Monterrey vs Queretaro FC Prediction, Match Preview, March 5th

Monterrey vs Queretaro FC Prediction, Match Preview, March 5th. As we look ahead to this intriguing Liga MX clash, Monterrey will host Queretaro FC at the Estadio BBVA on Thursday, March 5th. Monterrey, known for their strong home performances, will be eager to secure a win in front of their fans. Meanwhile, Queretaro FC will aim to upset the hosts and climb the league standings.

This matchup is significant as both teams are vying for crucial points in Liga MX. Monterrey’s home advantage at the Estadio BBVA could play a pivotal role, but Queretaro FC have shown resilience in past encounters. With both sides having much at stake, this promises to be a competitive fixture that could influence their positions in the league table.

Monterrey vs Queretaro FC Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Monterrey to Win	1.38

Given Monterrey’s recent form and their historical dominance over Queretaro FC, our recommended betting tip is to back Monterrey to win. Monterrey’s solid home record, combined with their effective attacking and defensive performances, makes this a strong prediction.

• Monterrey have a superior head-to-head record against Queretaro FC, with three wins and two draws in their last five meetings.
• Key players such as Sergio Canales and Óliver Torres have been in excellent form, contributing significantly to Monterrey’s recent success.
• Queretaro FC’s inconsistency and injury concerns for key players like Diego Reyes and Omar Mendoza make them less likely to pose a significant threat.

Betting Odds

Monterrey are the clear favourites in this Liga MX clash, with betting odds firmly in their favour. Playing at Estadio BBVA, they have been dominant, and bookmakers have set their odds at 1.38 for a home win.

Betting Tip	Odds
Monterrey to win	1.38
Draw	4.53
Queretaro FC to win	7.28

Queretaro FC, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 7.28, reflecting their struggles on the road. A draw is priced at 4.53, which could be tempting given the unpredictability of league matches.

Monterrey Analysis & Past Performance

Monterrey’s recent form has been inconsistent, with the team experiencing mixed results across various competitions. In their last five matches, they have secured two victories, both at home, while suffering three defeats. Notably, their recent 0-2 loss at home against Cruz Azul highlighted their struggles against higher-ranked opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Monterrey	Cruz Azul	0 – 2 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	1 Mar, 2026
Club Universidad Nacional	Monterrey	2 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	22 Feb, 2026
Monterrey	Leon	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	15 Feb, 2026
Monterrey	Club Xelaju	2 – 0 (Win)	CONCACAF Champions Cup	12 Feb, 2026
CF America	Monterrey	1 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	8 Feb, 2026

Recent Form:
The team has averaged just 0.60 goals per game in their last five fixtures, indicating a need for improvement in their attacking play. Defensively, Monterrey have conceded an average of 1.00 goals per match, managing to keep two clean sheets. Their home form is slightly better, with a win ratio of 40%, suggesting they have a competitive edge at Estadio BBVA.

Currently sitting 9th in the league standings with 10 points, Monterrey’s performances have been below expectations. Their goal-scoring capabilities have been limited, as seen in their recent matches where they only scored in two out of the last five games. Uroš Đurđević, their top scorer, has only netted twice, underlining their challenges in the attacking department.

• LLWWL

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey face a few challenges on the injury front that could affect their tactical setup against Queretaro FC. Michell Rodríguez is doubtful with a thigh injury, while Anthony Martial’s dislocated shoulder rules him out until mid-April. The absence of Martial, a pivotal forward, could significantly impact Monterrey’s attacking options. Meanwhile, Fidel Ambriz, dealing with a muscle injury, is expected back in about a week, which means he will likely miss this match.

