Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 November 2025

The 11th round of LaLiga brings us an exciting fixture between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, set for 1 November 2025 at 15:15. Atletico Madrid currently sit comfortably in 4th place with 19 points, showcasing solid form with three wins, a draw, and just one loss in their last five games. Sevilla, on the other hand, are hoping to improve from their mid-table 11th position, having accumulated 13 points from 10 matches.

Diego Simeone’s men, who have scored first in 90% of their matches this season, are the favourites. Atletico Madrid’s star forward, Julian Alvarez, has netted six goals and will be key in attacking plays. Sevilla, managed by Matias Almeyda, have had mixed results recently but registered an impressive 4-1 win against Barcelona, proving they can be dangerous with Isaac Romero leading the line.

Given both teams’ attacking prowess and the historical tendency for high-scoring encounters, a recommended bet is over 1.5 goals in the first half. This promises to be a thrilling match that might see Atletico Madrid extending their unbeaten home streak to ten matches. Expect electrifying football with a lot of goals, making for an entertaining afternoon.

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting tip

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Betting tip
Over 1.5 goals in 1st half

• Atletico Madrid have shown a penchant for scoring early, netting first in 90% of their matches this season.
• Sevilla often struggles to maintain possession and counter the opposition effectively, leading to high-scoring first halves.
• Both teams are known for their attacking play, suggesting an open and exciting first half.

Given these factors, betting on over 1.5 goals in the first half appears a smart choice. Atletico’s consistent early scoring combined with Sevilla’s inability to convert possession into defensive solidity makes this a likely outcome. Expect an exciting and high-octane start to the match.

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Odds

Atletico Madrid are the clear favourites heading into their La Liga match against Sevilla on 1 November 2025. The odds reflect Atletico’s strong form and home advantage, particularly given their unbeaten streak at home this season. The bookmakers have set the odds significantly in favour of the home side, highlighting their potential to secure all three points.

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Atletico Madrid	1.33
Draw	5.30
Sevilla	8.62

These odds indicate a strong likelihood of an Atletico Madrid victory, but the potential for a high-scoring game remains given both teams’ offensive capabilities. Live betting options may also offer interesting opportunities as the match unfolds, particularly if Sevilla can leverage their away form to put early pressure on the hosts.

Expect an engaging encounter that could offer value in betting markets beyond the outright winner, especially given Sevilla’s ability to score in all of their away games this season.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance:

Atletico Madrid have showcased a strong form in their recent performances, exhibiting a balance between defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Out of their last five matches, they’ve secured three wins, one draw, and one loss, which includes a notable 2-0 away win against Real Betis and a solid 1-0 victory over Osasuna.

In these matches, Atletico have averaged 1.80 goals per game and managed to keep 2 clean sheets, highlighting their defensive resilience under Diego Simeone. Despite a heavy 4-0 loss to Arsenal in the Champions League, their domestic form remains robust.

Their attacking lineup, led by Julian Alvarez with six goals, has been pivotal in maintaining their strong league position. Atletico’s ability to score first in 90% of their matches this season further demonstrates their aggressive start in games, setting the tone early and often dictating the pace.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Atletico Madrid’s squad boasts several key players who have been instrumental in their recent success. Julian Alvarez, the team’s top scorer with six goals, leads the attacking lineup and is expected to play a pivotal role in breaking down Sevilla’s defense. He will be partnered by Alejandro Baena, adding further firepower to their offensive capabilities.

In midfield, Koke’s experience and leadership are vital, providing balance and creativity. Alongside him, Conor Gallagher’s box-to-box energy and Nico Gonzalez’s playmaking are crucial in controlling the midfield battle.

Defensively, the solid pairing of Robin Le Normand and José Giménez stands tall, shielding Jan Oblak, who remains one of the best goalkeepers in the league.

Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Marcos Llorente, José Giménez, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Conor Gallagher, Nico Gonzalez
• Forwards: Julian Alvarez, Alejandro Baena

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid are dealing with a few key absences that could impact their lineup. Ilias Kostis is out for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury, a significant blow to their defensive options. Midfielder Pablo Barrios is doubtful for the match with a muscle injury, which could affect their depth in the middle of the park. Additionally, goalkeeper Juan Musso is also doubtful due to a virus, putting further pressure on the squad.

These injuries mean Diego Simeone might need to rely on his squad depth to navigate this period. The absence of Kostis, in particular, may impact the defensive solidity that Atletico is known for, while the potential absence of Barrios could reduce options in midfield creativity and defensive cover.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Julian Alvarez
• Midfield Quartet: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Conor Gallagher, Nico Gonzalez
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Early aggression, scoring first in 90% of matches this season

Atletico Madrid are expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation, with a solid defensive base and midfield versatility. Julian Alvarez, their top scorer, is pivotal in leading the attack. The midfield quartet, including the experienced Koke and the dynamic Conor Gallagher, aims to dominate possession and link up play effectively.

