Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Wednesday, January 14th

Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips: On Wednesday, 14 January, Liga MX action takes us to Estadio Victoria, where Necaxa will host Monterrey. This match is set to be significant in the league, as both teams are eager to secure valuable points early in the season. Necaxa, playing at home, will be looking to make the most of their familiarity with Estadio Victoria to gain an advantage over their visitors.

Monterrey, meanwhile, arrive with a strong squad and the ambition to make a statement away from home. The dynamics of this encounter could have implications for the Liga MX standings, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike. With both teams aiming for victory, this match promises an intriguing battle on the pitch.

Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Monterrey to win (Draw No Bet)	1.93

Looking at the statistics and recent form, Monterrey appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. Monterrey have won the last five head-to-head matches against Necaxa, and given their higher finish last season, they are likely to continue their dominant form.

• Monterrey have won their last five encounters against Necaxa, consistently outperforming them.
• Necaxa finished 13th last season with only four wins in 17 matches, highlighting their struggles against stronger teams.
• Necaxa concede an average of two goals per match, while Monterrey’s consistent scoring form could exploit this defensive weakness.

Betting Odds

In this Liga MX showdown, Necaxa are slightly favoured with odds of 2.45, but Monterrey are not far behind at 2.57. The draw is priced at 3.49, suggesting a closely contested match at Estadio Victoria.

Betting Tip	Odds
Back Necaxa	2.45
Back the Draw	3.49
Back Monterrey	2.57

For those looking to place a bet, the odds indicate a tight affair, with potential value in backing either team. Keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market, as both sides have shown attacking prowess in recent fixtures.

Necaxa Analysis & Past Performance

Necaxa have shown a competitive streak in recent performances, maintaining an unbeaten run in their last five matches with a record of three wins and two draws. Their recent 3-1 away victory against Santos Laguna highlighted their attacking prowess, as they managed to score three goals despite having only 40% possession.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Santos Laguna	Necaxa	1 – 3 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	11 January 2026
Mazatlan FC	Necaxa	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura	8 November 2025
Necaxa	Santos Laguna	4 – 1 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura	1 November 2025
Atletico de San Luis	Necaxa	3 – 4 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura	27 October 2025
Necaxa	Cruz Azul	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura	22 October 2025

Recent Form:
Necaxa’s attack has been particularly potent, averaging 2.60 goals per match over their last five fixtures, although their defence has been less resilient, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game. Notably, they have not kept a clean sheet in any of these encounters, indicating a vulnerability at the back.

At home, Necaxa’s performance is somewhat inconsistent, with a win ratio of 40% in their last five home matches. They have scored in each of their last five games, but their inability to secure clean sheets may pose challenges against stronger attacking sides. Overall, Necaxa’s recent form suggests a team with a strong attacking mindset, though their defensive frailties need addressing to maintain their competitive edge.

• WDWWD

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa approach their upcoming match against Monterrey with a clean bill of health, as there are no injuries or suspensions currently affecting the squad. This availability provides Martín Varini with the luxury of deploying his strongest lineup, potentially offering an advantage in terms of consistency and cohesiveness on the pitch.

Having a full squad at his disposal means Varini can stick to his preferred tactical setup without needing to make any enforced changes. This stability should enable Necaxa to execute their game plan effectively, maintaining their defensive solidity and fluidity in attack.

The absence of any suspensions or injuries could also positively impact Necaxa’s bench strength, allowing for strategic substitutions that can influence the match’s outcome. With all key players fit, Necaxa may have the upper hand in terms of squad depth, which could be crucial in a tightly contested game.

For betting enthusiasts, the full availability of Necaxa’s players might suggest a stronger performance, potentially making them an attractive option in the betting markets. The lack of disruptions due to injuries or suspensions could enhance their chances of securing a favourable result against Monterrey.

Necaxa Key Players

Necaxa’s offensive threat is spearheaded by their top scorer Julián Carranza, who has opened his account this season with a vital goal. His ability to find space and capitalise on defensive errors makes him a constant threat in the attacking third. Carranza’s movement and clinical finishing are crucial for Necaxa’s chances against Monterrey, and his partnership with the midfield will be key in breaking down the opposition’s defence.

In midfield, the tactical acumen of the team will likely revolve around the creativity and vision of their central playmaker. This player’s ability to orchestrate play and link defence to attack can determine the tempo and flow of the game. The midfield’s role in transitioning the ball quickly to the forwards will be essential for creating scoring opportunities.

Defensively, Necaxa’s backline must be solid and cohesive to withstand Monterrey’s attacking prowess. The central defenders’ ability to read the game and their aerial duels could be the difference in securing a clean sheet. Their leadership and organisation at the back are vital in maintaining defensive stability throughout the match.

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Tomás Badaloni
• Midfield Pivot: Kevin Rosero and Rogelio Cortez
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with a focus on wide play.

Necaxa typically utilise a 4-4-2 formation, which provides a balanced approach between attack and defence. The midfield, anchored by Kevin Rosero and Rogelio Cortez, serves as the team’s engine, facilitating transitions and covering defensive gaps. This duo is essential in maintaining possession and initiating attacks.

