Brest vs. Montpellier Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As we head into Round 32 of Ligue 1, Brest welcomes Montpellier to Stade Francis le Ble on 4 May 2025 at 16:15. Brest, sitting 9th on the table with 44 points, will look to solidify their position against Montpellier, who are struggling in the last place with only 16 points.
Brest, coached by Eric Roy, has been prolific in their recent matches, especially at home, where they tend to dominate weaker teams. Their forward line, led by Ludovic Ajorque, who has netted 12 goals this season, will be aiming for another high-scoring performance. Despite failing to keep clean sheets recently, they have scored an average of 2.20 goals over the last five games.
On the other hand, Montpellier, under Zoumana Camara’s guidance, has seen better days. Having not won in their last 12 matches, they are desperate for points. Arnaud Nordin could be key for them if they hope to break their losing streak. The visitors have struggled defensively, conceding the most in the 46-60 minute interval, which could be exploited by Brest’s aggressive play. The bookmaker odds favor Brest significantly, with odds for a home win set at 1.36.
Our prediction sees Brest capitalizing on Montpellier’s defensive woes. A recommended bet would be Brest -2.5 Asian Handicap, expecting them to secure a commanding win by at least three goals.
Brest vs Montpellier Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is Brest -2.5 Asian Handicap. This tip has been chosen because Brest is in solid home form and often dominates weaker teams. Additionally, Montpellier has struggled defensively, especially away from home, making a big win for Brest a likely outcome. Here’s a quick overview for an easy read:
| Brest vs Montpellier Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Brest -2.5 Asian Handicap | 1.36 |
- Brest’s aggressive play creates opportunities for a commanding win.
- Montpellier’s defensive issues, especially on the road, make them likely to concede several goals.
- Despite Brest’s lack of recent clean sheets, their high scoring form ensures a solid margin of victory.
Brest is favored to capitalize on Montpellier’s weaknesses, especially with a strong forward line and home advantage.
Brest vs Montpellier Odds
Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Brest and Montpellier in Ligue 1:
| Brest vs Montpellier Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Brest | 1.36 |
| Draw | 5.08 |
| Montpellier | 7.72 |
Brest is the clear favorite in this match, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.36 for a home win, reflecting their solid home form and dominance against weaker teams.
The odds for a draw are 5.08, indicating that it’s considered a less likely outcome.
For Montpellier, the odds of winning are long at 7.72, signaling their struggles and poor recent performances.
Brest Team Analysis
Brest Recent Performance
Brest’s recent form in Ligue 1 has been a mixed bag, but they’ve shown resilience and attacking prowess in their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | Brest | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Brest | Lens | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Saint-Etienne | Brest | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Brest | Monaco | 2025-04-05 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Brest | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 2-4 (Win) |
Despite conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game across the season, Brest has managed to score an average of 2.20 goals in their last five games, demonstrating their offensive strength. However, they have struggled defensively, with no clean sheets in this recent run. Brest currently holds the 9th position with 44 points and remains a strong side at home, suggesting they will be looking to capitalize on their attacking form to secure maximum points against struggling Montpellier. Brest’s aggressive play style makes them a formidable opponent when they are on form.
Brest Key Players
Brest’s key players are poised to make a significant impact against Montpellier. Leading the attack is Ludovic Ajorque, Brest’s top scorer with 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial. Supporting him in the forward line is Abdallah Sima, who has also shown an eye for goal.
In the midfield, the trio of Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, and Hugo Magnetti will be key in controlling the game’s tempo and creating opportunities. Defensively, the backline led by Brendan Chardonnet and Julien Le Cardinal needs to tighten up given Brest’s tendency to concede goals.
Expected lineup for Brest:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Bizot
- Defenders: Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Julien Le Cardinal, Massadio Haidara
- Midfielders: Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti
- Attackers: Abdallah Sima, Ludovic Ajorque, Mathias Pereira Lage
Brest Suspensions & Injuries
Brest is grappling with several injuries ahead of their clash with Montpellier, which could significantly impact their performance. Here’s the list of affected players:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Locko | Achilles tendon injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Ibrahim Salah | Foot injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Soumaila Coulibaly | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Justin Bourgault | Foot injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Jordan Amavi | Calf injury | Late May 2025 |
With key players like Locko, Salah, and Amavi sidelined, Brest’s depth and adaptability will be put to the test. The absence of these experienced players might affect the team’s defensive and offensive balance. Eric Roy will need to rely on his available squad to step up and fill these gaps effectively.
