Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, Match Preview, 16 January 2026

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, Match Preview, 16 January 2026. As we look ahead to this Liga Portugal clash, Sporting CP will host Casa Pia AC at the renowned Estádio José Alvalade. Scheduled for Friday, 16 January, this matchup presents an intriguing contest between two Portuguese sides with differing ambitions.

Sporting CP, a club with a rich history in Liga Portugal, will aim to leverage their home advantage against Casa Pia AC, who are eager to make their mark in the top flight. The Estádio José Alvalade is set to witness a battle where Sporting CP will look to assert their dominance, while Casa Pia AC will strive to defy the odds and secure a significant result.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Sporting CP to Win & Over 2.5 Goals	1.7

Sporting CP’s recent form and their historical dominance over Casa Pia AC make them strong favourites for this match. Given their attacking prowess, a home win combined with over 2.5 goals appears to be the best betting option.

• Sporting CP have scored in 94% of their matches this season.
• Casa Pia AC concede an average of 1.9 goals per match this season.
• Sporting CP’s perfect head-to-head record against Casa Pia AC, including a 3-1 win last March, highlights their dominance.

Sporting CP have been scoring consistently, and Casa Pia AC’s defensive struggles make this a high-confidence bet.

Betting Odds

Sporting CP are the clear favourites in this Liga Portugal clash, with the betting odds heavily in their favour at 1.13. Casa Pia AC, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 16.69, making them a long shot for an upset at Estádio José Alvalade.

Betting Tip	Odds
Sporting CP to win	1.13
Draw	7.68
Casa Pia AC to win	16.69

For those seeking value, the draw is priced at 7.68, which could be tempting given the unpredictable nature of football. However, Sporting CP’s strong home record suggests that backing them is likely the safer bet.

Sporting CP Analysis & Past Performance

Sporting CP have demonstrated impressive form in recent fixtures, securing three wins, one draw, and suffering one defeat in their last five outings. Their most recent encounter against Vitória de Guimarães ended in a 1-2 defeat, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities that need to be addressed.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sporting CP	Vitória de Guimarães	1 – 2 (Loss)	League Cup	6 Jan, 2026
Gil Vicente	Sporting CP	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	2 Jan, 2026
Sporting CP	Rio Ave	4 – 0 (Win)	Primeira Liga	28 Dec, 2025
Vitória de Guimarães	Sporting CP	1 – 4 (Win)	Primeira Liga	23 Dec, 2025
Santa Clara	Sporting CP	2 – 2 (Extra time: 0 – 1) (Win)	Portuguese Cup	18 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:
Sporting CP’s attack has been effective, averaging 2.60 goals per game over the last five matches. Despite their offensive prowess, they’ve conceded an average of 1.20 goals per match, underscoring a potential area for improvement in defence. The team has managed to secure just one clean sheet in this period, indicating a need to strengthen their defensive solidity.

Sporting CP’s home form remains strong, with four wins and one loss in their last five home matches, reflecting an 80% win ratio at Estádio José Alvalade. The team’s attacking capabilities have been bolstered by key performances from top scorer Luis Suárez, who has been instrumental with 15 goals this season. Such offensive threats make them a formidable force at home.

• LDWWW

Sporting CP Suspensions & Injuries

The absence of key players due to injuries will undoubtedly impact Sporting CP’s tactical setup against Casa Pia AC. With Pedro Gonçalves, often pivotal in the attacking midfield, sidelined until late January, Sporting CP may need to rely more heavily on Trincão or Luis Suárez to fill the creative void. Nuno Santos and Daniel Bragança, both doubtful with cruciate ligament injuries, further thin the midfield options, potentially forcing coach Rúben Amorim to explore deeper squad rotations.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Nuno Santos	Cruciate ligament injury	Doubtful
Daniel Bragança	Cruciate ligament injury	Doubtful
Zeno Debast	Leg injury	Doubtful
Pedro Gonçalves	Muscle injury	Late January 2026
Geovany Quenda	Broken foot	Mid March 2026
Salvador Blopa	Unknown	Late February 2026

Zeno Debast’s leg injury leaves a gap in defence, which Sporting CP will have to address to maintain their defensive solidity. This could mean more game time for players like Eduardo Quaresma, who, despite being recently injured, might be called into action sooner than anticipated. Geovany Quenda’s broken foot sees him out until mid-March, limiting Sporting CP’s flexibility in squad selection, particularly for future fixtures.

