Inter vs. Roma Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 27 April 2025 - bettingexpert
Inter Milan will host AS Roma at the Giuseppe Meazza on 27 April 2025 in a crucial Serie A clash. This match holds significant importance for both teams as they battle for their respective targets—Inter aiming to secure the top spot and Roma pushing for European qualification.
Inter, currently tied on points with Napoli, sits first in the league standings with 71 points. Simone Inzaghi’s men are looking to bounce back after a 0-3 defeat to AC Milan in the Coppa Italia, and they’ll aim to secure vital league points with an attacking game at home. Despite a recent lapse in form, Inter have solid odds (1.75) to win this match. Their top scorer, Marcus Thuram, is a doubt with injury, leaving Lautaro Martinez and Marko Arnautovic to lead the attack.
On the other hand, Roma, in seventh place with 57 points, have shown resilience under Claudio Ranieri, maintaining three clean sheets in their last five games. Their away form could be their Achilles’ heel against top teams, but they’ll look to their top scorer, Artem Dovbyk, to break through Inter’s defense.
Referee Michael Fabbri will officiate the game, which promises to be an intense contest. With Inter competing for the Serie A title and a Champions League semi-final spot, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The recommended bet is for Inter to win, given their home advantage and stronger squad depth.
Inter vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the match-up and current form, the recommended betting tip is for Inter to win. With Inter playing at home and needing vital points to keep up in their title race, they are strong favourites.
Inter vs Roma Prediction | |
---|---|
Betting tip | Odds |
Inter to win | 1.75 |
- Home Advantage: Inter are playing at the Giuseppe Meazza, where they’ve generally performed well, backed by their passionate supporters.
- League Position: Inter sit at the top of the table and are highly motivated to stay ahead in the title race.
- Roma’s Struggle Against Top Teams: Roma have struggled away against top-tier sides, making this a more favourable match-up for Inter.
Inter vs Roma Odds
Looking at the odds for this match, it’s clear that Inter are the favourites, particularly with their strong home advantage at the Giuseppe Meazza. The bookmakers have set attractive odds for a win, draw, or a surprise victory by Roma.
Inter vs Roma Betting Odds | |
---|---|
Bet | Odds |
Inter | 1.75 |
Draw | 3.69 |
Roma | 4.60 |
With Inter aiming to retain their top spot in Serie A and Roma struggling to perform against top teams away from home, this could be a strategic bet for those favouring the home side.
Inter Team Analysis
Inter Recent Performance
Inter’s recent form has been a roller-coaster, mixing thrilling victories with disappointing defeats. Here is a snapshot of their last 5 matches:
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Inter | AC Milan | 2025-04-23 | Coppa Italia | 0-3 (Loss) |
Bologna | Inter | 2025-04-20 | Serie A | 1-0 (Loss) |
Inter | Bayern Munich | 2025-04-16 | Champions League | 2-2 (Draw) |
Inter | Cagliari | 2025-04-12 | Serie A | 3-1 (Win) |
Bayern Munich | Inter | 2025-04-08 | Champions League | 1-2 (Win) |
Inter’s recent performances have shown a mix of results, with 2 wins, a draw, and 2 losses. Their average goals scored in the last 5 games is 1.4, indicating an effective attack. However, they have struggled to keep clean sheets recently, having none in their last 5 matches. The team will be aiming to bounce back strong, especially with the Serie A title race tightening.
Inter Key Players
Inter Milan boasts several standout players poised to impact their clash against Roma. Lautaro Martinez is a crucial figure, leading the team’s attack with 14 goals this season. Although Marcus Thuram may not feature due to injury, the experienced Marko Arnautovic, expected to start up front, will look to exploit Roma’s defence.
In midfield, Nicolò Barella and Hakan Calhanoglu will orchestrate play, aiming to dominate possession and create chances. Barella’s energy and Calhanoglu’s creative spark could be decisive.
Defensively, the presence of Benjamin Pavard and Alessandro Bastoni (if fit) will be crucial, especially against Roma’s Eldor Shomurodov.
Expected lineup for Inter:
- Goalkeeper: Yann Sommer
- Defenders: Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Yann Aurel Bisseck
- Midfielders: Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Davide Frattesi, Federico Dimarco
- Attackers: Marko Arnautovic, Lautaro Martinez
Inter Suspensions & Injuries
Inter Milan has a few significant injuries and suspensions going into this crucial fixture against Roma, which could affect their performance.
Suspensions:
Player | Suspension | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Alessandro Bastoni | Yellow cards | 1 match |
Henrikh Mkhitaryan | Yellow cards | 1 match |
Injuries:
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Valentin Carboni | Cruciate ligament injury | Early June 2025 |
Piotr Zielinski | Shin injury | Doubtful |
Denzel Dumfries | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
Marcus Thuram | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
The absence of Alessandro Bastoni and Henrikh Mkhitaryan, due to suspensions, and the potential unavailability of key players like Marcus Thuram, Piotr Zielinski, and Denzel Dumfries, could present challenges for Inter. These missing players may disrupt Inter’s defensive solidity and offensive potency.
