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The second leg between Napoli and Milan is set to be a cracker. Here at bettingexpert Expert Insights, we have constructed a bet builder for this huge clash.
In this article:
Champions League Quarter-Final, Tuesday, April 18th, 20:00 (UK)
Naples will be electric, the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona will be bouncing. It’s all to play for on Tuesday night between two of Italy’s finest.
The return of Victor Osimhen is monumental for Luciano Spalletti and his Napoli side, the Nigerian has taken Europe by storm this campaign and has attracted interest from the biggest clubs in world football. He’s the leading goal scorer in a runaway Napoli side in Serie A with an emphatic 21 in just 24 appearances, averaging a strike every 92 minutes.
Kim Min-Jae and Zambo-Anguissa have been consistent performers in this Napoli side but both will be absent from this clash due to suspension. Juan Jesus is set to step in for the South Korean in central defence alongside Rrahmani, there’s a little more uncertainty about who’s expected to replace the Cameroonian.
Milan have kept clean sheets in five consecutive games in the Champions League despite 4.58xGA in those matches. You’d be pretty brave in backing them to extend that streak given they’ve kept just three shutouts in 10 outings this calendar year.
Pioli made 10 changes over the weekend in their 1-1 draw in Bologna, only Mike Maignan started the match. Calabria, Brahim Diaz and Rafael Leao were all sent on towards the latter stages of the game, they’re all expected to start in Naples.
The hosts are best priced at 1.75 to win inside 90 minutes, backing them to reach the semi-final is available at 2.20 with Milan priced at 5.25 and 1.72 respectively. The goal line is set at 2.25 which is a little surprising with the under 2.5 priced rather short at 1.70.
With Napoli trailing the tie, backing them in the attacking departments seems the sensible way to approach this clash with a bet builder. The lines are set rather high with bet365 but that is to be expected given the scoreline heading into this contest.
Napoli took 20 throw-ins in the first leg last week, they had 21 in the meeting at this stadium earlier in the month. There’s no doubt that they’ll pin Milan back inside their own half as they look to make a breakthrough. Spurs racked up 18 and 19 throws in the previous round against Milan despite their underwhelming performances.
Every time I write about a game involving Napoli, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s name always seems to be mentioned. The Georgian managed two shots in the reverse leg, both came inside the opening 10 minutes. He’s had 32 shots in this year’s competition, with three or more attempts arriving in six matches from eight at an average of 4.70 per 90.
Khvicha and Osimhen are the danger men, they can quite easily turn this tie around between them. I would’ve loved to get the Nigerian onside in the bet builder but his prices don’t provide much value.
13 of Napoli’s 15 Serie A matches at home have seen them take 19 or more throws, and they had 22 in their knockout tie against Frankfurt. The proposed selection cashed in the meeting here where Milan won 4-0. Another repeat of those stats would be great in what’s lined up to be a thrilling encounter.`
Bet Builder odds: 2.20
Odds via bet365 as at 12:00 April 17th 2023. Odds may now differ.