Lens vs. Paris FC Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 October 2025

This Saturday, the Stade Bollaert-Delelis will host an intriguing Ligue 1 match as Lens, currently 6th in the league with 13 points, takes on Paris FC, who sit 8th with 10 points. Both teams have shown promise this season, but Lens have an edge with recent improvements and strong home form.

Lens have been on a solid streak, winning three of their last five matches. Their latest triumph was a 2-1 away victory against Auxerre, and they boast a robust defensive record with two clean sheets in their last five games. Paris FC, on the other hand, have also performed well with three wins in their last five fixtures, but they’ve had issues on the road, losing twice.

The bookmakers favour a Lens win at odds of 1.86. With Wesley Said leading their attack and Paris FC’s tendency to concede late goals, expect Lens to edge this one out by a narrow margin.

Recommended bet: Lens to win by a 1-goal margin.

Lens vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting tip

Given the current form of both teams and their league standings, our recommended betting tip is for Lens to win by a 1-goal margin. Lens, the bookmaker’s favourite, have been strong at home and have shown consistent defensive solidity.

Lens vs Paris FC Prediction
Betting tip
Lens to win by a 1-goal margin

• Lens have conceded an average of only 0.9 goals in 7 matches this season, showcasing their defensive resilience.
• Paris FC have struggled away, losing two out of four games, indicating vulnerabilities on the road.
• Lens have demonstrated improved form lately, winning three out of their last five matches and moving up to 6th in the standings.

With these factors in mind, and Lens’ strong defensive record, it’s reasonable to expect them to edge out a narrow victory at home.

Lens vs Paris FC Odds

Ahead of the match between Lens and Paris FC, the odds reflect a slight edge for the home team, Lens. As bookmakers’ favourites, Lens are tipped to secure a victory, but the odds indicate that it could be a closely contested fixture. Here’s a quick look at the odds breakdown:

Lens vs Paris FC Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Lens to Win	1.86
Draw	3.79
Paris FC to Win	3.89

With Lens currently sitting 6th in the league and on a positive streak, they’ve been given 1.86 odds to win. This reflects their solid form and strong home performances. A draw is priced at 3.79, while a Paris FC win sits at 3.89, highlighting their tougher road challenges this season.

These odds indicate the bookmakers’ confidence in Lens maintaining their home strength, but also suggest that Paris FC can’t be entirely ruled out for an upset.

Lens Team Analysis

Lens Recent Performance

Lens have shown a strong recent form, capturing three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five matches. The highlights include a solid 2-1 victory away at Auxerre and a dominant 3-0 win against Lille at home.

• Recent Results:
  • Auxerre 1-2 Lens (Win)
  • Rennes 0-0 Lens (Draw)
  • Lens 3-0 Lille (Win)
  • Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Lens (Loss)
  • Lens 3-1 Brest (Win)

With an average of 1.60 goals scored per game in their last five, Lens have been effective in front of goal. Defensively, they’ve also been reliable, keeping two clean sheets in this period. Currently sitting 6th in Ligue 1 with 13 points, they have shown an impressive balance of attacking prowess and defensive stability, averaging just 0.9 goals conceded per match.

This combination of solid defence and potent attack makes Lens a formidable side, particularly when they play at home.

Lens Key Players

For Lens, their key players will be pivotal in this clash against Paris FC. Wesley Said, the team’s top scorer, has netted 2 goals so far and will be essential in leading the attack. Alongside him, the experienced Florian Thauvin will be crucial in creating chances and breaking down the opposition’s defence.

Defensively, Samson Baidoo and Malang Sarr have been solid, contributing to two clean sheets in the last five matches. Their performance will be vital in keeping Paris FC’s dangerous forwards, like Ilan Kebbal, in check.

Expected lineup for Lens:

• Goalkeeper: Robin Risser
• Defenders: Samson Baidoo, Malang Sarr, Jonathan Gradit
• Midfielders: Ruben Aguilar, Mamadou Sangare, Adrien Thomasson, Matthieu Udol, Florian Thauvin, Wesley Said
• Forward: Rayan Fofana

The interplay between these players and their ability to maintain both defensive stability and attacking creativity will be key to Lens’ success in this match.

Lens Suspensions & Injuries

Lens are dealing with a few key absences that could impact their strategy for this match. Deiver Machado is out with a knee injury and won’t return until late October, leaving a gap in their defensive line. Odsonne Edouard is also doubtful with a hamstring injury, which could affect their attacking options if he’s unable to play.

Additionally, defender Ismaelo Ganiou is suspended for this match due to accumulated yellow and red cards. This suspension will require tactical adjustments, particularly in the backline.

These absences could test Lens’ depth, but with their recent strong form and resilient defence, they have shown they can manage without key players.

Lens Tactics and Formation

Lens Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Wesley Said
• Key Midfielders: Florian Thauvin, Adrien Thomasson
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and utilizing wing play to stretch opposition defences.

