Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 October 2025

This Serie A clash between Sport Recife and Fluminense brings contrasting fortunes to the pitch on 1 October 2025. Fluminense, buoyed by their recent 2-0 victory over Botafogo under new coach Luís Zubeldía, looks to solidify their position in the top half of the table. Currently 8th with 34 points, they are favorites to take all three points against Sport Recife, who sit at the bottom with just 14 points.
Sport Recife’s struggles have been evident, illustrated by their recent loss to Fortaleza. Despite winning only once in their last five games, Daniel Paulista’s side will hope their top scorer, Derik Lacerda, can make an impact.
Recommended bet: Fluminense to win. The visitors’ stronger form and higher league position underline this.
Expect Fluminense, inspired by Zubeldía’s tactical acumen, to dominate proceedings. With an in-form German Cano leading their attack, they comprehend the significance of this fixture for their European aspirations.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tip

Fluminense to win is the recommended bet for this match.

• Clear Favorites: Fluminense are the stronger side overall, as evidenced by their 8th place standing and recent form under new coach Luís Zubeldía.
• Better Form: While Sport Recife has managed just one win in their last five games, Fluminense has shown resilience, including a 2-0 victory over Botafogo.
• Scoring Threat: With German Cano leading their attack, Fluminense’s ability to score and capitalize on Sport Recife’s defensive vulnerabilities makes them strong betting favorites.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Odds

The bookmakers are leaning towards Fluminense for this Serie A clash against Sport Recife. Given their current positions and recent form, it’s no surprise that the odds favor the visiting side.

Fluminense are priced at 2.50 to win, reflecting their stronger standings and impressive outing under new coach Luís Zubeldía. A draw stands at 3.01, while a win for Sport Recife has longer odds at 2.94, highlighting their underdog status despite being the home team.
Key Takeaways:

• Fluminense Favored: The odds underscore Fluminense’s superior form and league position.
• Potential for Draw: With Sport Recife fighting to escape the bottom, the odds for a draw are notable.
• Underdog Chance: Sport Recife’s 2.94 odds to win indicate a possible upset if they capitalize on their home advantage.

Sport Recife Team Analysis

Sport Recife Recent Performance

Sport Recife’s recent form has been disappointing, with only one win in their last five matches. Their last results are as follows:

• Fortaleza 1-0 Sport Recife
• Sport Recife 1-0 Corinthians
• Red Bull Bragantino 1-1 Sport Recife
• Sport Recife 2-3 Vasco da Gama
• Palmeiras 3-0 Sport Recife

Their current position at the bottom of the table, with only 14 points, highlights their struggles this season. Over the past five games, Sport Recife have averaged just 0.80 goals per match and managed only one clean sheet.
Their top scorer, Derik Lacerda, has netted just three goals, indicating their issues in the final third. Despite their poor form, they did manage a surprise win against Corinthians, suggesting they could potentially challenge stronger teams on their day.

Sport Recife Key Players

Sport Recife will be heavily reliant on the performance of their top scorer, Derik Lacerda, who has managed to net three goals this season. His ability to penetrate Fluminense’s defense will be vital if Sport Recife are to improve their scoring tally.
In midfield, Lucas Lima and Matheusinho are expected to be key in creating opportunities and controlling the tempo of the game. Defensively, Rafael Thyere and Ramon Menezes will need to be solid to prevent Fluminense’s in-form striker, German Cano, from finding the back of the net.
Expected lineup for Sport Recife:

• Goalkeeper: Gabriel
• Defenders: Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Candido
• Midfielders: Ze Lucas, Christian Rivera, Matheusinho, Lucas Lima, Léo Pereira
• Attackers: Derik Lacerda

With key players like Sergio Oliveira and Diogo Hereda out due to injuries, the onus will be on the remaining squad to step up in this crucial fixture.

Sport Recife Suspensions & Injuries

Sport Recife will be missing a couple of key players due to injuries for this match. Diogo Hereda is out with a groin injury and is expected to return in early November, which means they will have to fill the gap in their defensive line. Additionally, Sergio Oliveira is sidelined with an ankle injury but is potentially set to return in the next one to two weeks. Their absence will force Coach Daniel Paulista to rely on backup options, which may impact the team’s overall performance and depth.
Without these experienced players, Sport Recife’s squad depth will be tested, and the burden will fall on the rest of the team to step up in these critical positions, especially against a strong side like Fluminense.

