Puebla vs. Atletico de San Luis Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 August 2025

This Liga MX match promises to be an intriguing contest as Puebla hosts Atletico de San Luis at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Both teams find themselves with 3 points each, occupying positions 16 and 14 in the standings respectively, making this a crucial game for momentum.

Puebla’s inconsistent form includes a crushing 7-0 defeat to Tigres, which highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Key injuries to Fernando Aristeguieta and Lucas Cavallini, along with Ariel Gamarra’s suspension, further weaken their squad.

Atletico de San Luis, led by Guillermo Abascal, have the upper hand historically, winning the last five encounters against Puebla. Their recent form includes two wins in the Leagues Cup and a narrow defeat to Cruz Azul. Joao Pedro, their top scorer with 2 goals, is suspended, but they still seem better placed.

Given Puebla’s defensive issues and past results, an away win for Atletico de San Luis is highly recommended, with bookmaker odds reflecting this tight contest.

Puebla vs Atletico de San Luis Prediction & Betting Tip

• Head-to-Head Dominance: Atletico de San Luis has a superior record, winning the last 5 meetings against Puebla.
• Defensive Issues for Puebla: Puebla has conceded 12 goals in their last 4 matches, including a heavy 7-0 defeat to Tigres.
• Key Injuries: The absence of key players like Fernando Aristeguieta and Lucas Cavallini will likely impact Puebla’s performance.

Puebla vs Atletico de San Luis Odds

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Puebla and Atletico de San Luis offers some intriguing betting odds. With both teams struggling in the lower half of the standings, the odds reflect a tightly contested matchup.

These odds suggest that Puebla is the slight bookmaker favorite, primarily due to their home advantage at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. However, Atletico de San Luis’s superior head-to-head record and recent form can’t be overlooked.
Considering factors such as Puebla’s defensive issues and key injuries, betting on an away win for Atletico de San Luis at odds of 2.90 appears to offer substantial value.

Puebla Team Analysis

Puebla Recent Performance

Puebla has had a rollercoaster of a run in their last five matches, showcasing a mixed bag of performances:

• Tigres – Puebla 7 – 0 (2025-08-09 Liga MX Apertura)
• CF Montreal – Puebla 1 – 2 (2025-08-06 Leagues Cup)
• Columbus Crew – Puebla 3 – 1 (2025-08-01 Leagues Cup)
• New York City FC – Puebla 0 – 3 (2025-07-30 Leagues Cup)
• Puebla – Santos Laguna 1 – 0 (2025-07-26 Liga MX Apertura)

Recent form: WWLWL

The club has been inconsistent, but they did secure a notable win against Santos Laguna and a convincing victory over New York City FC. On average, Puebla scores 1.40 goals per game, and they have kept 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding 12 goals in their last 4 games, including a crushing 7-0 defeat to Tigres.

Puebla Key Players

Puebla will be banking on their top scorer Ricardo Marin, who has netted once this season, to provide the firepower upfront. With Ariel Gamarra suspended, the onus to create chances and score will fall on Marin.
Key battles on the pitch could see Puebla’s Franco Moyano and Alejandro Organista in midfield trying to wrest control from Atletico de San Luis’s robust midfielders like Rodrigo Dourado.

Expected lineup for Puebla:

• Goalkeeper: Julio Gonzalez
• Right center back: Luis Gabriel Rey
• Central back: Efrain Orona
• Left center back: Nicolás Díaz
• Right midfielder: Iker Moreno
• Right central midfielder: Franco Moyano
• Left central midfielder: Alejandro Organista
• Left midfielder: Owen González
• Right forward: Miguel Ramirez
• Center forward: Ricardo Marin
• Left forward: Raul Castillo

The absence of key forwards Fernando Aristeguieta and Lucas Cavallini due to injuries will be a significant setback for Puebla.

Puebla Suspensions & Injuries

Puebla is grappling with several crucial absences that could heavily impact their performance against Atlético de San Luis. Fernando Aristeguieta is sidelined with a broken foot with an unknown return date, while Lucas Cavallini’s cruciate ligament injury keeps him out until late March 2026. Edgar Guerra also remains doubtful due to a knock injury.

Adding to their woes, Ariel Gamarra will miss this match due to suspension following a yellow/red card incident. These absences leave Coach Pablo Guede with limited options up front and in defense, further exposing their already vulnerable backline, which has conceded 12 goals in the last four matches. The influence of these missing players can’t be understated and will likely be a significant factor in the match’s outcome.

Puebla Tactics and Formation

Puebla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ricardo Marín
• Midfield Trio: Franco Moyano, Alejandro Organista, Iker Moreno
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.

Puebla is expected to employ a 4-3-3 formation, with key orchestrator Ricardo Marín leading the attack. Pablo Guede will look to stabilize the midfield trio of Moyano, Organista, and Moreno to control the game’s tempo.

Their defensive coordination, though shaky recently, has shown moments of resilience with two clean sheets in their last five outings. Yet, their inconsistency is evident, particularly in the 46-60 minute interval, where they have conceded most goals this season.

With limited attacking options due to injuries and Gamarra’s suspension, Puebla may adopt a cautious approach, relying on counter-attacks and set pieces to create scoring opportunities.

