Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 October 2025

Necaxa and Pachuca are ready to clash at Estadio Victoria in what promises to be an intriguing Liga MX encounter. Pachuca, positioned 8th with 17 points, are favourites according to the odds, and have historically dominated this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. Necaxa, on the other hand, are struggling this season, sitting 15th with just 9 points. Recent form has been a mixed bag for both teams. Necaxa has managed only one win in their last five matches, while Pachuca ended a three-match losing streak with a win and a draw. Each side has shown tendencies to leak goals, making a "Both Teams to Score" bet quite appealing. Expect an open game with plenty of chances, building the drama in this late-season clash, as both teams have a lot at stake in moving up the standings.

Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction & Betting tip

Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score (Yes)	1.52

• Necaxa’s Scoring Pattern: Necaxa has seen both teams score in 64% of their matches, indicating a strong trend where both sides find the net.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities: Necaxa concedes an average of 1.9 goals per match, while Pachuca concedes an average of 1.82, highlighting both teams’ defensive weaknesses.
• Historical High-Scoring Matches: Recent encounters have been high-scoring affairs, with the last match ending 3-5 and another at 6-2, suggesting a pattern of both teams getting on the scoresheet.

The odds for "Both Teams to Score (Yes)" stand at 1.52, reflecting the likelihood of this outcome based on historical and current performance data.

Necaxa vs Pachuca Odds

For the upcoming Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pachuca, the odds suggest a close contest. Pachuca are slight favourites, reflecting their higher league position and recent form, but with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities, nothing is set in stone.

Necaxa vs Pachuca Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Necaxa	2.59
Draw	3.50
Pachuca	2.42

The odds indicate that while Pachuca are expected to edge the game, the potential for a draw is also considerable. With Pachuca having won the majority of recent head-to-head encounters, their slight favouritism is understandable. However, with Necaxa’s need for points and home advantage at Estadio Victoria, they can’t be written off. Expect a competitive match that may sway back and forth, keeping fans on the edge of their seats.

Necaxa Team Analysis

Necaxa Recent Performance

Necaxa’s recent form has been a rollercoaster ride. Their last five matches read as follows: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss. Currently positioned 15th in Liga MX with just 9 points, Necaxa has struggled to find consistency. One win in their last five outings came against Puebla, triumphing 1-0 at home, demonstrating they can get the job done at Estadio Victoria. However, their average of 1 goal per game and just one clean sheet in the last five games highlight their defensive and offensive struggles alike. These inconsistent performances underscore the team’s need for improvement if they plan to climb up the table and stabilize their season under the guidance of coach Fernando Gago.

Necaxa Key Players

Leading the line for Necaxa is their top scorer, Diber Cambindo, with 2 goals to his name this season. Cambindo will be keen to find the net again and build on his goal tally in this crucial match against Pachuca. With the creative duties, Agustín Palavecino and Pavel Uriel Pérez in the midfield will play pivotal roles in linking up play and creating goal-scoring opportunities for Cambindo and Tomas Badaloni up front. The expected lineup for Necaxa is:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
• Defenders: Tomas Jacob, Diego De Buen, Agustín Oliveros, Franco Rossano
• Midfielders: José Ivan Rodríguez, Agustín Palavecino, Kevin Rosero, Pavel Uriel Pérez
• Attackers: Diber Cambindo, Tomas Badaloni

In defence, Alexis Peña’s doubtful return could be significant due to his injury, further adding to the importance of other defenders stepping up.

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa are facing a few injury concerns ahead of their clash with Pachuca. Defender Emilio Lara is dealing with an elbow injury and his return remains doubtful, potentially impacting their defensive stability. Alexis Peña is also doubtful due to a knock injury, which could further strain their backline. While there are no suspensions affecting the team at the moment, these injuries could force coach Fernando Gago to make adjustments to the defensive setup, potentially affecting their overall performance. Necaxa will need other players to step up, particularly in the defensive department, if they are to secure a positive result in this crucial fixture.

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forward: Diber Cambindo
• Midfield Engine: Agustín Palavecino and José Ivan Rodríguez
• Defensive Set-Up: Likely to see Tomas Jacob, Diego De Buen, and Agustín Oliveros at the back, tasked with shoring up the defence.
• Notable Strategy: Necaxa focus on a midfield-heavy approach to control possession and build attacks, relying on their wide players like Kevin Rosero and Pavel Uriel Pérez to provide width and crosses into the box.

