St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 22 February

The St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction and Match Preview sets the stage for an intriguing Bundesliga clash this Sunday, 22 February. The match will be held at the iconic Millerntor Stadion, where St. Pauli will host Werder Bremen in what promises to be a compelling encounter. Both teams are eager to make their mark in the league, with St. Pauli aiming to capitalise on their home advantage.

Werder Bremen, meanwhile, will be determined to secure valuable points away from home. This fixture is significant as both sides are keen to climb the Bundesliga standings, making every point crucial at this stage of the season. Fans can expect a competitive game as these two German teams face off in Hamburg, with each side bringing their unique strengths to the pitch.

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Werder Bremen Draw No Bet	1.85

Given recent performances and the head-to-head record, our recommended betting tip is Werder Bremen in the Draw No Bet market. This option offers a degree of security, ensuring a refund if the match ends in a draw, while still backing Bremen’s stronger chances of avoiding defeat.

• Werder Bremen’s unbeaten run against St. Pauli in their last five encounters, including a 1-0 victory earlier this season, suggests they have the psychological edge.
• St. Pauli’s injury woes, with key defensive players such as Karol Mets and Connor Metcalfe unavailable, leave them vulnerable at the back.
• Werder Bremen’s squad depth and resilience in high-pressure situations make them a reliable bet, even with a few absentees of their own.

Werder Bremen’s unbeaten run against St. Pauli in their last five encounters, including a 1-0 victory earlier this season, suggests they have the psychological edge.

St. Pauli’s injury woes, with key defensive players such as Karol Mets and Connor Metcalfe unavailable, leave them vulnerable at the back.

Werder Bremen’s squad depth and resilience in high-pressure situations make them a reliable bet, even with a few absentees of their own.

Betting Odds

St. Pauli and Werder Bremen are closely matched in the betting odds, with both teams priced almost equally. This suggests a tightly contested Bundesliga match at the Millerntor Stadion, with St. Pauli marginally favoured at 2.72, while Werder Bremen are at 2.70.

Betting Tip	Odds
St. Pauli to win	2.72
Draw	3.09
Werder Bremen to win	2.7

The draw is priced at 3.09, indicating that bookmakers anticipate a close contest. For those looking to place a bet, the odds reflect the potential for a balanced game, making the draw an intriguing option. Additionally, given both teams’ attacking capabilities, exploring the over 2.5 goals market could be worthwhile.

St. Pauli Analysis & Past Performance

St. Pauli’s recent form has been a mix of struggles and resilience, as reflected by their current position of 17th in the Bundesliga. In their last five games, they have managed just one victory, alongside two defeats and two draws. A notable win came against VfB Stuttgart with a 2-1 scoreline, but heavy defeats such as the 0-4 loss to Bayer Leverkusen have exposed defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Bayer Leverkusen	St. Pauli	4 – 0 (Defeat)	Bundesliga	14 Feb 2026
St. Pauli	VfB Stuttgart	2 – 1 (Victory)	Bundesliga	7 Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen	St. Pauli	3 – 0 (Defeat)	DFB Pokal	3 Feb 2026
Augsburg	St. Pauli	2 – 1 (Defeat)	Bundesliga	31 Jan 2026
St. Pauli	RB Leipzig	1 – 1 (Draw)	Bundesliga	27 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Offensively, St. Pauli have been underwhelming, averaging only 0.80 goals per game over their last five matches. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 2.20 goals per match, keeping just one clean sheet in this period. Their ability to score remains inconsistent, with goals in only three of their last five games.

At home, St. Pauli have shown slightly better form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five home fixtures. They have a home win ratio of 40%, which is notably stronger compared to their overall season performance. Despite this, the team struggles to maintain defensive solidity, having conceded in most of their recent home games.

Key player Andreas Hountondji, with four goals this season, remains a central figure in their attack. However, St. Pauli’s overall win ratio of just 20% highlights the challenges they face in climbing out of the relegation zone, necessitating improved consistency in both attack and defence.

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St. Pauli Suspensions & Injuries

St. Pauli face a challenging situation with several key players sidelined due to injury. The absence of David Nemeth and Hauke Wahl, both expected to return in late February, could impact defensive stability. Their experience would have been crucial against Werder Bremen’s attacking threat. With Simon Spari also out until late February and Eric Smith listed as doubtful, the defensive line will be stretched thin.