Lens are expected to continue with their 3-4-2-1 formation, a setup that has served them well by providing both defensive stability and attacking flexibility. The trio of Samson Baidoo, Malang Sarr, and Jonathan Gradit at the back has been solid, contributing to their impressive defensive record.

In midfield, Ruben Aguilar and Matthieu Udol will provide the width, while Mamadou Sangare and Adrien Thomasson anchor the centre of the park. The creativity and attacking impetus come from the dynamic duo of Florian Thauvin and Wesley Said, supporting the lone forward Rayan Fofana.

This tactical arrangement allows Lens to maintain a compact structure while effectively transitioning into quick counter-attacks, especially given their knack for scoring pivotal goals in the second half of matches.

Paris FC Team Analysis

Paris FC Recent Performance

Paris FC have been in commendable form recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This run includes notable victories like their latest 2-0 home win against Lorient and a hard-fought 2-1 away win at Brest.

• Recent Results:
  • Paris FC 2-0 Lorient (Win)
  • Nice 1-1 Paris FC (Draw)
  • Paris FC 2-3 Strasbourg (Loss)
  • Brest 1-2 Paris FC (Win)
  • Paris FC 3-2 Metz (Win)

Paris FC have been consistent in front of goal, with an average of 2.00 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they’ve kept just one clean sheet, highlighting a need for more resilience at the back. Despite these defensive lapses, Paris FC have amassed 10 points and currently sit 8th in Ligue 1. Their ability to score in 75% of their away matches this season speaks to their offensive strength.

This blend of attacking flair and occasional defensive fragility makes Paris FC an exciting, if unpredictable, opponent.

Paris FC Key Players

Paris FC will be relying heavily on their key players to make an impact in this fixture. Ilan Kebbal, their top scorer with 4 goals, will be crucial in breaking down the Lens defence. His ability to find the net makes him a significant threat in the attacking third. Another player to watch is Jean-Philippe Krasso, who adds depth to their forward line.

In midfield, the defensive stability provided by Pierre Lees-Melou and Adama Camara will be pivotal in disrupting Lens’ playmakers. Defensively, the performance of Hamari Traore and Thibault De Smet will be vital in protecting against Lens’ attacking threats like Wesley Said and Florian Thauvin.

Expected lineup for Paris FC:

• Goalkeeper: Obed Nkambadio
• Defenders: Hamari Traore, Moustapha Mbow, Otavio, Thibault De Smet
• Midfielders: Pierre Lees-Melou, Adama Camara, Maxime Lopez
• Forwards: Ilan Kebbal, Jean-Philippe Krasso, Moses Simon

The interplay between these key players and their ability to execute both offensive and defensive duties will be critical for Paris FC in securing a positive result.

Paris FC Suspensions & Injuries

Paris FC have a relatively clean bill of health going into this match, with only one notable absentee. Pierre-Yves Hamel is sidelined due to a groin injury and is expected to return in late October. His absence means Paris FC will need to look for alternative attacking options, which could influence their approach to the game.

Fortunately, there are no suspensions, which allows coach Stéphane Gilli to deploy a full-strength squad otherwise. This continuity in player selection could provide the stability and cohesion needed to challenge Lens effectively.

Paris FC Tactics and Formation

Paris FC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ilan Kebbal
• Key Midfielders: Pierre Lees-Melou, Maxime Lopez
• Defensive Strength: Hamari Traore’s leadership in the backline.
• Notable Strategy: Exploit wide areas and utilize Ilan Kebbal’s scoring prowess.

Paris FC are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which has been effective in their recent matches. The defensive line anchored by Hamari Traore and Otavio provides stability, while full-backs Hamari Traore and Thibault De Smet will be crucial in wide defensive duties and supporting attacks.

With Pierre Lees-Melou and Adama Camara shielding the defence, Maxime Lopez will have the freedom to roam and create opportunities for the forwards. Ilan Kebbal, positioned on the right wing, has been a standout with 4 goals and will be a key player to watch.

In attack, Jean-Philippe Krasso will lead the line, with support from Moses Simon on the left. This tactical setup aims to control the midfield, maximize attacking width, and leverage Kebbal’s clinical finishing.

Lens vs Paris FC Head-to-Head Statistics

Lens and Paris FC have a history of closely contested matches, with their last five encounters providing a mixed bag of results. Lens have the upper hand with two wins, a draw, and one loss.

• Previous Encounters:
  • Paris FC 0-2 Lens (2020-03-02, Ligue 2)
  • Lens 2-1 Paris FC (2019-09-28, Ligue 2)
  • Paris FC 1-1 Lens (2019-05-21, Ligue 1 Qualification – Lens won on penalties)
  • Paris FC 2-0 Lens (2019-03-03, Ligue 2)
  • Lens 0-0 Paris FC (2018-09-28, Ligue 2)

Their most recent clash saw Lens securing a 2-0 win away in Ligue 2, underlining their ability to perform under pressure.

This head-to-head history suggests that while Lens have had more success recently, Paris FC are capable of making it a challenging contest. Expect an intense and competitive match based on their past encounters.

Odds accurate as of 17.10.2025 14:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.