Necaxa vs CD Guadalajara Prediction, Match Preview, April 23rd
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa will face off against CD Guadalajara at the Estadio Victoria on Thursday, April 23rd. This match is set to be a significant encounter as both teams aim to secure crucial points in the league standings. Necaxa, playing at home, will look to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to gain an advantage over their opponents.
CD Guadalajara, on the other hand, will be eager to prove their mettle on the road. With both teams having a lot at stake, this match promises to be a competitive affair. The Estadio Victoria will undoubtedly provide a vibrant atmosphere as fans gather to witness this exciting Liga MX fixture. Keep an eye on how each team approaches this matchup, as their strategies could play a pivotal role in the outcome.
Necaxa vs CD Guadalajara Prediction & Betting tip
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| CD Guadalajara to Win | 1.9 |
Considering the current form and head-to-head statistics, our recommended betting tip for this match is to back CD Guadalajara for an away win. CD Guadalajara are in top form with four wins and a draw in their last five games, while Necaxa have struggled with inconsistent performances and key player absences.
- CD Guadalajara have an impressive recent run with four wins and a draw from their last five outings.
- Necaxa’s form has been inconsistent, with three defeats in their last five matches.
- CD Guadalajara have won three of the last five meetings between these sides, indicating a historical advantage.
Betting Odds
In this Liga MX clash, CD Guadalajara are the clear favourites with betting odds of 1.68, reflecting their strong form this season. Necaxa, playing at home, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 4.3, but they could offer value for those looking for an upset.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Necaxa to win | 4.3 |
| Draw | 3.87 |
| CD Guadalajara to win | 1.68 |
The draw is priced at 3.87, which might attract punters expecting a tightly contested match. With both teams having a history of competitive encounters, there are opportunities in the over 2.5 goals market as well.
Necaxa Analysis & Past Performance
Necaxa’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, as evidenced by their record over the last five games, which includes two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their home performance has mirrored this pattern, achieving two wins, one draw, and two losses at Estadio Victoria.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | Tigres | 1 – 1 (Draw) | Liga MX Clausura | 18 Apr 2026 |
| Queretaro FC | Necaxa | 3 – 1 (Loss) | Liga MX Clausura | 11 Apr 2026 |
| Necaxa | Mazatlan FC | 2 – 1 (Win) | Liga MX Clausura | 4 Apr 2026 |
| Necaxa | Tijuana | 3 – 0 (Win) | Liga MX Clausura | 21 Mar 2026 |
| Puebla | Necaxa | 0 – 0 (Draw) | Liga MX Clausura | 14 Mar 2026 |
Performance Analysis:
In terms of goals, Necaxa have managed to score seven times in their last five matches, averaging 1.40 goals per game. However, they have conceded five goals, allowing an average of 1.00 goal per match, which reflects a modest defensive solidity with two clean sheets during this span. Their ability to find the net regularly, with 60% of their recent matches featuring both teams scoring, underscores their attacking endeavours spearheaded by Tomás Badaloni, who has netted five times this season.
Team Dynamics:
- DLWWD
Necaxa currently stand 11th in the Liga MX, with a total of 17 points, reflecting a mid-bottom league position. Their win ratio sits at 40% for both overall and home games, indicating a balanced yet unremarkable performance. While their possession stats have been low, averaging around 27% in their most recent outing against Tigres, the team have shown resilience in maintaining competitive scores against tougher opponents.
Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries
Necaxa’s upcoming match against CD Guadalajara sees them grappling with the absence of Julián Carranza due to a leg injury, with his expected return slated for early August 2026. This injury poses a tactical challenge for manager Martín Varini, as Carranza has been instrumental in Necaxa’s attacking strategies. His unavailability could impact their offensive depth and creativity, necessitating a reshuffle in the forward line.
In Carranza’s absence, the responsibility may fall on Tomás Badaloni to lead the line and fill the creative void left by Carranza. While Badaloni offers a different style of play, his physical presence and finishing ability could still pose significant threats to Guadalajara’s defence.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Julián Carranza | leg injury | Early August 2026 |
Necaxa’s tactical setup might see adjustments, potentially opting for a more conservative approach to compensate for the attacking loss. Alternatively, Varini could introduce a more dynamic midfield strategy to support Badaloni and offset Carranza’s absence. This could also influence betting markets, as the team’s attacking potential might be perceived as diminished, possibly affecting match outcome predictions.
With no suspensions affecting the squad, Necaxa can otherwise field a strong line-up, maintaining stability in their defensive and midfield sections. This continuity could be crucial in ensuring they remain competitive despite the offensive setback.