The potential absence of Michell Rodríguez in midfield may force coach Domènec Torrent to rely more heavily on players like Gerardo Arteaga and Óliver Torres to maintain the team’s balance and depth. With Anthony Martial unavailable, Monterrey might look towards Lucas Ocampos to lead the attack, possibly supported by Sergio Canales, to compensate for Martial’s absence.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Michell Rodríguez	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Anthony Martial	Dislocated shoulder	Mid April 2026
Fidel Ambriz	Muscle injury	About a week

Tactically, Monterrey may need to adjust their formation to cover for these injuries, potentially adopting a more conservative approach to ensure defensive solidity. This could alter their usual attacking style, making them less aggressive up front. The betting markets might see this as an opportunity for Queretaro FC to capitalise on Monterrey’s weakened attack, possibly influencing the odds in favour of the visitors.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey’s attacking prowess will heavily rely on Uroš Đurđević, their top scorer with 2 goals this season. Đurđević’s ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat to any defence. His presence at the forefront is complemented by the creativity of Sergio Canales in midfield, whose vision and passing could unlock Queretaro’s defence. Canales’ partnership with Óliver Torres is expected to be pivotal in controlling the tempo of the game and providing the necessary support to the forward line.

In defence, Carlos Salcedo’s experience and leadership will be crucial in organising the backline against Queretaro FC’s attacking threats. Alongside Víctor Andrés Guzmán, they form a formidable pairing that could prove difficult to break down. The defensive stability will allow the midfield to push forward with more confidence, knowing they have a solid foundation behind them.

Expected lineup for Monterrey:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Cárdenas
• Defence: Ricardo Chávez, Carlos Salcedo, Víctor Andrés Guzmán, Gerardo Arteaga
• Midfield: Lucas Ariel Ocampos, Óliver Torres, Sergio Canales
• Forward: Stefan Medina, Iker Fimbres, Luca Orellano

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Lucas Ocampos
• Midfield Engine: Sergio Canales
• Defensive Record: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Dominating possession with a high pressing game.

Monterrey’s tactical setup under Domènec Torrent often features a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to maintain a strong presence both offensively and defensively. The trio of Ricardo Chávez, Óliver Torres, and Sergio Canales in midfield is pivotal for controlling possession and dictating the tempo of the game.

Defensively, Monterrey have been relatively solid, with Víctor Guzmán and Carlos Salcedo forming a robust central defensive pairing. The team has managed to secure two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to keep opponents at bay.

Offensively, the strategy revolves around Lucas Ocampos, who leads the attack. Monterrey focus on high pressing to disrupt the opposition’s build-up play, effectively transitioning into quick counterattacks. Despite a recent loss, their ability to maintain 57% possession against Cruz Azul indicates their commitment to controlling the game.

Queretaro FC Analysis & Past Performance

Queretaro FC have had a challenging run in their recent matches, managing only one win in their last five games. Their performances include a 2-0 victory over León, but they’ve also faced defeats, such as the 3-0 loss against Atlético de San Luis. Their recent draw against Santos Laguna (2-2) highlights their inconsistency.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Queretaro FC	Santos Laguna	2 – 2 (Draw)	Liga MX Clausura	28 Feb 2026
Atlético de San Luis	Queretaro FC	3 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	14 Feb 2026
Queretaro FC	León	2 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	7 Feb 2026
Queretaro FC	Pachuca	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga MX Clausura	1 Feb 2026
CD Guadalajara	Queretaro FC	2 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	17 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five fixtures, Queretaro FC have averaged 1.00 goals per game while conceding 1.40 goals, indicating a struggle in both attack and defence. They have maintained two clean sheets, showcasing moments of defensive resilience. However, their overall win ratio remains at 20%, which is a concern as they sit 17th in the league standings with 6 points.

Away Performance:

• DLWDL

Away from home, Queretaro FC’s form has been particularly poor, with just one win from their last five away matches. They have conceded in seven consecutive away games, highlighting a significant defensive weakness when playing on the road. Their away win ratio stands at a mere 20%, reflecting their struggles to secure points outside Estadio La Corregidora.

