Necaxa vs Atlético de San Luis Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 7 February

Necaxa vs Atlético de San Luis Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, 7 February. As the Liga MX season continues, Necaxa will host Atlético de San Luis at Estadio Victoria. This fixture is scheduled for Saturday, 7 February, and promises to be an intriguing contest between two Mexican sides looking to make their mark in the league.

Estadio Victoria will be the stage where Necaxa aim to capitalise on their home advantage against Atlético de San Luis. Both teams have shown competitive spirit in Liga MX, and this encounter could be pivotal to their respective campaigns. With both sides eager to secure valuable points, fans can expect a closely contested match.

Necaxa vs Atlético de San Luis Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Suggestion	Odds
Both Teams to Score – Yes	1.95

Given the recent performance trends and defensive vulnerabilities from both sides, our recommended betting tip is ‘Both Teams to Score’. This selection stands out based on the attacking potential shown by Necaxa in their latest draw and Atlético de San Luis’s consistent goal-scoring form.

• Necaxa have conceded most goals in the 31-45 minute interval this season, indicating potential defensive lapses.
• Atlético de San Luis have scored in 11 consecutive matches, showcasing their consistent attacking threat.
• Both teams have shown a tendency to score but struggle to keep clean sheets, making ‘Both Teams to Score’ a statistically sound choice.

Betting Odds

In this Liga MX clash, Necaxa are slight favourites with betting odds of 2.09, reflecting their home advantage at Estadio Victoria. Atlético de San Luis, however, are not far behind with odds of 3.21, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Betting Tip	Odds
Necaxa to win	2.09
Draw	3.35
Atlético de San Luis to win	3.21

The draw is priced at 3.35, indicating that bookmakers expect a closely fought match. For those looking at goal markets, both teams have shown attacking prowess, making the over 2.5 goals market an intriguing option.

Necaxa Analysis & Past Performance

Necaxa’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches yielding one win, one draw, and three losses. Their only victory came against Santos Laguna, where they managed a convincing 3-1 win. However, their recent outings against Club América (0-2) and Atlas (0-1) highlight ongoing struggles, particularly in converting chances and defensive lapses.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Club América	Necaxa	2 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	31 Jan 2026
Necaxa	Atlas	0 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	17 Jan 2026
Necaxa	Monterrey	0 – 2 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	14 Jan 2026
Santos Laguna	Necaxa	1 – 3 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	11 Jan 2026
Mazatlán FC	Necaxa	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura	8 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Necaxa’s attacking output has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.80 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Defensively, they’ve conceded 1.40 goals per match, failing to keep a clean sheet during this period. Their home form mirrors this, with only one win in the last five home games and a losing streak of two, contributing to their current league position of 15th with just 3 points.

Performance Analysis:

• LLLWD

The team has shown vulnerability at the back, conceding in all their recent matches. Despite having Julián Carranza as their top scorer, with only one goal, the attacking force has not been prolific. Their inability to secure clean sheets and consistent defensive issues are critical areas needing improvement if they are to climb up the standings.

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa will face Atlético de San Luis with a notable suspension impacting their midfield. Kevin Gutiérrez, a central figure in recent matches, is unavailable due to a suspension from a yellow/red card incident. His absence leaves a void in midfield, likely requiring coach Martín Varini to make tactical adjustments. Gutiérrez’s influence in both defensive duties and transition play means Necaxa will need to find a suitable replacement to maintain their competitive edge.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Kevin Gutiérrez	Yellow/red card	1	Unknown

In terms of replacements, Israel Tello or Lorenzo Faravelli might be asked to step up and fill the gap left by Gutiérrez. Both players have shown potential in previous games, but replicating Gutiérrez’s impact will be challenging. This shift might also prompt a formation change, possibly leaning towards a more defensive setup to compensate for the lack of midfield strength.

The suspension of such a key player could have significant implications not only on Necaxa’s tactical approach but also on betting markets. With a weakened midfield, their odds might shift, reflecting the increased difficulty of maintaining control against Atlético de San Luis. Bettors will need to consider how this suspension affects Necaxa’s overall strategy and the match outcome.