Necaxa Key Players
Tomás Badaloni stands out as Necaxa’s top scorer, having netted 5 goals this season. His prowess in front of goal is crucial for Necaxa’s attacking threat, providing both a focal point and a finishing touch. Badaloni’s ability to hold up play and bring others into the game makes him a pivotal figure in Necaxa’s offensive setup.
In midfield, the combination of Kevin Gutiérrez and Ricardo Monreal is expected to be instrumental. Gutiérrez’s vision and passing range are essential for dictating the tempo, while Monreal’s energy and defensive work rate help in breaking up opposition attacks. Their synergy in the midfield is likely to be a key factor in controlling the game’s flow and supporting both defence and attack.
Expected line-up for Necaxa
- Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
- Defence: Raúl Martínez, Alexis Peña, Francisco Méndez, Cristian Calderón
- Midfield: Kevin Gutiérrez, Ricardo Monreal, Danny Leyva, Agustín Almendra, Javier Ruiz
- Forward: Tomás Badaloni
Defensively, Alexis Peña and Cristian Calderón form the backbone of Necaxa’s defence. Peña’s aerial ability and Calderón’s tackling skills are vital for maintaining a solid defensive structure. Their performances could be decisive in countering CD Guadalajara’s attacking threats. The tactical contributions of these players will shape Necaxa’s approach, focusing on solidity at the back and swift transitions to exploit any gaps in the opposition’s defence.
Necaxa Tactics and Formation
Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-5-1
- Key Forward: Tomás Badaloni
- Midfield Core: Kevin Gutiérrez and Agustín Almendra
- Defensive Cohesion: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Compact defensive shape with quick counter-attacks.
Necaxa’s 4-5-1 formation is designed to provide defensive solidity while allowing for swift transitions. The midfield, featuring Kevin Gutiérrez and Agustín Almendra, plays a pivotal role in both breaking up opposition play and initiating counter-attacks. This formation supports a compact defensive structure, which is crucial given their recent defensive record.
Defensively, Necaxa rely on the experience of Raúl Martínez and Alexis Peña in central defence, flanked by Francisco Méndez and Cristian Calderón as full-backs. This setup has contributed to two clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a strong defensive unit capable of absorbing pressure.
Offensively, the focus is on quick transitions, with Tomás Badaloni leading the line. His ability to hold up play and bring midfielders like Danny Leyva and Javier Ruiz into attacking positions is key. Despite a low possession rate, their strategy revolves around efficiency in front of goal, evident in their recent performances.
CD Guadalajara Analysis & Past Performance
CD Guadalajara have showcased a commendable performance in recent matches, currently holding the top position in the Liga MX standings with 34 points. Their last outing was a dominant 5-0 victory over Puebla, highlighting their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Guadalajara | Puebla | 5 – 0 (Win) | Liga MX Clausura | 19 Apr 2026 |
| Tigres | CD Guadalajara | 4 – 1 (Loss) | Liga MX Clausura | 11 Apr 2026 |
| CD Guadalajara | Club Universidad Nacional | 2 – 2 (Draw) | Liga MX Clausura | 6 Apr 2026 |
| Monterrey | CD Guadalajara | 2 – 3 (Win) | Liga MX Clausura | 22 Mar 2026 |
| CD Guadalajara | León | 5 – 0 (Win) | Liga MX Clausura | 19 Mar 2026 |
Recent Form:
- WLDWW
In their last five matches, CD Guadalajara have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss. The team have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 3.20 goals per game, while conceding an average of 1.60 goals, resulting in a mixed defensive record. They’ve managed two clean sheets, indicating some defensive resilience. However, their away form has been less consistent, with two wins and three losses out of five away games, reflecting a 40% win ratio on the road. Armando González has been instrumental, contributing significantly to their attacking threats.
CD Guadalajara Suspensions & Injuries
CD Guadalajara face a challenging situation with several key players potentially unavailable due to injuries. Leonardo Sepúlveda is dealing with an ankle injury, while Omar Govea has a calf issue. Both are listed as doubtful for the upcoming match against Necaxa. Additionally, Richard Ledezma and Ángel Baltazar Sepúlveda are also nursing knock injuries, adding to the team’s concerns. These injuries could significantly impact the tactical setup, especially in midfield, where Ledezma’s creativity and Sepúlveda’s defensive contributions are crucial.
