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Days after an abysmal performance in Seville ended their Europa League campaign, Manchester United face Brighton in an FA Cup semi-final, making it a good time to put together some Brighton vs Man Utd bet builder tips. This is Brighton’s second FA Cup last-four outing since they lost the final in 1982-83. The winner of the tie will face with Manchester City or Sheffield United in the final on 3rd June.
In this article:
England, FA Cup Semi-Final, Sunday, April 23rd, 16:30 (UK)
Brighton have lost just twice in 17 matches this calendar year. They demolished Grimsby 5-0 in the quarters and won at Stamford Bridge last weekend. The south coast club have had all week to prepare for this fixture, while Manchester United were in Europa League action on Thursday night.
The Red Devils were woeful away to Sevilla. A 3-0 defeat was about what their performance deserved. David De Gea made multiple errors, and Erik ten Hag saw his side get outplayed by a team which has been threatened by relegation for much of the campaign.
Ten Hag is without Lisandro Martinez and Raphael Varane. Harry Maguire is suspended. As a result, Luke Shaw may have to start in central defence. Anthony Martial and Scott McTominay are both doubts.
United have already won at Wembley this term, having defeated Newcastle in the EFL Cup Final. Brighton lost to Manchester City in the semi-final of this competition back in 2019, but they have won their last two against United. Roberto De Zerbi’s side have been strong against the big six this in 2022-23. Unfazed by the big occasions, the Seagulls will be relishing this opportunity.
Bookies price Brighton as the favourites for this one, and it’s easy to see why. United are seriously depleted in defence. They haven’t beaten a top eight team since their win over Newcastle in the League Cup final, and fatigue is bound to be an issue after playing in Spain on Thursday.
Still, this should be a close, combative match between two well-matched sides. Craig Pawson ranks above the Premier League average in fouls given and cards shown per match this season. Manchester United have several card risks throughout their squad, even if neither McTominay nor Fred start the match.
Brighton are generally well-disciplined, yet they commit a fair number of fouls and place 10th in tackles per match. You have to go back seven league matches for the last time Brighton didn’t receive a card. Both teams to receive a card is a good way to get this bet builder started.
Ten Hag will be happy to let Brighton have a lot of possession on Sunday. United need to protect their defence and will probably see transitions as their best opportunity to create chances. Only Manchester City and Arsenal average more possession than Brighton in the league this term. At the heart of midfield, look for a lot of play to go through Moises Caicedo. The Ecuador international has recorded over 52.5 passes in nine consecutive starts. Take the over.
There isn’t much separating these teams this season. Some expected goals models favour Brighton. Having had all week to prepare, De Zerbi’s side have a great chance of reaching their first FA Cup final since 1983.
Ten Hag’s nous in big games and United’s Wembley experience is the threat, plus the match-winning ability of Marcus Rashford. Instead of backing Brighton to win, let’s take the Seagulls to at least force extra time.
Bet Builder odds: 2.63
Odds via bet365 as at 09:30 April 23rd 2023. Odds may now differ.