Defensively, the pairing of José Giménez and Robin Le Normand, along with Jan Oblak in goal, ensures stability. Atletico’s strategy revolves around strong starts, often dictating the pace from the get-go and imposing their rhythm early in the match. This approach has helped them maintain an unbeaten home record, signalling their intent to control and capitalize on home advantage.

Sevilla Team Analysis

Sevilla Recent Performance:

Sevilla’s form has been mixed of late, as evidenced by their recent results. In their last five games, they’ve claimed three wins and suffered two losses. Despite the inconsistencies, Sevilla have shown glimpses of their attacking prowess, particularly with their impressive 4-1 victory over Barcelona and a commanding 4-1 win against Toledo in the Copa del Rey.

On average, Sevilla have scored 2.20 goals per game in their last five matches, indicating a robust offensive setup. However, their defensive frailties are evident as they’ve only managed one clean sheet in the same period. This inconsistency at the back could be a point of concern for manager Matias Almeyda heading into the match against Atletico Madrid.

Their fluctuating form means Sevilla are capable of producing high-scoring games but also struggle to maintain defensive solidity, a factor that could be pivotal against a resilient Atletico side.

Sevilla Key Players

Sevilla will be looking to their key players to produce a standout performance against Atletico Madrid. Isaac Romero, with three goals this season, leads the attacking line and will be crucial in breaking down a resilient Atletico defence. Ruben Vargas on the left wing adds pace and creativity, making him a vital part of Sevilla’s offensive plays.

In midfield, Djibril Sow’s robust presence and Alfonso Gonzalez’s playmaking abilities will be central to Sevilla’s ability to control the tempo and provide service to their forwards. Defensively, Marcos Teixeira Marcão and Fabio Cardoso will need to be at their best to contain Atletico’s potent attack led by Julian Alvarez.

Expected lineup for Sevilla:

• Goalkeeper: Odisseas Vlachodimos
• Defenders: Jose Angel Carmona, Fabio Cardoso, Marcos Teixeira Marcão, Gabriel Suazo
• Midfielders: Nemanja Gudelj, Alfonso Gonzalez, Djibril Sow
• Forwards: Juanlu Sanchez, Isaac Romero, Ruben Vargas

Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries

Sevilla will be grappling with several notable absences that might influence their performance against Atletico Madrid. Lucien Agoume is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, and his presence in midfield will be sorely missed for controlling the game’s tempo.

Additionally, the team’s injury list includes Joan Jordan, Isra Domínguez, and Alexis Sanchez, all out until mid-November due to various ailments. These injuries hinder Sevilla’s options in both midfield and attack, limiting their tactical flexibility.

These absences could significantly weaken their ability to contend with Atletico Madrid’s robust form, and manager Matias Almeyda will need to lean on his squad depth to navigate these challenges effectively.

Sevilla Tactics and Formation

Sevilla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Isaac Romero
• Midfield Trio: Nemanja Gudelj, Alfonso Gonzalez, Djibril Sow
• Defensive Strength: Notably frail with only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Maintaining a strong offensive play; scored in every away game this season

Sevilla are expected to adopt a 4-3-3 formation for their clash against Atletico Madrid. This setup aims to leverage their offensive strengths, particularly through Isaac Romero, who leads the attack. The midfield, anchored by Nemanja Gudelj alongside the dynamic duo of Alfonso Gonzalez and Djibril Sow, will be vital in transitioning play and creating scoring opportunities.

On the defensive front, Sevilla have struggled for consistency, which has been an area of concern with just one clean sheet in their recent fixtures. Their strategy focuses on strong offensive drives, having scored in every away match this season, which may be crucial in overcoming Atletico’s solid defence.

Expect Sevilla to push aggressively in attack, aiming to exploit any gaps in Atletico’s backline early on.

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla indicate a history of closely contested matches. Over the last five meetings, Atletico Madrid have the upper hand with four victories compared to Sevilla’s one win:

• 6 April 2025: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid (LaLiga)
• 8 December 2024: Atletico Madrid 4-3 Sevilla (LaLiga)
• 11 February 2024: Sevilla 1-0 Atletico Madrid (LaLiga)
• 25 January 2024: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla (Copa del Rey)
• 23 December 2023: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla (LaLiga)

These matches typically showcase tight margins and competitive spirit, with Atletico Madrid often emerging as narrow victors. Atletico’s ability to maintain defensive resilience, combined with their attackers’ proficiency, has seen them clinch close wins. Meanwhile, Sevilla’s lone win demonstrates they can upset Atletico when in form.

Given the past trends, expect another fiercely contested match with both teams vying for control from the onset.

Odds accurate as of 30.10.2025 15:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.