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Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Friday, 23 January

Auxerre-Paris Saint-Germain
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Auxerre0 - 1Paris Saint-Germain

Auxerre are set to face Paris Saint-Germain in a highly anticipated Ligue 1 clash this Friday, 23 January. The match will take place at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter between these two French sides. This fixture carries significant weight as Auxerre seek to challenge the might of Paris Saint-Germain, a team renowned for their dominance in the league.

Paris Saint-Germain, with their star-studded line-up, will aim to continue their strong Ligue 1 campaign, while Auxerre will be eager to make a statement on home soil. The dynamics of this match are particularly interesting for those considering betting tips, as Auxerre’s home advantage could play a crucial role against the formidable visitors. This fixture promises to be a captivating contest, with both teams having much at stake in their pursuit of league success.

Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Paris Saint-Germain -1.50 (Asian Handicap) 1.93

PSG -1.5 is a strong betting tip for this match. Auxerre have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, while PSG’s high-quality midfield and attacking prowess should easily exploit these weaknesses. PSG have scored first in 89% of their matches this season, further supporting the likelihood of a two-goal margin.

  • Auxerre concede 1.6 goals on average, making a two-goal win for PSG plausible.
  • PSG have scored first in 89% of their matches, allowing them to control the game tempo.
  • PSG’s superior midfield and individual quality are likely to create numerous scoring opportunities.

Betting Odds

Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites heading into this Ligue 1 clash against Auxerre, with the betting odds heavily in their favour. Auxerre, playing at home at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, are seen as underdogs with odds of 8.59, while PSG’s odds stand at a short 1.31, reflecting their dominance in the league.

Betting Tip Odds
Auxerre to win 8.59
Draw 5.46
Paris Saint-Germain to win 1.31

For those seeking value, the draw is priced at 5.46, which may appeal to punters expecting a surprise result. With PSG’s attacking prowess, betting on over 2.5 goals could be a wise choice, especially given their recent scoring form.

Auxerre Analysis & Past Performance

Auxerre’s recent form has been challenging, with their last five matches resulting in just one win and four defeats. This includes losses against Lens (0-1) and Brest (0-2), reflecting a struggling side currently positioned 17th in Ligue 1. The team’s win ratio stands at 20%, highlighting the need for improvement to climb the league table.

Home Side Away Side Result Competition Date
Lens Auxerre 1 – 0 (Loss) Ligue 1 17 Jan 2026
Brest Auxerre 2 – 0 (Loss) Ligue 1 4 Jan 2026
Auxerre Monaco 1 – 2 (Loss) Coupe de France 21 Dec 2025
Auxerre Lille 3 – 4 (Loss) Ligue 1 14 Dec 2025
Auxerre Metz 3 – 1 (Win) Ligue 1 7 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

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Auxerre have averaged 1.40 goals per game in their last five outings, but defensive frailties are evident as they have conceded 2.00 goals per match on average. Notably, they have failed to keep a clean sheet, which underscores their defensive vulnerabilities. At home, their form mirrors their overall struggles with a similar win ratio of 20%. The absence of clean sheets at home further complicates their defensive solidity, posing a significant challenge as they prepare to host Paris Saint-Germain.

Auxerre Suspensions & Injuries

Auxerre face this crucial Ligue 1 clash against Paris Saint-Germain with two notable absences due to injury. Francisco Sierralta, a defender whose presence could have bolstered the backline, is sidelined with an unspecified injury and his return date remains unknown. Similarly, Nathan Buayi-Kiala, whose versatility in midfield could have provided additional options, is also unavailable due to injury with an uncertain return timeline.

Given these unavailabilities, Auxerre’s coach Christophe Pélissier will need to rely heavily on the players available in the starting line-up, such as Marvin Senaya and Naouirou Ahamada, to fill these gaps effectively. The current formation, a 5-3-2, appears robust enough to maintain defensive stability, but the lack of depth could challenge Auxerre if the match becomes physically demanding.

Player Injury Expected Return
Francisco Sierralta Unknown Unknown
Nathan Buayi-Kiala Unknown Unknown

The absence of Sierralta and Buayi-Kiala means Auxerre may face tactical limitations, particularly in defensive transitions and midfield flexibility. This could impact their ability to counter PSG’s attacking prowess, making it crucial for the available players to step up in their roles. Bettors might consider these factors, as Auxerre’s weakened depth could influence the odds against a dominant PSG side.