In midfield, Connor Metcalfe’s knee injury, which rules him out until early March, is another blow to St. Pauli’s creative options. His ability to link play between defence and attack is sorely missed, and coach Alexander Blessin will need to rely heavily on Jackson Irvine and James Sands to fill the void. Mathias Pereira Lage’s muscle injury further limits midfield depth, leaving the team vulnerable.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
David Nemeth	Tendon injury	Late February 2026
Simon Spari	Ligament injury	Late February 2026
Andreas Hountondji	Broken ankle	Late April 2026
Connor Metcalfe	Knee injury	Early March 2026
Hauke Wahl	Knee injury	Late February 2026
Eric Smith	Heel injury	Doubtful
Ricky-Jade Jones	Ankle injury	Early April 2026
Mathias Pereira Lage	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Up front, Ricky-Jade Jones’ ankle injury keeps him out until early April, meaning Martijn Kaars will be tasked with leading the line. While Kaars has shown promise, the lack of depth could force tactical adjustments, potentially seeing Danel Sinani pushed into a more advanced role to bolster the attack. The injuries may influence the betting markets, as St. Pauli’s depleted squad could struggle to secure a victory.

St. Pauli Key Players

St. Pauli’s lineup will heavily rely on the tactical intelligence of their midfield, particularly Jackson Irvine and James Sands. Irvine, known for his combative style and aerial prowess, plays a crucial role in breaking up opposition attacks and transitioning play forward. Sands, with his ability to read the game, complements Irvine by providing defensive stability and effective distribution.

In attack, Martijn Kaars will be pivotal to St. Pauli’s offensive efforts. As the lone forward, Kaars must capitalise on any chances created by the midfield. His movement off the ball and finishing ability are essential for converting opportunities into goals. Meanwhile, the defence, marshalled by Karol Mets, must remain resolute to thwart any threats from Werder Bremen’s forwards.

Expected lineup for St. Pauli:

• Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
• Defence: Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Tomoya Ando
• Midfield: Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Rasmussen
• Forward: Martijn Kaars

The collective performance of these key players will define St. Pauli’s tactical approach, focusing on a strong midfield presence and quick transitions to break through Werder Bremen’s defensive lines. The balance between defence and attack will be crucial in securing a positive result.

St. Pauli Tactics and Formation

St. Pauli Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Martijn Kaars
• Midfield Engine: James Sands and Jackson Irvine
• Defensive Challenge: Conceded 11 goals in last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and overlapping runs from wing-backs.

St. Pauli’s 3-4-2-1 formation is designed to provide both attacking width and defensive solidity. The back three, comprising Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, and Tomoya Ando, offers a robust defensive base. However, recent performances have seen them concede 11 goals in their last five matches, highlighting vulnerabilities that Werder Bremen might exploit.

In midfield, James Sands and Jackson Irvine play crucial roles, offering both defensive cover and distribution. The wing-backs, Manolis Saliakas and Arkadiusz Pyrka, are tasked with creating width and supporting offensive transitions, which is vital given the absence of key players such as Hauke Wahl and Eric Smith.

Offensively, Martijn Kaars leads the line, supported by the creative prowess of Danel Sinani and Mathias Rasmussen. This setup aims to capitalise on quick transitions and exploit spaces behind the opposition’s defence, although the lack of clean sheets indicates a need for greater defensive discipline.

Werder Bremen Analysis & Past Performance

Werder Bremen have struggled in recent weeks, failing to secure a victory in their last five outings. The team has suffered four defeats and managed just one draw, highlighting their current form challenges. Their recent matches include a 0-3 loss to Bayern Munich and a 1-0 defeat against Freiburg, underlining the difficulties they face against top-tier Bundesliga teams.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
Werder Bremen	Bayern Munich	0 – 3 (Loss)	Bundesliga	14 Feb, 2026
Freiburg	Werder Bremen	1 – 0 (Loss)	Bundesliga	7 Feb, 2026
Werder Bremen	Borussia Moenchengladbach	1 – 1 (Draw)	Bundesliga	31 Jan, 2026
Werder Bremen	Hoffenheim	0 – 2 (Loss)	Bundesliga	27 Jan, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen	Werder Bremen	1 – 0 (Loss)	Bundesliga	24 Jan, 2026

Recent Form:
Werder Bremen’s attacking output has been notably poor, averaging just 0.20 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Their defensive frailties are equally concerning, as they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per match in the same period. The lack of clean sheets further emphasises their defensive vulnerabilities, and their inability to secure wins away from home is a significant area for improvement.

With only 19 points to their name, Werder Bremen currently sit 16th in the league standings, battling relegation. Jens Stage, their top scorer with six goals, remains a crucial figure, but the team’s overall dynamics need strengthening. The absence of a consistent winning strategy and tactical cohesion is evident, making their upcoming matches critical as they seek to turn their fortunes around.

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Werder Bremen Suspensions & Injuries

Werder Bremen will be without several key players due to injury, which could significantly impact their tactical approach against St. Pauli. Notably, Mitchell Weiser’s absence due to a cruciate ligament injury until late March 2026 leaves a gap in the defensive setup. With Maximilian Wöber also sidelined with a calf injury until late February, Bremen’s defensive depth is tested, requiring Niklas Stark and Marco Friedl to step up.

