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Queretaro FC will host CD Guadalajara at Estadio La Corregidora in what promises to be a compelling Liga MX clash on 23 October 2025. With Queretaro languishing in 16th place and CD Guadalajara comfortably in 8th, the stakes are high, particularly for the home side as they look to climb out of the lower echelons.
Queretaro’s recent defensive struggles were evident in their heavy 0-4 defeat to Toluca, compounded by their status as home underdogs with bookmaker odds of 4.56 for a win. On the flip side, CD Guadalajara are in fine form, unbeaten in their last five matches and triumphing in four. Their potent attack, led by top scorer Armando Gonzalez, looks set to exploit Queretaro’s leaky defense.
Given the current standings and recent performances, our match prediction favors an away win for CD Guadalajara, with odds of 1.70. The bookmakers also lean towards a win for Guadalajara, bolstered by their solid defensive displays, with three clean sheets in their last five games.
Expect a tense encounter, but one where Guadalajara’s cohesion and form could see them secure vital points.
| Queretaro FC vs CD Guadalajara Prediction |
|---|
| Betting tip |
| CD Guadalajara (Chivas) to Win – Odds: 1.83 |
Given the recent form and standings, betting on CD Guadalajara (Chivas) to win at odds of 1.83 seems a solid choice.
Here’s why:
Considering these factors, Chivas look set to capitalize on Queretaro’s vulnerabilities. Expect them to secure vital points in their pursuit of a higher league position.
This Liga MX match sees CD Guadalajara as the bookmaker’s favorite, while Queretaro FC, struggling near the bottom of the table, are the underdogs. The odds provide a clear picture of the expectations.
| Queretaro FC vs CD Guadalajara Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Queretaro FC to win | 4.56 |
| Draw | 3.56 |
| CD Guadalajara to win | 1.70 |
Given Guadalajara’s strong recent form and solid head-to-head record against Queretaro, they are rightly favored at 1.70 odds. A draw stands at 3.56, while a win for Queretaro is considered less likely at 4.56 odds due to their recent struggles, including a heavy 4-0 loss to Toluca.
These odds indicate the bookmakers’ confidence in a Guadalajara win, reflecting their unbeaten run and Queretaro’s vulnerability.
Recent Form: WDLWL
Queretaro FC’s recent form has been a rollercoaster, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They secured an impressive 3-1 win against Puebla and a 2-0 victory over Pachuca, showcasing their potential to perform well. However, their consistency issues were highlighted in their crushing 0-4 defeat to Toluca and a 0-2 loss to Tigres.
On average, Queretaro FC have scored 1.4 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Defensively, they’ve managed just one clean sheet in the same period, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities.
With only 11 points from 14 games, Queretaro FC needs to tighten up at the back if they wish to climb out of the lower echelons of Liga MX.
Queretaro FC will rely heavily on their top scorer, Santiago Homenchenko, who has netted 4 goals this season. His capability to break down defenses will be crucial if Queretaro is to secure a positive result. Additionally, the midfield pairing of Rodrigo Bogarín and Eduardo Armenta, who controlled the game well against Puebla, will play key roles in dictating the pace of the match.
Expected lineup for Queretaro FC:
Key battles to watch include Homenchenko against Guadalajara’s solid defensive trio of Campillo, Romo, and Castillo. This matchup could very well decide the game’s outcome, given Queretaro’s attacking reliance on Homenchenko.
Queretaro FC is facing a couple of injury concerns that could influence their performance against CD Guadalajara. Federico Lertora is dealing with a calf injury, making his return doubtful for this crucial encounter. Additionally, Aldahir Perez is out with a concussion, and his availability remains uncertain.
These absences could impact Queretaro’s defensive solidity, particularly given their recent struggles at the back. Lertora’s experience in midfield would be sorely missed, leaving a potential gap that Guadalajara might exploit.
