Tijuana vs. Leon Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 20 September 2025

In the 9th round of Liga MX, Tijuana hosts Leon at Estadio Caliente on 20th September 2025. This matchup features two teams closely positioned in the standings, with Tijuana sitting in 6th place with 13 points and Leon in 10th with 11 points.

Tijuana comes into this match as the bookmaker’s favorite, and they have been in solid form, remaining unbeaten in their last five home games. Sebastián Abreu’s squad boasts a potent offense, averaging 2.20 goals in their last five matches. Frank Boya has been a standout, netting four goals so far this season.

Despite Leon’s lower average goals scored (1.20) and slightly inconsistent form, their defense has shown resilience with three clean sheets from their last five games. Ismael Diaz will be crucial up front, having already scored four goals this season.

Both teams have a historical propensity for scoring, and with Tijuana’s relatively vulnerable defense, the tip for this match is a recommended bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes). Feel free to place your bets as the odds for this are 1.54, reflecting a strong likelihood for mutual scoring.

Come kickoff, expect a thrilling encounter that promises goals and excitement under the early morning sky.

Tijuana vs Leon Prediction & Betting tip

Tijuana vs Leon Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score (Yes)	1.54

Best Bet Recommendation: Both Teams to Score (Yes)

Reasoning:

1. Tijuana’s Scoring and Conceding Patterns: Tijuana has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.20 goals per match, and conceded 6 goals, averaging 1.20 per match. This indicates a strong offensive capability coupled with a tendency to concede.
2. High Percentage of Both Teams Scoring: Tijuana’s matches have seen both teams score in 63% of their games this season, highlighting a consistent pattern of mutual scoring.
3. Leon’s Scoring Potential: While Leon has a lower percentage (38%) of both teams scoring in their matches, their ability to score, combined with Tijuana’s defensive vulnerabilities, supports the likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Tijuana vs Leon Odds

With Tijuana and Leon gearing up for their Liga MX clash, let’s take a look at the betting odds. Tijuana, currently 6th on the table, enters this match as the bookmaker’s favorite.

Meanwhile, Leon sits in 10th place, and although they’re not the favorites, their defensive resilience could make for an interesting matchup.

Tijuana vs Leon Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Tijuana	2.02
Draw	3.54
Leon	3.24

Despite Tijuana’s strong offensive form and being tipped to win, Leon’s decent record of clean sheets in recent games suggests they won’t be a pushover. With odds of 2.02 for a Tijuana win and 3.54 for a draw, there’s good value depending on how you see the match unfolding. For those fancying an upset, Leon’s odds of 3.24 offer a worthwhile punt.

Tijuana Team Analysis

Tijuana Recent Performance

Tijuana has displayed a consistent run of form recently, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. Their recent game log is:

• Atletico de San Luis 1-1 Tijuana
• Tijuana 3-0 Necaxa
• Tijuana 3-3 CD Guadalajara
• Pachuca 0-2 Tijuana
• Mazatlan FC 2-2 Tijuana

With an average of 2.20 goals scored per match and securing two clean sheets in their last five outings, Tijuana has shown both attacking intent and some defensive solidity. This balance has been crucial in their climb to 6th place in the Liga MX standings with 13 points.

Under the management of Sebastián Abreu, the team’s offensive prowess led by top scorer Frank Boya with four goals has been a key factor in their successful streak.

Tijuana Key Players

Tijuana’s key players have been crucial to their form and deserve a closer look. Leading the attack is Frank Boya, who has netted 4 goals this season, making him the top scorer for Los Xolos. His striking partnership with Gilberto Mora, positioned as the center forward in the expected lineup, could be significant against Leon.

The midfield, commanded by Kevin Castaneda and Ramiro Arciga, adds creativity and dynamism to Tijuana’s attack. Meanwhile, the defense led by Jackson Porozo and Jesús Alejandro Gómez has kept the backline sturdy, contributing to their two clean sheets in the last five games.

Expected lineup for Tijuana:

• Goalkeeper: José Antonio Rodriguez
• Defenders: Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesús Alejandro Gómez, Jesus Alan Vega
• Midfielders: Ivan Tona, Frank Boya, Ramiro Arciga, Kevin Castaneda, Domingo Blanco
• Forward: Gilberto Mora

These players will undoubtedly be pivotal in breaking down Leon’s defense and securing a positive result at Estadio Caliente.

Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

As we head into the clash against Leon, Tijuana has the advantage of a clean bill of health and no players suspended. This means Sebastián Abreu can field his strongest lineup, which has been instrumental in their recent unbeaten run.

Having no injuries or suspensions allows the team to maintain their rhythm and cohesion, which has been a vital factor in their recent performances. The continuity in selection aids in building tactical understanding and fosters team chemistry, which will be crucial as they aim to secure a win at Estadio Caliente.