Coach Fernando Gago might need to adjust his tactics due to the defensive injuries, but the expected approach will aim to be solid at the back while utilizing the pace and creativity of their midfield to transition quickly into attack. This setup could be effective in breaking down Pachuca’s defence, exploiting any lapses in their backline.

Pachuca Team Analysis

Pachuca Recent Performance

Pachuca’s recent form has been volatile, as evidenced by their last five matches: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Win. They are currently 8th in Liga MX with 17 points, showing a mixed bag of results recently. They managed to turn their fortunes around with a win over Atletico de San Luis and a draw against Puebla in their last two matches, which could signal a revival. However, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in their last five matches, Pachuca’s defense and attack have been less than reliable. Under the guidance of coach Jaime Lozano, Pachuca will aim to build on their recent positive results to stabilize their campaign and climb further up the table.

Pachuca Key Players

Pachuca will be looking to their top scorer, Jhonder Cadiz, to deliver in front of goal, as he aims to add to his tally of 2 goals this season. Providing support in attack will be the experienced Enner Valencia, who will be pivotal in Pachuca’s offensive strategy. In midfield, the creativity of Luis Enrique Quinones and the industrious nature of Alan Bautista will be crucial in breaking down Necaxa’s defense.
The expected lineup for Pachuca is:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Moreno
• Defenders: Brian Garcia, Sergio Barreto, Eduardo Bauermann, Alonso Aceves
• Midfielders: Alan Bautista, Israel Luna, Kenedy, Luis Enrique Quinones, Oussama Idrissi
• Attackers: Enner Valencia

The key individual battles to watch include Cadiz and Valencia up against Necaxa’s potentially weakened backline, given their injury concerns.

Pachuca Suspensions & Injuries

Pachuca has a few injury concerns leading into their match against Necaxa. Andrés Micolta is out with a cruciate ligament injury and isn’t expected back until mid-October 2025, while Elias Montiel is sidelined with a knee injury, also targeting a mid-October return. William Carvalho remains doubtful due to a knock injury, adding to their woes. These absences could impact Pachuca’s midfield stability and defensive solidity, potentially making it easier for Necaxa to exploit any gaps left by the absent players. With no suspensions to contend with, coach Jaime Lozano will look to his available squad members to step up and secure vital points in this crucial encounter.

Pachuca Tactics and Formation

Pachuca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Enner Valencia
• Midfield Creators: Alan Bautista and Luis Enrique Quinones
• Defensive Setup: With Brian Garcia and Eduardo Bauermann anchoring the central defense, Pachuca aims to keep a tight backline despite recent struggles.

Pachuca will likely employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Valencia spearheading the attack. The midfield combination of Alan Bautista and Luis Enrique Quinones will be critical in linking play and providing creativity. Defensively, Pachuca needs to be strong, given their lack of clean sheets in recent matches. The absence of key players due to injuries may require coach Jaime Lozano to rely on depth and tactical flexibility. Expect Pachuca to control possession and look for openings through quick transitions, hoping to exploit Necaxa’s defensive vulnerabilities with precise attacking moves.

Necaxa vs Pachuca Head-to-Head Statistics

Over the past five encounters between Necaxa and Pachuca, the latter has clearly had the upper hand. Pachuca has won three of these games, with their most recent victory being a high-scoring 5-3 win in April 2025.

Here’s a rundown of their last five meetings:

• 12 April 2025: Necaxa 3 – 5 Pachuca
• 3 November 2024: Pachuca 6 – 2 Necaxa
• 6 May 2024: Pachuca 2 – 1 Necaxa
• 24 February 2024: Necaxa 1 – 1 Pachuca
• 30 September 2023: Pachuca 1 – 1 Necaxa

Pachuca has proven to be prolific against Necaxa, scoring a total of 17 goals in these five games compared to Necaxa’s 8. This historical dominance gives Pachuca a psychological edge, while Necaxa will be eager to break this pattern and secure a much-needed victory.

Odds accurate as of 10.02.2025 02:04, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.