Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 24 January

Burnley host Tottenham in a Premier League clash at Turf Moor on Saturday, 24 January. This fixture promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams seek to secure valuable points in the league table. Burnley, renowned for their resilient home performances, will look to use their familiarity with Turf Moor to challenge Tottenham’s ambitions.

Tottenham, meanwhile, will be determined to continue their push for a top-four finish. With a squad full of talent, they will aim to impose their style of play against Burnley. As the Premier League season progresses, every match becomes crucial, and this encounter is no exception. Fans and punters alike will be watching closely to see whether Burnley can hold firm or if Tottenham will claim the spoils.

Burnley vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Tottenham to win	2.05

Given the current form of both teams, our recommended betting tip is to back Tottenham to win. Despite Burnley’s home advantage, their recent record is unconvincing, while Tottenham’s away form has been impressive.

• Tottenham have the second-best away record in the league, underlining their ability to perform well on the road.
• Burnley are in the relegation zone and have managed only two draws in their last five games, reflecting poor form.
• The reverse fixture was a convincing 3-0 win for Tottenham, suggesting they have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings.

Burnley have struggled at home with a 2-3-6 record, showing they are not particularly strong even on familiar ground.

Betting Odds

Tottenham travel to Turf Moor as favourites with odds of 2.05, while Burnley are priced at 3.63 to cause an upset on home soil. The draw is also a tempting option at 3.4, reflecting the competitive nature of Premier League encounters.

Betting Tip	Odds
Burnley to triumph	3.63
Stalemate	3.4
Tottenham to triumph	2.05

For those looking to bet, keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market, as both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches. Also, consider the both teams to score market, given the defensive vulnerabilities each side has displayed.

Burnley Analysis & Recent Performance

Burnley’s recent form has been mixed, with the team securing just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. Their only victory came in the FA Cup against Millwall with a convincing 5-1 scoreline, demonstrating their attacking potential. However, they have struggled to replicate this form in the league, drawing two and losing two of their last four Premier League fixtures. Notably, they held Liverpool to a 1-1 draw at Anfield, showing resilience against strong opposition.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Liverpool	Burnley	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	17 Jan 2026
Burnley	Millwall	5 – 1 (Win)	FA Cup	10 Jan 2026
Burnley	Manchester United	2 – 2 (Draw)	Premier League	7 Jan 2026
Brighton	Burnley	2 – 0 (Loss)	Premier League	3 Jan 2026
Burnley	Newcastle	1 – 3 (Loss)	Premier League	30 Dec 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five Premier League games, Burnley have averaged 0.80 goals per match while conceding 1.60 on average, managing just one clean sheet. Their defence has been porous, particularly at home, where they have conceded three goals on average in recent fixtures. Nevertheless, they have shown an ability to score, netting in four of their last five matches, with top scorer Zian Flemming leading the way with five goals this season.

Burnley currently sit 19th in the Premier League table with 14 points, struggling to pull clear of the relegation zone. At home, their form has been especially concerning, with only one win in their last ten matches at Turf Moor, amounting to a win ratio of just 10%. The team needs to strengthen defensively and capitalise on scoring opportunities to improve their league position.

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Burnley Suspensions & Injuries

Burnley are in a difficult position with several key players sidelined due to injury. Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen are both out with cruciate ligament injuries and will be unavailable for an extended period. The absence of Connor Roberts and Louis Jordan Beyer, both expected to return in late January, further impacts defensive stability. Joe Worrall is also a doubt with a knock, stretching Burnley’s defensive resources.

Injuries to Zian Flemming and Mike Trésor mean Burnley may need to adapt their attacking approach. With Flemming expected back by late January and Trésor out until mid-February, the team will rely heavily on the fitness and form of Marcus Edwards and Armando Broja to lead the line. The midfield will also need to step up in Cullen’s absence, with Lesley Ugochukwu and Lucas Pires expected to play key roles.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Zeki Amdouni	Cruciate ligament injury	Early April 2026
Connor Roberts	Muscle strain	Late January 2026
Louis Jordan Beyer	Knee injury	Late January 2026
Joe Worrall	Knock	Doubtful
Josh Cullen	Cruciate ligament injury	Early September 2026
Zian Flemming	Knock	Late January 2026
Mike Trésor	Ankle injury	Mid February 2026

With no suspensions affecting the squad, manager Scott Parker will need to make tactical adjustments to cope with the injury crisis. The 3-4-3 formation may see tweaks, especially in defence and midfield, to maintain balance and resilience against Tottenham. These absences could influence the betting markets, as Burnley’s depth and ability to compete may be questioned. However, if the replacements perform well, Burnley could still pose a stern challenge at Turf Moor.