Auxerre Key Players

Auxerre’s attacking threat is led by Lassine Sinayoko, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. His ability to find the net, combined with his agility and movement, makes him a constant danger to opposition defences. Sinayoko’s partnership with forward Danny Namaso is expected to be pivotal, as Namaso’s pace and skill can create opportunities for Sinayoko to exploit.

In midfield, Naouirou Ahamada and Oussama El Azzouzi provide the essential balance between defence and attack. Ahamada’s vision and passing range allow Auxerre to transition smoothly, while El Azzouzi’s work rate and defensive capabilities offer solidity. This midfield duo is crucial in dictating the pace and controlling the game’s tempo.

Expected line-up for Auxerre

  • Goalkeeper: Donovan Léon
  • Defence: Lamine Sy, Marvin Senaya, Sinaly Diomandé, Clément Akpa, Fredrik Oppegård
  • Midfield: Naouirou Ahamada, Oussama El Azzouzi, Kévin Danois
  • Forward: Lassine Sinayoko, Danny Namaso

Defensively, the presence of Sinaly Diomandé and Marvin Senaya is significant. Diomandé’s strength in aerial duels and Senaya’s tackling ability are key to Auxerre’s defensive stability. Their performances will be vital in neutralising Paris Saint-Germain’s potent attacking threats. As Auxerre look to secure a positive result, these key players will be instrumental in shaping the team’s tactical approach.

Auxerre Tactics and Formation

Auxerre Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 5-3-2
  • Key Forward: Lassine Sinayoko
  • Midfield Engine: Naouirou Ahamada and Oussama El Azzouzi
  • Defensive Setup: Struggled with clean sheets, none in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Compact defensive play and reliance on counterattacks.

Auxerre operate with a 5-3-2 formation, emphasising a solid defensive structure aimed at absorbing pressure and launching quick counterattacks. The defensive line, featuring Lamine Sy and Sinaly Diomandé, is tasked with maintaining compactness and limiting space for opposing forwards.

In midfield, Naouirou Ahamada and Oussama El Azzouzi play crucial roles in transitioning from defence to attack. Their ability to break up play and distribute effectively is pivotal, especially given Auxerre’s difficulties in maintaining possession against teams like Paris Saint-Germain.

Offensively, Auxerre lean heavily on Lassine Sinayoko to spearhead their attacks, supported by Danny Namaso. Despite a lack of clean sheets, their strategy revolves around resilience and opportunistic breaks, hoping to exploit any lapses in the opposition’s defence.

Paris Saint-Germain Analysis & Past Performance

Paris Saint-Germain have demonstrated mixed form in their recent encounters, compiling a record of three wins and two losses across their last five matches. This sequence includes a notable 3-0 victory over Lille and a challenging 1-2 defeat against Sporting CP in the Champions League.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Sporting CP Paris Saint-Germain 2 – 1 (Loss) Champions League 20 Jan, 2026
Paris Saint-Germain Lille 3 – 0 (Win) Ligue 1 16 Jan, 2026
Paris Saint-Germain Paris FC 0 – 1 (Loss) French Cup 12 Jan, 2026
Paris Saint-Germain Marseille N/A Super Cup 8 Jan, 2026
Paris Saint-Germain Paris FC 2 – 1 (Win) Ligue 1 4 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:
PSG’s attacking prowess remains evident, with an average of 2.40 goals scored per match in their last five fixtures, contributing to a total of 12 goals. However, their defence has been less impervious, conceding 1.40 goals per game, with only one clean sheet achieved during this span. This indicates a need for improved defensive focus, especially in away games where they have won just two of their last five.

PSG’s away form has been relatively steady, with a win ratio of 40% over the last five away matches. Despite this, they have struggled to maintain consistency on the road, evidenced by two losses and one draw. Bradley Barcola has been a key figure in attack, leading the scoring charts with six goals, highlighting the reliance on individual brilliance to secure victories.

Currently sitting second in Ligue 1, PSG have amassed 42 points, reflecting a strong league campaign despite recent hiccups. The team will look to leverage their offensive capabilities while shoring up their defence to maintain their position and challenge for the top spot.

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Paris Saint-Germain Suspensions & Injuries

Paris Saint-Germain face a few injury challenges ahead of their clash with Auxerre. The absence of Matvey Safonov due to a broken hand and Kang-In Lee with a thigh injury may not directly impact the starting line-up, as neither features in the current preferred eleven. However, their absence is a blow to the squad’s depth, particularly in providing rotation options in a busy fixture schedule. Quentin Ndjantou’s hamstring injury and João Neves’s muscle injury further stretch PSG’s resources, with their returns expected around late January 2026, which means Luis Enrique will have to manage his squad carefully.

