Sport Recife vs. Mirassol Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 25 October 2025

Get ready for a fascinating showdown this Saturday as Sport Recife, rooted at the bottom of the Serie A table, faces fourth-place Mirassol. Despite their difference in league standings, both teams have everything to play for. Sport Recife, coached by Daniel Paulista, will battle to escape relegation, while Rafael Guanaes’ Mirassol aims to solidify their position in the top four.

Mirassol comes into this match as the bookmakers’ favourite with odds of 2.55 for an away win. Considering Sport Recife’s struggles, Mirassol’s solid form, and the fact they’ve scored in 79% of their away matches, it’s a credible bet. Combining this with the fact that both teams have had competitive encounters in recent seasons, fans can expect a tightly contested match.

Match Tip: The balanced match could go either way, but Mirassol 0.00 (AH) minimizes risk by returning the stake in the event of a draw.

Prepare for an engaging clash that contributes to the unfolding drama of Serie A’s relegation and European spots battles.

Sport Recife vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tip

Sport Recife vs Mirassol Prediction
Betting tip
Mirassol 0.00 (AH)

The betting tip for this match is Mirassol 0.00 (AH) on the Asian Handicap. This tip recognizes the balanced nature of the contest while favouring Mirassol. Here’s why this prediction offers good value:

• Mirassol has exhibited strong performance, scoring in 79% of their away matches this season.
• Sport Recife struggles in defense, conceding 1.6 goals per game on average.
• This bet minimizes risk; a Mirassol win results in a successful bet, while a draw returns the stake, ensuring some level of security.

Expect a tightly contested game with both teams capable of influencing the outcome.

Sport Recife vs Mirassol Odds

Looking at the betting odds for Sport Recife vs Mirassol provides a glimpse into how bookmakers view this matchup. Given Sport Recife’s position at the bottom of the table and Mirassol’s top-four aspirations, it’s no surprise that Mirassol is slightly favoured.

Sport Recife vs Mirassol Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Sport Recife win	2.69
Draw	3.22
Mirassol win	2.55

The odds suggest a narrowly contested match, with Mirassol being the favoured team at 2.55 for an away win. However, a Sport Recife win at 2.69 and a draw at 3.22 also indicate that the game might be closely fought.

Taking these odds into account, Mirassol’s slight edge is likely due to their higher league standing and better recent form. For those seeking a safer bet, considering Mirassol 0.00 (AH) might be a prudent choice.

Sport Recife Team Analysis

Sport Recife Recent Performance

Recent Form: DDLDL
Sport Recife’s recent performance has been underwhelming, as seen from their last five matches which include two draws and three losses. In their most recent fixtures, they have faced a challenging run:

• Internacional 2 – 0 Sport Recife
• Sport Recife 1 – 1 Ceará
• Atletico MG 3 – 1 Sport Recife
• Cruzeiro 1 – 1 Sport Recife
• Sport Recife 2 – 2 Fluminense

With an average of just 1.00 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in their last five matches, it’s clear that both the attack and defence have struggled. This form puts them at a disadvantage, especially against stronger teams like Mirassol.

Expect Sport Recife to fight hard to improve their standings, but their recent form suggests a tough challenge ahead.

Sport Recife Key Players

Sport Recife’s key player to watch is Derik Lacerda, who is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals this season. His goal-scoring ability will be crucial as they seek to overcome their recent poor form and deliver a much-needed win.

Midfield dynamo Romarinho and winger Matheusinho also play vital roles, providing creative flair and assisting in goal-scoring opportunities. Defensively, Rafael Thyere will be essential in trying to shore up a defense that has struggled recently.

Expected lineup for Sport Recife:

• Goalkeeper: Gabriel
• Defenders: Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Candido
• Midfielders: Ze Lucas, Pedro Augusto, Matheusinho, Sérgio Oliveira, Romarinho
• Attacker: Derik Lacerda

The battle between Lacerda and Mirassol’s central defenders, João Victor and Jemmes, will be vital in determining the outcome of the game.

Sport Recife Suspensions & Injuries

Sport Recife faces considerable challenges with their current injury situation. Key players are sidelined, which will significantly affect the team dynamics:

• Diogo Hereda: Out with a groin injury, expected to return early November.
• Hyoran: Sidelined with a thigh injury and doubtful to return soon.
• Lucas Lima: Groin injury, with his return also being doubtful.
• Christian Rivera: Out with a thigh injury, return uncertain.

These injuries deprive the team of key personnel, especially in midfield and attack, limiting their options and creating pressure on available players. With no suspensions to report, the team must leverage their depth to compensate for these absences, making the task of overcoming Mirassol more challenging.

Sport Recife Tactics and Formation

Sport Recife Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Derik Lacerda
• Defensive Pairing: Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes
• Notable Strategy: Goals primarily scored between the 76-90 minute interval

Under Daniel Paulista, Sport Recife is expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks. Rafael Thyere and Ramon Menezes will be pivotal in defense, aiming to reduce the average of 1.6 goals conceded per match.