Burnley Key Players

Burnley’s standout player for this fixture is undoubtedly their top scorer, Zian Flemming, who has found the net five times this season. His knack for scoring makes him a constant threat to opposition defences. Primarily an attacking force, Flemming’s ability to exploit space and his clinical finishing could be decisive against Tottenham. His partnership with forward Armando Broja, renowned for his pace and movement, adds further dynamism to Burnley’s attack.

In midfield, Lucas Pires and Florentino provide a solid base with their combative and ball-winning qualities. Pires, in particular, offers creativity and vision to unlock defences, while Florentino’s defensive work is crucial for breaking up opposition play. Defensively, the trio of Axel Tuanzebe, Hjalmar Ekdal, and Bashir Humphreys will be vital in maintaining a solid backline, with Tuanzebe’s leadership and Humphreys’ aerial ability being key assets.

Expected lineup for Burnley

• Goalkeeper: Martin Dúbravka
• Defence: Axel Tuanzebe, Hjalmar Ekdal, Bashir Humphreys
• Midfield: Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Lucas Pires, Florentino
• Forward: Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja, Jaidon Anthony

Burnley Tactics and Formation

Burnley Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Armando Broja
• Midfield Pivot: Lesley Ugochukwu and Lucas Pires
• Defensive Strength: Have struggled to keep clean sheets recently
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive shape with quick transitions.

Burnley operate in a 3-4-3 formation under Scott Parker, aiming for a compact defensive setup that transitions quickly into attack. The back three of Axel Tuanzebe, Hjalmar Ekdal, and Bashir Humphreys provide defensive cover, although clean sheets have been hard to come by.

In midfield, Lesley Ugochukwu and Lucas Pires are pivotal, responsible for breaking up opposition play and launching counterattacks. Kyle Walker and Florentino offer width and pace from wing-back, supporting both defensive and attacking transitions.

Going forward, Burnley’s front three of Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja, and Jaidon Anthony are tasked with exploiting spaces left by the opposition. Broja’s physical presence and Edwards’ creativity are crucial for breaking down defences, especially in matches where Burnley may not dominate possession.

Tottenham Analysis & Recent Performance

Tottenham’s recent form has been inconsistent, with the team securing just one win in their last five matches in all competitions. This run includes a notable 2-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund but also features defeats to West Ham and Bournemouth, as well as a draw with Sunderland.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tottenham	Borussia Dortmund	2 – 0 (Win)	Champions League	20 Jan, 2026
Tottenham	West Ham	1 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	17 Jan, 2026
Tottenham	Aston Villa	1 – 2 (Loss)	FA Cup	10 Jan, 2026
Bournemouth	Tottenham	3 – 2 (Loss)	Premier League	7 Jan, 2026
Tottenham	Sunderland	1 – 1 (Draw)	Premier League	4 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:
In terms of attacking output, Tottenham have averaged 1.40 goals per game over their last five fixtures, scoring in all but one match. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. Despite scoring in 80% of these matches, their ability to keep clean sheets has been limited, recording just one in this period.

Tottenham’s away form reflects their overall struggles, with a win ratio of 20% over their last five away games. They have managed to find the net consistently, averaging 1.20 goals per match away from home, but defensive lapses have resulted in an average of 1.30 goals conceded per game. This inconsistency is mirrored in their league position, where they sit 14th with 27 points.

Tactically, Tottenham’s reliance on Richarlison, their top scorer with seven goals, is evident. However, their inability to capitalise on high possession, as seen with 62% against West Ham, suggests a need for more clinical finishing and defensive solidity to improve their win ratio.

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Tottenham Suspensions & Injuries

Tottenham face significant challenges ahead of their trip to Burnley, with several key players sidelined by injury. Notably, James Maddison is out with a cruciate ligament injury until May, removing a crucial creative force from midfield. Similarly, Mohammed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur are sidelined with muscle and hamstring injuries respectively, both expected to return in mid-April. The absence of Richarlison due to a hamstring injury further reduces their attacking options, with his return anticipated in early March.