The potential absence of these players forces coach Gabriel Milito to consider his available options carefully. With Omar Govea and Richard Ledezma doubtful, the midfield may require a reshuffle, possibly pushing Luis Romo into a more central role to provide stability. In defence, the absence of Leonardo Sepúlveda might see Daniel Aguirre or José Castillo being relied upon to fill the gap. This could alter the team’s formation, necessitating a more conservative approach to maintain defensive solidity.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Sepúlveda | ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Omar Govea | calf injury | Doubtful |
| Richard Ledezma | knock | Doubtful |
| Ángel Baltazar Sepúlveda | knock | Doubtful |
The tactical impact of these injuries is likely to influence CD Guadalajara’s strategy against Necaxa. With key players potentially sidelined, the team might adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on maintaining a solid defensive structure and looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. The absence of creative midfielders like Ledezma could also limit their ability to control possession and create chances, potentially affecting their overall attacking threat.
From a betting perspective, these injuries might sway the odds in favour of Necaxa, given CD Guadalajara’s potential vulnerabilities in both midfield and defence. Bettors should consider the impact of these absences when assessing the likely outcomes of the match, as they could play a pivotal role in determining the result.
CD Guadalajara Key Players
CD Guadalajara’s offensive prowess will heavily rely on Armando González, the team’s top scorer with 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net from various positions makes him a constant threat to Necaxa’s defence. Playing as the central forward, González’s movement and precision in front of goal are key components of Guadalajara’s attacking strategy.
In the midfield, Roberto Alvarado and Efraín Álvarez are pivotal. Alvarado’s creativity and vision are essential in linking the midfield to the attack, while Álvarez’s versatility allows him to operate in multiple roles, adding depth to the team’s tactical setup. Their interplay will be crucial in controlling the tempo of the game and creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Expected line-up for CD Guadalajara
- Goalkeeper: José Raúl Rangel
- Defence: Diego Campillo, Luis Francisco Romo, José Castillo
- Midfield: Brian Gutiérrez, Daniel Aguirre, Ricardo Marín, Bryan González, Roberto Alvarado, Efraín Álvarez
- Forward: Armando González
Defensively, the trio of Diego Campillo, Luis Francisco Romo, and José Castillo will form the backbone of the team. Romo, in particular, is known for his composure and aerial ability, which will be vital in neutralising Necaxa’s attacking threats. The cohesion and resilience of this defensive unit are critical in maintaining a solid backline.
CD Guadalajara Tactics and Formation
CD Guadalajara Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Flexible, often 3-5-2 in recent matches
- Key Forward: Ricardo Marín
- Midfield Engine: Luis Romo and Roberto Alvarado
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: High possession play and aggressive pressing.
CD Guadalajara have recently favoured a 3-5-2 formation, which emphasises control in midfield and flexibility in attack. The duo of Luis Romo and Roberto Alvarado in midfield is pivotal, offering both defensive coverage and creative outlets. This setup allows them to maintain high possession, as evidenced by their 67% possession in the last match against Puebla.
Defensively, José Castillo, Daniel Aguirre, and Diego Campillo form a solid back three, minimising space for opponents and contributing to two clean sheets in the last five games. This defensive organisation is crucial in blunting opposition attacks while maintaining a structured build-up.
Offensively, Ricardo Marín leads the line, supported by the industrious Armando González, who is the team’s top scorer with 12 goals this season. Their strategy revolves around aggressive pressing and rapid transitions, frequently exploiting spaces left by high defensive lines.
Necaxa vs CD Guadalajara H2H Record
In their head-to-head record, CD Guadalajara have been dominant with 21 wins compared to Necaxa’s 7, alongside 10 draws. The last encounter saw Guadalajara secure a 3-1 victory at home in the Liga MX Apertura. This suggests a strong upper hand for Guadalajara in recent meetings.
When Necaxa hosted CD Guadalajara last, they managed a thrilling 3-2 win in the Liga MX Clausura. Despite Guadalajara’s overall dominance, Necaxa’s home performance shows they can pull off surprises, especially in front of their fans at Estadio Victoria.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Guadalajara | Necaxa | 3 – 1 | Liga MX Apertura | 2025-09-24 |
| Necaxa | CD Guadalajara | 3 – 2 | Liga MX Clausura | 2025-01-18 |
| CD Guadalajara | Necaxa | 3 – 2 | Liga MX Apertura | 2024-10-23 |
| Necaxa | CD Guadalajara | 1 – 0 | Liga MX Clausura | 2024-02-21 |
| CD Guadalajara | Necaxa | 2 – 0 | Liga MX Apertura | 2023-07-14 |
