Deportivo Alaves vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 April 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an action-packed LaLiga clash as Deportivo Alaves host Real Sociedad at Estadio Mendizorroza on 23 April 2025 at 20:30. This encounter holds significant importance for both teams. Alaves are fighting for survival, currently sitting 18th in the league, two points below the relegation zone. Given their fresher legs compared to Sociedad, who have played 10 more matches this year, Alaves will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage.
Real Sociedad, positioned 9th, are vying for a European spot. Despite their commitment to multiple competitions this season, including LaLiga, Europa League, and Copa del Rey, they have struggled to meet their ambitions. However, their recent away form and Alaves’ vulnerability in the last 15 minutes of matches suggest Sociedad might edge this one.
Expect a thrilling game with the potential for late drama. Our match tip recommends a bet on Real Sociedad to win.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting tip
- Recommended bet: Real Sociedad to win.
Given Deportivo Alaves’ current standing at 18th and Real Sociedad’s ambition to secure a European spot, this prediction is based on recent performances and statistics. Despite being the bookmaker’s favorite, Alaves struggle defensively, especially in the final quarter of the game, which is when Sociedad tends to find the back of the net.
| Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Real Sociedad to win | 3.32 |
- Deportivo Alaves have conceded the most goals in the last 15 minutes of matches this season, while Real Sociedad score the most during this period, indicating a potential for late goals.
- Real Sociedad have been more prolific in front of goal recently, averaging 2.20 goals per game in their last five matches compared to Alaves’ 0.80.
- Despite having multiple injuries, Real Sociedad’s away form and overall squad depth make them a strong contender for this match.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Odds
This match promises intrigue, both on the field and in the betting markets.
| Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Deportivo Alaves | 2.34 |
| Draw | 3.00 |
| Real Sociedad | 3.32 |
Deportivo Alaves are considered slight favorites by the bookmakers. Interestingly, the odds suggest a balanced game, with a draw not far off in likelihood. Despite Alaves’ potential edge at home, Real Sociedad’s attacking potency and better league standing make them a value bet for punters looking for higher returns.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
Deportivo Alaves, currently fighting to stay above the relegation zone, have shown a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. With only one clean sheet in their last five games and an average of 0.8 goals scored, it’s clear they’re struggling both offensively and defensively. Their recent form, featuring a decent mix of draws, wins, and losses, indicates they have the potential to snatch vital points, especially at home.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Madrid | 2025-04-13 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Girona | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-04-05 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Las Palmas | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-03-14 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
Despite conceding the most goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, they have shown resilience in tougher matchups, notably against heavyweights like Real Madrid. This clash against Real Sociedad will demand every ounce of that spirit, especially if they aim to repeat their previous victory over Sociedad.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Deportivo Alaves will rely heavily on their key players to secure a much-needed victory.
Top Scorer and Attacking Force:
- Kike Garcia is the team’s top scorer with 12 goals this season, making him the primary offensive threat. His performance in the attacking third will be crucial.
Midfield Generals:
- Joan Jordan and Antonio Blanco will be vital in controlling the midfield. Their ability to break up play and initiate attacks can set the tone for Alaves.
Defensive Stalwarts:
- Nahuel Tenaglia and Moussa Diarra will be tasked with keeping Real Sociedad’s forwards at bay. Their defensive composure will be key to preventing late goals, a period in which Alaves has shown vulnerability.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garces, Moussa Diarra, Manu Sanchez
- Midfielders: Joan Jordan, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Carles Aleña
- Center Forward: Kike Garcia
Key individual battles include Kike Garcia against Real Sociedad’s defenders, and Joan Jordan’s midfield duel with Luka Sucic. Their performances could very well dictate the outcome.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
For the upcoming match, Deportivo Alaves will be without Abdel Abqar, a crucial player for their defense. His absence due to a hamstring injury could impact the team’s backline stability, especially given their need for points to escape the relegation zone. The specifics are as follows:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Abdel Abqar | Hamstring Injury | Early May 2025 |
This injury puts more pressure on other defenders like Nahuel Tenaglia and Moussa Diarra to step up and fill the gap left by Abqar. The team must be cautious, as conceding goals has been their Achilles’ heel, particularly in the final stages of matches.
Their current situation demands a robust defensive performance to neutralize Real Sociedad’s offensive threats and maintain their fight for survival.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia
- Midfield Trio: Carlos Vicente (RW), Jon Guridi (CAM), Carles Aleña (LW)
- Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Weakness: Conceding goals in the 76-90-minute interval
Eduardo Coudet’s side is expected to set up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation. The defensive line relies heavily on Nahuel Tenaglia and Moussa Diarra to maintain stability, especially with Abdel Abqar sidelined.