In midfield, the duo of Ze Lucas and Pedro Augusto will look to disrupt Mirassol’s play and support the attacking trio comprising Matheusinho, Sérgio Oliveira, and Romarinho. Up front, Derik Lacerda will spearhead the attack, hoping to improve his tally of 5 goals this season and exploit any defensive lapses.

Expect Sport Recife to be resilient and aim to hit Mirassol on the break, leveraging their strategy of scoring late goals to capitalize on Mirassol’s vulnerabilities between the 31-45 minute mark.

Mirassol Team Analysis

Mirassol Recent Performance

Recent Form: DLWWW
Mirassol’s recent run of form has been impressive, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches:

• Mirassol 3 – 0 Sao Paulo
• Mirassol 3 – 1 Internacional
• Mirassol 2 – 1 Fluminense
• Corinthians 3 – 0 Mirassol
• Mirassol 1 – 1 Red Bull Bragantino

Scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and keeping one clean sheet in their last five, Mirassol’s attack led by Reinaldo has been in fine form. With 11 goals to his name, Reinaldo is a constant threat. Their last three home victories against strong teams like Sao Paulo and Internacional highlight their ability to perform under pressure. Although they conceded three goals to Corinthians, they’ve demonstrated resilience and adaptability in bouncing back.

Mirassol will be looking to continue their strong performances and secure their position in the top four. Expect them to play with confidence against a struggling Sport Recife side.

Mirassol Key Players

Mirassol’s standout player is Reinaldo, the team’s top scorer with 11 goals this season. His goal-scoring prowess will be key against Sport Recife’s struggling defence. Another pivotal figure is Danielzinho, who orchestrates the midfield and creates numerous opportunities.

In defence, João Victor and Jemmes form a solid central pairing that will look to neutralize Sport Recife’s attacking threats, particularly Derik Lacerda.

Expected lineup for Mirassol:

• Goalkeeper: Walter
• Defenders: Daniel Borges, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo
• Midfielders: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Guilherme Marques
• Forwards: Carlos Eduardo, Cristian Renato, Alesson

The battle between Reinaldo and Sport Recife’s defence, led by Rafael Thyere and Ramon Menezes, will be critical in determining the match’s outcome.

Mirassol Suspensions & Injuries

Mirassol faces several injury setbacks and a suspension that could impact their squad depth and performance:

• Matheus Sales: Currently sidelined with an undisclosed injury, expected to return in early November.
• Edson Carioca: Out for the season due to a thigh injury.
• Lucas Ramon: Struggling with a sprained ankle, anticipated to return in early November.
• Gabriel: Also dealing with a thigh injury, with a potential return in early November.
• Yago Felipe: Suspended due to yellow card accumulation, set to miss one match.

These absences, particularly in midfield, could test Mirassol’s squad depth, but their recent form suggests they have the resilience to cope with these challenges.

Mirassol Tactics and Formation

Mirassol Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Reinaldo
• Midfield Trio: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Guilherme Marques
• Defensive Pairs: João Victor, Jemmes
• Notable Strategy: Consistently score in 79% of away matches

Under Coach Rafael Guanaes, Mirassol is expected to stick with their familiar 4-3-3 formation, which has yielded success recently. Up front, Reinaldo will lead the attack, supported by wingers Carlos Eduardo and Alesson. This attacking trio has been prolific, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches.

In midfield, Danielzinho dictates the flow, paired with Neto Moura and Guilherme Marques providing defensive cover and creative support. Defensively, the central pair of João Victor and Jemmes will aim to maintain solidity, crucial for minimizing Sport Recife’s attacking threat.

Expect Mirassol to utilize their strong attacking prowess and exploit any defensive weaknesses Sport Recife might show, particularly in the first half, where Sport Recife has been vulnerable.

Sport Recife vs Mirassol Head-to-Head Statistics

The history between Sport Recife and Mirassol suggests a tightly contested head-to-head series. Looking at their last five encounters, there has been a mix of results:

• Mirassol 1 – 0 Sport Recife (Serie A, 2025-06-01)
• Mirassol 0 – 0 Sport Recife (Serie B, 2024-09-29)
• Sport Recife 1 – 0 Mirassol (Serie B, 2024-06-16)
• Mirassol 2 – 1 Sport Recife (Serie B, 2023-11-03)
• Sport Recife 0 – 0 Mirassol (Serie B, 2023-07-09)

Both teams have demonstrated competitive matches, with Mirassol winning twice, Sport Recife winning once, and two games ending in draws. These results highlight the balanced nature of their encounters, suggesting a potential for another close-fought battle.

Although Mirassol has the upper hand slightly in recent matchups, Sport Recife’s determination to escape relegation could add an extra edge to their performance in the upcoming fixture.

Odds accurate as of 23rd October 2025, 22:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.