Sport Recife Tactics and Formation

Sport Recife’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Derik Lacerda
• Midfield Duo: Ze Lucas and Christian Rivera
• Defensive Backbone: Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Candido

Sport Recife tends to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Gabriel as the shot-stopper. Their strategy hinges on a solid defensive setup, evidenced by Rafael Thyere and Ramon Menezes anchoring the backline. In the midfield, Ze Lucas and Christian Rivera are crucial for both defensive cover and transitioning play.
Lucas Lima’s role as the attacking midfielder is vital for creating chances, while Derik Lacerda leads the attack up front. Despite only averaging 0.80 goals per game in recent fixtures, this formation allows Sport Recife to be compact and resilient. Their defensive prowess has earned them one clean sheet in their last five games, highlighting their capability to hold off stronger opponents, especially later in matches.

Fluminense Team Analysis

Fluminense Recent Performance

Fluminense has shown a more promising form recently, highlighted by the following results in their last five matches:

• Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo
• Fluminense 1-1 Lanus (Copa Sudamericana)
• Vitória 0-1 Fluminense
• Lanus 1-0 Fluminense (Copa Sudamericana)
• Fluminense 0-1 Corinthians

Under the guidance of new head coach Luís Zubeldía, Fluminense has begun to shake off their disappointing earlier form, as shown in their latest 2-0 victory against Botafogo. The team has gathered 34 points and currently sits in 8th place in the league, with an average of 0.80 goals scored per game in their last five fixtures. Impressively, they’ve also secured two clean sheets during this period, showcasing a more robust defensive setup. As they approach this match against a struggling Sport Recife, Fluminense seems poised to continue their upward trajectory.

Fluminense Key Players

Fluminense will be looking to key players like their top scorer, German Cano, who has netted six goals this season. His knack for finding the back of the net will be crucial against a Sport Recife side that has struggled defensively. Luciano Acosta, expected to play the attacking midfielder role, will also be pivotal in crafting opportunities for Cano and the wingers.
In defense, Samuel Xavier and Juan Pablo Freytes will need to be vigilant to keep Sport Recife’s attacking efforts at bay. Their performance could decisively influence the game’s outcome.
Expected lineup for Fluminense:

• Goalkeeper: Fábio
• Defenders: Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene
• Midfielders: Martinelli, Hercules, Agustín Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna
• Attackers: German Cano

Fluminense Suspensions & Injuries

Fluminense has a few injury concerns heading into this match, which could influence their approach and final team selection. Matheus Reis is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return in early October. Key creative talent Ganso will miss out due to a calf injury, with a potential return set for mid-October. Additionally, Gustavo Nonato is sidelined with a foot injury but should also be available by mid-October.
Thiago Silva is a doubt with a thigh injury. His absence would be a significant blow to Fluminense’s defensive stability. These injuries mean that coach Luís Zubeldía will need to rely on his squad depth to maintain their recent good run of form.
The absence of these players may affect the team’s overall balance and depth, but Fluminense still boasts a strong lineup capable of competing effectively.

Fluminense Tactics and Formation

Fluminense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: German Cano
• Midfield Duo: Martinelli and Hercules
• Defensive Assurance: Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene

Under new coach Luís Zubeldía, Fluminense has adopted a 4-2-3-1 formation that balances defensive solidity with attacking flair. German Cano spearheads the attack, supported by an agile midfield and solid defense.
Martinelli and Hercules anchor the midfield, ensuring both defensive cover and attacking support. The wide players, Agustín Canobbio and Kevin Serna, will look to stretch the defense and provide service to Cano.
In defense, the experienced Samuel Xavier, alongside Rene, brings stability and discipline. With two clean sheets in their last five games, Fluminense’s defense is dependable and crucial for their success.
This tactical setup allows Fluminense to control the game’s tempo and exploit opposition weaknesses efficiently.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Head-to-Head Statistics

In their past five encounters, Fluminense has had the upper hand against Sport Recife. The recent performances between these teams are as follows:

• Fluminense 2-1 Sport Recife (2025-05-03)
• Fluminense 1-0 Sport Recife (2021-11-07)
• Sport Recife 1-2 Fluminense (2021-07-10)
• Fluminense 1-0 Sport Recife (2021-01-16)
• Sport Recife 1-0 Fluminense (2020-09-20)

Fluminense has won four out of their last five matchups, showing dominance over Sport Recife. The only time Sport Recife managed to secure a win was back in late 2020. Given their head-to-head record, Fluminense comes into this fixture with a psychological edge.
Expect Fluminense to leverage this historical advantage and continue their strong performances under new coach Luís Zubeldía.

Odds accurate as of 29.09.2025 23:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.