Auxerre vs. Le Havre Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Auxerre will host Le Havre at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps on 4 May 2025, in what promises to be a crucial Ligue 1 clash. With referee Jérémie Pignard officiating, Auxerre, currently 10th with 41 points, are the favourites despite a mixed recent form of WLLWW. Meanwhile, 16th-placed Le Havre, sitting precariously with 28 points, desperately need a win to fend off relegation.
Auxerre has shown defensive solidity with three clean sheets in the last five games; however, injury concerns for key players like top scorer Hamed Traore could impact their performance.
Le Havre, despite being underdogs with odds of 3.34, has demonstrated resilience, scoring in 80% of their away games. Our recommended bet is for Le Havre to win, as they have previously bested Auxerre this season, showcasing their potential to create an upset.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting tip
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Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction | |
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Betting tip | Odds |
Le Havre to win | 3.34 |
- Le Havre’s victory against Auxerre earlier this season demonstrates their ability to compete strongly.
- Le Havre has a history of scoring in 80% of their away matches, indicating their offensive capabilities.
- Auxerre, dealing with key injuries, may struggle despite being favourites, giving Le Havre a potential edge.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Odds
- This matchup between Auxerre and Le Havre offers an interesting spread of betting odds.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Betting Odds | |
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Bet | Odds |
Auxerre | 2.11 |
Draw | 3.50 |
Le Havre | 3.34 |
Le Havre, although not the favourites, have a compelling case for backing thanks to their offensive consistency, as evidenced by scoring in 80% of away matches. Auxerre, warmly tipped by bookmakers, seem slightly unstable with key injuries. Therefore, the higher odds on Le Havre might appeal to those looking for an underdog bet with potential value.
Auxerre Team Analysis
Auxerre Recent Performance
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lens | Auxerre | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-4 (Win) |
Lille | Auxerre | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Loss) |
Auxerre | Lyon | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-3 (Loss) |
Rennes | Auxerre | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Win) |
Auxerre | Montpellier | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Win) |
Auxerre comes into this match with a recent record of WLLWW. The team has shown a resilient defensive structure, securing three clean sheets in their last five games.
They’ve averaged 1.60 goals per game during this period, highlighting their capability to find the back of the net. Their recent 4-0 away victory over Lens and a solid 1-0 win against Montpellier at home are key indicators of their current form.
Points-wise, they are mid-table with 41, showing a competent season under the guidance of coach Christophe Pélissier.
Auxerre Key Players
Auxerre’s top scorer, Hamed Traorè, despite nursing a hamstring injury, has been a focal point this season with 10 goals. Another key player is goalkeeper Donovan Leon, who has been pivotal in securing three clean sheets in the last five matches. With defensive stalwarts like Sinaly Diomande and Jubal, the team has shown great solidity at the back. Gaetan Perrin and Assane Diousse in midfield play crucial roles in both defensive cover and linking up with the attack.
Expected lineup for Auxerre:
- Goalkeeper: Donovan Leon
- Defenders: Ki-Jana Hoever, Sinaly Diomande, Jubal, Clément Akpa, Gideon Mensah
- Midfielders: Gaetan Perrin, Han-Noah Massengo, Assane Diousse, Lassine Sinayoko
- Forward: Ado Onaiwu
Watch for the midfield battle where Massengo and Diousse will clash with Le Havre’s central players, making for an intriguing encounter.
Auxerre Suspensions & Injuries
Auxerre are dealing with a series of notable injuries that could impact their performance in this crucial match.
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Ousoumane Camara | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
Lasso Coulibaly | Cruciate ligament injury | Late May 2025 |
Elisha Owusu | Sprained knee injury | Mid May 2025 |
Hamed Junior Traorè | Hamstring injury | Mid May 2025 |
Gabriel Osho | Knee injury | Late May 2025 |
Kevin Danois | Muscle injury | Out for season |
These injuries, especially to key player Hamed Junior Traorè, who is Auxerre’s top scorer, might limit their attacking prowess. The absences in midfield and defense could also weaken their overall structure, making it more challenging against Le Havre.
Auxerre Tactics and Formation
Auxerre Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Likely 5-4-1
- Key Forward: Ado Onaiwu
- Midfield: Gaëtan Perrin, Han-Noah Massengo, Assane Dioussé, Lassine Sinayoko
- Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
Auxerre are expected to line up in a defensively solid 5-4-1 formation. Coach Christophe Pélissier seems to favour this setup, which allows for a robust backline while maintaining midfield control.