Leonardo Bittencourt’s strain injury rules him out for about 1-2 weeks, which could affect Bremen’s midfield creativity. In his absence, Jens Stage and Romano Schmid will need to take on more responsibility to maintain the team’s attacking fluidity. The potential unavailability of Karim Coulibaly, who is doubtful with a hamstring injury, adds to the concern, possibly forcing tactical adjustments in the midfield and defensive rotations.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Mitchell Weiser	Cruciate ligament injury	Late March 2026
Victor Boniface	Knee surgery	Mid May 2026
Maximilian Wöber	Calf injury	Late February 2026
Amos Pieper	Knee injury	Mid March 2026
Leonardo Bittencourt	Strain	About 1-2 weeks
Karim Coulibaly	Hamstring injury	Doubtful

With no suspensions to contend with, Werder Bremen’s coach Daniel Thioune can focus on optimising the available squad. However, the absence of these injured players might influence betting markets, as Bremen’s weakened defensive line and midfield could struggle against St. Pauli’s attacking threats. The team’s ability to adapt and fill these gaps will be crucial in determining the match outcome.

Werder Bremen Key Players

Werder Bremen’s attacking threat will be led by their top scorer Jens Stage, who has found the net six times this season. Stage’s ability to break through defences with his dynamic runs and clinical finishing makes him a pivotal figure in Bremen’s offensive setup. His partnership with forward Marco Grüll, known for his agility and sharp movement, is expected to pose a constant threat to St. Pauli’s defence.

In midfield, Romano Schmid stands out as a key playmaker. His vision and passing accuracy are crucial in linking up play and creating scoring opportunities. Alongside him, Justin Njinmah’s energy and versatility provide additional support both in attack and defence, making the midfield a battleground where Bremen might seek to assert dominance.

Expected lineup for Werder Bremen:

• Goalkeeper: Mio Backhaus
• Defence: Marco Friedl, Yukinari Sugawara, Niklas Stark
• Midfield: Justin Njinmah, Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Felix Agu, Romano Schmid
• Forward: Cameron Puertas, Marco Grüll

Defensively, Marco Friedl’s leadership and positioning are integral to maintaining stability at the back. His ability to read the game and intercept plays is vital against St. Pauli’s attacking threats. With Yukinari Sugawara and Niklas Stark providing support, Bremen’s defensive line will need to be cohesive to withstand any pressure. Collectively, these key players could significantly influence Bremen’s tactical approach, focusing on a balanced yet assertive style of play.

Werder Bremen Tactics and Formation

Werder Bremen Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forward: Marco Grüll
• Midfield Pivot: Jens Stage and Senne Lynen
• Defensive Structure: Struggling with no clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Utilises wing-backs for width and counter-attacks.

Werder Bremen’s 3-4-1-2 formation is designed to leverage the width provided by wing-backs Justin Njinmah and Felix Agu, who are crucial for both defensive duties and supporting attacks. Jens Stage, the top scorer, plays a pivotal role in midfield alongside Senne Lynen, offering both defensive cover and attacking impetus.

Defensively, the trio of Marco Friedl, Yukinari Sugawara, and Niklas Stark forms the backline. However, Bremen’s recent performances suggest vulnerability, having conceded in all recent games and failing to keep clean sheets. The absence of key players such as Mitchell Weiser and Maximilian Wöber further challenges their defensive stability.

Offensively, Bremen’s strategy revolves around quick transitions, aiming to exploit spaces behind opponents’ lines. Marco Grüll and Cameron Puertas spearhead the attack, with Romano Schmid providing creative support in the attacking midfield role. This setup, however, has struggled to consistently convert opportunities, as evidenced by their low scoring average.

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Werder Bremen have the upper hand with 11 wins compared to St. Pauli’s 5, and there have been 6 draws. The last time these two met was in a friendly match in January 2026, ending in a goalless draw. However, their most recent Bundesliga encounter saw Werder Bremen clinch a narrow 1-0 victory at home in October 2025.

When it comes to Bundesliga clashes, Werder Bremen have been dominant, especially in recent meetings. The last time St. Pauli hosted Bremen at the Millerntor Stadion in the Bundesliga, they suffered a 0-2 defeat in December 2024. Bremen’s strong away form could be a key factor in this upcoming fixture.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
St. Pauli	Werder Bremen	0 – 0	Friendly Match	2026-01-04
Werder Bremen	St. Pauli	1 – 0	Bundesliga	2025-10-04
Werder Bremen	St. Pauli	0 – 0	Bundesliga	2025-04-27
St. Pauli	Werder Bremen	0 – 2	Bundesliga	2024-12-14
Werder Bremen	St. Pauli	3 – 3	Friendly Match	2023-10-12