Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction and Betting Tips

The 27th round of Serie A kicks off with an intriguing match between Fiorentina and Lecce at the Artemio Franchi Stadium. Fiorentina are currently in 6th place with 42 points, but they’re reeling from three consecutive defeats, including a recent loss to Verona. Their form has jeopardized European qualification hopes. Meanwhile, Lecce are fighting to avoid relegation, sitting precariously in 16th place with 25 points.

Despite their recent struggles, Fiorentina are the favourites with odds of 1.73 to win. They have a solid record at home and scored in 77% of their matches there this season. However, they’ll miss key players like Moise Kean, their top scorer with 15 goals, due to a head injury. Lecce, with odds at 4.96 for a win, have shown resilience recently but lack the scoring punch.

The match is crucial for both teams: Fiorentina seeking a turnaround to climb the standings, and Lecce aiming to stave off relegation. It will be exclusively broadcast on Disney+, adding to the match’s anticipation.

Our prediction aligns with Fiorentina’s slight favouritism, suggesting they are well-placed to secure a win at home despite their absences. This match offers them a prime opportunity to regain form against a struggling Lecce side.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tip

Based on the latest stats and form, the recommended betting tip for this match is:

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Fiorentina to win	1.73

• Fiorentina have a stronger home record, scoring in 77% of their home games this season.
• Lecce have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.60 goals in their last five games.
• Despite recent form dips, Fiorentina are favored by the bookmakers and are playing against a lower-ranked team, increasing their winning chances.
  With European spots within reach, Fiorentina will be eager to secure all three points.

Fiorentina Team Analysis

Fiorentina Recent Performance

Fiorentina’s recent form has seen them struggle with consistency, as they have managed only two wins in their last five matches. Here is a snapshot of their recent results:

Home team	Away team	Result
Verona	Fiorentina	1-0 (Loss)
Fiorentina	Como	0-2 (Loss)
Inter	Fiorentina	2-1 (Loss)
Fiorentina	Inter	3-0 (Win)
Fiorentina	Genoa	2-1 (Win)

Fiorentina has managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per game in their last five outings, while keeping just one clean sheet in that period. Their defensive issues have been a key factor in their recent slump, with three losses impacting their position in the league negatively.

Despite their struggles, Fiorentina maintains an edge at home, having scored in 77% of their matches at the Artemio Franchi this season. With key injuries affecting their lineup, the match against Lecce becomes crucial for a much-needed resurgence.

Fiorentina Key Players

Fiorentina’s fortunes in this match will heavily rely on the contributions of key players like Nicolò Zaniolo and Nicolò Fagioli. With Moise Kean, their top scorer with 15 goals, sidelined due to a head injury, the attacking burden will likely fall on Lucas Beltrán, supported by the creative efforts of Zaniolo.
Defensively, the experienced David De Gea will be between the posts, aiming to add to their clean sheet tally.

Expected lineup for Fiorentina:

• Goalkeeper: David De Gea
• Defenders: Dodô, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens
• Midfielders: Rolando Mandragora, Danilo Cataldi, Nicolò Zaniolo, Nicolò Fagioli, Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho
• Attackers: Lucas Beltrán

Key individual battles, such as Zaniolo against Lecce’s Frederic Guilbert, could define the outcome of this encounter.

Fiorentina Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina are dealing with a number of injuries that could significantly impact their lineup and strategy for the match against Lecce.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Edoardo Bove	Heart problems	Unknown
Yacine Adli	Ankle injury	Mid March 2025
Albert Gudmundsson	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Andrea Colpani	Foot injury	Mid March 2025
Moise Kean	Head injury	Mid March 2025

One notable absence is Moise Kean, the team’s top scorer with 15 goals this season. His absence places more pressure on other attacking players such as Lucas Beltrán. Additionally, Amir Richardson is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, missing this crucial fixture.

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Amir Richardson	Yellow cards	1 match

Fiorentina’s depth will be tested, particularly in attack and midfield, as they aim to end their losing streak and maintain their push for European qualification.