With no suspensions to contend with, Sporting CP can focus on adjusting their formation to mitigate the impact of these absences. The team’s depth will be tested, and the outcome of this match could be a telling indication of how well Sporting CP can adapt under these constraints. The betting markets might see a shift, with Sporting CP’s odds potentially lengthening due to these significant injuries.

Sporting CP Key Players

Sporting CP’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by their top scorer, Luis Suárez, who has already netted 15 goals this season. His clinical finishing and intelligent movement in the box make him a constant threat to any defence. Suárez’s ability to exploit spaces and capitalise on defensive errors will be crucial in breaking down Casa Pia AC’s backline. His partnership with fellow forwards Francisco Trincão and Maximiliano Araújo is pivotal, as their pace and creativity can unlock defensive setups.

In midfield, the presence of Morten Hjulmand is vital. As a playmaker, Hjulmand orchestrates play with his vision and precise passing, dictating the tempo and linking defence to attack. Defensively, Gonçalo Inácio and Eduardo Quaresma form a solid centre-back pairing, combining physicality and tactical awareness to keep opposing forwards at bay. Their ability to build from the back is instrumental in initiating Sporting CP’s attacks.

Expected lineup for Sporting CP:

• Goalkeeper: Rui Silva
• Defenders: Iván Fresneda, Eduardo Quaresma, Gonçalo Inácio, Matheus Reis
• Midfielders: Morten Hjulmand, João Simões, Fotis Ioannidis
• Forwards: Francisco Trincão, Maximiliano Araújo, Luis Suárez

Sporting CP Tactics and Formation

Sporting CP Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected to adapt due to injuries
• Key Forward: Luis Suárez
• Midfield Pivot: Morten Hjulmand and João Simões
• Defensive Challenges: Loss of Eduardo Quaresma impacts defensive stability
• Notable Strategy: High possession play with frequent goal-scoring opportunities

Sporting CP’s tactical approach may see adjustments due to key injuries, notably Pedro Gonçalves and Eduardo Quaresma. Traditionally favouring a possession-based strategy, they will rely heavily on Morten Hjulmand and João Simões to control the midfield dynamics, ensuring fluid transitions from defence to attack.

Offensively, the focus remains on Luis Suárez, who is the top scorer with 15 goals this season. His ability to find spaces and convert chances will be crucial, supported by the creative sparks of Trincão and Fotis Ioannidis on the wings.

Defensively, Sporting CP face challenges with the absence of Eduardo Quaresma. This may necessitate a reshuffle at the back, potentially affecting their ability to maintain clean sheets. Nonetheless, their track record of high possession and ability to generate scoring opportunities suggests they will continue to pose a significant threat in attack.

Casa Pia AC Analysis & Past Performance

Casa Pia AC’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding one win, two draws, and two losses. Their solitary victory came against Tondela, a narrow 2-1 win, while their most recent fixture saw them fall 3-1 to Rio Ave, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Competition	Date
Rio Ave	Casa Pia AC	3 – 1 (Loss)	Portuguese League	Jan 4, 2026
Casa Pia AC	Vitória de Guimarães	0 – 0 (Draw)	Portuguese League	Dec 28, 2025
Tondela	Casa Pia AC	1 – 2 (Win)	Portuguese League	Dec 21, 2025
Casa Pia AC	Torreense	1 – 2 (Loss)	Portuguese Cup	Dec 17, 2025
Casa Pia AC	Gil Vicente	1 – 1 (Draw)	Portuguese League	Dec 13, 2025

Recent Form:

• LDWLD

Casa Pia AC have averaged 1.00 goal per match in their last five outings, with a goals conceded average of 1.40. The team’s defence has struggled to maintain clean sheets, managing just one in this period. Away from home, Casa Pia AC’s performance has been slightly better, with a win ratio of 40% over their last ten away games, indicating a slight improvement in their away form compared to home performances.