Atletico de San Luis Team Analysis

Atletico de San Luis Recent Performance

Atletico de San Luis has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, reflecting inconsistency but also showcasing moments of quality:

• Atletico de San Luis – Cruz Azul 1 – 2 (2025-08-12 Liga MX Apertura)
• Minnesota United – Atletico de San Luis 0 – 2 (2025-08-07 Leagues Cup)
• Real Salt Lake – Atletico de San Luis 2 – 2 (Penalty shoot-out: 1 – 4) (2025-08-03 Leagues Cup)
• Portland Timbers – Atletico de San Luis 4 – 0 (2025-07-31 Leagues Cup)
• CD Guadalajara – Atletico de San Luis 4 – 3 (2025-07-26 Liga MX Apertura)

Recent form: LLWWL

While Atletico de San Luis has managed to average 2.40 goals per game, their defensive frailties have also been apparent, conceding in all but one of the last five fixtures. They secured convincing victories against Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake and have only one clean sheet in their last five games, which indicates the need for more defensive rigidity.

Atletico de San Luis Key Players

Atletico de San Luis will look to their key players to make an impact in this fixture. Even though their top scorer Joao Pedro is suspended, other influential players like Mateo Klimowicz and Benjamin Galdames are expected to step up. Klimowicz, who assumes the centre forward role, will carry the goal-scoring responsibility.

Key matchups to watch include Rodrigo Dourado in midfield, who will be pivotal in breaking up Puebla’s attacks and dictating play. Defensively, Juanpe and Eduardo Águila must be on top of their game to handle Puebla’s forwards.

Expected lineup for Atletico de San Luis:

• Goalkeeper: Andres Sanchez
• Defenders: Roman Torres, Juanpe, Eduardo Aguila, Juan Manuel Sanabria
• Midfielders: Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Rodrigo Dourado, Benjamin Galdames, Yan Phillipe, Miguel García
• Forward: Mateo Klimowicz

These players will be crucial, especially given Puebla’s defensive vulnerabilities and key absences.

Atletico de San Luis Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico de San Luis will be missing key player Joao Pedro Galvão due to suspension after receiving a red card. His absence could impact their attacking effectiveness, as he has been pivotal with 2 goals this season.
In terms of injuries, Franck Boli is doubtful with a thigh injury, and Cesar Ivan Lopez is out until mid-April 2026 with a cruciate ligament injury. The absence of these players might compel coach Guillermo Abascal to reshuffle his lineup and strategize differently.

Despite the suspensions and injuries, Atletico de San Luis have demonstrated depth in their squad, with capable replacements ready to step up and cover for their missing teammates. This adaptability will be critical against Puebla.

Atletico de San Luis Tactics and Formation

Atletico de San Luis Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Mateo Klimowicz
• Midfield Trio: Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Rodrigo Dourado, Benjamin Galdames
• Defensive Strength: Averaging 1.5 goals conceded per match this season.

Atletico de San Luis will likely stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation, placing Mateo Klimowicz at the forefront of their attack. Given Joao Pedro’s suspension, Klimowicz will be crucial in breaking down Puebla’s defense.
The defensive midfield duo of Salles Lamonge and Dourado will be instrumental in intercepting Puebla’s advances and transitioning to counter-attacks. Galdames and Phillipe will provide width and creativity in the midfield.

Expect Atletico de San Luis to focus on breaking Puebla’s shaky defense, aiming to exploit their noted vulnerabilities, particularly in the 46-60 minute interval where they tend to concede the most.

Puebla vs Atletico de San Luis Head-to-Head Statistics

Puebla and Atletico de San Luis have faced off five times recently, and it’s been one-way traffic with Atletico de San Luis dominating each encounter. The results are as follows:

• 2025-01-18: Puebla 1 – 2 Atletico de San Luis (Liga MX Clausura)
• 2024-11-02: Atletico de San Luis 2 – 0 Puebla (Liga MX Apertura)
• 2024-03-02: Atletico de San Luis 4 – 0 Puebla (Liga MX Clausura)
• 2023-08-19: Puebla 1 – 2 Atletico de San Luis (Liga MX Apertura)
• 2023-02-03: Atletico de San Luis 2 – 0 Puebla (Liga MX Clausura)

Atletico de San Luis has shown a consistent ability to outperform Puebla, winning all five matches, often with comfortable scorelines. This historical dominance adds to their psychological edge going into this game.

Venue and Weather

The match between Puebla and Atlético de San Luis will take place at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, an iconic venue with a capacity of approximately 51,000 spectators. Known for its electric atmosphere, the stadium could provide the home team with much-needed support in this crucial fixture.

While specific weather details for the 16 August 2025 match day aren’t available, any adverse conditions could significantly impact the game. Hot and humid weather, common in the region, could test the fitness of both squads, especially given the high pace and intensity of Liga MX matches.

Adaptations might include more hydration breaks or slower build-up play to conserve energy. Both teams will need to be tactically flexible to handle whatever Mother Nature throws their way. This could level the playing field, especially if conditions favor endurance and tactical discipline over outright skill.

Odds accurate as of 14.08.2025 02:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.