Queretaro FC Suspensions & Injuries

Queretaro FC will face Monterrey with some significant challenges due to injuries. The absence of Federico Lértora, Omar Israel Mendoza, and Michael Carcelén is likely to impact their tactical approach, particularly in midfield stability and defensive transitions. Each player is currently listed as doubtful, adding uncertainty to the team’s depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Federico Lértora	Calf Injury	Doubtful
Omar Israel Mendoza	Foot Injury	Doubtful
Michael Carcelén	Muscle Injury	Doubtful

Federico Lértora’s calf injury means Queretaro FC might lack some defensive resilience and experience in midfield. His potential absence necessitates a tactical adjustment, possibly requiring Santiago Homenchenko to play a more disciplined role in front of the backline. Omar Israel Mendoza’s foot injury leaves a gap in defensive options, potentially forcing coach Esteban González to rely more heavily on other defenders such as Diego Reyes and Francisco Venegas.

Michael Carcelén’s muscle injury further complicates matters for Queretaro FC’s midfield dynamics. With these players doubtful, Esteban González might consider shifting to a more conservative formation to ensure defensive solidity. The injuries could also impact betting markets, as the weakened squad may struggle against Monterrey’s attacking prowess, potentially influencing odds and predictions for the match outcome.

Queretaro FC Key Players

Queretaro FC’s offensive prowess will largely depend on their top scorer, Mateo Coronel, who has already found the net three times this season. Coronel’s ability to exploit spaces and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat to Monterrey’s defence. Partnered in attack with Fernando González, Coronel’s movements and positioning will be crucial in penetrating the opposition’s backline.

Midfield dynamism is provided by Jhojan Julio, whose creativity and vision make him an influential playmaker. His ability to link up play between defence and attack will be vital in maintaining possession and creating goal-scoring opportunities. Defensively, Diego Reyes stands out as a key figure, offering experience and leadership to the backline, which is crucial in organising the team’s defensive structure.

Expected lineup for Queretaro FC:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Allison
• Defenders: Jaime Gómez, Diego Reyes, Lucas Abascia, Francisco Venegas
• Midfielders: Jean Unjanque, Santiago Homenchenko, Carlo García, Jhojan Julio
• Forwards: Fernando González, Mateo Coronel

Queretaro FC Tactics and Formation

Queretaro FC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Mateo Coronel
• Midfield Pivot: Fernando González and Santiago Homenchenko
• Defensive Strength: Limited clean sheets with a focus on counter-attacking play.
• Notable Strategy: Defensive resilience with quick transitions to attack.

Queretaro FC typically utilise a 4-5-1 formation, maximising their midfield presence to disrupt opponents and initiate counter-attacks. With Fernando González and Santiago Homenchenko anchoring the midfield, they focus on breaking up play and transitioning quickly to offence.

Defensively, the back line, including Jaime Gómez and Diego Reyes, aims to maintain a compact shape to minimise spaces. However, their clean sheets have been sparse, reflecting challenges in maintaining defensive solidity over 90 minutes.

Offensively, Mateo Coronel leads the line, supported by midfielders like Jhojan Julio and Carlo García, who provide creativity and penetration. The team often relies on counter-attacks, leveraging any lapses in opposition shape to create scoring opportunities.

Monterrey vs Queretaro FC Head-to-Head Record

Monterrey have dominated the head-to-head record against Queretaro FC with 23 wins out of 41 encounters, while Queretaro have managed just 9 victories, and 10 matches have ended in a draw. The last meeting saw Monterrey clinch a 1-0 win away in the Liga MX Apertura.

When these two last faced off at the Estadio BBVA, Monterrey secured a 2-1 victory in the Liga MX Apertura 2024. Monterrey’s strong home form is evident, as they have consistently outperformed Queretaro in recent years.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Queretaro FC	Monterrey	0 – 1	Liga MX Apertura	2025-09-14
Queretaro FC	Monterrey	2 – 4	Liga MX Clausura	2025-02-16
Monterrey	Queretaro FC	2 – 1	Liga MX Apertura	2024-07-21
Monterrey	Queretaro FC	1 – 1	Liga MX Clausura	2024-01-25
Queretaro FC	Monterrey	0 – 0	Liga MX Apertura	2023-11-11