Necaxa Key Players

Necaxa’s attacking threat will heavily rely on Julián Carranza, their top scorer with 1 goal this season. Carranza’s ability to find the net and his dynamic forward play make him a constant threat to Atlético de San Luis’s defence. Playing as a central striker, his positioning and finishing skills will be crucial in breaking down the opposition’s defensive setup.

In midfield, Lorenzo Faravelli and Agustín Almendra are expected to orchestrate play. Faravelli’s vision and passing accuracy can unlock defences, while Almendra’s energy and ball-winning capabilities provide balance. Kevin Rosero, operating from the wing, adds width and pace, making him a significant outlet for counter-attacks. Defensively, Alexis Peña and Agustín Oliveros will be pivotal in maintaining solidity at the back, with their aerial ability and tackling crucial to Necaxa’s defensive tactics.

Expected lineup for Necaxa:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
• Defenders: Raúl Martínez, Alexis Peña, Agustín Oliveros, Franco Rossano
• Midfielders: Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Agustín Almendra
• Forwards: Kevin Rosero, Ricardo Monreal, Julián Carranza

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Tomás Badaloni
• Midfield Pivot: Kevin Rosero and Lorenzo Faravelli
• Defensive Record: Conceded in every game, with no clean sheets in the last five outings.
• Notable Strategy: Struggles in maintaining possession and converting chances.

Necaxa’s 4-5-1 formation is structured to provide midfield dominance, with Kevin Rosero and Lorenzo Faravelli tasked with linking defence and attack. This setup allows them to crowd the midfield but requires effective transitioning to support Tomás Badaloni, the lone striker.

Defensively, Necaxa have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in all of their last five matches. The back four, including Raúl Martínez and Alexis Peña, need to tighten up to prevent further vulnerabilities, especially against counter-attacks.

Offensively, their strategy often falls short due to lack of possession, managing only 39% in their last match against Club América. Improving ball retention and creating more scoring opportunities will be critical for better results in upcoming fixtures.

Atlético de San Luis Analysis & Past Performance

Atlético de San Luis have experienced mixed results in their recent performances, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Despite setbacks, they managed a commendable 2-0 victory against Club América, showcasing their potential to perform against top-tier teams.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Atlético de San Luis	CD Guadalajara	2 – 3 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	31 Jan 2026
Tijuana	Atlético de San Luis	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Clausura	18 Jan 2026
Club América	Atlético de San Luis	0 – 2 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	15 Jan 2026
Atlético de San Luis	Tigres	1 – 2 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	12 Jan 2026
Tigres	Atlético de San Luis	3 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura	8 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
The team is averaging 1.40 goals per game, with a goals conceded average of 1.80 over the last five fixtures. This indicates a need for defensive improvement, as they have conceded in four out of their last five matches. However, their ability to score in every match highlights an effective attacking unit. Clean sheets have been elusive, with only one achieved in this period.

Team Dynamics:

• LDWLL

Playing away, Atlético de San Luis have secured two wins in their last five away matches, reflecting a win ratio of 40%. Their away form shows promise, but consistency remains a challenge. João Pedro, the team’s top scorer with four goals, remains a critical asset to their attacking strategy, requiring the team to build on his scoring prowess to improve their win ratio.

Atlético de San Luis Suspensions & Injuries

Atlético de San Luis face a couple of challenges due to injuries, which could affect their midfield dynamics significantly. Óscar Macías is currently dealing with a thigh injury and is listed as doubtful for the upcoming match against Necaxa. His absence could impact the team’s creativity and ball distribution in the middle of the park, as he has been a regular feature in the squad. The injury to César Iván López, a crucial ligament issue, will keep him out until mid-April, removing a defensive option for coach Guillermo Abascal.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
César Iván López	Cruciate ligament injury	Mid April 2026
Óscar Macías	Thigh injury	Doubtful

With Macías potentially unavailable, the team may need to rely on Sébastien Salles Lamonge or another midfield option to fill the gap. While Salles Lamonge has shown promise, the lack of experience compared to Macías could alter the balance of Atlético de San Luis’s midfield. This change might necessitate a more conservative approach from the manager, potentially adjusting the formation to strengthen the defence and compensate for the missing creativity.

