Sport Recife vs Grêmio Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 7 December

Sport Recife vs Grêmio Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 7 December. As we look ahead to this intriguing clash in Serie A, both teams are set to face off later this week. While the venue details remain unspecified, the significance of this match is clear, as it could have substantial implications for both teams’ positions in the league.

Sport Recife will host Grêmio, with both teams eager to secure crucial points. As the Serie A season nears its climax, every match counts, and this encounter promises to be pivotal. Fans will be watching closely to see which team can gain the upper hand and boost their position in the league table.

Sport Recife vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Grêmio Draw No Bet	1.9

Given the current form and recent performances of both teams, our betting tip is to back Grêmio with a draw no bet at odds of 1.90. This covers the possibility of a draw, offering a refund if the match ends level, while capitalising on Grêmio’s stronger form and depth.

• Sport Recife have not won in 15 consecutive matches in this competition, highlighting their poor form.
• Grêmio’s recent wins against strong teams like Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama showcase their resilience and capability.
• Sport Recife’s key injuries and suspensions further weaken their already struggling squad.

Sport Recife’s shaky defence, having conceded 16 goals in their last five matches, makes them vulnerable despite playing at home.

Betting Odds

In this Serie A clash, Grêmio are the clear favourites, with betting odds reflecting their superior form and league position. Sport Recife, however, could be considered a dark horse, offering significant returns for those willing to back an upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Back Sport Recife	4.59
Back the Draw	3.76
Back Grêmio	1.7

The draw is also an intriguing option, given the unpredictable nature of Brazilian football. Punters might find value in exploring the over 2.5 goals market, considering both teams’ attacking capabilities.

Sport Recife Analysis & Past Performance

Sport Recife have struggled significantly in recent matches, enduring a five-game losing streak. Their recent defeats include a 2-0 loss against Bahia and a heavy 5-1 defeat to Flamengo, highlighting their defensive frailties.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Bahia	Sport Recife	2 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	3 Dec 2025
Santos FC	Sport Recife	3 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	29 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Vitoria	1 – 3 (Loss)	Serie A	23 Nov 2025
Botafogo RJ	Sport Recife	3 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	18 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Flamengo	1 – 5 (Loss)	Serie A	15 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

• LLLLL

Sport Recife’s attack has been underwhelming, with an average of only 0.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 3.20 goals per match, failing to secure a single clean sheet during this period. These statistics indicate a lack of balance between attack and defence, contributing to their current position at the bottom of the Serie A table with 17 points.

Sport Recife Suspensions & Injuries

Sport Recife face a significant challenge with the suspension of Derik Lacerda, who is unavailable due to a club decision and sidelined for seven matches. This suspension is a considerable blow, as Lacerda’s presence provided a dynamic option in their attack. His absence will require tactical adjustments from coach César Lucena, potentially altering the team’s offensive strategies.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Derik Lacerda	Club decision	7	Unknown

Without Lacerda, Sport Recife may need to rely more on Lucas Lima in the forward position, demanding greater creativity and goal-scoring responsibility from him. The midfield will also need to step up, with players such as Matheusinho and Christian Rivera expected to support the attack more actively. This could see Sport Recife adopting a more cautious approach, focusing on solidifying the midfield and defence to compensate for the missing attacking threat.

The unavailability of Lacerda could influence betting markets, as Sport Recife’s attacking threat is diminished. Bettors might consider Grêmio as having a slight edge due to this key absence, potentially impacting the match’s outcome. Sport Recife’s ability to adapt to these changes will be crucial in maintaining their competitiveness in the league.

Sport Recife Key Players

Sport Recife’s attacking threat this season has been led by their top scorer, Derik Lacerda, who has netted 6 goals. However, with Lacerda unavailable due to suspension, the responsibility will fall on other key players to step up. In his absence, Matheusinho, a dynamic forward, is expected to take on the goal-scoring mantle. His agility and dribbling skills could unlock Grêmio’s defence and create scoring opportunities.

In midfield, Lucas Lima’s role as a playmaker is crucial for setting the tempo and orchestrating attacks. His vision and passing accuracy are instrumental in linking play between midfield and forwards. Defensively, Rafael Thyere stands out as a commanding presence. His ability to read the game and make timely interceptions will be vital in countering Grêmio’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Sport Recife

• Goalkeeper: Gabriel
• Defenders: Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido
• Midfielders: Lucas Kal, Christian Rivera, Lucas Lima
• Forwards: Matheusinho, Pablo, Romarinho

Sport Recife Tactics and Formation

Sport Recife Tactical Breakdown:

• Recent Formation: Unspecified
• Key Forward: Lucas Lima
• Midfield Engine: Matheusinho, Adriel, Christian Rivera, Romarinho
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Struggling with consistent ball possession and defensive solidity.

Sport Recife’s recent performances have seen them adopt a flexible formation to accommodate their squad’s strengths and weaknesses. With a focus on Lucas Lima leading the attack, the team relies heavily on the midfield quartet of Matheusinho, Adriel, Christian Rivera, and Romarinho to create opportunities and maintain possession.

Defensively, Sport Recife have been vulnerable, with no clean sheets in their last five matches. The backline, featuring players such as Aderlan, Lucas Kal, and Rafael Thyere, has struggled to contain opposition attacks, often conceding due to lapses in concentration and organisation.

Offensively, Sport Recife have faced challenges in maintaining consistent ball possession, reflected in their 38% possession in the last match against Bahia. This lack of control has hindered their ability to build sustained attacks and apply pressure on opponents, contributing to their recent poor run of form.

Grêmio Analysis & Past Performance

Grêmio’s recent form in Serie A has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Notably, they secured a victory against Palmeiras (3-2) and a clean sheet win over Vasco da Gama (2-0) but fell short against Botafogo RJ (3-2) and Fluminense (1-2).