With these injuries, the tactical impact on Paris Saint-Germain is relatively minimal given that the core first-team players remain available. The starting line-up remains strong, with Senny Mayulu and Vitinha leading the midfield and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in attack. However, the lack of bench depth could become a factor if the match proves physically demanding or if any in-game injuries occur. PSG may have to rely on less experienced players to fill gaps or provide late-game energy.

Player Injury Expected Return
Matvey Safonov Broken hand Late January 2026
Kang-In Lee Thigh injury Late January 2026
Quentin Ndjantou Hamstring injury Late January 2026
João Neves Muscle injury Doubtful

Despite these challenges, Paris Saint-Germain remain favourites against Auxerre. The betting markets might not see a significant shift due to these absences, given that the key players are fit and ready. However, punters should consider the potential for fatigue or tactical adjustments affecting PSG’s performance over the course of the match, especially if they need to make early substitutions.

Paris Saint-Germain Key Players

Paris Saint-Germain’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by their top scorer, Bradley Barcola, who has netted 6 goals this season. Barcola’s ability to exploit space and his clinical finishing make him a formidable threat to Auxerre’s defence. His movement off the ball and sharp instincts in the box are crucial for PSG’s attacking play, often creating opportunities from seemingly tight situations.

In midfield, Vitinha is expected to be the orchestrator, providing both defensive support and attacking impetus. His vision and passing accuracy will be vital in transitioning play and maintaining possession under pressure. Defensively, Marquinhos leads the backline with his exceptional reading of the game and leadership qualities, essential in organising the defence and initiating play from the back.

Expected line-up for Paris Saint-Germain

  • Goalkeeper: Lucas Chevalier
  • Defenders: Warren Zaïre-Emery, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
  • Midfielders: Senny Mayulu, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz
  • Forwards: Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

The tactical impact of these key players cannot be overstated. Barcola’s goal-scoring capabilities, coupled with Vitinha’s creative influence and Marquinhos’ defensive solidity, shape PSG’s strategic approach. Their strengths lie in fast-paced counter-attacks and solid defensive organisation, which could prove decisive in overcoming Auxerre. However, maintaining concentration and cohesion across all lines will be crucial to PSG’s success.

Paris Saint-Germain Tactics and Formation

Paris Saint-Germain Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Ousmane Dembélé
  • Midfield Pivot: Vitinha and Fabián Ruiz
  • Defensive Strength: Strong central defence with Marquinhos and Willian Pacho
  • Notable Strategy: High possession play and aggressive wing attacks.

Paris Saint-Germain’s 4-3-3 formation allows them to dominate possession, as evidenced by their 68% possession in their last match. The midfield trio, led by Vitinha and Fabián Ruiz, is pivotal in both maintaining ball control and creating chances. Senny Mayulu completes the midfield, adding defensive stability and support in transitions.

Defensively, PSG’s strength lies in their central defenders, Marquinhos and Willian Pacho, who provide a robust barrier, contributing to their recent clean sheets. Nuno Mendes and Warren Zaïre-Emery offer width and pace, crucial for both defensive cover and supporting attacks down the flanks.

Offensively, PSG’s approach focuses on utilising the pace and dribbling skills of Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The absence of Bradley Barcola might require tactical adjustments, but the inclusion of Désiré Doué adds youthful energy and unpredictability to their forward line.

Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Paris Saint-Germain, PSG have the upper hand with 18 wins compared to Auxerre’s 10, alongside 9 draws. The last meeting saw PSG secure a 2-0 victory at home in September 2025, continuing their dominance in Ligue 1 encounters.

Their last clash at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps ended in a 0-0 draw in December 2024, showing that Auxerre can hold their ground at home against the Parisian giants. However, PSG’s recent form suggests they are tough to beat, especially with their attacking prowess.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Paris Saint-Germain Auxerre 2 – 0 Ligue 1 2025-09-27
Paris Saint-Germain Auxerre 3 – 1 Ligue 1 2025-05-17
Auxerre Paris Saint-Germain 0 – 0 Ligue 1 2024-12-06
Auxerre Paris Saint-Germain 1 – 2 Ligue 1 2023-05-21
Paris Saint-Germain Auxerre 5 – 0 Ligue 1 2022-11-13
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