Fiorentina Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Lucas Beltrán
• Midfield Trio: Nicolò Zaniolo, Nicolò Fagioli, Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strongest goal-scoring interval is 31-45 minutes

Despite their recent struggles, Fiorentina will likely stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on creating chances through the wings and solidifying the midfield duo of Rolando Mandragora and Danilo Cataldi.

With Moise Kean out, Lucas Beltrán will be relied upon heavily to lead the attack, supported by Zaniolo and Folorunsho on the flanks. Robin Gosens steps in at left-back, providing defensive stability and overlapping runs.

Raffaele Palladino will look to use the home advantage to control the game tempo, particularly trying to exploit the weak points in Lecce’s defense during the crucial 31-45-minute interval.

Lecce Team Analysis

Lecce Recent Performance

Lecce’s recent form has been a mix of results that showcase their up-and-down season. With one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, they’ve picked up the points needed to stay afloat but haven’t found the consistency required to climb the table significantly.

Home team	Away team	Result
Lecce	Udinese	0-1 (Loss)
Monza	Lecce	0-0 (Draw)
Lecce	Bologna	0-0 (Draw)
Parma Calcio 1913	Lecce	1-3 (Win)
Lecce	Inter	0-4 (Loss)

Lecce has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, a testament to their defensive efforts. However, they’ve struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.60 goals per game.
Marco Giampaolo will need to address these offensive issues if Lecce are to secure more favorable results moving forward.

Lecce Key Players

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Frédéric Guilbert, Gaby Jean, Federico Baschirotto, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Balthazar Pierret, Hamza Rafia, Lassana Coulibaly
• Attackers: Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Krstovic, Tete Morente

Nikola Krstovic stands out as Lecce’s top scorer, having netted 7 goals this season. He will be pivotal in trying to crack Fiorentina’s defense, especially with his knack for being in the right place at the right time.

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Lassana Coulibaly likely to face off against Fiorentina’s Rolando Mandragora. Another key player could be Wladimiro Falcone in goal, who will need to be at his best to stop Nicolò Zaniolo and Lucas Beltrán from getting on the scoresheet.

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Filip Marchwinski	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Thórir Jóhann Helgason	Physical discomfort	Doubtful

Lecce will be missing Filip Marchwinski for the rest of the season due to a cruciate ligament injury, which is a significant blow as he provides stability and creativity in the midfield. Thórir Jóhann Helgason is also doubtful due to physical discomfort, potentially limiting Lecce’s options in midfield rotations.

Both absences will challenge Lecce as they look to shore up their defense and provide support for top scorer Nikola Krstovic. The team will need to rely on midfielder Hamza Rafia and defenders like Antonino Gallo to mitigate these missing pieces and maintain their competitive edge.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Nikola Krstovic
• Midfield Trio: Balthazar Pierret, Hamza Rafia, Lassana Coulibaly
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Defensive solidity and looking to score most in the 31-45-minute interval.

Marco Giampaolo’s side will likely stick to their 4-3-3 formation, aiming to reinforce their midfield with the presence of Pierret, Rafia, and Coulibaly. Nikola Krstovic, as their top scorer, will be the key figure in attack. Given their recent defensive prowess, Lecce will focus on keeping a tight backline, particularly with Frédéric Guilbert and Antonino Gallo on the wings. Expect them to exploit weaknesses in Fiorentina’s defence, particularly in the later stages of the first half.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Result
Lecce	Fiorentina	0-6
Lecce	Fiorentina	3-2
Fiorentina	Lecce	2-2
Fiorentina	Lecce	1-0
Lecce	Fiorentina	1-1

The last five encounters have produced varied results, with Fiorentina currently having the upper hand.
In their most recent meeting, Fiorentina secured an emphatic 6-0 win. However, Lecce managed a 3-2 victory prior to that.
Overall, Fiorentina has been more dominant, but Lecce has shown they can create problems, making this matchup an intriguing prospect.

Odds accurate as of 26.02.2025 19:47, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.