Inter Tactics and Formation
Inter Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Expected Line-Up:
- Goalkeeper: Yann Sommer
- Right center back: Benjamin Pavard
- Central back: Francesco Acerbi
- Left center back: Yann Aurel Bisseck
- Right midfielder: Matteo Darmian
- Right central midfielder: Nicolò Barella
- Central midfielder: Hakan Calhanoglu
- Left central midfielder: Davide Frattesi
- Left midfielder: Federico Dimarco
- Right forward: Marko Arnautovic
- Left forward: Lautaro Javier Martinez
Simone Inzaghi’s Inter will likely focus on maintaining a balance between a solid defence and an attacking threat. With Bastoni and Mkhitaryan suspended, and Thuram potentially unavailable, Inter’s depth will be tested. Watch for Barella and Calhanoglu to control the midfield and orchestrate attacks. The combination of Arnautovic’s physical presence and Lautaro Martinez’s sharp finishing could be crucial for breaking Roma’s defence.
Roma Team Analysis
Roma Recent Performance
Roma have shown strong form recently, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws. They have been solid at the back, keeping 3 clean sheets in these games, which is crucial for building confidence heading into this challenging encounter.
Their average of 1.00 goals scored per game in the last five fixtures indicates that while they may not be the most prolific, they are certainly efficient in making their chances count.
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Roma | Verona | 2025-04-19 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
Lazio | Roma | 2025-04-13 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Roma | Juventus | 2025-04-06 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
Lecce | Roma | 2025-03-29 | Serie A | 0-1 (Win) |
Roma | Cagliari | 2025-03-16 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
Roma’s defensive resilience and ability to grind out results will be key against a dominant Inter side. However, their moderate scoring rate could be a concern against higher-caliber opponents. Keep an eye on Claudio Ranieri’s tactical adjustments, as they will need to be spot-on to match Inter’s attacking prowess.
Roma Key Players
Expected lineup for Roma:
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
- Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Angeliño
- Attackers: Matias Soule, Tommaso Baldanzi, Eldor Shomurodov
Artem Dovbyk has been Roma’s most consistent threat, netting 11 goals this season. His finishing ability will be crucial against Inter’s experienced backline.
Manu Koné and Bryan Cristante will need to control the midfield, breaking up Inter’s play and launching counterattacks.
In defence, Gianluca Mancini’s leadership and Evan N’Dicka’s physical presence will be key to halting Inter’s attacking duo of Martinez and Arnautovic.
Individual battles to watch include Dovbyk against Inter’s Pavard and Mancini against Lautaro Martinez.
Away team Suspensions & Injuries
Roma has a couple of significant injuries that could impact their performance against Inter.
Player | Injury | Expected return |
---|---|---|
Paulo Dybala | Hamstring Injury | Out for season |
Victor Nelsson | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
The absence of Paulo Dybala, who is out for the rest of the season due to a hamstring injury, is a considerable blow to Roma’s attacking options. Dybala’s creativity and goal-scoring prowess will be sorely missed.
Victor Nelsson is also out with a muscle injury and is expected to return in early May 2025. His absence weakens the defensive line, which will be crucial against Inter’s potent attack.
Expect Roma to rely on the remaining squad depth to compensate for these key absences.
Roma Tactics and Formation
Roma’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Eldor Shomurodov
- Midfield Quartet: Alexis Saelemaekers, Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Angeliño
- Attacking Midfielders: Matias Soule and Tommaso Baldanzi
- Defensive Line: Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
Roma typically employs a 3-4-2-1 formation, aiming to secure midfield dominance and create opportunities through their attacking midfielders. Shomurodov spearheads the attack, relying on the creativity and support from Soule and Baldanzi behind him.
The defensive trio of Celik, Mancini, and N’Dicka aims to offer stability at the back, complemented by Svilar’s shot-stopping skills. Expect Roma to focus on quick transitions and using the width provided by Angeliño and Saelemaekers.
Inter vs Roma Head-to-Head Statistics
Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
Roma | Inter | 2024-10-20 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
Roma | Inter | 2024-02-10 | Serie A | 2-4 (Loss) |
Inter | Roma | 2023-10-29 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
Roma | Inter | 2023-05-06 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
Inter | Roma | 2022-10-01 | Serie A | 1-2 (Loss) |
Inter seems to have the upper hand in recent encounters, winning four of the last five meetings against Roma. The scores reveal that Inter often manages to find the net while keeping Roma’s tally low. This trend is certainly worth noting as you place your bets or anticipate another exciting showdown between the two teams.
Odds accurate as of 24/04/2025 17:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.