With Hamed Traoré out, the focus shifts to Ado Onaiwu to lead the attack. In the midfield, Massengo and Dioussé will look to control possession and link play effectively.
Defensive organisation has been key, and their clean sheet record suggests they will aim to frustrate Le Havre and hit on the counter.
Le Havre Team Analysis
Le Havre Recent Performance
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Le Havre | Monaco | 2025-04-26 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
PSG | Le Havre | 2025-04-19 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Loss) |
Le Havre | Rennes | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-5 (Loss) |
Montpellier | Le Havre | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
Le Havre | Nantes | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Win) |
Le Havre’s recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games.
Recent Form: DLLWW
Despite their inconsistent results, they’ve managed to maintain an average of 1.60 goals scored per game. However, they have only kept one clean sheet in their last five matches, indicating occasional defensive vulnerabilities.
The team’s recent performance will certainly embolden them as they look to escape the relegation zone.
Le Havre Key Players
Le Havre’s key player to watch is Abdoulaye Toure, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net makes him a constant threat.
Expected lineup for Le Havre:
- Goalkeeper: Mathieu Gorgelin
- Defenders: Loic Nego, Étienne Youte Kinkoue, Gautier Lloris, Fode Ballo-Toure
- Midfielders: Abdoulaye Toure, Yassine Kechta, Junior Mwanga
- Attackers: Josue Casimir, Ahmed Hassan, Issa Soumare
The battle between Ahmed Hassan and Auxerre’s defensive line, led by Sinaly Diomande and Jubal, will be crucial.
Josue Casimir’s pace on the right wing can trouble Auxerre’s left side of the defense. These individual matchups could influence the outcome significantly.
Le Havre Suspensions & Injuries
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Mohamed Bayo | Sprained ankle | Late May 2024 |
Andy Logbo | Shoulder injury | Mid May 2025 |
Arouna Sangante | Groin injury | Mid May 2025 |
Yanis Zouaoui | Calf injury | Mid May 2025 |
Ilyes Housni | Sprained ankle | Mid May 2025 |
Le Havre are facing a challenging situation with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Mohamed Bayo, who is out until late May 2024, will be a significant miss, affecting their attacking options and depth. Andy Logbo and Arouna Sangante, both expected back in mid-May, will cause gaps in defense and midfield.
With multiple players out, Didier Digard will need to rely heavily on the available squad members to step up and perform against Auxerre. This can impact Le Havre’s overall game plan and squad rotation, particularly as they face a crucial match in their battle against relegation.
Le Havre Tactics and Formation
Le Havre’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Ahmed Hassan
- Midfield Core: Abdoulaye Toure, Yassine Kechta, Junior Mwanga
- Defensive Setup: Right back – Loic Nego, Left back – Fode Ballo-Toure, Center backs – Étienne Youte Kinkoue, Gautier Lloris
- Notable Strategy:
Le Havre tends to keep possession in the midfield and create opportunities through winger plays and quick transitions. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allows them to have a solid defensive midfield pairing that supports their back line, while the three attacking midfielders provide options to penetrate the opponent’s defenses.
Despite their defensive frailties, indicated by their average of 2.1 goals conceded per match, they have a consistent forward threat, scoring in 80% of their away matches this season. This tactical approach could be crucial as they aim to climb out of the relegation zone.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Head-to-Head Statistics
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Le Havre | Auxerre | 2024-09-01 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Win) |
Le Havre | Auxerre | 2022-05-07 | Ligue 2 | 1-2 (Loss) |
Auxerre | Le Havre | 2021-12-21 | Ligue 2 | 2-3 (Loss) |
Auxerre | Le Havre | 2021-04-05 | Ligue 2 | 1-1 (Draw) |
Le Havre | Auxerre | 2020-12-01 | Ligue 2 | 1-1 (Draw) |
Le Havre have had the upper hand in their recent meetings against Auxerre, winning twice and drawing twice in the last five encounters. However, Auxerre managed to secure a win in May 2022, showing that they can compete with the visitors.
Considering Le Havre’s better recent form in these encounters, this match promises to be another competitive clash.
Odds accurate as of 05.02.2025 16:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.