Cagliari vs. Fiorentina Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips - bettingexpert
Cagliari hosts Fiorentina at the Unipol Domus in an eagerly anticipated Serie A clash on 21 April 2025. Kicking off at 14:00, this match is vital for both teams as they head into Round 33, with Cagliari seeking to climb out of the lower echelons of the league standings while Fiorentina aims to solidify their position in the top half.
Cagliari, currently sitting 15th with 30 points, has shown glimpses of promise, notably in their recent 3-0 victory over Monza. However, they’ve struggled for consistency, collecting only one win in their last five matches, reflected by a form of LDWLD.
Fiorentina, the bookmakers’ favorite, is in 8th place with 53 points and remains unbeaten in their last six outings. Despite a tight 2-2 draw against NK Celje in the Conference League, they have displayed strong defensive and offensive capabilities, boasting players like Moise Kean, Serie A’s top scorer with 17 goals. Expect a tight contest with Fiorentina predicted to dominate but not without a challenge.
With referee Livio Marinelli overseeing the match, known for a moderate 3.2 yellow cards per game, and decent weather expected, this matchup promises to be captivating. A recommended bet is a draw as Fiorentina has struggled in recent away games while Cagliari looks determined to improve.
Key match details and insightful articles highlight the importance of key players, coach strategies, and recent form to paint a vivid picture of this crucial Serie A battle.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting tip
| Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 3.09 |
- Unbeaten Streak: Fiorentina haven’t lost in their last six matches, showing their consistency and resilience.
- Close Encounters: Both teams have had tight contests recently, and neither has a distinct edge.
- Away Woes: Fiorentina have struggled in their recent away games, which may level the playing field for Cagliari.
This blend of factors points towards a tightly contested match, making a draw a feasible prediction.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina Odds
| Cagliari vs Fiorentina Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Cagliari | 3.05 |
| Draw | 3.09 |
| Fiorentina | 2.45 |
Fiorentina is the bookmaker’s favourite for this clash, with odds reflecting their higher position in the Serie A standings.
Cagliari’s odds of 3.05 indicate their underdog status, but home advantage could play a crucial role.
A draw at 3.09 is a tempting bet, especially considering Fiorentina’s recent struggles in away games.
Expect a closely fought contest between two sides with contrasting objectives this season.
Cagliari Team Analysis
Cagliari Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | Cagliari | 2025-04-12 | Serie A | 3-1 (Loss) |
| Empoli | Cagliari | 2025-04-06 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Cagliari | Monza | 2025-03-30 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
| Roma | Cagliari | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Cagliari | Genoa | 2025-03-07 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: LDWLD
Cagliari has had a mixed bag of results recently, securing one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. They have managed to keep two clean sheets in these matches, but scoring has been a challenge with an average of just 1 goal per game. Their defensive frailties were exposed in their recent 3-1 defeat to Inter Milan, highlighting an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match this season. With home advantage at the Unipol Domus, they’ll be looking to tighten up at the back and find the net more frequently against Fiorentina.
Cagliari Key Players
Cagliari is likely to rely heavily on top scorer Roberto Piccoli, who has netted 8 goals this season, to spearhead their attack against Fiorentina. Nicolas Viola and Zito Luvumbo will be critical in midfield, tasked with both creating opportunities and breaking down Fiorentina’s plays. In defense, Yerry Mina’s leadership will be crucial in organizing the backline, especially given Cagliari’s tendency to concede 1.5 goals per match this season. Michel Adopo and Antoine Makoumbou will need to control the midfield battles, potentially facing off against Fiorentina’s Rolando Mandragora and Nicolo Fagioli.
Expected lineup for Cagliari:
- Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile
- Defenders: Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto
- Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Tommaso Augello, Nicolas Viola, Zito Luvumbo
- Forward: Roberto Piccoli
Cagliari Suspensions & Injuries
Cagliari has one player suspended due to yellow card accumulation:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandro Deiola | Yellow cards | Next match |
While Cagliari doesn’t have any reported injuries at the moment, the suspension of Alessandro Deiola could affect their midfield dynamics. His absence may necessitate tactical adjustments or reliance on other players to step up in his position. This could present both a challenge and an opportunity for coach Davide Nicola to experiment with new formations or strategies against Fiorentina.
