Fiorentina vs Juventus Bet Builder Tips and Match Stats: Fierce rivals battle for high prize

Only six points separates those involved in Fiorentina vs Juventus and Italian football expert, Daniele Fisichella, has prepared an in-depth look at this match and three Bet Builder tips.

It’s one of the classics of Italian football, a long standing rivalry reignited by players’ transfers (Roberto Baggio in 1990, and, recently, Dusan Vlahovic): Fiorentina vs Juventus, which kicks off on Sunday, is never ‘just’ a fixture in Serie A.

We’ll be utilising the bet365 bet builder function for this outing in Serie A. Why wouldn’t we? The abundance of choice at our disposal means we can dip into the player shots market whilst taking both BTTS and a Double Chance selection. For us, it’s the best bet builder on the market.

• BTTS – YES
• Manuel Locatelli To Have Over 0.5 Shots
• Double Chance Fiorentina Or Juventus

Bet Builder odds: 4.75

Italy, Serie A, Sunday 5th November, 19:45 (UK)

Odds via bet365 as at 9:40 am, Thursday 2nd November 2023. Odds may now differ.

---

Fiorentina vs Juventus Bet Builder Tips: who’ll be ‘Loc’ back in anger?

BTTS: Yes

Weirdly, Fiorentina have drawn blanks in the last two Serie A games against Empoli and Lazio, and doubts have emerged about ‘La Viola’ strength and consistency this season.

Despite a resounding 6-0 win in the Conference League last Thursday, the two recent defeats have dampened the enthusiasm in Firenze after Fiorentina collected 17 points in eight matches, their third-best start of a Serie A campaign since 1995.

However, it was not all negative against Lazio on Monday. Vincenzo Italiano’s side controlled the game for large spells, had a goal scored by Lucas Beltran disallowed and accumulated chances. As it often happened, they were let down by an individual mistake, this time by defender Milenkovic, who gifted Lazio a penalty deep in stoppage time.

Perhaps Fiorentina have overachieved in terms of goals scored so far (their xG are 7.39 lower, the highest negative difference in Serie A), but, unlike last season, so far they’ve been more precise in front of goal: their average shots/goal ratio is 6.61 whereas last year it was 11.37.

Also, in 2022/2023, they’ve never been three consecutive games without scoring, but they’ve also let in 28 goals in the last 24 Serie A games played at the Artemio Franchi.

Manuel Locatelli To Have Over 0.5 Shots

Regardless of the opposition, Fiorentina will keep playing their own way: trying to dominate the possession (they’re second in Serie A, with over 32 minutes average per game), pressing high and often leaving defenders one-on-one with forwards.

Such a high risk-reward strategy often produces goals (in 2023, only Real Madrid and Manchester City have scored more, in all competitions, than Fiorentina), but it might also backfire, especially against Juventus, a team that knows how to wait for the opportunity to punch.

The Bianconeri’s defensive record is impressive despite the injury crisis (Danilo will likely miss the match on Sunday). Massimiliano Allegri’s side have only conceded six goals so far, four of which in that disastrous game at Sassuolo.

Following that 4-2 defeat, they kept five consecutive clean sheets, and since the Tuscan manager returned to Torino in 2020/2021, only Barcelona (42 clean sheets) have a better defensive record than ‘La Vecchia Signora’ (40 clean sheets).

In a game where the hosts might have the ball more, Juve could resort to some long-range shots, and Manuel Locatelli could once again be the player to do so.

He scored the winner against AC Milan (thanks also to a heavy Krunic deflection), and since he has been in Turin, he averages 0.92 shots per game.

Double Chance: Fiorentina Or Juventus

But Juventus are not just defence and counter-attack: they have the strongest and most complete forward line in Serie A with Vlahovic, Milik, Chiesa and Kean. It’s up to Allegri now to make the most out of them.

The Bianconeri might not be spectacular to watch, but they always pose a threat: they’re third for shots taken in Serie A, they have taken seven points from Lazio, Atalanta and AC Milan, and not playing in Europe this season helps their fitness level.

For example, last Saturday, against Verona, Allegri’s men were able to sustain the pressure deep in stoppage time. They eventually won 1-0, a game where they deserved to score at least a couple more.

Numbers look encouraging for Juve. Based on xG, they’d have Serie A’s best attack, and on Sunday, they’ll have the advantage of playing knowing the results of Inter Milan and AC Milan.

Fiorentina have drawn 10 of the last 36 home matches, three of which last season against Napoli (0-0), Juventus (1-1) and Atalanta (1-1).

But a point on Sunday doesn’t help either of the two sides. I’d expect an open match with at least three goals in it.

---

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.