The possible return of Dejan Kulusevski and João Palhinha later this month could offer some relief, especially as Kulusevski’s knee injury nears resolution. Pape Sarr’s illness is also expected to clear by late January, potentially boosting the squad’s depth. In the meantime, Tottenham’s depth will be tested, particularly in midfield, where Archie Gray and Xavi Simons will need to step up in Maddison’s absence.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Dejan Kulusevski	Knee injury	Late January 2026
James Maddison	Cruciate ligament injury	Early May 2026
Mohammed Kudus	Muscle injury	Mid April 2026
Richarlison	Hamstring injury	Early March 2026
Rodrigo Bentancur	Hamstring injury	Mid April 2026
Ben Davies	Ankle injury	Mid April 2026
João Palhinha	Knock	Late January 2026
Pape Sarr	Illness	Late January 2026

To mitigate these absences, Tottenham may adjust their tactical approach, likely relying more on available forward Randal Kolo Muani, supported by the youthful energy of Mathys Tel and Wilson Odobert. The defensive line, anchored by Cristian Romero, will need to remain solid, as the team may adopt a more conservative approach to compensate for their depleted attacking ranks.

These injuries could influence betting markets, as Tottenham’s reduced attacking threat might result in a lower-scoring affair. Punters may find value in betting on fewer goals, given the attacking absences and the potential for a more defensive setup.

Tottenham Key Players

Tottenham will be relying heavily on their forward Randal Kolo Muani, who is expected to lead the line in Richarlison’s absence. Kolo Muani’s agility and sharp finishing could prove decisive against Burnley’s defence. His ability to exploit spaces and link up with midfield will be crucial for Tottenham’s attacking strategy. In midfield, Xavi Simons is expected to play a key role as playmaker, orchestrating attacks with his vision and passing accuracy.

Defensively, Pedro Porro and Cristian Romero are likely to be the linchpins. Porro’s ability to contribute at both ends with overlapping runs and Romero’s strength in central defence will be vital in maintaining Tottenham’s defensive solidity. This combination of attacking threat and defensive resilience could shape the tactical approach for the match.

Tottenham’s strengths lie in their dynamic forward play and solid defence, with Kolo Muani and Romero particularly influential. Their performances could have a major impact on the outcome, providing both attacking firepower and defensive assurance.

Expected lineup for Tottenham:

• Goalkeeper: Guglielmo Vicario
• Defence: Micky van de Ven, Radu Drăgușin, Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero
• Midfield: Archie Gray, Xavi Simons, Conor Gallagher, Mathys Tel, Wilson Odobert
• Forward: Randal Kolo Muani

Tottenham Tactics and Formation

Tottenham Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Randal Kolo Muani
• Midfield Pivot: Archie Gray and Xavi Simons
• Defensive Strength: Recent clean sheet against Borussia Dortmund
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession and attacking transitions.

Tottenham’s 4-2-3-1 formation under Thomas Frank is designed to maintain possession and facilitate quick transitions from defence to attack. The midfield pairing of Archie Gray and Xavi Simons offers a blend of youthful energy and creativity, crucial for controlling the tempo.

Defensively, the partnership of Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven provides a strong central base, supported by full-backs Pedro Porro and Radu Drăgușin, who contribute both defensive solidity and attacking width. This setup was key in their recent clean sheet against Borussia Dortmund.

In attack, Randal Kolo Muani leads the line, supported by the dynamic trio of Mathys Tel, Wilson Odobert, and Conor Gallagher. This configuration allows Tottenham to exploit spaces with speed and precision, particularly effective during counterattacks and spells of high possession.

Burnley vs Tottenham Head-to-Head Record

Tottenham have dominated the head-to-head record against Burnley, winning 18 of the 27 meetings, while Burnley have managed just five victories, with four matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter saw Spurs cruise to a 3-0 victory at home in the Premier League in August 2025.

The last time these sides met at Turf Moor, Tottenham ran out 5-2 winners in September 2023, underlining their strong away form. Burnley will hope to reverse the trend at home, but history suggests Spurs have the upper hand in this fixture.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Tottenham Hotspur	Burnley	3 – 0	Premier League	2025-08-16
Tottenham Hotspur	Burnley	2 – 1	Premier League	2024-05-11
Tottenham Hotspur	Burnley	1 – 0	FA Cup	2024-01-05
Burnley	Tottenham Hotspur	2 – 5	Premier League	2023-09-02
Tottenham Hotspur	Burnley	1 – 0	Premier League	2022-05-15