Cagliari Tactics and Formation
Cagliari Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Likely to employ a 3-5-1-1 formation
- Key Forward: Roberto Piccoli
- Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Tommaso Augello, Nicolas Viola, Zito Luvumbo
- Defensive Trio: Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto
- Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile
Cagliari’s defensive strategy is concentrated around their back three, with Zappa, Mina, and Luperto aiming to thwart Fiorentina’s forwards. The midfield will function to break the opponent’s advances and create opportunities for Piccoli. The absence of suspended Alessandro Deiola might see tactical adjustments, forcing Nicola to rely on alternative midfield configurations. Despite recent mixed results, Cagliari’s setup aims to fortify defense while leveraging quick counter-attacks.
Fiorentina Team Analysis
Fiorentina Recent Performance
Fiorentina have shown resilience in their recent outings, maintaining an unbeaten streak across their last five fixtures. With a mix of domestic and international competitions, their form highlights consistency.
Key stats over these matches include:
- Average goals scored: 1.40
- Clean sheets: 2
Their recent results are:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | NK Celje | 2025-04-17 | Conference League | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Fiorentina | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-04-13 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| NK Celje | Fiorentina | 2025-04-10 | Conference League | 1-2 (Win) |
| AC Milan | Fiorentina | 2025-04-05 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | 2025-03-30 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
Fiorentina have managed to keep control defensively while scoring goals through their lead forward, Moise Kean. This balanced approach has kept them competitive in both Serie A and the European contests.
Fiorentina Key Players
Moise Kean, Fiorentina’s top scorer this season with 17 goals, is the standout player to watch. His attacking prowess will be crucial for the Viola as they aim to secure a win. David De Gea, with his experience, will be another key figure in goal, expected to stave off Cagliari’s attacking efforts.
Expected lineup for Fiorentina:
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defenders: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri
- Midfielders: Dodo, Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens
- Attackers: Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean
Key battles to watch include Kean against Cagliari’s Yerry Mina, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.
Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Bove | Heart problems | Potential return unknown |
| Andrea Colpani | Foot injury | Potential return doubtful |
Both Edoardo Bove and Andrea Colpani are key players for Fiorentina, and their absences could impact the team’s performance.
Bove’s heart problems have left his return date uncertain, potentially affecting Fiorentina’s midfield depth.
Colpani, struggling with a foot injury, remains doubtful, and his creative influence might be sorely missed against Cagliari.
Their absences may force coach Raffaele Palladino to rely on others to fill the void, which could affect team cohesion and strategy.
Fiorentina Tactics and Formation
Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson
- Midfield Five: Dodo, Nicolò Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens
- Defensive Trio: Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari Villar, Luca Ranieri
- Goalkeeper: David De Gea
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in their last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Utilizes the width of the pitch through wing-backs Dodo and Gosens, focusing on creating overloads on the flanks before cutting inside to feed forwards Kean and Gudmundsson.
Raffaele Palladino’s side adopts a possession-based approach, looking to control the tempo through their industrious midfield while relying on De Gea’s experience to organize a disciplined defense.
Cagliari vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head Statistics
The historical data between Cagliari and Fiorentina offers a good perspective of their previous encounters. Here’s a look at their results from the last five meetings:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | Cagliari | 2024-12-08 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
| Cagliari | Fiorentina | 2024-05-23 | Serie A | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Fiorentina | Cagliari | 2023-10-02 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
| Cagliari | Fiorentina | 2022-01-23 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Fiorentina | Cagliari | 2021-10-24 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
Fiorentina has dominated the encounters, winning three out of the last five matches.
Cagliari has managed just one draw and suffered four losses, indicating a challenging matchup ahead.
Their recent meeting in December 2024 saw a closely contested affair with Fiorentina squeezing out a narrow 1-0 win.
Odds accurate as of 19/04/2025 14:01, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