In midfield, Joan Jordan and Antonio Blanco act as a double pivot, providing both defensive cover and ball distribution. Up front, Kike Garcia, the team’s top scorer, is crucial for putting Alaves on the scoresheet, supported by creative midfielders Guridi and Aleña.
Strategy: Alaves will likely focus on a compact defensive shape and look to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, aiming to use their fresher legs to outrun Real Sociedad, who have had a congested fixture list.
Real Sociedad Team Analysis
Recent Performance DDLWW
Real Sociedad’s form over the last five matches has been a mixed bag, featuring two wins, two draws, and one loss. They’ve shown an ability to score goals, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, though they haven’t managed a clean sheet during this period. Recent results suggest they can be a potent attacking force but may have defensive vulnerabilities.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Real Sociedad | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Real Sociedad | Mallorca | 2025-04-12 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Las Palmas | Real Sociedad | 2025-04-06 | LaLiga | 1-3 (Win) |
| Real Madrid | Real Sociedad | 2025-04-01 | Copa del Rey | 3-4 (Draw – ET Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Real Valladolid | 2025-03-29 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
Real Sociedad’s goalscoring prowess is highlighted by their top scorer, Mikel Oyarzabal, with 8 goals to his name this season. They’ve been particularly effective in the latter stages of matches, often scoring in the 76-90 minute interval. This tenacity could be a key factor as they look to secure a win and push towards a top-eight finish for European competition qualification.
Real Sociedad Key Players
Real Sociedad boasts several key players who will influence the outcome of this match. Mikel Oyarzabal, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, will be crucial in their attacking setup. His link-up play and finishing ability make him a constant threat to Deportivo Alaves’ defense.
Expected lineup for Real Sociedad:
- Goalkeeper: Alex Remiro
- Defenders: Hamari Traore, Aritz Elustondo, Jon Martín, Aihen Muñoz
- Midfielders: Takefusa Kubo, Beñat Turrientes, Luka Sucic, Sergio Gomez
- Attackers: Pablo Marín, Mikel Oyarzabal
Key individual battles to watch include Oyarzabal facing Alaves’ center-back Facundo Garces and Kubo taking on left-back Manu Sanchez. These duels could determine which team controls the flow of the game.
Real Sociedad Suspensions & Injuries
Real Sociedad has a few key players sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their performance in the upcoming match against Deportivo Alaves. Here’s a detailed list of their injured players and their expected return dates:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Arsen Zakharyan | Thigh injury | Early May 2025 |
| Álvaro Odriozola | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Igor Zubeldia | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Nayef Aguerd | Hamstring injury | Early May 2025 |
| Ander Barrenetxea | Ankle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
These injuries may force Coach Imanol Alguacil to adjust his tactics and formations. The absence of these players could weaken their defensive and midfield stability, increasing the responsibility on the remaining squad members to step up against Deportivo Alaves.
Real Sociedad Tactics and Formation
- Formation: 4-1-4-1
- Key Forward: Mikel Oyarzabal
- Midfield Composition: Takefusa Kubo, Beñat Turrientes, Luka Sucic, Sergio Gomez
- Defensive Line: Hamari Traore, Aritz Elustondo, Jon Martín, Aihen Muñoz
- Goalkeeper: Álex Remiro
Real Sociedad’s tactical approach revolves around a balanced 4-1-4-1 formation, providing both defensive stability and attacking potency.
Offensive Strategy:
- With Mikel Oyarzabal leading the line, they’ll aim to exploit his goal-scoring prowess.
- Takefusa Kubo and Sergio Gomez on the flanks offer pace and creativity.
Midfield Dynamics:
- Beñat Turrientes serves as the midfield anchor, dictating the tempo and providing defensive cover.
- Luka Sucic plays a pivotal role in transitioning from defense to attack.
Defensive Solidity:
- Despite having no clean sheets in the last five games, the defensive quartet will need to tighten up.
- Hamari Traore and Aihen Muñoz add experience and composure to the defense.
Notable Strategy:
- Real Sociedad has been particularly effective in scoring in the final 15 minutes of matches, a period where Alaves has struggled defensively.
Coach Imanol Alguacil will rely on this well-rounded formation to navigate through their numerous injuries and secure a positive result against Deportivo Alaves.
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-08-28 | LaLiga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Sociedad | 2024-07-20 | Club Friendlies | 1-1 (Win on Penalties) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Sociedad | 2024-03-31 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-01-02 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo Alaves | 2022-03-13 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
Over the last five meetings, Real Sociedad has had the upper hand with three victories, while Deportivo Alaves has secured one win. Their most recent match on 28 August 2024 ended with Alaves clinching a tight 2-1 victory, contrasting their earlier narrow draw in July 2024 during a friendly that went to penalties.
Odds accurate as of 21.04.2025 20:32, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
