation

For the upcoming match against Atlas, Leon are expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, which aims to solidify their defense while offering flexibility in attack.

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Rogelio Funes Mori
• Midfield Setup: Rodrigo Echeverría and Nicolás Fonseca as holding midfielders, José Alvarado, Fernando Beltran, and Jose David Ramirez as the attacking trio.
• Defensive Quartet: Iván Moreno, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Valentín Gauthier, Salvador Reyes
• Tactical Strengths: Attacking focus, particularly in the 31-45 minute interval as this is when León scores most of their goals.

Head coach Eduardo Berizzo will look to tighten up the defense, which has been a significant concern this season. The forward trio of Alvarado, Beltran, and Ramirez will need to link effectively with Funes Mori to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Leon will attempt to exploit Atlas’ defensive vulnerabilities with quick transitions and width provided by their wingers.

Atlas vs Leon Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Atlas and Leon, it’s clear that Leon holds a significant upper hand. Here’s a breakdown of their recent meetings:

1. Atlas 1 – 2 Leon (19 January 2025, Liga MX Clausura)
2. Leon 0 – 0 Atlas (24 October 2024, Liga MX Apertura)
3. Atlas 0 – 1 Leon (18 February 2024, Liga MX Clausura)
4. Leon 1 – 1 Atlas (25 October 2023, Liga MX Apertura)
5. Atlas 0 – 1 Leon (11 March 2023, Liga MX Clausura)

Recent head-to-head form: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss.

Leon have won three of these fixtures, with two draws and no wins for Atlas, indicating Leon’s dominance in this matchup. Historically, these games have been closely contested, often decided by narrow margins. With both teams struggling defensively this season, this next encounter promises to be another fascinating battle.

Odds accurate as of 21.10.2025 04:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.