Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Nathan Joyes is back in La Liga with a Osasuna vs Alaves prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview for us to peruse.
Our Osasuna vs Alaves prediction is for Osasuna to win the match 1-0.

Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction, Team News, Lineups and Fixtures Preview

• Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction: BTTS-No and Under 3.5 Goals

In this article:

• Osasuna vs Alaves Team News and Possible Lineups
• The Osasuna vs Alaves, La Liga Standings Prediction
• Osasuna vs Alaves Stats
• Osasuna Fixtures
• Alaves Fixtures
• Safer Gambling

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Osasuna vs Alaves: Goals at a premium at El Sadar

Spain, La Liga, Monday, March 4th, 20:00 (UK)

This may not be the most glamorous of La Liga’s ties, but Osasuna’s defence has drastically improved in 2024. Having kept three clean sheets in a row, as well as recording two narrow victories over Real Sociedad and Cadiz, they’ve certainly guaranteed La Liga football next term.

Although Real Sociedad dominated the statistics in their 1-0 loss to Osasuna, the visitors on that occasion restricted them to plenty of frustrated efforts from long range. Only three shots found the target out of 21 attempts. In their home win over Cadiz, the relegation threatened side only had one strike on goal.

Ante Budimir has proved to be reliable in front of goal in recent weeks, scoring three in his last three, and Osasuna knows he is capable of taking an opportunity – even if they are few and far between.

They’ve only scored five in their last five whilst conceding six (three of which came against Celta Vigo in a disastrous performance). However, prior to that, they only lost 1-0 away to Barcelona. On their day, they can be a hard team to break down.

Alaves head into this fixture on the back of three consecutive draws. Although a 0-0 draw vs Betis on the road was a well earned point, a late goal vs Mallorca prevented Alaves picking up three points for the first time since January. At home, they only managed one shot on target.

In the reverse fixture, Osasuna came out on top 2-0, where although both sides had 10+ attempts on goal, neither managed more than three on target.

Neither side are playing well or poorly, for that matter, and neither are fighting for a European spot or relegation, which points towards both sides potentially cancelling each other out.

Both teams to score no have landed in four of Osasuna’s last five matches, and so it’s difficult to overlook at present.

• Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction: BTTS-No and Under 3.5 Goals
• Best Odds: 1.70
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stakes: 7/10

Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, February 27th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Osasuna vs Alaves Team News and Possible Lineups: Healthy Visitors

David Garcia is back in contention for selection after picking up a milestone yellow card which ruled him out of the weekend’s game against Las Palmas. The Alaves fixture should come too soon for Cruz, Arnaiz and Pena for the hosts.

Aleksandar Sedlar, like last weekend, should be the only missing part in a largely healthy first team setup for Deportivo Alaves.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Mojica, Herrando, Garcia, Pena, Oroz, Munoz, Moncayola, Gomez, Garcia, Budimir

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Sivera; Lopez, Marin, Abqar, Gorosabel, Guevara, Blanco, Rioja, Sola, Guridi, Omorodion

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The Predicted Osasuna vs Alaves La Liga Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the La Liga standings ahead of the Osasuna vs Alaves, currently 11th vs 12th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Osasuna vs Alaves Standings Prediction

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	27.0	7.7	3.4	76.3	27.4	49.0	88.6
2	Barcelona	38	24.0	8.4	5.7	80.6	47.7	32.9	80.3
3	Girona	38	23.8	7.6	6.7	79.5	49.1	30.3	78.9
4	Atl. Madrid	38	22.0	6.7	9.3	73.8	43.2	30.6	72.7
5	Ath Bilbao	38	20.1	9.8	8.1	66.0	39.1	26.9	70.0
6	Betis	38	14.8	15.0	8.3	47.6	41.6	6.0	59.3
7	Sociedad	38	14.8	13.3	9.9	49.5	38.8	10.7	57.7
8	Valencia	38	13.8	9.6	14.6	41.8	45.7	-3.9	51.1
9	Getafe	38	12.3	13.1	12.6	48.1	53.8	-5.7	50.0
10	Las Palmas	38	12.9	9.1	16.0	36.9	44.1	-7.2	47.7
11	Alaves	38	11.8	11.1	15.0	40.8	46.2	-5.4	46.6
12	Osasuna	38	12.4	8.9	16.7	43.6	56.2	-12.6	46.1
13	Villarreal	38	11.1	10.6	16.4	56.6	70.2	-13.6	43.8
14	Vallecano	38	9.4	13.2	15.4	35.9	50.2	-14.3	41.4
15	Mallorca	38	8.4	15.3	14.3	37.0	48.0	-11.0	40.5
16	Sevilla	38	8.8	12.0	17.2	44.5	55.8	-11.3	38.5
17	Celta	38	8.9	10.8	18.4	44.9	58.1	-13.1	37.4
18	Granada	38	6.0	11.3	20.7	42.0	68.1	-26.2	29.2
19	Cadiz	38	4.6	14.1	19.3	26.8	55.8	-29.0	28.0
20	Almeria	38	3.7	11.8	22.5	40.2	73.4	-33.2	22.9

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Match Stats: Wasteful in the home corner

• Alaves -14.8xG difference between goals scored (22) and expected goals total (36.18xG) is the largest underachievement in Spain’s top flight this season. Wasteful.
• Osasuna sits just behind Atletico Madrid in 9th in the Away form table in La Liga.
• The 332 shots attempted by Alaves this season is the sixth-most in La Liga behind the leading clubs.
• Alaves have conceded more goals (16) than they’ve scored at home (14) in 2023/24.

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Osasuna Fixtures: Girona into Real Madrid? Ouch

• Vs Girona (A)
• Vs Real Madrid (H)
• Vs Almeria (A)
• Vs Valencia (H)
• Vs Rayo Vallecano (A)

Alaves Fixtures: Tough Scheduling

• Vs Rayo Vallecano (H)
• Vs Athletic Club (A)
• Vs Real Sociedad (H)
• Vs Granada (A)
• Vs Atletico Madrid (H)

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Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.