Casa Pia AC Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC face a few challenges with player availability due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of André Geraldes, a key figure in their defensive lineup, due to an accumulation of yellow cards, will require tactical adjustments. His suspension leaves a gap in the backline, potentially filled by David Sousa, who will need to step up to maintain defensive solidity.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
André Geraldes	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

The injury list includes Kiki Silva and Kaique Rocha, both listed as doubtful, and Duplexe Tchamba, who is expected to return in mid-February. These injuries could affect Casa Pia AC’s depth, particularly in defence and midfield, where creative options are already limited. The muscle injury to Kaique Rocha is particularly concerning, as his presence adds much-needed stability to the squad.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Kiki Silva	Knee injury	Doubtful
Duplexe Tchamba	Unknown	Mid February 2026
Kaique Rocha	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Tactically, Casa Pia AC may have to rely on a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive resilience given their depleted ranks. These absences might influence the match outcome against Sporting CP, potentially affecting betting markets as Casa Pia AC may struggle to field a full-strength side.

Casa Pia AC Key Players

Casa Pia AC’s attacking threat is led by Jérémy Livolant, who has netted 3 goals this season, making him the team’s top scorer. Livolant’s knack for finding space and his clinical finishing ability make him a constant threat to any defence. His partnership with Cassiano in the forward line is expected to be pivotal in breaking down Sporting CP’s backline.

In midfield, the dynamic presence of Rafael Brito and Gaizka Larrazabal is crucial. Brito provides the creative spark, often dictating the tempo and threading key passes, while Larrazabal’s energy and defensive work rate offer a balance between attack and defence. In defence, the experienced José Fonte anchors the backline with his leadership and tactical awareness, essential for maintaining Casa Pia AC’s defensive solidity against formidable opposition.

Expected lineup for Casa Pia AC

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Sequeira
• Defenders: João Goulart, José Fonte, David Sousa
• Midfielders: Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Abdu Conté
• Forwards: Yassin Oukili, Cassiano, Jérémy Livolant

These key players are expected to shape Casa Pia AC’s tactical approach, with Livolant and Cassiano focusing on exploiting any defensive weaknesses. Brito’s ability to control the midfield could be decisive, while Fonte’s presence at the back is vital to withstand Sporting CP’s attacking prowess. The interplay between these players will be critical in determining Casa Pia AC’s chances of success in this encounter.

Casa Pia AC Tactics and Formation

Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Jérémy Livolant
• Midfield Pivot: Yassin Oukili and Rafael Brito
• Defensive Strength: Lacking clean sheets; conceded in four of the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on maintaining possession and exploiting width.

Casa Pia AC have been operating with a 3-5-2 formation, which provides a balance between defensive solidity and attacking width. The absence of key defenders such as Duplexe Tchamba and Kaique Rocha due to injuries could necessitate tactical adjustments, potentially affecting their defensive stability.

Jérémy Livolant, the top scorer, is expected to lead the attack alongside Cassiano. Their success hinges on the creative support from midfielders Yassin Oukili and Rafael Brito, who are pivotal in transitioning play from defence to attack.

Defensively, Casa Pia AC have struggled, conceding in four of their last five matches. The back three, led by the experienced José Fonte, need to be particularly vigilant against Sporting CP’s offensive threats. The tactical focus will likely be on maintaining possession and utilising their wing-backs to create width and stretch the opposition’s defence.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC Head-to-Head Record

Sporting CP have dominated the head-to-head record against Casa Pia AC, winning all eight encounters. The last meeting saw Sporting CP secure a 2-0 victory away at Casa Pia AC in Liga Portugal. This consistent form suggests Sporting CP have the upper hand in this fixture.

When these teams last met at Estádio José Alvalade, Sporting CP thrashed Casa Pia AC 8-0, showcasing their attacking prowess. With a total of 26 goals scored by Sporting CP across these encounters, it’s clear they know how to find the back of the net against Casa Pia AC.

Home Side	Away Side	Result	League	Date
Casa Pia AC	Sporting CP	0 – 2	Primeira Liga	2025-08-08
Casa Pia AC	Sporting CP	1 – 3	Primeira Liga	2025-03-09
Sporting CP	Casa Pia AC	2 – 0	Primeira Liga	2024-10-05
Sporting CP	Casa Pia AC	8 – 0	Primeira Liga	2024-01-29
Casa Pia AC	Sporting CP	1 – 2	Primeira Liga	2023-08-18