Deportivo Alaves vs. Valencia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 20 October 2025

As LaLiga action rolls into its ninth round, Deportivo Alaves will host Valencia at the Estadio Mendizorroza on the evening of 20 October 2025.

Alaves, currently 10th in the league, have shown resilience at home, averaging 2.5 yellow cards per game and securing a vital win against Elche in their last outing. Their history against Valencia at home is solid, having won the last encounter 1-0. Eduardo Coudet’s side will look to continue this form, leveraging the attacking prowess of their top scorer, Carlos Vicente.

Valencia, on the other hand, languish in 16th place with just 8 points. Under Carlos Corberán, they’ve struggled, particularly away from home, picking up only one point in four matches. Injuries to key players like Diakhaby add to their woes. However, they have Hugo Duro and Arnaut Danjuma, both significant threats up front.

Our match prediction favors an Alaves win, capitalizing on their home advantage and Valencia’s poor away form. Expect a tightly contested game with Alaves likely to edge it out. The recommended bet is for an Alaves victory.

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tip

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction
Betting tip
Deportivo Alaves to win

Our recommended betting tip for this LaLiga clash at the Estadio Mendizorroza is a win for Deportivo Alaves, and here’s why:

• Form and Performance: Alaves, stationed at 10th on the table, have been significantly better at home. They’ve claimed victories in crucial matches, unlike Valencia, who struggled away, managing only one point from their four away fixtures.
• Historical Head-to-Head Advantage: Alaves have an impressive track record against Valencia, especially at home, winning their last encounter 1-0. This winning mentality can give them an edge psychologically.
• Key Player Contributions: Top scorer Carlos Vicente and a strong defensive lineup led by Antonio Sivera can exploit Valencia’s weakened squad, notably with key injuries like that of Mouctar Diakhaby.

Expect a fierce contest, but the home advantage and recent form strongly favour Alaves to secure another win.

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Odds

As we gear up for this LaLiga fixture between Deportivo Alaves and Valencia, it’s essential to understand the betting landscape.

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Deportivo Alaves to win	2.27
Draw	3.05
Valencia to win	3.45

These odds suggest that the bookmakers favour Deportivo Alaves to come out on top. With Alaves enjoying a sturdy home record and recent positive form, their odds of 2.27 for a win indicate a strong chance of victory. Valencia, meanwhile, face an uphill battle with odds of 3.45, reflecting their struggles on the road this season. A draw, with odds of 3.05, might seem tempting but considering the performances and home advantage, an Alaves victory appears the most likely outcome.

Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis

Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance

• Recent Matches:
  • 2025-10-05: Deportivo Alaves 3 – 1 Elche
  • 2025-09-27: Mallorca 1 – 0 Deportivo Alaves
  • 2025-09-24: Getafe 1 – 1 Deportivo Alaves
  • 2025-09-20: Deportivo Alaves 1 – 2 Sevilla
  • 2025-09-13: Athletic Club 0 – 1 Deportivo Alaves

In their last five matches, Deportivo Alaves has shown a mixed bag of performances with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, resulting in a WLDLW form. The team has scored an average of 1.20 goals per game and managed to keep one clean sheet during this period. Their last home performance was particularly convincing with a 3-1 victory over Elche.

Alaves have been relatively solid at home, leveraging their home ground effectively to clinch victories. With key players like Carlos Vicente, who is their top scorer with 3 goals, and a consistent defense led by Antonio Sivera, they look poised to sustain this form in their upcoming matches.

Deportivo Alaves Key Players

Deportivo Alaves will be relying heavily on their key figures to deliver a strong performance against Valencia. Carlos Vicente, their top scorer with 3 goals, will be pivotal in breaking through Valencia’s defenses. His form has been instrumental in securing Alaves’ position in the middle of the LaLiga table.

In midfield, Antonio Blanco and Pablo Ibanez will be crucial in maintaining possession and dictating the tempo of the game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit, led by goalkeeper Antonio Sivera and defenders Jonny Otto and Nahuel Tenaglia, will aim to secure another clean sheet.

Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
• Defenders: Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Youssef Enríquez
• Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibanez, Lucas Boye, Abde Rebbach, Carlos Vicente
• Forward: Toni Martínez

These players’ performances and contributions will be key in overcoming Valencia’s challenge on match day.

Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries

Deportivo Alaves enter the match against Valencia with minimal injury concerns, which should bolster their confidence. The only notable absentee is Nikola Maras, who is nursing a ligament injury and is expected to return in late October 2025.

The absence of Maras may slightly impact the defensive depth of the squad, but with players like Nahuel Tenaglia and Jon Pacheco in good form, the Alaves backline should be able to manage without him.

There are no suspensions to report, allowing Eduardo Coudet to field a practically full-strength side. This lack of major injuries or suspensions gives Alaves a valuable advantage as they look to extend their strong home record against Valencia.

Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Alaves are expected to stick to their tried and tested formation under Eduardo Coudet, likely opting for a 4-1-4-1 setup. This formation has been effective in balancing their defensive solidity with attacking prowess.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Toni Martínez, supported by wingers Carlos Vicente and Abde Rebbach.
• Midfield Control: Antonio Blanco and Pablo Ibanez are fundamental in maintaining possession and transitioning from defense to attack.
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games, largely attributed to the solid backline led by goalkeeper Antonio Sivera.
• Notable Strategy: Alaves have conceded most goals between the 61-75 minute interval, indicating a need for heightened defensive focus during this period.

Their tactical approach emphasizes strong wing play and timely forward thrusts, which will be crucial against a Valencia side struggling with injuries and form.

Valencia Team Analysis

Valencia Recent Performance

• Recent Matches:
  • 2025-10-04: Girona 2 – 1 Valencia
  • 2025-09-30: Valencia 1 – 2 Real Oviedo
  • 2025-09-23: Espanyol 2 – 2 Valencia
  • 2025-09-20: Valencia 2 – 0 Athletic Club
  • 2025-09-14: Barcelona 6 – 0 Valencia

Valencia’s form coming into this match is concerning, with only one win in their last five outings, resulting in a LWDLL record. They’ve struggled defensively, conceding heavily, particularly in the 6-0 thrashing by Barcelona. Their attacking output has averaged 1.20 goals per game in the last five matches, with Hugo Duro and Arnaut Danjuma providing sporadic threats.

The team has managed just one clean sheet recently, indicative of their defensive vulnerabilities. With key injuries, especially to Mouctar Diakhaby, their backline remains under pressure. Overall, Valencia will need to significantly uplift their performance to compete effectively against a solid Alaves side.

Valencia Key Players

Valencia will be counting on their key performers to overturn their current form. Hugo Duro, their top scorer with 3 goals this season, is expected to spearhead the attack alongside Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld, who has also found the net three times. These forwards will aim to make the most of their opportunities against a disciplined Alaves defense.

In midfield, Pepelu and Javi Guerra will be essential in maintaining control and linking up play. Luis Rioja’s pace and creativity on the wings could pose significant challenges for the Alaves full-backs.

With injuries affecting crucial players like Mouctar Diakhaby, the defensive duties fall heavily on Cesar Tarrega and José Manuel Arias Copete.

Expected lineup for Valencia:

• Goalkeeper: Julen Agirrezabala
• Defenders: Thierry Correia, Cesar Tarrega, José Manuel Arias Copete, Jesus Vazquez
• Midfielders: Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Pepelu, Diego Lopez
• Forwards: Hugo Duro, Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld

These players will need to be at their best to secure a positive result on the road.

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia heads into the match with significant injury concerns that could impact their performance.

• Filip Ugrinic is doubtful with a knee injury, and his absence could weaken their midfield control.
• Largie Ramazani is sidelined with a muscle injury but is expected back by late October, which limits their wing options.
• The most critical loss is Mouctar Diakhaby with a hamstring injury, keeping him out until late November, which severely dents their defensive stability.

These injuries leave Carlos Corberán with a challenging task of reshuffling his squad. The absence of Diakhaby, in particular, puts extra pressure on Cesar Tarrega and José Manuel Arias Copete to step up defensively.

No player suspensions are reported, allowing Valencia to field their best possible lineup under the circumstances, but they will need to find extra resilience to compensate for these critical absences.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia under Carlos Corberán will likely set up in a 4-4-2 formation. This system aims to leverage their attacking duo of Hugo Duro and Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld to break down the Alaves defense.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Hugo Duro and Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld, both having scored 3 goals each this season, will be pivotal in Valencia’s offensive strategy.
• Midfield Battle: Luis Rioja and Diego Lopez are expected to provide width and supply the forwards with critical passes, while Javi Guerra and Pepelu will focus on controlling the center of the pitch.
• Defensive Duties: Given the injury to Mouctar Diakhaby, the defense will rely heavily on Cesar Tarrega and José Manuel Arias Copete to hold the fort.
• Notable Strategy: Valencia has scored most of their goals between the 46-60 minute interval, suggesting a strong start to the second half.

Expect the team to focus on quick transitions and exploiting the spaces behind the Alaves defense.

Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Head-to-Head Statistics

When it comes to head-to-head encounters, Deportivo Alaves seem to have the upper hand over Valencia. In their last five meetings, Alaves has emerged victorious on four occasions, with one match ending in a draw. Here’s a breakdown of their recent clashes:

• 2025-05-14: Deportivo Alaves 1 – 0 Valencia
• 2024-12-22: Valencia 2 – 2 Deportivo Alaves
• 2024-05-05: Valencia 0 – 1 Deportivo Alaves
• 2023-09-02: Deportivo Alaves 1 – 0 Valencia
• 2022-02-13: Deportivo Alaves 2 – 1 Valencia

This impressive record gives Alaves a psychological edge, especially with their recent home win against Elche. On the other hand, Valencia will aim to break this pattern and secure a vital away win. Historical performance suggests that Alaves tends to capitalize on their home advantage, making them favourites for the upcoming match.

As probabilidades são precisas a partir de 18.10.2025 19:01, e estão sujeitas a alterações. Por favor, verifique sempre as probabilidades antes de fazer as suas apostas com qualquer casa de apostas.