Nacional vs. Moreirense Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 October 2025

This upcoming Liga Portugal clash sees Nacional hosting Moreirense at Estadio da Madeira. Nacional, currently 13th in the table with 7 points, will face a tough challenge against 4th-placed Moreirense, who have 15 points. With Helder Malheiro officiating, the match promises intensity and competitive spirit.
Nacional has been inconsistent, boasting two clean sheets in their last five games but struggling offensively, averaging just one goal per match. On the flip side, Moreirense has shown more consistency, highlighted by their 1.4 goals per game in the same period.
Historically, this fixture usually produces few goals, making the recommended bet of Under 2.5 Goals quite logical. Moreirense’s ability to score in the second half and their knack for attracting yellow cards add to the game’s complexity.
Given the tactical inclinations and form of both sides, expect a tight, cagey battle with limited clear chances. This game is critical for both teams to either climb up or secure their positions in the league standings.

Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tip

This fixture between Nacional and Moreirense is shaping up to be a tightly contested affair with goals likely at a premium. Recent head-to-head encounters support a low-scoring trend: their last two meetings finished 1-1 and 1-0, with neither side managing to break down the other’s defence consistently. In those matches, both teams combined for fewer than 2.5 goals, with Nacional even keeping a clean sheet at home in December 2024.
Moreirense’s most recent form includes a solid 2-0 victory over Vitória Guimarães, but that match also highlighted their pragmatic approach and defensive discipline.
Nacional’s attacking metrics—18 shots attempted and 4 on target in their recent away draw with Moreirense—suggest volume but not necessarily clinical finishing.

Nacional vs Moreirense Odds

For the upcoming Liga Portugal clash between Nacional and Moreirense, the bookmaker odds suggest a closely contested match. Nacional, despite their lower position in the table, are slight favourites to win at home.

The tight odds reflect the competitive nature of this fixture. Nacional’s home advantage and recent solid defensive displays contribute to them being slight favourites. However, with Moreirense’s better overall form this season, the away side also presents a strong challenge.
This kind of setting in the betting market indicates that neither side is overwhelmingly expected to dominate, making it a finely balanced affair.

Nacional Team Analysis

Nacional Recent Performance

• Recent Matches:
  • Braga 0 – 1 Nacional (Win)
  • Nacional 1 – 2 Arouca (Loss)
  • FC Porto 1 – 0 Nacional (Loss)
  • Casa Pia AC 0 – 2 Nacional (Win)
  • Nacional 1 – 4 Sporting CP (Loss)

Nacional’s recent form has been erratic, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, reflecting a mix of defensive solidity and offensive struggles. Although they’ve secured two clean sheets in this period, the team has conceded 1.4 goals per game on average, indicative of defensive vulnerabilities.
Offensively, they are averaging just one goal per match, highlighting an area in need of improvement. However, their form at home has shown promise, as seen in their recent win against Braga.
With key injuries hampering squad options, coach Tiago Margarido will need to strategize effectively to secure a result against a high-flying Moreirense side.

Nacional Key Players

Nacional’s key players for the upcoming match against Moreirense will be essential in both defense and attack. Jesus Ramirez, their top scorer with 4 goals, will lead the frontline and is expected to be instrumental in breaking down Moreirense’s defense. His duel against the experienced center-backs Maracas and Marcelo will be one to watch.
In midfield, Liziero and Chiheb Labidi will be crucial in transitioning play and shielding Nacional’s backline. Their ability to control the tempo and disrupt Moreirense’s attacks will be vital.
Expected lineup for Nacional:

• Goalkeeper: Kaique Pereira
• Defenders: João Aurélio, Léo Santos, Zé Vitor, José Gomes
• Midfielders: Liziero, Ulisses, Chiheb Labidi
• Attackers: Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez, Pablo Ruan

Nacional Suspensions & Injuries

Nacional faces some injury concerns ahead of their clash with Moreirense, which could impact their performance. Miguel Baeza is doubtful with a thigh injury, adding to the pressure on the midfield. Defenders Deivison and Ivanildo Fernandes are also uncertain due to unknown injuries, potentially weakening Nacional’s backline.
These absences might force coach Tiago Margarido to rely on less experienced players, making it crucial for the remaining squad members to step up. With key players missing, maintaining defensive solidity and creating scoring opportunities will be challenging.

