Deportivo Alaves vs. Valencia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 May 2025 - bettingexpert
We’re heading into an intriguing LaLiga clash on 14 May 2025, as Deportivo Alaves host Valencia at Estadio Mendizorroza. Kicking off at 18:00 with Jesus Gil officiating, this match has implications for both sides as the season winds down.
Deportivo Alaves, sitting 17th with 35 points, are just above the relegation zone and will be desperate for points. Despite shaky form, their last home encounter saw them snag a crucial win against Real Sociedad. However, they tend to concede late goals frequently.
On the other side, Valencia, who are 11th with 45 points and unbeaten in their last 10 LaLiga games, come into this bout with solid form. Fresh off a dominating 3-0 win over Getafe, Valencia’s attack has been firing on all cylinders, with Hugo Duro leading their scoring charts.
Given their consistency and form, our match tip is to back Valencia for the win. With both teams having notable absences—Alaves missing Abdel Abqar and Valencia without Thierry Correia and Max Aarons—this match promises a mix of resilience and strategy.
Recommended bet: Valencia to win.
Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tip
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| Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Valencia to win | 3.74 |
- Valencia are unbeaten in their last 10 LaLiga matches.
- They have been consistent scorers, finding the net in 77% of their games this season.
- Deportivo Alaves have a tendency to concede late goals, making them vulnerable.
Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Odds
Let’s break down the betting odds for the upcoming clash between Deportivo Alaves and Valencia, making it easier for you to understand the chances each team has at securing a win or the match ending in a draw.
| Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Deportivo Alaves | 2.09 |
| Draw | 3.18 |
| Valencia | 3.74 |
Deportivo Alaves, the bookmakers’ favorites, have slightly better odds, reflecting their home advantage. However, Valencia’s recent form and unbeaten streak give them a fighting chance to defy the odds. Remember, Valencia’s consistent scoring could be a game-changer!
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
- Recent Form: LDWDL
Deportivo Alaves have had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches. They’re currently fighting to avoid relegation and are sitting just above the drop zone in 17th place with 35 points. They’ve managed two clean sheets in their last five games but have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.4 goals per game. Here’s a look at their recent performances:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-05-11 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Atletico Madrid | 2025-05-03 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Sociedad | 2025-04-23 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Sevilla | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Real Madrid | 2025-04-13 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
Despite their struggles, they’ve shown glimpses of defensive solidity, but the key challenge remains their offensive output.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
- Top scorer for Deportivo Alaves is Kike Garcia with 12 goals this season, making him a crucial player in their fight to avoid relegation.
- Another key figure is Antonio Sivera in goal, who has contributed to the team’s defensive solidity with two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Jon Guridi in midfield will be pivotal for Alaves, expected to offer creativity and support both in defense and attack.
- Key individual battles to watch include Kike Garcia trying to outsmart Valencia’s sturdy defenders like Cristhian Mosquera.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Moussa Diarra, Facundo Garces, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sanchez
- Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Carles Alena
- Forwards: Toni Martínez
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
Deportivo Alaves have a key injury concern heading into their match against Valencia. Abdel Abqar is sidelined with a hamstring injury and is likely to return in late May 2025, affecting the team’s defensive options.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Abdel Abqar | Hamstring Injury | Late May 2025 |
Abqar’s absence means Alaves may have to rely on their remaining defenders to maintain their solidity at the back. With no current suspensions, coach Eduardo Coudet will need to ensure his available squad steps up to the challenge in this crucial fixture.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Toni Martínez
- Midfield Trio: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi
- Defensive Setup:
- The defense, which consists of Manuel Sanchez, Santiago Mourino, Facundo Garces, and Moussa Diarra, will aim to remain robust despite Abdel Abqar’s absence due to a hamstring injury.
- The team has managed two clean sheets in their last five games, showing some defensive resilience.
- Offensive Setup:
- With Kike Garcia as their top scorer (12 goals), Alaves will likely look to capitalize on his abilities in tight spaces and goal-scoring opportunities.
- Notable Strategy:
- A significant drop-off in defensive concentration has been noted in the final 15 minutes of matches. Therefore, maintaining composure during this time will be crucial.
Alaves, under Eduardo Coudet, will have to be particularly wary of their late-game lapses, and a solid midfield performance will be key to staving off Valencia’s strong offensive capabilities.
Valencia Team Analysis
Valencia Recent Performance
Valencia have shown impressive form in their recent matches. They are riding high on an unbeaten streak of 10 games in LaLiga, displaying both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. With a consistent average of 1.80 goals scored per match in their last five games and securing two clean sheets, Valencia look formidable heading into this fixture.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Getafe | 2025-05-10 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Las Palmas | Valencia | 2025-05-03 | LaLiga | 2-3 (Win) |
| Valencia | Espanyol | 2025-04-22 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | 2025-04-19 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Valencia | Sevilla | 2025-04-11 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
Valencia’s consistent form makes them strong contenders, especially with their ability to score in 77% of their matches this season and their ability to secure clean sheets in critical moments.
Valencia Key Players
Valencia head into this match in fine form, highlighted by the standout performances of their key players.
The spotlight will be on Hugo Duro, who has notched up 11 goals this season, making him Valencia’s top scorer. His attacking prowess will be crucial in piercing Deportivo Alaves’ defense.
Midfielder Luis Rioja, expected to start in the right midfield role, has been instrumental in creating scoring opportunities and driving forward play. His battle against Alaves’ left-back, Manu Sanchez, will be one to watch.
Expected lineup for Valencia:
- Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
- Defenders: Dimitri Foulquier, Cesar Tarrega, Cristhian Mosquera, Jose Gaya
- Midfielders: Luis Rioja, Pepelu, Enzo Barrenechea, Diego Lopez
- Attackers: Rafael Mir, Hugo Duro
These key players must perform at their best to continue Valencia’s strong run.
Valencia Suspensions & Injuries
Carlos Corberán will need to navigate through some key absences for Valencia in this crucial LaLiga fixture.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Thierry Correia | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Max Aarons | Foot injury | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Javi Guerra | Yellow cards | 1 match ban |
The suspension of Javi Guerra, along with injuries to Thierry Correia and potentially Max Aarons, will test Valencia’s defensive depth and midfield cohesion. These absences could force Corberán to tweak his lineup and strategy, potentially impacting their solidity and fluidity on the field.
Valencia Tactics and Formation
Valencia’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Hugo Duro & Rafael Mir
- Midfield Quartet: Luis Rioja, Pepelu, Enzo Barrenechea, Diego Lopez
- Defensive Backbone: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
Notable Strategies:
- High Scoring: Scored in 77% of matches this season.
- Consistent Form: Undefeated in the last 10 matches.
- Strong Away Performance: Unbeaten in the last 6 away fixtures.
Carlos Corberán’s team uses a balanced 4-4-2 formation that offers both defensive solidity and offensive versatility. With Hugo Duro and Rafael Mir leading the line, Valencia aims to press high and exploit the opposition’s defensive lapses, particularly later in the game. Their midfield is dynamic, capable of quick transitions and controlled ball possession, setting the tempo throughout the match.
Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-12-22 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-07-24 | Club Friendlies | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2024-05-05 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Valencia | 2023-09-02 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2023-07-29 | Club Friendlies | 2-0 (Win) |
Deportivo Alaves and Valencia have faced each other quite frequently over the past two seasons. Alaves have had a slight edge, winning three of the last five encounters, including two LaLiga victories and one friendly fixture. Valencia managed a solid draw in their most recent meeting from December last year. The outcomes have been varied, underscoring the competitive nature of this matchup.
Odds accurate as of 12/05/2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
