Serie A Best Bets Jan 22nd: 3 Value Picks from Italy this Sunday
Serie A Best Bets: Sunday, January 22nd
It’s back to Italy we go to serve up another trio of picks to chaperon a weekend of Serie A armchair viewing. Turin, Genoa, and Salerno act as the destinations – three jaunts which will hopefully prove profitable by the time Monday morning comes.
In this article:
- Juventus vs Atalanta Preview & Best Bet
- Sampdoria vs Udinese Preview & Best Bet
- Salernitana vs Napoli Preview & Best Bet
Juventus vs Atalanta Preview
Saturday, January 22nd, 19:45 (UK)
The last time a Juventus vs Atalanta fixture ventured over the five-goal selection? That came 18 matches and ten years ago.
With Juventus boasting the fewest goals conceded at home in the entire league, perhaps the potential for a similar goal-fest from 2013 is off the table. That is, despite Atalanta’s 8-2 victory at the weekend.
What may be on the cards, though, is for La Dea’s Nordic prodigal talent, Rasmus Højlund, to be busy deep into the Juve half. Although the hosts fronts a respectable goals-conceded record, the 10.89 shots against average at home suggests it’s not an impenetrable Fort Knox-type setup in Turin.
Since making his £14.7m move from Sturm Graz, Højlund has ripened within the Atalanta squad and Serie A in equal measure. Following the World Cup break, it’s now three goals in three matches for the young striker.
If being in form and a feeling of gushing confidence could be bottled, you’d be a millionaire. But, in this instance, it’s not money we’re after – it’s not even a goal. Just the two shots will do. Shot totals of 3, 2, and 3 make up his goal-laden three games, with Højlund also clearly keen to pull the trigger on his handful of starts and substitute appearances earlier in the season.
Juventus vs Atalanta Best Bet
That want to impress has amounted to a 2.76 Shots per90 average in Serie A from 7.2 90s – a welcome sum for the proposed pick. The Dane has all the attributes to scare a Juventus backline and an onlooking nation outside of Bergamo on Sunday, equipped with hoards of pace, power and agility similar to another Nordic striking supreme in Manchester.
Additionally, Højlund‘s capability of orchestrating play through his arced runs on the shoulder of the last man is Erling Haaland-like. With that in his armoury, almost forcing the Atalanta midfielder’s hands when in possession, expect him to continue getting plenty of shots at goal – especially if there’s space in behind to exploit.
- Selection: Rasmus Højlund 2+ Shots and U4.5 Match Goals
- Best Odds: 1.80 (bet365)
- Stakes: 10/10
Sampdoria vs Udinese Preview
Saturday, January 22nd, 11:30 (UK)
Twenty-six minutes was all Gerard Deulofeu could conjure when Udinese visited Naples in November, with the Spaniard forced off the pitch due to a knee injury.
The former Watford and Everton forward hasn’t featured since and shouldn’t be in contention to start this weekend. However, in his absence, Roberto Pereyra has shone as Udinese’s go-to wide man in forward areas.
And it’s some boots Pereyra has to fill in terms of shots at goal. Deulofeu leads Udinese in terms of attempts at goal in Serie A with 3.31 per90 as imposing as it gets from wide areas. Only the likes of Raspadori and Kvaratskhelia from a free-scoring Napoli, and Rafael Leao from AC Milan, can boast a similar regularity on the wing.
With the captain’s armband snug on his arm, the winger, who also boasts a spell at the Hornets borne from the link both clubs share in the boardroom, has recorded three, one (Juventus Away), and four attempts since the return of Serie A following the forced winter break.
Sampdoria vs Udinese Best Bet
Considering Sampdoria’s struggles this term, conceding the second-highest goal total in Italy’s top flight, one would assume that Pereyra will sniff out an opportunity for his side. At 2.20 on bet365, he’s certainly priced well enough to give the selection a second glance.
Looking at the season as a whole, Pereyra’s shots per90 of 0.52 goes some way to explaining the offered price. Of course, that would usually be a red flag, but with current absentees and Pereyra keen to take on what Udinese lacks without Deulofeu, this could have a fair chance at an odds-against price.
- Selection: Roberto Pereyra 2+ Shots
- Best Odds: 2.20 (bet365)
- Stakes: 10/10
Salernitana vs Napoli Preview
Saturday, January 22nd, 17:00 (UK)
Salernitana were humiliated last weekend. The performance led to Davide Nicola’s sacking on Monday morning, and it’s no surprise, given the scoreline. Nevertheless, despite the 8-2 showing, Nicola somehow convinced the owners to reverse the sacking, placing him back in the dugout for the upcoming Napoli fixture.
Unfortunately for Nicola, he may wish he hadn’t bothered when 19:00 rolls around on Saturday evening. Rasmus Højlund, Duvan Zapata, Ademola Lookman and Jeremie Boga are one thing, but what Napoli will harness and bring to Salerno is a different ball game entirely.
Victor Osimhen will spearhead the attack, accompanied by a plethora of scouts from Europe’s best clubs in tandem. The same goes for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, operating to his left, another who plays with a fearless front-footed approach, willing to take the game to any opponent who crosses his path.
Although La Dea won by just the six goal-margin, the suggested pick begins with a 1-4 winning margin pick. Davide Nicola’s future and Salernitana’s Serie A status are both uncertain, though there’s an eight-point gap between themselves and the relegation places. With that in mind, rest assured that Salernitana will present as difficult to beat first and foremost, planning to be hard to break down whilst offering a more compact unit for Napoli to attack compared to what we saw on the weekend.
The aforementioned approach will only get Salernitana so far. This Napoli side has proved a formidable task to the prestigious names donning Champions League status, alongside Serie A’s best.
Salernitana vs Napoli Best Bet
With a focus on not conceding first and foremost for the hosts, Napoli to open the scoring also appeals in a bet builder. Luciano Spalletti’s men, who sit nine points adrift of AC Milan in second, have scored the first goal in 12/18 matches this term.
To round the Napoli-heavy bet builder off – l the visiting ensemble to score over 1.5 goals is an occurrence that has reared its head in 72% of Napoli matches this season (13/18).
If you fancy Napoli to reign supreme once again, this could be a handy way into the fixture amidst a set of markets offering minimal value in siding with the favourites.
- Selection: Napoli Winning Margin of 1-4 Goals, Napoli First Goal and O2.5 Napoli Goals
- Best Odds: 1.86 (William Hill)
- Stakes: 10/10
Best odds available as at 12:00, January 19th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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