Real Valladolid vs. Sevilla Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 February 2025

Real Valladolid will host Sevilla at the Estadio José Zorrilla on 16 February 2025, with kickoff at 15:15. As we dive into the 24th round of LaLiga, Valladolid, sitting at the bottom of the table with 15 points, desperately needs a win to breathe life into their relegation battle.

Sevilla, placed 13th with 28 points, are aiming to maintain distance from the drop zone and push towards a mid-table finish. However, they come into the match after suffering a heavy 4-1 defeat to Barcelona.

Our prediction sees Sevilla emerging victorious, largely because of their stronger form and Valladolid’s struggling run with four losses in their last five matches. Bet on Sevilla to win, with odds at 2.02.

Referee Javier Alberola, known for giving very few red cards, will officiate this encounter. Sevilla’s Dodi Lukebakio, the top scorer with 9 goals, will be crucial in breaking down a Valladolid side that has been defensively fragile in recent games.

Though not an epic clash, this game holds significant weight for both teams in their respective battles within the season.

Real Valladolid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting tip

• Sevilla’s Form: Sevilla have a recent record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games, demonstrating better consistency compared to Valladolid.

• Valladolid’s Struggles: Real Valladolid sit at the bottom of the LaLiga table with 15 points from 23 games, including 4 losses in their last 5 matches.

• Head-to-Head Advantage: Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5 away matches against Real Valladolid, highlighting their advantage in this fixture.

Given these factors, betting on Sevilla to win seems like the most reasonable option.

Real Valladolid vs Sevilla Odds

Sevilla comes into this match as the bookmakers’ favourite with odds of 1.96 for an away win. In contrast, a win for Real Valladolid is listed at 3.99, reflecting their underdog status. The odds for a draw stand at 3.35.

Given these numbers, the smart money appears to be on Sevilla to secure victory, especially considering their superior league position and recent form compared to Valladolid.

Real Valladolid Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Real Valladolid’s recent performances have been lacklustre, managing only one win in their last five matches. With a "LLLLW" form, they have struggled to find the net, averaging 0.60 goals per game during this period. Additionally, they have only kept one clean sheet in their last five matches, highlighting their defensive woes.
Their most recent defeat came against an unbeaten Rayo Vallecano side, showcasing their difficulty in tackling stronger opponents. Despite their efforts in previous matches, Real Valladolid remains at the bottom of the LaLiga standings, making each match a crucial battle for survival.

Real Valladolid Key Players

Real Valladolid will be looking to their key players to deliver in this crucial match against Sevilla. Selim Amallah, the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, will be vital in spearheading their attack. Amallah’s performance will be closely watched, especially in the absence of the suspended Marcos André.

Florian Grillitsch is another player to keep an eye on. His ability to control the midfield and create scoring opportunities could be pivotal for Real Valladolid.

Expected lineup for Real Valladolid:

• Goalkeeper: Karl Hein
• Defenders: Antonio Candela, Joseph Aidoo, David Torres, Adam Aznou
• Midfielders: Tamás Nikitscher, Luis Pérez, Florian Grillitsch, Mario Martin, Anuar
• Forward: Juanmi Latasa

Individual battles to watch include Juanmi Latasa against Sevilla’s defence and Grillitsch trying to outperform Sevilla’s midfield enforcers.

Real Valladolid Suspensions & Injuries

Real Valladolid are currently facing several injury setbacks which could significantly impact their preparation for the match against Sevilla.

These absences are concerning for Real Valladolid as they sit at the bottom of La Liga. The suspension of Marcos Andre, combined with injuries to key players like Eray Cömert and Javi Sánchez, will limit their options both defensively and offensively.

The team will need to rely heavily on the fitness and performance of their available players if they are to compete effectively against Sevilla.

Real Valladolid Tactics and Formation

Real Valladolid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Juanmi Latasa
• Midfield Trio: Florian Grillitsch, Mario Martin, Anuar
• Defensive Setup: Karl Hein between the posts, backed by a defense featuring Antonio Candela, Joseph Aidoo, David Torres, and Adam Aznou.
• Notable Strategy: Defensive solidity has been a struggle, but the team often tries to hold a compact shape and exploit counter-attacks.

Expectations are for Real Valladolid to employ a 4-3-3 formation, attempting to leverage their midfield to create offensive opportunities while trying to maintain a solid defensive block to frustrate Sevilla’s attacks.
Given their position at the bottom of the table, maintaining discipline and exploiting set pieces might be crucial for Valladolid to stand a chance.

Sevilla Team Analysis

Sevilla Recent Performance

Sevilla have been showing a mixed bag of form lately, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Here’s a closer look at their recent performances:

Sevilla have managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match during this period. While their defensive resilience can be questioned, their ability to find the net remains consistent.
Recent form includes key draws against teams like Espanyol and Valencia, showcasing their ability to grind out results even when not at their best.

Sevilla Key Players

Sevilla come into this match with several key players expected to make an impact. First and foremost, their top scorer this season, Dodi Lukebakio, leads the charge with 9 goals. His attacking prowess will be crucial against Real Valladolid’s defense.
In the middle of the park, Nemanja Gudelj stands out as a significant presence; however, his participation is doubtful due to a muscle injury. Djibril Sow is another midfielder who offers both defensive stability and forward momentum.

Expected lineup for Sevilla:

• Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
• Defenders: José Ángel Carmona, Marcos Teixeira Marcão, Kike Salas, Adrià Pedrosa
• Midfielders: Juanlu Sánchez, Lucien Agoumé, Djibril Sow
• Attackers: Dodi Lukebakio, Isaac Romero, Ruben Vargas

Keep an eye on Lukebakio’s duels against Real Valladolid’s defenders and the midfield battle to be influenced by Agoumé and Sow.

Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries

Sevilla face this match with several key absences due to injuries and suspensions, which could significantly impact their performance.

Injuries:

Suspensions:

With both Saúl Ñíguez and Loïc Badé suspended, and key injuries like Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi and Nemanja Gudelj doubtful, Sevilla may find their squad depth tested. The back line will particularly feel the absence of Badé and Kouassi, while the midfield could struggle without the contributions of Saúl and Gudelj.

Sevilla Tactics and Formation

Sevilla’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • This formation allows flexibility in both attack and defence, with a solid base of two holding midfielders.
• Key Forwards: Dodi Lukebakio (Right Forward), Ruben Vargas (Left Forward)
  • Expect Lukebakio, their top scorer with 9 goals, to play a crucial role in breaking down Real Valladolid’s defence.
• Midfield Trio: Juanlu Sánchez, Lucien Agoumé, Djibril Sow
  • This trio will likely be responsible for controlling the tempo of the game, especially with Saúl Ñíguez suspended.
• Defensive Strength
  • Two clean sheets in the last five games show promise, although the absence of Loïc Badé and Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi could be challenging.
• Notable Strategy
  • Sevilla have conceded most goals in the 76-90 minute interval, indicating a potential vulnerability late in the game. Expect them to enforce a strong defensive stance during this period to avoid late-game concessions.

In summary, with their talent upfront and a dynamic midfield, Sevilla will likely look to dominate possession and create high-pressing opportunities. The injuries and suspensions, however, might test their depth, particularly in defence.

Real Valladolid vs Sevilla Head-to-Head Statistics

The recent encounters between Real Valladolid and Sevilla have painted a clear picture of Sevilla’s dominance. Here’s a look at their last five meetings:

Sevilla have the upper hand historically with two wins and three draws in their previous five fixtures. This trend indicates a challenging task for Real Valladolid to reverse their fortunes in this match.

Odds accurate as of February 14, 2025, 3:16 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.