Brest Tactics and Formation
Brest Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ludovic Ajorque
- Midfield Trio: Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti
- Defensive Issues: No clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Aggressive play, aiming to dominate weaker teams
Eric Roy’s team typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Ludovic Ajorque spearheading the attack. The midfield trio of Lees-Melou, Camara, and Magnetti is designed to control the pace of the game and distribute play effectively.
Despite defensive issues, their attacking prowess often compensates, especially in the 61-75-minute interval, where they look to exploit the opponent’s weaknesses. Expect an aggressive approach from Brest, aiming to capitalize on Montpellier’s struggling defense.
Montpellier Team Analysis
Montpellier Recent Performance DLLLL
Montpellier has been enduring a tough phase recently, reflected in their last five matches, which showcase a dismal form.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | Reims | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Marseille | Montpellier | 2025-04-19 | Ligue 1 | 5-1 (Loss) |
| Angers | Montpellier | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Montpellier | Le Havre | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Auxerre | Montpellier | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
Montpellier has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.20 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have managed just one clean sheet in the same period. The lack of scoring and defensive fragility has placed them at the bottom of the table, and they will need to significantly improve to have any hope against Brest.
Montpellier Key Players
Montpellier, struggling at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, will look towards their key players to turn their fortunes around.
Arnaud Nordin, with 4 goals this season, remains the squad’s sharpest attacking threat. Junior Ndiaye, expected to lead the line, will need to find his scoring boots if Montpellier hopes to break their goal drought.
Expected lineup for Montpellier:
- Goalkeeper: Benjamin Lecomte
- Defenders: Wilfried Ndollo Bille, Yael Mouanga, Becir Omeragic, Lucas Mincarelli, Theo Sainte-Luce
- Midfielders: Tanguy Coulibaly, Jordan Ferri, Rabby Nzingoula, Khalil Fayad
- Attackers: Junior Ndiaye
Key individual battles to watch for include Ludovic Ajorque vs Becir Omeragic, as Brest’s top scorer will test Montpellier’s fragile defence.
Montpellier Suspensions & Injuries
Montpellier is grappling with a slew of injuries, which could impact their upcoming match significantly.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jullien | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Nikola Maksimovic | Hamstring injury | Out for season |
| Enzo Tchato | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Andy Delort | Illness | About 1-2 weeks |
| Modibo Sagnan | Thigh injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Nicolas Cozza | Foot injury | Out for season |
With such important players sidelined, especially in defense, Montpellier may find it hard to solidify their backline and resist Brest’s offense. The absence of Jullien and Maksimovic, in particular, could be a major hurdle in combating Brest’s attacking prowess. Additionally, Delort’s absence due to illness leaves Montpellier shorthanded up front, potentially limiting their goal-scoring options. This scenario certainly makes their task even tougher in this crucial encounter.
Montpellier Tactics and Formation
Montpellier’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 5-4-1
- Key Forward: Junior Ndiaye
- Midfield Setup: Right midfielder – Tanguy Coulibaly, Right central midfielder – Jordan Ferri, Left central midfielder – Rabby Nzingoula, Left midfielder – Khalil Fayad
- Defensive Line:
- Right back: Wilfried Ndollo Bille
- Right center back: Yael Mouanga
- Central back: Becir Omeragic
- Left center back: Lucas Mincarelli
- Left back: Theo Sainte-Luce
Despite their recent struggles, Montpellier will likely stick to a defensive 5-4-1 formation to try to mitigate Brest’s attacking threats. Given their poor form and several key injuries, their primary focus will be on maintaining a solid defensive structure.
Expect them to rely on counter-attacks, with Ndiaye’s pace up front being a crucial element. With Ferri and Nzingoula anchoring the midfield, they’ll aim to disrupt Brest’s play and spring quick transitions to catch their opponents off-guard.
Brest vs Montpellier Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | Brest | 2024-11-10 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Brest | Montpellier | 2024-01-14 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Win) |
| Montpellier | Brest | 2023-11-26 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Win) |
| Montpellier | Brest | 2023-02-12 | Ligue 1 | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Brest | Montpellier | 2022-08-28 | Ligue 1 | 0-7 (Loss) |
The previous five encounters between Brest and Montpellier have been quite varied, with both teams experiencing victories and heavy defeats. Brest will look to replicate their last home performance against Montpellier, where they secured a 2-0 win. Conversely, Montpellier will need to overcome their recent poor form to avoid another defeat.
Odds correct as of 02/05/2025 16:16, and may change. Always verify the odds before placing bets with any bookmaker.
