Alexander Zverev vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction, Odds, Stats, Form, H2H, 3/28/24

The final preview of the day looks at one of the quarterfinals from the ATP draw. Our Zverev vs Marozsan prediction may not be as head-turning to the average tennis fan as the Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov match, but I can assure you that these two both have quality in their own right. Marozsan’s win probability registers at 26.2% while Zverev is favored to win at 1.31 odds. The handicap is 3.5 games and the total games line is 22.5. Our Zverev vs Marozsan prediction is for Marozsan to win a set (listed as +1.5 sets at most bookmakers).

Zverev vs Marozsan Prediction: Marozsan Well Equipped to Deal with One of the Game’s Best

• Prediction: Marozsan +1.5 sets
• Best Odds: 1.99
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 1:00 am UK Time on March 28th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

I do think Marozsan has a better chance to win a set than the odds would suggest in this one. He’s got a very well-rounded game, a reliable serve, works all areas of the court, employs the drop shot as well as anyone, and can certainly capitalize on potential loose play from Zverev, who does tend to have patches of erratic hitting, particularly on the forehand.

I’d also prefer to take the sets here, simply because we’ve seen a few times this week that against strong servers with great endurance, players can keep up for a set or two, but tail off, and I don’t want to see a 3.5-game handicap lose in three sets and leave money on the table with the set handicap.

We have previews up for other matches from the Miami Open as well. Head over to Expert Insights to check those out.

Alexander Zverev Recent Form

Outside of a few hiccups in Mexico where he lost to Daniel Altmaier and Jordan Thompson (the latter of whom was on fire, to be fair), Zverev has been sensational this year. His losses have come to the likes of Alex de Minaur (a top-10 debutant in the early stages of 2024), Carlos Alcaraz, and Daniil Medvedev.

He has, however, had plenty of wins where he’s dropped a set or been on the verge of doing so (see: Chris Eubanks in the third round).

He has a massive serve, moves very well for his size, has an elite backhand, and isn’t afraid to come to the net. There’s a reason he succeeds on all surfaces, consistently makes deep runs, and is almost always among the world’s top-10 players.

He has, however, had his issues with his second serve from time to time, makes some sloppy mistakes and his forehand can be rushed.

I’m not saying he’s likely to lose this match, but against an upstart youngster with plenty of rally tolerance and weapons of his own, I do think this is a more competitive match than the market suggests.

Fabian Marozsan Recent Form

Another tournament in the spotlight, another successful run for the 24-year-old. It’s an incredible oddity for a player to have almost all their success at the main tour level at what amounts to the highest level tournaments on offer outside of the four grand slams.

The Hungarian now has the distinction of reaching at least the fourth round of every Masters event he’s played (Rome 2023, Shanghai 2023, Indian Wells 2024, Miami 2024). On the one hand, it’s a tad surprising, since Shanghai and Miami are the only two quicker court events we’ve seen him perform well in.

On the other, when one watches him play, it’s not all that surprising at all.

Marozsan has an incredibly well-rounded game. Along with Carlos Alcaraz (who he beat in Rome last season), he’s ushering in a new era of players willing to use the drop shot with regularity. I’d argue he already uses it more than anyone else in the top 50 and I’d also make the case he uses it more effectively than anyone else.

Then there’s the fact that match after match he’s able to generate a decent number of free points behind his first serve (though that may be tougher against a returner like Zverev).

He’s also very good at working the ball around the court, hitting through his forehand (crosscourt and inside out are particular strengths of his), and massaging his backhands to hit the spots he’s looking to hit to open up some space for himself.

The only knock on him that I can come up with having covered several of his matches this last month? He still tries to hit small targets too often. That’s to say, when his shots are landing, he’s capable of beating the best in the world. When they’re not, losing streaks tend to happen. Adding a bit more margin for error to his groundstrokes as he moves his opponent around the court would be the one improvement to his game I’d posit he needs.

Other than that, he’s shown us several times that he has the tools to compete with – and beat – some of the best in the sport.

Alexander Zverev vs Fabian Marozsan H2H – Stat of the Match

No previous meetings between these two yet. Marozsan has already played five times though against players ranked inside the top 10 (that tends to happen when you make runs at the Masters 1000 level). His record? A head-turning 4-1.

We know he won’t be intimidated by the caliber of the opponent on the other side of the net.

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