With all key players available for selection, Tijuana looks set to continue their strong form and potentially climb higher in the Liga MX standings.

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Frank Boya
• Midfield Duo: Ramiro Arciga, Kevin Castaneda
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong attacking plays, averaging 2.20 goals per match

Sebastián Abreu’s plan involves a balanced 4-4-2 formation aimed at controlling the midfield and leveraging wingers for offensive pushes. Frank Boya’s presence up front provides a constant goal threat, while Kevin Castaneda adds a creative spark behind the strikers.

The defense, led by Jackson Porozo, has shown resilience, ensuring two clean sheets in their recent games. Their strategy often focuses on building momentum through midfield dominance and exploiting opposition defenses during the latter stages of each half. This tactical approach will be crucial against Leon’s defensive setup.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance

Leon has experienced a somewhat mixed run of form in their recent matches, summarized as:

• Tigres 0-0 Leon
• Leon 3-0 Queretaro FC
• Leon 1-1 Pachuca
• Necaxa 0-1 Leon
• Leon 1-3 Monterrey

Despite this inconsistency, they have demonstrated defensive resilience, keeping three clean sheets within these five games. Leon averages 1.20 goals scored per match over their recent fixtures, which highlights their scoring capacity, albeit less prolific compared to their opponents Tijuana.

Under Eduardo Berizzo, Leon occupies 10th place in the Liga MX standings with 11 points. The team’s defense has remained sturdy, a factor that might prove crucial in their encounter against the strong offense of Tijuana. Keeping the balance will be key as they aim to climb up the table and secure a vital away result.

Leon Key Players

Leon boasts several key players who have been pivotal in their performance this season. The standout is Ismael Diaz, who has already scored four goals, making him their top scorer. Leading the attack alongside Diaz in the expected lineup is Jose Alvarado, set to challenge Tijuana’s defense.

In midfield, Fernando Beltran and Nicolas Fonseca will be essential in controlling the game’s tempo and distributing the ball effectively. Their battle against Tijuana’s dynamic midfield duo will be one to watch.

Defensively, Jaine Barreiro and Paul Bellon have been solid, contributing to Leon’s three clean sheets in their last five games. Their ability to contain Tijuana’s potent attack will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.

Expected lineup for Leon:

• Goalkeeper: Oscar Damián García
• Defenders: Sebastian Santos, Paul Bellon, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Salvador Reyes
• Midfielders: Fernando Beltran, Nicolás Fonseca, Jordi Cortizo, James Rodriguez
• Forwards: Ismael Díaz, Jose Alvarado

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

For the upcoming clash against Tijuana, Leon is fortunate to have no reported injuries or suspensions. This means Eduardo Berizzo can call upon his strongest squad, ensuring maximum tactical flexibility and strength on the pitch.

Having a full squad available allows Leon to play at their optimal potential both offensively and defensively. This continuity is crucial for maintaining team cohesion, which has been evident in their recent defensive performances, securing three clean sheets in their last five games.

This full-strength lineup will be key for Leon as they look to secure a vital away victory and climb higher in the Liga MX standings.

Leon Tactics and Formation

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ismael Diaz
• Midfield Duo: Fernando Beltran, Nicolas Fonseca
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Robust defensive setup with counter-attacking plays

Under Eduardo Berizzo’s guidance, Leon employs a well-structured 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup ensures a solid defensive base while allowing for dynamic transitions in attack. Ismael Diaz, their top scorer with four goals, spearheads the offense, supported by attacking midfielders Jordi Cortizo and James Rodriguez.

The midfield pivot of Fernando Beltran and Nicolas Fonseca plays a crucial role in both breaking up opposition attacks and facilitating smooth transitions from defense to attack. This tactical approach has yielded three clean sheets in their last five games, emphasizing their defensive resilience.

Leon’s strategy often involves soaking up pressure and hitting on the counter, capitalizing on the pace and creativity of their forwards and wingers.

Tijuana vs Leon Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the past five encounters between Tijuana and Leon provides a mixed bag of results:

• 2 March 2025: Leon 2-1 Tijuana
• 31 August 2024: Tijuana 2-1 Leon
• 4 March 2024: Tijuana 1-1 Leon
• 24 September 2023: Leon 1-0 Tijuana
• 22 April 2023: Tijuana 0-0 Leon

These matches highlight a balanced rivalry, with each team securing two wins and one match ending in a draw. Notably, the last meeting in Tijuana saw the home team triumph 2-1, suggesting they have a slight edge when playing at Estadio Caliente. Overall, the results reflect competitive fixtures, making this upcoming clash highly anticipated and likely to continue the trend of closely fought contests.

Odds accurate as of 18/09/2025 04:09, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.