Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff U.S. Open Bet Builder Tips: 2.62 Bet Builder for Women’s US Open Final

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff (U.S. Open) Saturday, September 9th

What a heartbreaking way to lose the 50/1 outright on Madison Keys. She led 6-0, 5-3 and couldn’t close the match out. For those that weren’t on the futures bet and took the over though? At least that got home.

We’re onto the women’s final now, as we’ll see yet another first-time U.S. Open champion crowned. Let’s delve into Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff!

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In this article:

• Aryna Sabalenka vs vs Coco Gauff Bet Builder Tips
• Aryna Sabalenka Recent Form
• Coco Gauff Recent Form
• Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Gauff H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

Coco Gauff vs Aryna Sabalenka Bet Builder Tips

• Aryna Sabalenka to break in Set 1 
• Over 8.5 Games in Set 1  
• Sabalenka to win the Match 

Bet Builder Odds: 2.62 

Odds available as of September 9th 2023. Odds may now differ

We’re going to go with a Bet Builder for the final in this one, and I like a three-leg bet that has Sabalenka hoisting the title, while not necessarily blowing out the young, in-form American.

The talent gap is still there for me in this matchup, and Sabalenka is in a tier with Iga Swiatek and no one else at the top of the women’s game. In fact, the WTA rankings illustrate that pretty well.

Gauff’s serve should keep her in the match, and her form means she clearly has momentum, but that’s not enough for me to close the gap that exists thanks to the forehand and dynamism to Sabalenka’s game.

Read on for more expert insights.

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Form

I don’t think it’s unfair to suggest that Gauff would’ve rather seen Madison Keys close that match out and play her in the final instead (we would’ve been right there with her holding a 50/1 outright ticket!). While Keys’ big forehand would likely rush Gauff into errors, that is still present with Sabalenka, plus the Belarussian is a bit more mobile and has more shot tolerance than Keys.

As I stated above, both women are playing some incredible tennis right now, but Sabalenka is simply better than Gauff.

A price tag that makes her the slightest of favourites is either disrespectful, overvaluing Gauff’s form, or weighing in narrative-based factors far too much for me.

Coco Gauff Recent Form

You can’t take away what Gauff has done of late, even if you are a doubter in its sustainability due to the still-weak forehand – even if it has improved a bit. I count myself in that camp. When I watch her play, I just don’t see her being close enough to push the Swiateks and Sabalenkas of the world consistently. Can she upset them in a one-match sample? Sure. She just beat Swiatek in Cincinnati.

There’s also the fact that the rest of her game is really strong. She has tremendous footwork and speed, covers the court really effectively and has one of the best backhands in the world. The first serve is also capable of generating nice, easy points.

The second serve, however, could use some work and the weakness being what could be the most important shot in tennis (the forehand) is too big of a weakness to ignore in a match with the best player in the world.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Head to Head – Stat of the Match

Gauff actually leads the all-time head-to-head between these two 3-2, but as always context is key. The 2023 iteration of Sabalenka is a different beast. With consistency now in her game, it’s incredibly tough to find a weakness. Their only match this year? 6-4, 6-0 to Sabalenka on the hard courts of Indian Wells. Those are on slower courts too, where the pace on Sabalenka’s forehand would be somewhat muted.

No matter how you break things down, this version of Sabalenka is simply so much better than previous years. I’ll take that one relevant match over the other four when I’m looking at the matchup history for that reason.

I think the reason we’re seeing value on Sabalenka here is because of how even these two are statistically. Sabalenka and Gauff have very similar elo ratings on hard courts – both raw and blended – and they’re within a few percentage points in hold plus break on hard courts the last 52 weeks as well.

RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING

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