Offensively, the team relies heavily on the partnership of Raúl Sánchez and Tomás Badaloni up front. Badaloni, known for his physical presence, is pivotal in aerial duels and link-up play, which is complemented by Sánchez’s speed and agility.

Defensively, Necaxa have struggled, having not kept a clean sheet in their last five outings. The backline, featuring players like Emilio Lara and Cristian Calderón, will need to tighten up, particularly against Monterrey’s potent attacking threats. Their strategy often includes high pressing, aiming to disrupt the opposition’s build-up play.

Monterrey Analysis & Past Performance

Monterrey have experienced a challenging period in recent outings, with a mixed bag of results. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three losses, including a narrow 0-1 defeat at home against Toluca. This inconsistency is mirrored in their away performances, where they’ve failed to secure a win, recording four losses and one draw in their last five away fixtures.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Monterrey	Toluca	0 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	11 Jan 2026
Toluca	Monterrey	3 – 2 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	7 Dec 2025
Monterrey	Toluca	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	4 Dec 2025
CF America	Monterrey	2 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	29 Nov 2025
Monterrey	CF America	2 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	27 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

• LLWLW

Monterrey’s attacking efforts have seen them score an average of 1.20 goals per match over the last five games, while conceding the same average per game, highlighting a need for greater defensive resilience. Despite maintaining two clean sheets during this run, their away form remains a concern, with a win ratio of 0.00, reflecting their struggles on the road. The team currently sits 15th in the standings, emphasising the need for improved consistency to climb the league table.

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey face a couple of significant injury concerns ahead of their clash with Necaxa. Michell Rodríguez is struggling with a thigh injury, and Jesús Manuel Corona is dealing with a knee issue; both are considered doubtful for the upcoming match. The absence of Corona, in particular, could be a substantial blow, given his attacking prowess and experience on the wing. Monterrey will need to rely on their squad depth to mitigate these potential losses.

In Corona’s absence, Monterrey may turn to Óliver Torres or Anthony Martial to fill the creative void in attacking midfield. Both players bring different qualities, with Torres providing a more controlled and strategic approach, while Martial offers pace and a direct threat. This could prompt a tactical adjustment, with Monterrey opting for more direct play to capitalise on Martial’s speed.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Michell Rodríguez	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Jesús Manuel Corona	Knee injury	Doubtful

The potential unavailability of key players such as Corona and Rodríguez might influence betting markets, as Monterrey’s attacking strength could be perceived as diminished. However, their squad depth and tactical flexibility may still give them an edge over Necaxa, especially if they can adapt effectively to these challenges.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey’s attacking prowess is expected to shine through their key players. Although specific statistics are unavailable, the team’s top scorer is undoubtedly a vital component, likely leading the line with clinical finishing. Monterrey’s forward line is known for its dynamic movement and ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, which will be crucial against Necaxa.

In midfield, Monterrey rely heavily on their playmakers to dictate the tempo and create scoring opportunities. The midfielders’ ability to transition swiftly from defence to attack will be pivotal in breaking down Necaxa’s defences and maintaining possession. Their tactical impact cannot be understated, as they are the linchpin of Monterrey’s attacking strategy.

Defensively, Monterrey’s backline must remain resolute to thwart any offensive threats from Necaxa. The defenders’ organisational skills and aerial prowess are strengths that can neutralise set-piece threats and maintain a clean sheet. The synergy between the defence and the goalkeeper will be essential in ensuring Monterrey’s tactical approach remains balanced and effective.

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Germán Berterame
• Midfield Core: Sergio Canales and Óliver Torres
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Possession-based play with sharp transitions.

Monterrey are likely to deploy a 4-5-1 formation, emphasising their tactical focus on controlling the midfield and maintaining possession. Sergio Canales and Óliver Torres are pivotal in midfield, offering creativity and balance, which allows them to dictate the tempo and transition effectively from defence to attack.

Defensively, the side have shown resilience, keeping two clean sheets in their last five outings. The backline, marshalled by John Medina and Gerardo Arteaga, has been crucial in maintaining defensive solidity and limiting the opposition’s chances.

Offensively, Monterrey rely heavily on their ability to transition quickly and exploit spaces left by opponents. Germán Berterame, as the lone striker, will be vital in capitalising on these transitions, supported by the creative inputs of Anthony Martial and Fidel Ambriz from the wings.

Necaxa vs Monterrey Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Monterrey, Monterrey clearly have the upper hand with 20 wins compared to Necaxa’s eight, while 13 matches have ended in a draw. The last encounter saw Monterrey dominate with a 3-0 victory during the Liga MX Apertura in August 2025.

The last time Necaxa hosted Monterrey at Estadio Victoria, it ended in disappointment for the home fans as Monterrey secured a 1-0 win in July 2024. Historically, Monterrey have shown strong form in away fixtures against Necaxa, which could be a crucial factor for bettors to consider.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	League	Date
Monterrey	Necaxa	3 – 0	Liga MX Apertura	2025-08-24
Monterrey	Necaxa	1 – 0	Liga MX Clausura	2025-02-02
Necaxa	Monterrey	0 – 1	Liga MX Apertura	2024-07-18
Necaxa	Monterrey	2 – 5	Liga MX Clausura	2024-04-29
Monterrey	Necaxa	3 – 0	Liga MX Apertura	2023-11-01