Nacional Tactics and Formation

Nacional Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jesus Ramirez, with 4 goals this season.
• Midfield Trio: Liziero, Ulisses, Chiheb Labidi
• Defensive Strength: Secured two clean sheets in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Generally, Nacional applies a more defensive approach, which has helped them keep their goals conceded to an average of 1.4 per game.
  Nacional’s 4-3-3 formation allows them to balance between defense and attack, though their offensive play has been less successful, averaging only one goal per game. In this setup, Jesus Ramirez will be crucial in spearheading the attack, supported by midfielders Liziero and Labidi to transition play from defense to offense efficiently. With two clean sheets in the last five games, their defensive lineup remains sturdy but will be put to the test by Moreirense’s attacking threats.

Moreirense Team Analysis

Moreirense Recent Performance

• Recent Matches:
  • Moreirense 2 – 1 Casa Pia AC (Win)
  • Sporting CP 3 – 0 Moreirense (Loss)
  • Moreirense 3 – 1 Rio Ave (Win)
  • Gil Vicente 2 – 0 Moreirense (Loss)
  • Moreirense 2 – 0 Vitória de Guimarães (Win)

Moreirense has shown an alternating pattern of wins and losses in their last five matches, reflecting a form of inconsistency. Despite this, they’ve notched an average of 1.4 goals per game, demonstrating decent offensive capability. Defensively, they’ve managed one clean sheet in their last five games.
Their recent performances include crucial victories against Casa Pia AC and Vitória de Guimarães, highlighting both attacking potential and defensive resilience. With a current standing of 4th in Liga Portugal, Moreirense will look to build on their positive aspects while aiming for more consistency in their results.

Moreirense Key Players

Moreirense will rely heavily on their key players in this clash against Nacional. Guilherme Schettine, their top scorer with 5 goals, will be the focal point of their attack, hoping to exploit any weaknesses in Nacional’s defense. His matchup against Nacional’s central defenders, Zé Vitor and Léo Santos, will be a critical battle.
In the midfield, players like Alanzinho and Mateja Stjepanovic will play vital roles in maintaining possession and creating opportunities, while also providing defensive support.
Expected lineup for Moreirense:

• Goalkeeper: Caio Gobbo Secco
• Defenders: Dinis Pinto, Maracas, Marcelo, Kiko
• Midfielders: Alanzinho, Mateja Stjepanovic, Vasco Sousa
• Attackers: Diogo Martins Travassos, Guilherme Schettine, Kiko Bondoso

These players’ performances will be pivotal in determining Moreirense’s success in this tough away fixture.

Moreirense Suspensions & Injuries

Moreirense heads into their match against Nacional without any players suspended or injured, which is a significant advantage for the team.
Having a fully fit squad gives coach Vasco Botelho da Costa the flexibility to field his best lineup and make tactical adjustments as needed during the match. This complete roster situation will enable Moreirense to play to their strengths, ensuring that key players like Guilherme Schettine and Alanzinho can make the most impact on the game.
Without injury worries, Moreirense can focus entirely on executing their game plan and maintaining their good form in the league.

Moreirense Tactics and Formation

Moreirense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Guilherme Schettine, with 5 goals this season.
• Midfield Trio: Alanzinho, Mateja Stjepanovic, Vasco Sousa
• Defensive Strength: Managed one clean sheet in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Particularly potent in the 46-60 and 61-75-minute intervals, which is when they have scored most of their goals this season.
  Moreirense’s 4-3-3 formation allows them to be dynamic in attack, with Guilherme Schettine spearheading their offensive efforts. The midfielders play a crucial role in maintaining possession and providing a link between the defense and attack. The defense, led by Maracas and Marcelo, will aim to maintain structure and discipline. This balanced approach has helped Moreirense stay competitive and accumulate points, as evidenced by their strong standing in the league.

Nacional vs Moreirense Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Nacional and Moreirense have produced a mixed set of results. Here’s a quick look at their recent head-to-head record:

• 27 April 2025: Moreirense 1 – 1 Nacional
• 14 December 2024: Nacional 1 – 0 Moreirense
• 18 March 2023: Nacional 0 – 2 Moreirense (Liga Portugal 2)
• 9 October 2022: Moreirense 3 – 1 Nacional (Liga Portugal 2)
• 6 May 2021: Moreirense 2 – 2 Nacional (Primeira Liga)

These encounters have been relatively low-scoring affairs, with neither team consistently dominating the other. Nacional secured a narrow 1-0 home win in their last home fixture against Moreirense, showing their capacity to win in close contests. However, Moreirense’s 2-0 victory in March 2023 in Liga Portugal 2 highlights their ability to secure wins away from home as well.
Such results indicate a tightly contested matchup, often decided by narrow margins. This history aligns well with the betting tip of ‘Under 2.5 Goals,’ given that many of their previous matches have seen less than three goals scored.

Odds accurate as of 02.10.2025 15:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.