football | Thursday, January 12, 2023 1:34 PM

Serie A Best Bets: 3 Value Picks from Italy this Sunday, January 15th

Sam Ingram

Serie A Best Bets: Sunday, January 15th

bettingexpert ventures to Rome, Bergamo and Sassuolo for the latest take on Serie A’s best bets with Sam Ingram front and centre in the tipping seat.

In this article:

Sassuolo vs Lazio Preview & Best Bet
Roma vs Fiorentina Preview & Best Bet
Atalanta vs Salernitana Preview & Best Bet

Sassuolo vs Lazio Preview

Sunday, January 15th, 11:30 (UK)

Sassuolo limps into the visit of the Romans in poor shape. Unfortunately, there’s no getting away from it for the Neroverdi. The three losses on the bounce act as a treacherous stretch of form before welcoming Ciro Immobile and company come to town.

Not just that, but Sassuolo boasts just one win in ten Serie A matches. The only three-point haul in ten games came in the shape of a 2-1 home win against Hellas Verona.

Expect Sassuolo to take the game to Lazio in spells, especially if chasing a lead. As a result, Lazio’s counterattacking capabilities should kick in and threaten on multiple occasions.

Unfortunately for Sassuolo, Pinnamonti and Consigli, the first-choice ‘keeper, will miss the game due to injury. The two absentees add to a side that sits 20th in Serie A’s five-game form table, producing the worst results the Italian top flight has seen through the festive season and the league’s return.

After conceding multiple goals in 6/10 recent fixtures, it’s tempting to lean towards Lazio to the win. However, they’ve repeatedly proven, including last time out against Empoli, that your hard-earned is rarely safe when opting for I Biancocelesti on the nose – 2-0 up and cruising before two Empoli strikes in the last ten minutes rained on a once-dominant parade.

Sassuolo vs Lazio Best Bet

The Double Chance market works here in case we see a Lazio crumble or a Domenico Berardi-infused piece of brilliance. Sassuolo still possesses players to hurt the opposition in forward areas, though it’s falling short throughout the pitch as a collective.

Despite their dreadful run, the Napoli and Empoli losses on the road were the only matches in the current ten-game run that saw Sassuolo fail to score. More of the same, and the odds-against selection could ease home.

Selection: Lazio or Draw and BTTS
Best Odds: 2.10 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

More Sassuolo vs Lazio Tips

Roma vs Fiorentina Preview

Sunday, January 15th, 19:45 (UK)

From an out-of-shape Sassuolo outfit hosting a set of Romans to a group from Florence bounding towards the capital, Sunday evening’s Serie A offering should be anything but dull. It is rarely a flaccid affair when the away side is enjoying their football.

In this instance, I Viola have found the net in each of their last eight matches. That slaps of a team clicking into gear, with Leicester transfer target, Nicolás Gonzalez, forcing a penalty home to down Sassuolo seven days prior to their next task.

It’s not always the wisest tact to back goals against José Mourinho’s Roma, as many will be acutely aware. Yet, Roma can be breached here, and Fiorentina will fancy their chances of leaving Rome with something. After all, only Napoli and Inter Milan, with different expectations for the season, can brag about more goals scored in the last five matches to the visitors’ eight.

The two-goal comeback as the clock ticked to the 87th minute in Milan will do Roma’s confidence no harm, with Ibañez and Tammy Abraham’s late strikes a showing of not only capabilities in the box but also the belief in the squad to dig in.

Roma vs Fiorentina Best Bet

Speaking of Ibañez, both he and Mancini will miss Sunday’s fixture due to suspension, providing a backline not too familiar with each other as a defensive unit. Fiorentina will take solace in such circumstances.

It won’t be the most straightforward of tasks to find the net, given Roma have conceded just five goals from their eight home matches. But if they do, expect Roma to have more than enough to level proceedings in terms of goals in full view of feverous support.

Selection: BTTS – Yes
Best Odds: 1.90 (bet365)
Stakes: 7.5/10

More Roma vs Fiorentina Tips

Atalanta vs Salernitana Preview

Sunday, January 15th, 17:00 (UK)

Perhaps Atalanta are beginning to drag themselves out of a less-than-desirable run of form. The points return in the recent fixtures is an improvement on the four losses in five before the forced World Cup winter break. However, neither came easily, with a 93rd-minute finish needed to clinch only a draw with 17th-placed Spezia.

The winner against Bologna in Atalanta’s most recent match came after their opponents took an early lead through Riccardo Orsolini before Teun Koopmeiners levelled with a sumptuous strike from outside the box.

Now, this is clearly not a vintage Atalanta winter. On the contrary, as the season started ever so brightly, unbeaten in ten and performing well. Though it must be said, in the seven matches after their unbeaten spell, Gasperini’s Bergamo outfit have faced Lazio, Napoli and Inter – three of the four games in their post-unbeaten run.

It’s not a backs-to-the-wall type moment for La Dea, far from it considering the standard of opposition they have stuttered against. Nevertheless, they still occupy the final European spot and sit three points off Inter Milan in fourth – the season can still flourish how they see fit.

The development of Rasmus Højlund has been something to behold for Atalanta supporters. At 19 years old, the Danish forward is proving a nuisance for opposing sides both in and out of possession, nourishing another dimension to a La Dea attack starting to look towards the youngster when in need of a spark of individual brilliance.

Atalanta vs Salernitana Best Bet

Regardless, Atalanta arrives on Sunday at a moment when they may need to grind out results. And with that comes frustration and a keenness to pull the trigger from further afield. Koopmeiners did precisely that last game, and it paid off handsomely.

In the hope recent goalscoring exploits provide the confidence and belief to do so again, taking the Dutch midfielder for 2+ shots may offer an interesting angle. A 1.65 shots per90 figure outlines Koopmeiners’ intent on working the keeper across 16.4 90s in 2022/23 – a sign that he welcomes the opportunity to get a shot off when it presents itself.

With the equaliser against Spezia last match and Atalanta not quite being in the best moment, Koopmeiners may take matters into his own hands.

Selection: Teun Koopmeiners 2+ Shots
Best Odds: 1.83 (bet365)
Stakes: 7.5/10

Odds via bet365 as at 08:00, January 15th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

More Atalanta vs Salernitana Tips

What are Football Best Bets?

Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.