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This weekend’s Super Sunday, if you can call it that, features one game, and we have you covered for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford bet builder tips with James Cantrill.
I am not going to lie; it is quite a drop off from the game this time last Sunday, where four goals were split evenly between Arsenal and Tottenham in the North London Derby.
But there is still plenty to get excited about at the City Ground, not least this 9.50 bet builder. You can bet on more player prop markets via bet365’s bet builder now. To my knowledge, the new additions are fouls, saves and to score or assist, and it is the former that interests me here.
The bet builder function at bet365 is unrivalled in terms of options at our disposal, so let’s hope said options combine for the 9.50 punt here.
Bet Builder odds: 9.50
England, Premier League, October 2nd, 14:00 (UK)
Odds via bet365 as at 13:00 28th September 2023. Odds may now differ.
Brentford’s defeat against Arsenal in the League Cup on Wednesday extended their winless run to six games. The Bees have lost their last three and have only won once this campaign, 3-0 at Craven Cottage.
Thomas Frank’s side’s trio of defeats does coincide with his Monday Night Football appearance, which could just be a coincidence. This rotten run can be put down partly due to the Bees’ wasteful nature.
Against Arsenal, they squandered all three of their ‘big chances’. Against Everton, they created and missed four and against Newcastle, they missed one.
Brentford ranks sixth for xG (11.6) and eighth for big chances created (13) but first for big chances missed (15) and ninth for goals scored (9).
Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa have combined for six goals this campaign but have not found the net in any of the Bees’ last three games.
The pair hit the ground running and looked to be relishing the responsibility of filling the void left by Ivan Toney, but now the goals have dried up, and the points have stopped coming for Frank’s side.
It is not for want of trying, though. In his last two away games, Wissa has racked up 13 shots, that was seven against Fulham and five at St James’ Park.
He has scored twice this campaign and racked up an xG of 2.70, with a goals-per90 average of 0.35. There is some juice in his price to score anytime at 3.75.
Forest have fallen victim to a tough fixture schedule.
The Tricky Trees have gone to the Emirates, Etihad, Old Trafford and Stamford Bridge already this campaign.
Steve Cooper’s side have given great accounts of themselves in each of those fixtures. Aided by a Rodri red card, Forest ran Man City close at the weekend, and that was the first time they have failed to score in a league game this campaign.
Taiwo Awoniyi had a golden chance, which was missed, and Forest hit an xG of 1.03.
Forest have scored four in their other three trips to ‘big six’ sides and three in their two home games, which is part of the reason both teams to score appeals. The fact that Forest have only kept one clean sheet also helps.
Chelsea are the only side not to beat Matt Taylor this campaign; the Blues certainly created enough, though: 21 shots, 3 big chances and an xG of 2.30.
Morgan Gibbs-White is a shade of evens to commit a single foul, yes, please.
The all-action midfielder is pivotal with and without the ball, whether that be pressing or launching a counterattack. He combines the speed of mind with actual speed and unbelievable technique. The reason he is adored by the Forest faithful, though, is his work rate and tenacity.
This campaign, MGW has averaged 1.2 tackles, one interception and 0.7 fouls per game, committing one in four of his six appearances, only failing to register one in games against Man Utd and Chelsea.
It is also worth noting only two of the 22 midfielders to face Brentford this season have failed to commit a single foul (Philip Billing and Lewis Cook). James Maddison racked up three against them, and Eberechi Eze also committed one.
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