Home Side	Away Side	Outcome	League	Date
Grêmio	Fluminense	1 – 2 (Defeat)	Serie A	3 Dec 2025
Grêmio	Palmeiras	3 – 2 (Victory)	Serie A	26 Nov 2025
Botafogo RJ	Grêmio	3 – 2 (Defeat)	Serie A	22 Nov 2025
Grêmio	Vasco da Gama	2 – 0 (Victory)	Serie A	20 Nov 2025
Fortaleza	Grêmio	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Grêmio’s attack has been relatively strong, averaging 2.00 goals per game over their last five matches, while their defence has conceded an average of 1.80 goals per game. Despite their attacking prowess, defensive lapses have seen them keep only one clean sheet, highlighting a need for greater defensive solidity.

Away Performance:

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Away from home, Grêmio have struggled, with no wins in their last five away fixtures, including four losses and one draw. This away form is concerning, as they have conceded 13 goals in their last ten away matches, underscoring a vulnerability that could be exploited by their opponents.

Grêmio Suspensions & Injuries

Grêmio face significant challenges with a number of key players unavailable due to injuries. The absence of Rodrigo Ely and Fabián Balbuena, both sidelined with injuries until mid-December, severely impacts the stability of the defensive line. Mathías Villasanti and Martin Braithwaite, out for the season, further strain the team’s depth, particularly in midfield and attack. These injuries necessitate tactical adjustments from coach Mano Menezes, who will likely rely on less experienced squad members to fill the void.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Dodi	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

The suspension of Dodi due to yellow card accumulation leaves a gap in midfield, forcing Grêmio to adapt their strategy. The team will need to explore alternative formations or personnel to maintain midfield solidity and creativity. This could mean increased playing time for Arthur, who could be pivotal in orchestrating play from the middle of the park.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Rodrigo Ely	Cruciate ligament injury	Mid December 2025
Mathías Villasanti	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Fabián Balbuena	Broken ankle	Mid December 2025
Martin Braithwaite	Achilles tendon injury	Out for season
João Pedro	Shoulder injury	Out for season
Alex Santana	Muscle injury	Mid December 2025
Riquelme Freitas	Ankle injury	Out for season
Cristian Olivera	Ankle injury	Out for season
Erick Noriega	Ankle injury	Out for season

The cumulative effect of these injuries and suspensions could influence the betting markets, with Grêmio potentially struggling to maintain their usual performance levels. Punters might see this as an opportunity to back Sport Recife, especially considering Grêmio’s depleted squad and the tactical uncertainties they face.

Grêmio Key Players

Grêmio’s attacking prowess largely hinges on their top scorer, Carlos Vinícius, who has impressively netted 10 goals this season. Vinícius’s knack for finding space and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat to any defence, and Sport Recife will need to be wary of his movement in the box. Alongside him, Francis Amuzu’s pace and dribbling ability on the wing offer Grêmio an additional attacking dimension, capable of stretching defences and creating opportunities.

In midfield, the trio of Gustavo Cuéllar, Arthur, and Edenílson is pivotal. Cuéllar’s defensive acumen provides the necessary cover, allowing Arthur to orchestrate play with his exceptional vision and passing range. Edenílson’s box-to-box energy further complements this setup, making Grêmio’s midfield a balanced unit that can control the tempo of the game.

Expected lineup for Grêmio:

• Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
• Defence: Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Gustavo Martins, Marlon
• Midfield: Gustavo Cuéllar, Arthur, Edenílson
• Forward: Alysson Edward, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius

Defensively, Marcos Rocha’s experience and leadership at the back are vital for Grêmio’s stability. His ability to read the game and organise the defence will be crucial in nullifying Sport Recife’s attacking threats. Overall, these key players form the backbone of Grêmio’s tactical setup, with their strengths likely to influence the match’s outcome significantly.

Grêmio Tactics and Formation

Grêmio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Cristian Pavón
• Midfield Pivot: Arthur and Dodi
• Defensive Strength: Struggles to maintain clean sheets, only one in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession with a focus on dynamic wing play.

Grêmio are likely to adopt a 4-3-3 formation, which provides a balanced approach between defence and attack. The midfield, led by Arthur and Dodi, plays a crucial role in maintaining possession and dictating the tempo of the game. This duo’s ability to control the midfield is vital for Grêmio’s strategy, allowing them to transition quickly from defence to attack.

In the forward line, Cristian Pavón stands out as a key player, offering speed and creativity on the wings. His partnership with André and Alysson Edward up front is designed to stretch the opposition’s defence and create goal-scoring opportunities.

Defensively, Grêmio have shown vulnerability, having conceded in four of their last five matches. The backline, consisting of Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, and Marlon, needs to tighten up to prevent conceding early goals, which have been a recurring issue.

Sport Recife vs Grêmio Head-to-Head Record

Sport Recife and Grêmio have faced off 26 times, with Sport Recife leading the head-to-head record with 12 wins compared to Grêmio’s 7, and there have been 7 draws. In their last encounter, Sport Recife snatched a 1-0 victory away at Grêmio in Serie A, showcasing their ability to perform on the road.

The last time Sport Recife hosted Grêmio in Serie A was on 17 June 2021, and they secured a narrow 1-0 win. This result highlights Sport Recife’s solid home form against Grêmio, which could be a key factor in their upcoming clash.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Grêmio	Sport Recife	0 – 1	Serie A	2025-08-10
Grêmio	Sport Recife	3 – 0	Serie B	2022-09-20
Sport Recife	Grêmio	0 – 0	Serie B	2022-06-13
Grêmio	Sport Recife	1 – 2	Serie A	2021-10-03
Sport Recife	Grêmio	1 – 0	Serie A	2021-06-17