These injuries could influence the betting markets, as the absence of key players like Macías might lead to a more cautious game plan from Atlético de San Luis. Bettors might consider the impact of these absences when evaluating the odds, particularly if the team opts for a defensive setup to mitigate the midfield deficiencies.

Atlético de San Luis Key Players

Atlético de San Luis’s attack is spearheaded by their top scorer, João Pedro, who has netted four goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a critical asset, especially with his knack for exploiting defensive gaps. João Pedro’s movement and finishing will be crucial as Atlético de San Luis look to break down Necaxa’s defence.

Supporting João Pedro in the forward line is Miguel García, whose pace and dribbling skills provide a dynamic edge to the team’s attacking play. In midfield, Sebastián Pérez Bouquet offers creativity and vision, while Roberto Meraz provides stability and control, ensuring a balanced approach. Defensively, Robson Bambu’s strength and Eduardo Águila’s tactical awareness are vital in maintaining a solid backline.

Expected lineup for Atlético de San Luis

• Goalkeeper: Andrés Sánchez
• Defence: Robson Bambu, Eduardo Águila, Benjamín Galindo, Juan Manuel Sanabria
• Midfield: Roberto Meraz, Anderson Duarte, Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
• Forward: Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Miguel García, João Pedro Galvão

These key players collectively shape Atlético de San Luis’s tactical approach, focusing on a combination of solid defence and opportunistic attacking play. The interplay between Pérez Bouquet’s playmaking abilities and João Pedro’s finishing could be decisive in influencing the match outcome.

Atlético de San Luis Tactics and Formation

Atlético de San Luis Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: João Pedro
• Midfield Pivot: Benjamín Galindo and Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
• Defensive Concerns: Conceded nine goals in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on maintaining possession and exploiting wide areas.

Atlético de San Luis typically set up in a 4-5-1 formation, allowing them to maintain a compact midfield and control possession. The midfield pivot of Benjamín Galindo and Sebastián Pérez Bouquet provides the necessary balance between defence and attack, facilitating transitions and supporting the lone forward, João Pedro.

Defensively, Atlético de San Luis have struggled, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches. The backline, including Miguel García and Robson Bambu, will need to tighten up to prevent further defensive lapses. The team’s reliance on possession may leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks, as seen in their recent loss to CD Guadalajara.

Offensively, João Pedro remains the focal point, supported by Óscar Macías and Sébastien Salles Lamonge from the flanks. The team aims to exploit wide areas, with full-backs Lucas Esteves and Eduardo Águila providing additional width. Despite their defensive struggles, their ability to score in every game recently indicates a potent attacking threat.

Necaxa vs Atlético de San Luis Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Necaxa have the upper hand with 18 wins compared to Atlético de San Luis’s 11, while 10 matches have ended in draws. The last time these two met, Necaxa came out on top with a thrilling 4-3 victory away in Liga MX Apertura.

The last encounter at Estadio Victoria saw a 1-1 draw in Liga MX Apertura back in November 2024. Necaxa have shown a strong home presence, winning the previous home fixture 3-1 in Liga MX Clausura. They’ll be looking to maintain this form against Atlético de San Luis.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Atlético de San Luis	Necaxa	3 – 4	Liga MX Apertura	2025-10-27
Atlético de San Luis	Necaxa	0 – 3	Liga MX Clausura	2025-01-25
Necaxa	Atlético de San Luis	1 – 1	Liga MX Apertura	2024-11-07
Necaxa	Atlético de San Luis	3 – 1	Liga MX Clausura	2024-03-09
Atlético de San Luis	Necaxa	4 – 0	Liga MX Apertura	2023-10-23