There are no suspensions for Queretaro FC heading into this match, allowing coach Benjamin Mora to field his strongest possible lineup, barring the injury doubts. The team will need to adapt quickly and find a way to cope with these key absences to stand a chance against a formidable Guadalajara side.
Queretaro FC Tactical Breakdown:
Benjamin Mora’s side will likely stick to a 4-1-4-1 formation, focusing on a balanced approach between defense and attack. The lone striker, Mateo Coronel, will be expected to lead the offense with the support of a dynamic midfield.
With Santiago Homenchenko chipping in 4 goals this season, his role will be pivotal both defensively and offensively. Queretaro tends to be most dangerous during the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90-minute intervals, reflecting Mora’s strategy of concentrated offensive bursts. Given their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly after a recent 4-0 loss, tightening up at the back is crucial against a strong Guadalajara side.
Recent Form: WLWWW
CD Guadalajara enters this match in excellent form, having secured four wins and just one loss in their last five matches. Their latest performance was a solid 2-0 victory against Mazatlán FC. Prior to that, they recorded impressive wins against Club Universidad Nacional (2-1), Puebla (2-0), and Necaxa (3-1). Their only setback came in a 0-3 loss to Toluca.
Guadalajara has averaged 1.8 goals per game in these five fixtures, demonstrating their attacking prowess. Defensively, they’ve been robust, maintaining two clean sheets over the same period.
Their consistent form, coupled with their unbeaten streak, makes them a formidable opponent as they look to climb further up the Liga MX standings.
CD Guadalajara’s top scorer, Armando Gonzalez, who has netted 7 goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Queretaro’s defense. His ability to score in critical moments makes him a key player to watch. Additionally, Richard Ledezma and Erick Gutierrez will be vital in controlling the midfield and creating scoring opportunities.
Expected lineup for CD Guadalajara:
Key individual battles will include Gonzalez against Queretaro’s defensive line, particularly Santiago Homenchenko, which could play a decisive role in the match’s outcome. With their current form, Chivas are expected to leverage their attacking might and midfield control to secure another win.
CD Guadalajara will be missing two key players due to injuries. Leonardo Sepúlveda is dealing with an ankle injury and his return is doubtful, while Alan Mozo is sidelined with a meniscus injury and is expected to be out until early December 2025. These absences could impact Guadalajara’s defensive cohesion, as both players offer significant experience and quality in the back line.
There are no suspensions affecting the team, allowing coach Gabriel Milito to field a strong lineup otherwise. While the injuries are a blow, Guadalajara’s recent form and depth suggest they have the quality to overcome these setbacks and maintain their performance levels against Queretaro FC.
CD Guadalajara Tactical Breakdown:
Chivas, led by Gabriel Milito, are likely to adopt a 3-4-3 formation, emphasizing both offensive fluidity and defensive solidity. Armando Gonzalez, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, will spearhead the attack, supported by dynamic wingers Roberto Alvarado and Efrain Álvarez.
In midfield, Ledezma and Gutierrez will be crucial in controlling the tempo and providing key passes to the forwards. The defensive trio, despite missing two key players, will aim to maintain their reliable performance, having secured two clean sheets in their last five matches.
Chivas are expected to be particularly dangerous during the 61-75-minute interval, as they often ramp up their attacking intensity in this period. Their tactical versatility and in-form players make them a formidable opponent for Queretaro FC.
The history between Queretaro FC and CD Guadalajara is rich with competitive encounters. In their last five meetings, CD Guadalajara have had the upper hand, securing three wins and two draws. Notably, the most recent clash on 1 February 2025 ended in a 1-1 draw, underscoring the competitive nature of these fixtures.
Here are the results of the last five encounters:
While less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of these matches, CD Guadalajara’s consistent form against Queretaro FC makes them the favorites. The cumulative defensive issues of Queretaro against Chivas’ strong record add to the intrigue of this upcoming showdown.
Odds accurate as of 21/10/2025 02:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.